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WEC · Wec Energy Group, Inc.

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$110.52 +0.24 (+0.22%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$36.01B
Shares
325.85M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Wec Energy Group, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Wec Energy Group, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 5, 2026 Audio replay Verified speakers
Feb 5, 2026 45:24 62 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
45:24
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

WEC Energy Group reported full-year 2025 adjusted EPS of $5.27 (up $0.39 from 2024), raised its five-year capital plan to $37.5 billion to serve ~3.9 GW of new data center and large-customer demand, and reaffirmed a 7–8% long-term EPS growth target for 2026–2030.

Data center demand growth 46 Capital plan and EPS growth 15 Affordability and customer rate impact 12 Illinois regulatory settlement 10 Generation mix and renewables 8 2026 earnings guidance 7

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +68 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “we delivered another year of solid results in virtually every meaningful measure”
  • “Overall, we have a lot of confidence in our ability to execute on our capital plan and continue our growth trajectory.”
  • “I do think there's upside here.”
  • “We are projecting long-term earnings per share growth of 7% to 8% a year on a compound annual basis between 2026 and 2030.”

Forward guidance

4 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

5 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $2.54B +11.1% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $316.80M -30.1% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Reported 2025 adjusted EPS of $5.27, up $0.39 vs. 2024.
  • Raised the five-year capital plan to $37.5 billion to support projected 7–8% long-term EPS growth from 2026–2030.
  • Added 500 MW of Microsoft demand (~$1 billion in incremental capex), bringing I-94 Corridor forecast to 2.6 GW, with 1.3 GW of additional Vantage demand north of Milwaukee in the five-year plan (potential 3.5 GW).
  • Broke ground on Oak Creek 1,100 MW combustion turbine project, a two-Bcf LNG facility, and the seven-unit Paris generation site in Q4; plans $7.4 billion in gas/LNG investment and $12.6 billion in renewables (6,500 MW) over 2026–2030.
  • Filed forward-looking 2027/2028 Wisconsin rate reviews in April, with a commission order on the Very Large Customer tariff expected in early May for June service.
  • Point Beach contract expiring around $120/MWh; CEO indicated new-build economics could create upside vs. recontracting.

Risks & pressure points

  • 2025 results include a $150 million Illinois reserve charge ($0.34/sh) tied to a proposed settlement covering ~$2.3 billion in open QIP and uncollectible rider dockets; GAAP EPS guidance for 2025 was cut to $4.83–$4.93, while adjusted guidance of $5.17–$5.27 was reaffirmed.
  • Proposed Illinois settlement includes a $130 million prospective rate-base reduction and $125 million in customer credits over three years, pending ICC approval.
  • Microsoft is still seeking additional land to replace the canceled Caledonia project.
  • CFO said 2026 residential customer use forecast reflects a slight reduction in use per customer.
  • Approximately $75 million of the Illinois settlement flows through revenues (per CFO) rather than as a discrete charge, reflecting accounting rather than cash settlement timing.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“We hit the top end of the 2025 earnings guidance on an adjusted basis. We reached an agreement with the Illinois attorney general on the terms of a proposed settlement that would allow us to put 12 historical reconciliation dockets behind us so we can now focus on the future. Economic growth is driving another 500 megawatts of forecasted demand for a total of 3.9 gigawatt increase in our five-year plan. This growth is adding $1 billion to our five-year capital plan, which is now at $37.5 billion.” Scott Lauber, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Jan 5, 2026.

Metric Guided
Earnings guidance on a GAAP basis
2025
$4.83 – $4.93
Earnings guidance on an adjusted basis (non-GAAP)
2025
$5.17 – $5.27
EPS guidance
2026
$5.51 – $5.61

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Long-term earnings per share growth
between 2026 and 2030
7% – 8%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.95
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