Operator
Greetings and welcome to the Varonis Systems 4th Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Tim Purse, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us today to review Varonis' fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results. With me on the call today are Yaqui Fidelton, Chief Executive Officer, and Guy Malamed, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of Varonis. After preliminary remarks, we will open the call to a question and answer session. During this call, we may make statements related to our business that would be considered forward-looking statements under federal securities laws, including projections of future operating results for our first quarter and full year ending December 31st, 2026. Due to a number of factors, actual results may differ materially from those set forth in such statements. These factors are set forth in the earnings press release that we issued today under the section captioned forward-looking statements and these and other important risk factors are described more fully in our reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We encourage all investors to read our SEC filings. These statements reflect our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. Bironis expressly disclaims any application or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements made herein. Additionally, non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this conference call. The reconciliation for the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is also available in our fourth quarter 2025 earnings press release and our investor presentation, which can be found at Varonis.com in the Investor Relations section. Lastly, please note that a webcast of today's call is available on our website in the Investor Relations section. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Yaki Feidelson. Yaki?
Thanks, team. and good afternoon everyone we appreciate you joining us to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results over the past year we have talked about veronis as a story of two companies the first is our strong sas business which reflects the present and future of our company and the second is a legacy on-prem business which is serving as a headwind to our company ARR growth. In Q3, the headwind was especially pronounced. As a result, we are now disclosing additional metrics. The purpose of this, to allow investors to understand all the drivers of our business. Guy will expand upon this later. In the fourth quarter, our SaaS business continued its momentum, and our decision to end-of-life our self-hosted platform, combined with the lesson we learned in Q3 led to a record number of conversions. In Q4, SAS ARR was $638.5 million, or 86% of total ARR. Q4 SAS ARR increased 32% year-over-year, excluding the impact of conversion, and total ARR increased 16% year-over-year to $745.4 million. dollars now i would like to give you some additional color on last quarter decision to announce the end of life for our self-hosted deployment model and the decision to transition our business to be hundred percent sas by the end of 2026 prior to the introduction of veroni sas we believe our self-hosted software was the best way to secure data but the downside of this software was that it requires significantly more resource to do so. Our SaaS product is fully automated. It is different to our self-hosted solution, a self-driving car to a bicycle. You can get to the same destination in either method, but with one, you do the majority of work yourself, and with the other, it gets you there automatically and with minimal effort. We can do this because we build our SaaS platform using world-class architecture, the newest technologies, and the lesson we learned was securing data in large, complex, dynamic environments for thousands of customers. This allows us to protect our SaaS customers in ways that were not possible with our self-processed solution. For instance, we can only provide MDDR to our SaaS customers because of the automation and centralized visibility within our platform. It is important to understand that for most other companies that underwent SaaS transition, the technological gap between their self-hosted and SaaS products was not as large as it is with our platform. This provides our SaaS customers with much higher satisfaction, which leads to higher renewal rate when compared to our remaining self-hosted customers, many of which are what we call single-threaded customers. This means they only use Veroni self-hosted platform for a single use case on one data store, and because they don't use the full data security platform, they began to show a greater resistance toward paying a premium to move to Veroni SaaS in Q3. In order to move quickly and maximize customer retention, we are focusing less on uplift or conversions of our remaining on-prem customers. We believe we can show even more value to SaaS to these customers and then have opportunities to upsell them in the future. In the first quarter, our decision to end-of-life our self-posted platform was a catalyst that caused many of our remaining self-hosted customers to convert to SaaS. We converted approximately $65 million, or one-third of our remaining non-SaaS ARR in the quarter, and believe that between $50 to $75 million of the remaining self-hosted customers will convert by the end of the year. At the same time, we continue to see strong demand from both new and existing customers because they can secure data with minimal effort because of our automation. Other DSTM tools may be able to identify a portion of sensitive data, but no other tool can find sensitive data in a complete way, fix misconfiguration at scale automatically, and alert and respond to threats, delivering automated outcomes like Varonis does. Within our SaaS portfolio, MDDR and Co-Pilot continue to show strong adoption trends, and Varonis for Cloud Environments continued its momentum, which was driven by the investment we have made in our platform to expand our use cases and protect many more data platforms. We are seeing this demand because customers are realizing that visibility alone is not enough and classification without protection is liability. Automation is necessary to achieve real outcomes. Early conversation with customers on our database activity monitoring and email security products underscore our belief that these are a strong fit for our portfolio in 2026. We expect our reps to put significantly more focus on new business and uplifting SaaS customers. Over time, we believe this focus will help us unlock the potential of this market. Now, I would like to step back from our near-term results and discuss why we believe we're best positioned to help companies safely adapt AI and prevent data breaches. Voronis was founded on the belief that managing and protecting data would be impossible without automation. Over time, our growth has been fueled by the constant balance between productivity and security. Today, the emergence of AI is accelerating both the volume and complexity of data in an unprecedented rate. The scale of data growth is matched only by the AI ability to increase the sophistication of modern cyber threats. Cyber criminals are leveraging AI agents to infiltrate organizations