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UPST

Upstart Holdings, Inc.
$31.72 +0.26 (+0.83%) At close · Jul 14
Market Cap
$3.04B
Shares
95,711,569

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$31.72 Open$31.56 Day$31.07–32.46 52W$23.97–87.30 Avg vol 30d4.4M Short int25.8M · 27.0% float · 5.6d Short vol57% Last earningsMay 5, 2026 DataDec 2020–Jul 2026 Filing10-Q · May 5
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 4, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 3 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed May 5, 2026
AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Sell
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Sell Momentum Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 16.5 · calm Equity put/call 0.62
      Technical
      price trend
      Sell
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −16%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg +1%
      above
      RSI (14) 47
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 12%
      near low
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Weak
      1-month return +4%
      trailing
      6-month return −29%
      trailing
      YTD return −27%
      this year
      Relative strength −40%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $31 › 200d $38 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      22 of 343 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -211.0K sh shares · +3 new
      Insider flow Accumulating
      Net +$5.2M over 90 days · 67% sells
      Short interest Falling
      27.00% of float · ▼ -3.7% MoM · 5.6 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      343 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 75
      high risk · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Strong
      Revenue growth +64%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +131%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-148.1M
      Valuation P/E 77.5
      rich
      Buyback $122.1M
      remaining
      Balance sheet $652.4M
      net cash
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 70%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −71%
      past year
      ATR 6.7%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 5, 2026
      full-year 2026
      Total Revenue Initiated $1.4B
      prior FY $1.04B midpoint +34.1% Y/Y
      Revenue From Fees Initiated $1.3B
      2025-2028
      Total Revenue CAGR 35%
      2028
      Adjusted EBITDA Margin Non-GAAP Initiated 25%

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
      3 · 3 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −16% Bearish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +1% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      47 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      12% Bearish
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $31 › 200d $38 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      22 of 343 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -211.0K sh shares · +3 new
      Insider flow Accumulating
      Net +$5.2M over 90 days · 67% sells
      Short interest Falling
      27.00% of float · ▼ -3.7% MoM · 5.6 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      343 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      52-wk low $24 Now $32 · 12% 52-wk high $87
      vs 200-day avg -16% vs 50-day avg +1%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Transaction Volume, Total originations 3.4B Q1 2026
      additional originations at equivalent risk levels from new model 3.5% Q1 call
      average return of last 12 quarterly vintages of loans over treasuries 651 trailing 12 quarters call
      loans originated 425K Q1 call
      model accuracy lead over benchmark 1.4% Q1 call
      model advantage 173.6% Q1 call
      new commitments from Altura, Centerbridge, and Wafra 2B Q1 year to date call
      new committed capital from forward flow relationships year to date 4B Q1 year to date call
      recent securitizations total 1B Q1 call
      Conversion Rate 19.4% Fiscal Year 2025
      Transaction Volume 1,497,149 Fiscal Year 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file

      Versus peers

      Credit Services — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      UPST
      Upstart Holdings, Inc.
      this stock
      $3.04B -27.5% -39.0% 77.5 27.0%
      V
      Visa Inc.
      $637.04B +1.7% +12.3% 1.2%
      MA
      Mastercard Inc
      $472.90B -5.6% +16.4% 31.0 0.9%
      AXP
      American Express Co
      $244.57B -3.8% +13.4% 22.4 1.6%
      COF
      Capital One Financial Corp
      $129.99B -15.0% +36.6% 53.3 1.9%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Reducing
      Holders
      344
      % held
      73.7%
      Reported
      22 of 343
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      190
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      25.8M
      Days to cover
      5.6d
      Change
      -987.2K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      57%
      As of
      Jul 15, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      888
      Value
      $31.1K
      As of
      Jun 30, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      45.3%
      Week of
      May 4, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net buying
      Net (90d)
      +$5.2M
      Buyers / Sellers
      2 / 4
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Congressional Trades Sell
      Member
      Thomas Suozzi
      Amount
      $1.0K–$15.0K
      Traded
      May 16, 2022
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $1.0B
      Net income (FY)
      $53.6M
      EPS diluted
      $0.45
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $400.0M
      Remaining
      $122.1M
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      May 28, 2026
      This year
      10
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $456.1K
      Shares
      15.0K
      Filed
      Jun 9, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      May 5, 2026
      View
      Investor Relations
      Upcoming events
      1
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      UPST -4.1% +4.0% -28.9% -10.5% -27.5%
      SPY +0.6% +1.4% +11.0% +0.7% +10.3%
      vs SPY -4.6% +2.6% -39.9% -11.2% -37.7%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Mar 31, 2026
      Authorized
      $400.00M
      Spent (derived)
      $277.90M
      Remaining
      $122.10M
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1647639 CUSIP 91680M107 13F (30d) 37 filings 24 filers Visit website Investor relations