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UPST · Upstart Holdings, Inc.

Track UPST — free
$30.43 -0.54 (-1.74%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$2.83B
Shares
97.31M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$30.43 Open$31.00 Day$30.25–31.36 52W close$24.22–73.76 Avg vol 30d4.2M Short int25.2M · 25.9% float · 7.3d Short vol47% Last earningsAug 4, 2026 DataDec 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 4

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 3, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 11 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed Aug 4, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Sell Momentum Neutral Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Sell
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −13%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg −2%
      below
      RSI (14) 52
      neutral
      MACD trend Positive
      52-week position 13%
      near low
      Volume (OBV) Bearish div.
      distributing
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Neutral
      1-month return +3%
      trailing
      6-month return +12%
      trailing
      YTD return −30%
      this year
      Relative strength −2%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $31 › 200d $35 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +6% holders QoQ · +77 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$891.9K over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      25.92% of float · ▼ -3.6% MoM · 7.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      364 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 72
      high risk · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Excellent
      Revenue growth +64%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +131%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-148.1M
      Buyback $122.1M
      remaining
      Balance sheet $652.4M
      net cash
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 67%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −67%
      past year
      ATR 5.9%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 4, 2026
      Total Revenue · full-year 2026 $1.4B
      Adjusted EBITDA (Margin % of Total Revenue) · full-year 2026 Non-GAAP $294M
      Revenue From Fees · full-year 2026 $1.3B
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Mar 31, 2024
      Total revenues · Q2 of 2024 $125M
      Revenue from fees · Q2 of 2024 $135M
      Net interest income · Q2 of 2024 $-10M
      Contribution margin · Q2 of 2024 56%
      Net income · Q2 of 2024 $-75M
      Adjusted EBITDA · Q2 of 2024 $-25M
      Diluted weighted average share count · Q2 of 2024 $88400000.00
      Adjusted net income · Q2 of 2024 $-36M
      Revenue from fees · second half of 2024 $300M
      Guided vs delivered · last 1 settled
      Total revenues Q1 of 2024
      guided $125M
      $127.79M Beat +2.2%

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
      3 · 3 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −13% Bearish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −2% Neutral
      RSI (14)
      52 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Positive Bullish
      52-week position
      13% Bearish
      Volume (OBV)
      Bearish div. Bearish
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $31 › 200d $35 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +6% holders QoQ · +77 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$891.9K over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      25.92% of float · ▼ -3.6% MoM · 7.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      364 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $24 Now $30 · 13% Range high $74
      vs 200-day avg -13% vs 50-day avg -2%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Contribution Margin (Secured) -35% Q2 2026
      Contribution Margin (Unsecured) 62% Q2 2026
      Originations, Dollars 4.2B Q2 2026
      Originations, Number of Loans 558,014 Q2 2026
      Conversion Rate 19.4% FY2025
      Transaction Volume, Dollars 11B FY2025
      Transaction Volume, Number of Loans 1,497,149 FY2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Credit Services — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      UPST
      Upstart Holdings, Inc.
      this stock
      $2.83B -30.4% +64.0% 25.9%
      V
      Visa Inc.
      $641.36B +3.8% -4.9% 1.2%
      MA
      Mastercard Inc
      $498.70B -0.3% +16.4% 31.3 1.0%
      AXP
      American Express Co
      $231.28B -7.4% +13.4% 20.8 1.8%
      COF
      Capital One Financial Corp
      $141.47B -6.2% +36.6% 1.7%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      364
      % held
      77.8%
      Net QoQ
      +1.2M sh
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      208
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      25.2M
      Days to cover
      7.3d
      Change
      -953.4K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      47%
      As of
      Aug 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      95
      Value
      $3.0K
      As of
      Jul 14, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      38.7%
      Week of
      Jul 6, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$891.9K
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 3
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Congressional Trades Sell
      Member
      Thomas Suozzi
      Amount
      $1.0K–$15.0K
      Traded
      May 16, 2022
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $1.0B
      Net income (FY)
      $53.6M
      EPS diluted
      $0.45
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $400.0M
      Remaining
      $122.1M
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q/A
      Filed
      Aug 5, 2026
      This year
      14
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $456.1K
      Shares
      15.0K
      Filed
      Jun 9, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 4, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      UPST -2.1% +3.1% +11.6% +10.9% -30.4%
      SPY +0.4% +4.5% +13.8% +3.9% +13.9%
      vs SPY -2.5% -1.3% -2.1% +7.0% -44.3%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Jun 30, 2026
      Authorized
      $400.00M
      Spent (derived)
      $277.90M
      Remaining
      $122.10M
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1647639 CUSIP 91680M107 13F (30d) 347 filings 337 filers Visit website Investor relations