with minimal human involvement. Recent incidents, such as Chinese state actors using cloud code to breach major corporations, highlight the sensitivity and ease of these attacks. Most of these AI-powered attacks start with social engineering. attackers aren't hacking computers they are hacking trust and users cannot tell what's real or fake anymore cyber criminals are using the eye without guardrails companies want to adapt the eye as quickly but struggle to due to concerns over data security the deployment of ai agent raises critical compliance questions what data does the agent has access to is that data is sensitive is the agent behaving as expected. Most organizations struggle to answer these questions for human users, and the challenge is amplified as they must now secure exponentially more AI agents. Agents are nothing without data. The more data agents can access, the more useful and more risky they become. They operate faster than humans, collaborate autonomously, and maximize their privilege by design. AI security depends on data security. In addition, companies will need guardrails and controls around their AI agents and tool sets. To accelerate our ability to help companies safely adapt AI, Varonis announced today that it has acquired Altru. An AI security company, the acquisition strength Varonis' ability to protect enterprise for emerging AI risk by combining Altru's end-to-end visibility and guardrails for AI tools with Varonis' ability to protect the underlying data and identities used by AI agents. Altru adds end-to-end visibility and control across AI life cycles. It inventories AI components and infrastructure, lock it down, monitors AI tools, and automates compliance the acquisition reinforced our data first strategy and extended our platform to secure all ai systems and the data following them our sas platform allows for much faster organic innovation integration of stacking acquisitions which enhance our customer ability to stay ahead of bad actors. Since launching SaaS, we have gone wider and deeper to help our customers stop breaches everywhere, and we can now tap into more budgets than ever, including data and AI security, database activity monitoring, and email security. We have unified unstructured, semi-structured, and structured data security into a single platform, which is essential in an age of AI, because AI uses all data types. When you combine Interceptor, which is our email security offering, with our SaaS platform and MVDR, it becomes a force multiplier, stops threats even faster, and keeps threats active even farther from data. With that, I would like to briefly discuss a couple of key customer wins from Q4. We continue to see strong demand for new customers, and one example of this was a healthcare service organization that was performing a risk assessment during a multi-cloud migration and realized that the native tools were insufficient to lock down their data. As a result, they launched a DSPM RFP process and ultimately chose Varonis after we immediately uncovered several hundred critical misconfiguration, many of which automatically fix. Also identify over 900,000 exposed PII records and executive strategy materials. Veroni's simplicity, advanced threat detection, and unified interface, automatic remediation of decisive against competitors, and they ultimately purchased Veroni's SaaS with MDDR for hybrid environments, co-pilot AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud Platform. Also, Unix and Linux, as well as Universal Database Connector. In addition to strong new customer momentum, we continue to see existing customers realizing the benefits of SaaS. One example was a hospital system of 45,000 employees that originally brought Varonis to remediate overexposure of on-prem HIPAA data. As they began a cloud migration process, they noticed gaps in the ability of native tools to remediate overexposure and label data at scale. During our cloud risk assessment, we discovered over half a million instances of HIPAA and PII data open to everyone in the organization. Our ability to identify and remediate this exposure led this customer to convert to Veroni's SaaS with MDDR for hybrid environments, co-pilot, and data lifecycle automation for Windows SaaS. In summary, we are excited by the performance of our SaaS business, which is being driven by the automated value proposition that we deliver to our customers on top of our scalable architecture. We look forward to continuing our momentum and ending the year as a fully SaaS company, which will unlock many more benefits as we capture our growing market opportunity, and we believe in the path to achieving our 2027 financial targets. Is that? Let me turn the call over to Guy.
Thanks, Yaki. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We are excited by the momentum we are seeing in our SaaS business, which now accounts for the vast majority of our ARR. SaaS is both the present and the future of our business, and the new disclosures we are making today are intended to enable investors to evaluate the progress of both our SaaS business and the end-of-life of our self-hosted business. We plan to disclose these additional metrics for the duration of 2026, after which we will be 100% SaaS and we will revert to more traditional metrics. You can find more on this in our Investor Deck. In 2026, we will provide guidance for SaaS ARR excluding conversions on a quarterly basis. Specifically, we will report the following on a quarterly basis. 1. SAS ARR, 2. SAS ARR excluding conversions, 3. Conversions ARR, and 4. Non-SAS ARR to help you understand how much conversion opportunity remains available. On an annual basis, we will disclose and also provide guidance for 1. SAS ARR and 2. SAS ARR excluding conversions. We will also continue to report subscription customer count and SAS dollar-based net retention on an annual basis. Our intention is to provide you with the tools to understand the various drivers to our business and to illustrate how we believe our SaaS business can continue to grow at very healthy levels in 2026 and beyond. In the fourth quarter, SaaS ARR was $638.5 million or 86 percent of total ARR and SaaS ARR increased 32 percent year over year when excluding the impact of conversions we are proud of our record number of arr conversions in q4 which totaled approximately 65 million dollars including the uplift we believe that this result was driven by our lessons learned in q3 and our decision to end of life our self-hosted platform at the end of q4 we had approximately 105 million dollars of non-sass arr remaining In 2025, ARR for new customers was approximately $80 million. We ended the year with approximately 6,400 subscription customers, which grew 14% year-over-year. Our dollar-based net retention rate for SaaS customers was 110% at the end of 2025. To be clear, this metric only includes customers that were SaaS customers in the prior year, and therefore is reflective of the organic expansion of ARR within our SaaS customer base. We believe that this metric can trend higher over time as we put more focus on the upsell motion with our SaaS customers. Our renewal rate for the year ending December 31, 2025 continued to be over 90%. Although our renewal activity from our non-SaaS customers was slightly below our historical levels, it was better than what we experienced in the third quarter. Our renewal rate disclosure going forward will be the SaaS renewal rate. This metric aligns with our new business model and how we view the business. Now I'd like to recap our Q4 results in more detail. In the fourth quarter, ARR was $745.4 million, increasing 16% year-over-year. In 2025, we generated $131.9 million of free cash flow, up from $108.5 million in the same period last year. In the fourth quarter, total revenues was $173.4 million, up 9% year-over-year. SAS revenues were $142.3 million. dollars. Term license subscription revenues were 21 million dollars and maintenance and services revenues were 10.1 million dollars. Moving down to the income statement I'll be discussing non-GAAP results going forward. Gross profit for the fourth quarter was 138.7 million dollars representing a gross margin of 80 percent compared to 84.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024. Our gross margin continues to be healthy and in line with our long-term target set at our investor day. Operating expenses in the fourth quarter totaled $134.1 million. As a result, fourth quarter operating income was $4.6 million or an operating margin of 2.6%. This compares to an operating income of $15.3 million or an operating margin of 9.7% in the same period last year. Fourth quarter ARR contribution margin was 15.9%, down from 16.6% last year. If our non-SAS business would have renewed at historical levels this year, our contribution margin would have shown a significant improvement versus 2024. In 2026, we expect a lower ARR contribution margin and lower free cash flow due to the impact of the end-of-life announcement. While this announcement negatively impacts 2026 ARR contribution margin and free cash flow by $30 to $50 million based on our guidance, we believe it will allow us to show a healthier financial profile beginning in 2027 due to the removal of our lower renewal self-hosted customer base. During the quarter, we had financial income of approximately $9.6 million, driven primarily by interest income on our cash, deposit, and investments in marketable securities. Net income for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $11.1 million, or net income of $0.08 per diluted share, compared to net income of $23.9 million, or net income of $0.18 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2024. This is based on $133.3 million diluted shares outstanding and $135.1 million diluted shares outstanding for Q4 2025 and Q4 2024, respectively. As of December 31, 2025, we had $1.1 billion in cash, cash equivalent, short-term deposits and marketable securities. For the 12 months ended December 31, 2025, we generated $147.4 million of cash from operation compared to $115.2 million generated in the same period last year, and CapEx was $15.5 million compared to $6.7 million in the same period last year. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased 448,439 shares at an average purchase price of $33.45 for a total of $15 million. I will now briefly recap our full-year 2025 results. Total revenues increased 13% to $623.5 million. dollars our full year operating margin was negative 0.6 percent compared to 2.9 percent for 2024. Turning now to our initial 2026 guidance apart from conversions which we included a wide range to account for a pessimistic and optimistic scenario our guidance was set using the same philosophy that we have used historically as a reminder our new KPI for this year is SaaS ARR growth excluding conversions, which reflects our ability to add new SaaS customers and also expand with existing ones, as this will be the primary growth driver of our business in the years ahead. In 2026, we will provide quarterly SaaS ARR excluding conversion guidance for this year only. We are doing this because of the difficulty in modeling the year-over-year growth rates due to the impact of conversions in 2025 and 2026. We will also provide a bridge to quarterly total SAS ARR in our invested deck, which assumes zero conversions for the upcoming quarter. For the full year 2026, we will provide annual guidance for both SAS ARR excluding conversions and total SAS ARR. We have provided a wide range of outcomes for the conversions of our non-SAS ARR to SAS ARR within our guidance framework in order to bridge SAS ARR excluding conversions to SAS ARR for modeling purposes. We believe this range of conversions captures a pessimistic and optimistic scenario, with a midpoint representing our base case for 2026. From a modeling perspective, we have assumed no uplift for these conversions. The largest cohort of customers that we don't expect to convert to SAF are federal and state government customers. As a reminder, we expect this to have a $30 to $50 million headwind to free cash flow and ARR contribution margin in 2026. For more information, please see our earnings deck on our Investor Relations website, which includes a more detailed breakdown of our financial guidance. For the first quarter of 2026, we expect SAF ARR growth of 27% to 28%, excluding conversions, total revenues of $164 million to $166 million, representing growth of 20% to 22%, non-GAAP operating loss of negative $11 million to negative $10 million, and non-GAAP net loss per basic and diluted share in the range of $0.06 to $0.05. This assumes 118 million basic and diluted shares outstanding. For the full year of 2026, we expect total SAS ARR of $805 million to $840 million, representing growth of 26% to 32%. This represents SAS ARR growth of 18% to 20%, excluding conversions. Pre-cash flow of $100 million to $105 million, total revenues of $722 million to $730 million, representing growth of 16% to 17%, non-GAAP operating income of break-even to $4 million, non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.06 to $0.10. This assumes $134.2 million diluted shares outstanding. In summary, we are continuing to see momentum across our SaaS business. This demand is coming from both new customers and existing SaaS customers looking to secure more of their data footprint with Varonis. We remain focused on executing on the many tailwinds we see ahead. With that, we would be happy to take questions. Operator?
Operator
We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. One moment, please, while we call for questions. Our first question is from Matthew Hedberg with RBC Capital Markets.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. You know, thanks for all the additional disclosures. I think it'll be really helpful when you think about the standalone SaaS business on a go-forward basis. You know, I think, you know, we're getting some inbound from some investors, and I think some of the confusion is, you know, around kind of the growth rate assumptions from this year. You're guiding for 18% to 20% SaaS ARR growth ex-conversions. Yet, you know, if you look at sort of just like your exit rate SaaS ARR for 26 relative to kind of like the 745 million that you ended 25 with, it looks like closer to 10% growth. So, you know, I know there's some headwinds to conversions here and some churn assumptions, but maybe could you just help sort of like, again, sort of like square off like the 10% kind of total ARR guide with, you know, how optimistic you are on the SaaS side of the house?
Thanks, Matt, for the question. I think we had many conversations with investors throughout the last several months, and they've all asked for the SaaS growth X conversions to really understand the true growth of the business, and really we want to try and help everyone understand all of this better. So we're providing today more disclosures around our business to help you understand what drives our business in the present and in the future. Now the SaaS ARR excluding conversions is really the most important API, which we're gonna focus really on the ability to sign new customers and expand existing SaaS customers. And that's what's gonna drive the business in 2026, 2027 and beyond. When we sit here today, we feel very good about guiding this growth rate of 18 to 20%, which really calls for $120 million of net new organic SaaS ARR versus the $109.5 million that we had in 2025. And that's our starting point. So we're still keeping the same philosophy of guidance. This is our starting point. And we know what we need to do in order to continue throughout the year and increase that number going forward. So as a starting point, looking at the ARR would be extremely misleading because it takes into account the conversions, which are really the rear view mirror of this company. If you want to focus on the present and the future, the right thing to look at is SAS ARR excluding conversion. And as a starting point with this, with the same guidance philosophy, we're at $120 million versus $109.5 in 2025.
And Matt, you also believe – move to the next one.
Operator
Our next question is from Saket Kalia with Barclays.
Great. Hey, guys, thanks for taking my questions here and echo the point earlier just on appreciate the additional disclosure. I think it's really helpful. And to your point, really focuses on kind of what the future of the business will look like, right, that SaaS part. And so for that reason, I just want to dig into that 18% to 20% growth excluding conversions. Guy, maybe the question is for you. Can we just talk about how much of that you think comes from new customers versus existing? And, again, SAS is the future, but just to make sure we're all squared away, can you touch on whether there's going to be any remnants of on-prem ARR at the end of 26 as well?
So I'll start with the last part of your question. Our assumption is that we won't have any non-SAS ARR at the end of the year. So basically, SAS ARR at the end of 2026 is going to be equal ARR. But for this year, if you want to focus on what is right for the business, what is driving the business in the present and in the future, the right metric to look at is SaaS ARR excluding conversions. Now, when you look at the performance in 2025, we had SaaS NRR of 110%, and we had approximately $18 million of new customers ARR. When you look at our expectation going forward, we believe that with the fact that reps won't have to focus on the conversions the way they focused on conversions in 2025, they can go back to selling to new customers and selling to existing customers. And we have so much more to sell. So our expectation is that the SaaS NRR can increase. And obviously, with the offering that we have, we can increase our sales to new customers. So as a starting point, I'm going back to that 18% to 20%. It's a good starting point that we feel very confident with where we sit here today and obviously believe that we can increase that throughout the year.
Operator
Our next question is from Brian Essex with J.P. Morgan.
Hi, good afternoon, and thank you for taking the question. Thank you for me as well for all the additional color. I guess, Guy, I wanted to dig in a little bit to current period results, the 110% net dollar retention. How does that compare with prior periods? And then maybe you can also help us understand how much has co-pilot in, you know, AI driven some of the demand. Do you have maybe an attach or an exposure rate you can provide for the SaaS business attributable to that demand in the quarter?
So, I'll take the first part of the question. When we look at the SaaS NRR, you have to remember that this only takes SaaS customers last year and compares what their ARR is a year later. So, obviously, it's on a much larger base, and it's at 110, and we absolutely think that it was impacted with some headwind because reps had to focus their time on the conversions. Keep in mind that we had close to $190 million of conversions in 2025 alone. So that doesn't happen in itself. The reps had to focus on those conversions. And when we think about NRR, when you only take SaaS customers and look at the progression, that is actually an indication of how we can grow within our SaaS customer base going forward. And we actually believe that that number can improve. So, again, when you look at kind of the mix between existing and new customers, I think that going forward, as we kind of went through the transition and there's not much of a non-SaaS ARR left, the reps can actually focus on acquiring new customers in a better way and can actually go back to the base and sell them additional products going forward.
My co-pilot definitely was just a big driver, but AI in general, is a big driver because everything that's related to AI, these agents are as good, as risky as the data they can access. And definitely the AI trend left the station and the ability to understand the identity and the data that it can access is everything. So it's not just the conversion and co-pilot, the other thing that we saw in the fourth quarter is just a lot, a lot of success is everything that related to other cloud repositories in AWS and Azure, and also the database activity monitoring with pipeline is starting to sell the product, and everything that is happening with the acquisition of Flashnext. Important to understand that AI not just from the agency is a big problem, but also from bad actors. So everything that's related to compromise, to get compromise from trusted sources is something that the Flashneck acquisition, the product called Interceptor, is doing extremely well. So definitely in terms of the platform, we hit on all cylinders and also have a very good understanding of the cohort of customers, as we explained before, that will not go to SaaS. and with the 86% SaaS business, it's, you know, just at the end of it, and the SaaS KPIs are extremely strong, and we are very, very happy with the platform is and how it will perform, and primarily we believe that the whole AI revolution is a big tailwind to everything Verones does.
Operator
Our next question is from Rob Owens with Piper Sandler.
Great. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to focus a little bit on go-to-market, and I know there were some changes to the federal team back in Q3. Just curious, as you enter the new fiscal year, any broader changes overall where you are from a sales capacity perspective and how you're feeling from a sales maturity perspective relative to the folks you have in those seats? Thank you.
So there are two elements to that question that I want to address. One is in terms of the federal business, we're still focused on trying to sell. As you remember, our federal business is approximately 5% of total ARR, but we still see an opportunity there. We did make some adjustments in terms of our investments there. I will say that the second component that I want to address is the conversion. The non-SaaS ARR, we're actually baking a good portion of that federal business that will not convert. and that's why we gave a range of more of a bear case and an optimistic range which is a really wide range that 50 million to 75 million that will convert in 2026. So when you look at the element and what is impacting kind of the conversion number the assumption that we have had is that many of the the federal and state and government customers might not convert and that was baked in that number and the expectation is that we can go and sell to new customers in that federal space but some of them will not move to SaaS with us.
But in terms of the coverage and capacity you believe we you know that the new products now building a good pipeline and that will kick in and we can have a we believe that we can have strong productivity gains. We have now these sales motions that are touching to, you know, the budget and everything that's related to social engineering and business email compromise in the email space, and we have some other in the API and the browser extension, very good assets there, database activity monitoring, you know, most of the install base of the incumbents wants to replace them. This is another one for us, everything, the expansion of the data security, including the MDDR, and now the all-through acquisition that's really just finalizing the whole vision to be end-to-end in the AI world. So we believe and we're starting to see that we see a lot of budgets that are related to AI from security and AI, and we really believe that we can be the foundation for acceleration and adoption of secure AI within organizations. So we're really happy with where we are and the way that the pipeline is developing and we think that, you know, in the next few quarters we are going to be worse. All right, thank you. Our next question is from Joshua Tilton
with Wolf Research. Thanks for sneaking me in here. I have two. One is a follow-up, one is not. I'll start with the non-follow-up one, and that's when we look at kind of the benefits of SAS from converting on-premise states relative to kind of, you know, the dollars that you lost in on-premise business last year, it kind of feels that you, the uplift that you were getting was below that 26, It's 25-ish percent blended rate that you've been communicating to us. Is there any way to help us understand, like, what you are actually getting from a conversion at Uplift or what you're getting on Uplift at a conversion and, you know, what we should expect that rate to be if you can, you know, sustain that for next year? And then I have a follow-up.
So I want to focus the analysts and the investors on what's important. And what's important is SAS growth ex-conversion. We've been asked many times by investors recently to try and break it out and show what would be the growth rate. Because if you think about it, by the end of 2026, the assumption is that there will be no non-SAS ARR list. So the question that you're asking actually relates to 2026 only. Our assumption for 2026 is that, from a modeling perspective, is that the conversions will come in flat. The intention is to break down on a quarterly basis what is the SaaS growth X conversion so every single investor can understand how the business is performing present and what is the driver for the business going forward. To us, the conversions are obviously an important factor, but they're not the driver. They are the rear view mirror that every investor, obviously we care about getting as many customers over to SaaS as we can, but that's not the driver of the business. The driver of the business is SaaS ARR X conversions. And that's why we spent a lot of time in order to break it out in what we hope is a very simplistic way for investors to be able to understand what is the growth rate of SAS ARR X conversion. We gave a range of what the expectation of the conversion is. And remember, at the end of Q3, we got asked, every single investor asked us, what is the expectation to get the conversions over? We talked about approximately $180 million of non-SAS ARR that are up for renewal. And we said that about a third of them were up for renewal in Q4. And we were able to get in Q4, including the uplift, approximately $65 million. So the non-SaaS ARR less has come down significantly. It's now approximately $105 million going into 2026. We're giving this range of $50 million to $75 million. But our desire and the way management is focused in terms of the forward-looking health of the business is SAS ARR excluding conversion?
It's not critical to understand that just the massive expansion we did in the platform, this is what will grow the business, the new licenses. These are not the uplift. It's selling new licenses and ending more value, covering more data, securing our customers end-to-end from a data breach, make sure that they can use AI in the right way, make sure that they don't have a compliance fine and doing everything on an architecture with tremendous scale. You need to understand that the amount of data that we need to crunch in order to provide this value is massive. And this is – the whole growth is driven by just the new licensing.
Operator
Our next question is from Jason Adam with William Blair. Yeah, thanks. Hi, guys. Guy, can you help us understand the $30 million to $50 million headwind to contribution margin and free cash flow in 2026? I'm not sure I quite get that.
Yeah, so first of all, I want to say that there's really no change from a philosophy perspective of how we are trying to run the business. We believe the business should grow on the top line in healthy levels, but also generate better margins and more meaningful cash flow over time. I think that's been the way we ran the business for many, many years, and there's really no change in the way we're thinking about that going forward. We're facing that $30 to $50 million headwind from the end of life announcement in 2026. But what's important to note is that, one, the announcement of end of life actually generated a sense of urgency for customers to move, and we did see that in Q4. The second thing that's important to note, that we would have had a headwind from the remaining self-hosted customers having a lower renewal rate. That would have really masked the strength of our SaaS business, and you can see that in the H2 2025 results and also in the 2026 guidance. And the third thing to keep in mind is that if we didn't have the end-of-life announcement, that cost of maintaining the same set of customers would have increased exponentially over time. So when we look at this $30 million to $50 million headwind, that's really with a lower expected renewal rate for the non-SaaS business. But I think we've proven over time our ability to show better margins and cash flow, and we believe in our ability to continue to do that going forward. So when we think about the 2027 target, we really completed the transition two years ahead of schedule. But as we sit here today, we see a path to achieving the 2027 targets laid out in the Investor Day. So we feel confident with that.
Operator
Our next question is from Charles Eyal with PD Cowan.
Good afternoon, Yaki and Gaia. Thanks for the new disclosures. Yaki, I know you might have touched on that earlier, but I want to go back to that topic du jour in recent weeks, AI eating software. maybe not so much in the security category but definitely we're seeing a guilt bias of cyber related names in recent days suffice to look at today's performance can you offer us and investors your viewpoint as to whether AI is augmenting security or whether there's room for concerns based on potential market disruption and maybe also just a word about your current relations with Microsoft over the past quarter? Thank you.
Yeah, I think that in terms of the market itself, and primarily our market, as I said before, AI is as good and as risky as the data that it can access. And you're going to see velocity that we have never seen before. And also for bed actors, the ability just to get in, to do everything that's related to the initial fraud to get identity session tokens and so forth is going to grow the ability to be very sophisticated advanced consistent threats that don't need to you know to call home can talk with local llms and agents talking to agents and also the just the human state i think that definitely ai has tremendous impact on development cycles but we believe that still complicated architecture and deep tech, we need a lot, a lot of expertise, and this is what we have, and believe that even in this environment, we have a very strong moat, and we also believe that in order for organization to adapt AI, they need to make sure that they understand what the data it can access and if it's behaved correctly, this is the core competency of Voronis, and you need to do it in a tremendous scale. And the second thing, Shaul, that it needs to do, and this related to the ALTO acquisition, is you need to understand the actual agents of stemming from which tool, the intent of what they plan to do, and also the pipelines, what data they are going to access. So, in terms of AI, Altru starts from the beginning to make sure, okay, this is the tool, this is the intent, and the pipeline, then massive force multiplier with Varonis, what is the identity and the data that they can access, and also then back from Altru, how agents talk to each other. So, you know, maybe an agent can ask another agent that has the permission to do something on easy app and this is a big issue regarding Microsoft you know we have just a lot of synergy with them and you know we're building a pipeline together and feel comfortable about about the partnership so we feel comfortable about the partnership but the one thing that we are very excited about is just where our well the platform is if you look at the year ago you know starting from the attacks of starting with interceptor with slash next taking the database activity market with the classification the user behavior analytics we have a lot of success on the cloud data stores and these data stores have tremendous scale and you know and veronis is uh doing the veronis platform extremely well there and now everything that we are doing to the agentic ai and we combine it with our core strength so we are very excited where the platform is and the value that it can provide in the marketplace.
Operator
Our next question is from Metta Marshall with Morgan Stanley.
Great, thanks. Maybe building on that last answer that you gave, just as you guys look at products that you can now with more focus on kind of the core SaaS business, whether it's MDR or identity protection or database activity monitoring or you know the acquisition that you just announced like what do you see as the biggest driver of upsells over the next year thanks I think that all of them I think that all of them and
it's also you know we created this data security market you know it was very natural expansion to go to other places so you know the database activity monitoring is a big market with just incumbents that we can replace. Everything that related to social engineering has been business email compromised. This is a type of product that every organization needs and where attacks are starting today. And we believe that in terms of multi-modality, the problem starting with trusted sources and we have the solution for that. and every organization in this age trying to use AI in order to survive in stride. And with all two together with what we have is a big force multiplier. So we're really excited about everything, and we're also excited about everything is integrated with everything else.
Operator
Our next question is from Roger Boyd.
Roger Boyd
Analyst — Needham & Company (on behalf of Alex Henderson)
Oh, great. Thanks for the question. Guy, I know this is not the focus point going forward, but I wonder if you could just unpack the rebound you saw in 4Q conversion rates. And as you look forward, I think you said $105 million of remaining on-premise software with the expectation that $50 to $75 million of that converts with the zero uplift. When I back out Fed and SLED, my gut reaction is that's a pretty optimistic view on conversions going forward. So maybe just talk about kind of your confidence over the remaining commercial customer base there. And in terms of timing, just any sense of how quickly you can get in front of this or if you expect it to be maybe more back half-weighted.
So let's start with the fact that we converted in Q4 approximately $65 million. That's a really large number. You can see that in comparison to any of the other quarters. It's 50% higher than Q2. It's close to 60% higher than Q3. I think part of it was absolutely driven by the fact that we had the end-of-life announcement. That generated a sense of urgency with our customers and actually helped us get customers to convert. In terms of 2026, we put a bear case and an optimistic case, and those are the two ranges. I would say that in terms of guidance, the 50 to 75 is not expected to – our expectation is to be within that range. Our base case is kind of that midpoint. We do expect some of the customers from the federal and state government to convert. So it's not like we're writing off every single customer. But I would say that the focus from kind of a perspective of a vertical that would convert at lower rates, it is that federal business, but it's not an expectation that none of them will convert. So we feel very good with that 50 to 75 range. And as you can see, that range is wide because there are a lot of uncertainties, but we do feel confident with that range itself. so our base case scenario is that midpoint and I think we can do a really good job of getting those customers over keep in mind we got questions about the 180 million dollars of non SAS ARR at the end of Q3 and so many of the investors wanted to get a number and wanted to get a range and many of the investors that we talked to had an expectation that we won't get any which we thought wasn't reasonable either so I think when you look at the actual performance of Q4, the fact that we were able to convert such a large portion had to do with the end-of-life announcement and the urgency that that generated within our customer base, and the expectation for 2026 is within those ranges of 50 to 75.
It's also critical to understand that in most other companies that they are doing this SaaS transition, there is not a big discrepancy in features between the on-prem and the cloud for us it's something that is completely different in our cloud moving extremely fast and we integrate the new acquisitions there and these customers as I said federal customers and some just the local government customers and some customers with hesitation and don't want to go to staff I'll just say it's a huge huge difference and then when you have this growth business that is strong and profitable. And as Guy said, you know, we believe that we can get to the 2027 goals with these customers that will not convert to the 2027 goals that we outlined in the investor day. It's very important to understand that it's just something that is completely different. And not only that, with the way that we move and release features and the SaaS platform works, the discrepancy is growing and growing, and what will happen is that you will have a small cohort of customers that will take just a lot of operational resources to do something that is just not relevant. So this is what you see from us. We are now 86% there, and we just want to be 100% there and make sure that we have these SaaS platforms with high-quality SaaS matrices, and this is where we invest, and this is how we move forward. And we just want to make sure that, you know, the last leg of conversion, anybody that we can convert will convert and fight for it, but folks will not go to the class. We need to end the class and part ways with them.
Operator
Our next question is from Fatima Bulani with Citi.
Oh, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. Guy, I wanted to just zero in on the OPEX and free cash flow expectations. You've been very clear about a number of different factors that is impacting that trajectory. But I was hoping you could sort of recrystallize some of what you shared with respect to the end-of-life headwind, you know, the ARR contribution, compression as it relates to some of the non-renewal assumptions, as well as maybe some organic investments that you are making in growing your sales capacity and then also in the context of the all-through acquisition. So, hoping you can stack rank the level of impact from an operating expense and free cash flow headwind perspective between the organic inputs and inorganic inputs, especially kind of given the number of acquisitions that you're absorbing into the cost base. Thank you.
Absolutely. I'll start by the fact that when you look at the free cash flow progression, I think we've done a good job of increasing kind of that free cash flow number over the last couple of years. And when you look at the ARR contribution margin, we've actually increased it to levels that are just below the 2027 model that we laid out in our 2023 investor day. So I think from a profitability perspective, we have proven to investors that we have the path and we know how to improve and increase the top line growth with bringing some of it to the bottom line. When you look at the 2026 numbers, and especially when you look at some of the lower renewal rates for the non-SaaS business that have been below our historical levels, obviously when you think about renewals, they go directly to the bottom line. That's your pure profitability component, and they are way more profitable than the acquisition of new customers that have a higher cost. So when you think about kind of the non-SaaS ARR that is not going to renew, that obviously has that headwind, and we talked about the $30 to $50 million of headwind from that end-of-life announcement. But I think what's important to note is that if we didn't call that end of life, the impact would have been much higher. So if I have to break down kind of that headwind, I would say that for the most part, it relates to the lower renewal rate for that non-SaaS business. Obviously, the acquisitions have a cost. And when you think about the guidance, we didn't bake in any upside from those acquisitions. We saw very good momentum in Q4 with Interceptor, but we need to see how that progresses from 2026. So I think there's upside there for us. And the acquisition that we announced today, we feel good about our ability to capitalize on that as well. So from an expense perspective, we baked in those expenses as part of that guidance, obviously. We didn't fully bake in any real upside for 2026, and we do believe that we can get there. So if you had to break down that headwind, I would say that for the most part, it comes from the renewals, but obviously some of it is from the acquisitions themselves.
Operator
Our next question is from Mike Sikos with Needham.
Great. Thanks for taking the questions here, guys. And just, Guy, to be perfectly clear on the M&A assumption, so you're not assuming any revenue or AOR contribution from Cyrell or SlashNext, even though both those products launched last year? And then I guess the follow-up, given some of the changes that were announced following Q3 with the 5% headcount reduction and the downsized federal team, can you just help us think about your go-to-market organization today? What is typical tenure of your sales rep? Have there been any changes to incentives as we enter the new year?
Absolutely. So, yeah, when you think about kind of the assumptions that we had for guidance for 2026, we didn't bake in any real top-line contribution from any of the acquisitions. That doesn't mean that we don't think we can generate activity and top-line growth from them. But our starting point assumed a real modest contribution from them and nothing major. But we do feel that there's a path there and we're seeing good momentum in conversation with customers. Keep in mind, the Interceptor acquisition only closed in September. So it's a really short runway when we sit here today for our company that didn't have any material ARR. but we definitely see significant opportunity going forward. In terms of kind of the REV profile, I think that one of the things that is interesting going into 2026 is that with those acquisitions, we actually do have an earmarked budget that we can go and replace, which does change and simplify some of the go-to market for the sale of those interceptor and the spiral acquisition. And it's definitely something that we need to see how that progresses, but we feel very good with that path. And when you think about the comp plan for 2026, and I want to touch on the 2025 comp plan, I know many of the investors asked us a lot about it throughout the year, but in 2025, reps had a lot of ways to make money. They could sell to new customers, they could sell to existing customers, and they could make money from the conversion. In 2026, they cannot retire a quota on the conversions themselves. So their way to make money is by selling to new customers and by selling to existing customers. And I want to put another caveat in. They can make money by selling to both, but they have absolutely no way of making big money if they don't sell to new customers. So there is a threshold from a new customer perspective for them to sell, and we believe that as we have gone through the non-SaaS ARR and got to 86% and can go back to focusing on new customers and existing customer sales and don't need to have the refs cannibalize their time by focusing on the conversion, that actually opens up their ability to increase their productivity levels. And that's the way the comp plan was structured with no ability for them to make money towards their quarter retirement on the conversion side.
Operator
Now, our next question is from Rudy Kessinger with DA Davidson.
Hey, great. Thanks for sneaking in here. So, Guy, actually, again, as everybody in this call said, appreciate the new disclosure I actually want to dig into the SaaS net new ARR guidance, excluding the conversions, midpoint of about $121.5 million. And certainly hear your comments about, you know, reps were really bogged down and tied up with conversions last year, and yet you still did about $110 million of net new SaaS ARR excluding those conversions. And so if I consider the reps being much more freed up to really focus on SaaS expansion and new logos this year, The $121.5 million actually to me seems pretty conservative and or lower than it should be if I assume you maintain at least 110% net retention rate. So could you just maybe take it a step further? Like what are the assumptions in that $121 million figure around new logo contribution, net retention rate, et cetera, and just how conservative are those assumptions?
So you're absolutely right. we are guiding in a conservative way as a starting point for the year and and you're absolutely right that if you look at the net new SAS ARR excluding conversions being at a hundred and nine point five but also accounting for approximately a hundred and ninety million dollars of conversion ARR when you don't have that component the conversion side then you can go and sell to new customers and existing customers in a better way so I agree with with your statements and I think that we fully understand what we need to do in order to execute and grow this business in the way that we believe we can grow the business sitting here today we feel very comfortable with the guidance that we provided and know what we need to do in order to execute and improve it throughout the year but the assumptions from an NRR perspective is that we we actually can do better there's a lot for us to sell going back to the base and we think that we're selling to new customers freeing that time that was cannibal our reps they can actually go to to many more new customers and sell to them as well so I agree with your statement and and and that that is our
starting point for for 2026 if you if you look at our offering today versus just a year ago we you know doubled the the platform in terms of value the focus needs to be to not on the conversions to create value and make sure that our cost the data of our customer is protected in an automated way this is our mission and this is what we are going to do our next question is from joseph
Hey, guys, really appreciate the question, and thanks for all the extra disclosures. Guy, can you just help me understand a little bit more the, you know, end-of-life headwind to free cash flow? I mean, you know, billings and ARR were really strong in 4Q. You're still guiding for ARR to grow in calendar 26, but I'd imagine billings and bookings are growing. So just is there something different with the cash collections? And then just any more that you can kind of quantify on, you know, what the benefit for not having to support on-premise can be? Is that a few points to margin? And is that a 26 story or 27?
So, Joe, I actually think that the free cash flow headwind is a much simpler story than anything else, honestly. When you think, if you took the renewal rate, the historical renewal rate of the business and baked it into the non-SAS ARR, that is the delta. That is the headwind. And we're obviously not getting the same, or at least the assumption is that we won't be getting the non-SAS ARR at the same renewal rate historical level, A, because we didn't see that in Q3. And, B, although Q4 renewal rates for the non-SaaS business were better than Q3, they were still below historical level. And I think the end-of-life actually helped us get a lot of the customers converted. And the expectation is that the end-of-life announcement will actually help us get a lot of our customers converted in 2026. But as you can see, that $50 to $75 million range from approximately $105 million denominator is not over 90% renovate. And I think it's a much simpler math, and I know we're getting a lot of questions on it, but to me, it's a pretty straightforward calculation in terms of the headwind itself. So, when I look at the actual kind of profitability profile for us as an organization, nothing really has changed. We're not changing kind of the philosophy of investment. We're not trying to invest more in order to generate a lower top-line growth rate. If you look at the trajectory from an ARR contribution margin perspective and you bake in the additional kind of loss on the headwind from the non-SaaS component, you would see that we would continue to grow in the same historical levels. But the announcement of the end of life, and I said this before, and I probably want to re-emphasize this, the announcement of the end of life actually helped us in three ways. One is generating that sense of urgency for customers to convert. The second one, and I think this is actually important to note, if we would have kept the on-prem subscription going forward and we would have had a renewal rate that is historically lower than our historical level, then the growth rate would have been masked, the total growth rate would have been masked by that component versus a really strong SaaS business. And that's why we spent so much time on breaking out the SaaS excluding conversions and putting the conversions as a separate bucket, because that allows investors and Alice to actually see the two companies that Varonis is right now, the forward-looking and the rearview mirror, which is that conversion component. And yes, we believe that announcing that end of life, going to 2027 and beyond, can actually generate benefits on the bottom line on savings, and that's why we feel confident with our 2027
Operator
model. Our next question is from Junaid Siddiqui with Truist. Great, thank you for taking my
question. Guy, you've talked about MDDR having software like gross margins over time. As it becomes a material contributor to your business, how do you envision gross margins? Do you anticipate with any changes from the range in that high 70s, low 80s?
No, we don't expect any material change there. The MDDR has been very well received by both our customers and our sales force and has been adopted very well. Keep in mind, we only introduced it in 2024, and it's been adopted in a very positive way. We still believe that every single customer should have MDDR. It's going to take time, but we're definitely feeling very good about the path that we have taken so far and what is lying ahead with MDDR as well.
But also, it's very important to understand that the MDDR is really AI-based offering. It's just a genetic offering, and most of the alerts are being reviewed and closed by the AI agents, the robots. And this is the beauty of it.
Operator
Thank you. There are no more questions at this time. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Tim Purse for any closing remarks.
Thanks, everybody, for the interest in Varonis. We look forward to meeting with you all later this quarter.
Operator
This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you again for your participation.