AFG · American Financial Group Inc
$143.29
-2.30 (-1.58%)
At close · Aug 19
Market Cap
$12.07B
Shares
82.92M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$143.29
Open$145.83
Day$142.81–146.21
52W close$124.18–148.71
Avg vol 30d386K
Short int1.7M · 2.1% float · 4.6d
Short vol45%
Last earningsAug 5, 2026
DataJan 2020–Aug 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 6
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 4, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 11 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed Aug 6, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Ask ALVIS about this →Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Buy
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Neutral
Momentum
Strong
Sentiment
Bullish
Fundamentals
Weak
Quant / Vol
Very Low
Market backdrop
VIX 14.9 · calm
Equity put/call 0.52
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
+7%
above
Price vs 50-day avg
+2%
above
RSI (14)
50
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
78%
mid-range
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
+2%
trailing
6-month return
+7%
trailing
YTD return
+5%
this year
Relative strength
−4%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $141 › 200d $135 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+4% holders QoQ · +85 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$2.3M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Falling
2.07% of float · ▼ -8.4% MoM · 4.6 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
515 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
49
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
−2%
Y/Y
EPS growth
−5%
Y/Y
Valuation
P/E 12.7
in line
Balance sheet
$93.0M
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
19%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−17%
past year
ATR
2.0%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026
longer term
Annual returns
at least 10%
the third quarter of 2026
Pretax core operating gain
Non-GAAP
Initiated
$125M
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the Earnings Call filed Dec 31, 2024
Net written premiums growth
· 2025
5%
Combined ratio
· 2025
92.5%
Reinvestment rate
· 2025
5.75%
Return on alternative investments
· 2025
8%
Core net operating earnings per share
· 2025
$10.50
Core operating return on equity, excluding AOCI
· 2025
18%
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
+7%
Bullish
Price vs 50-day avg
+2%
Bullish
RSI (14)
50
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
78%
Neutral
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 3 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $141 › 200d $135 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+4% holders QoQ · +85 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$2.3M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Falling
2.07% of float · ▼ -8.4% MoM · 4.6 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
515 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $124
Now $143 · 78%
Range high $149
vs 200-day avg +7%
vs 50-day avg +2%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFG's closing common share price | $139.94 | 6/30/26 | — |
| Annualized Return - AFG Consolidated | 3.3% | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Annualized Return - Property & Casualty | 3.3% | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Annualized return on alternative investments | 7.1% | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Annualized return on equity | 18% | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Book value per share | $58.14 | 6/30/26 | — |
| Book value per share, excluding AOCI non-GAAP | $59.85 | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
|
|
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| Catastrophe losses | 1.8 | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Combined Ratio | 85.6% | Q2 2026 | — |
| Combined Ratio – P&C Segment | 91% | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Common shares outstanding | 82.92M | 6/30/26 | — |
| Core net operating earnings non-GAAP | $440M | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Core net operating earnings per share non-GAAP | $5.29 | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
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| Core operating ROE non-GAAP | 19.2% | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Favorable prior year reserve development | 3.4 | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Growth in book value per share excluding AOCI plus dividends | 8.1% | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
|
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| Growth in book value per share plus dividends | 6.3% | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
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| Growth in net written premiums | 6% | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Market capitalization | $11.6B | 6/30/26 | — |
| Pretax P&C operating income | $350M | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Price / Book value per share, excluding AOCI | 2.34 | 6/30/26 | — |
| Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | -$125M | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Ratio of debt to total capital, excluding AOCI: Excluding subordinated debt | 17.2% | 6/30/26 | — |
| Ratio of debt to total capital, excluding AOCI: Including subordinated debt | 27.1% | 6/30/26 | — |
| Specialty Casualty combined ratio | 95.1% | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Specialty Combined Ratio | 90.9% | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
|
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| Specialty Financial combined ratio | 82.8% | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Tangible, excluding AOCI | $53.76 | 6/30/26 | — |
| Total current accident year catastrophe losses | $66M | Six Months Ended 6/30/26 | — |
| Underwriting profit | $144M | Second quarter 2026 | — |
| Net written premiums | $7.11B | Full Year 2025 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Insurance - Property & Casualty — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AFG
this stock
American Financial Group Inc
|
$12.07B | +4.8% | -1.8% | 12.7 | 2.1% |
|
CB
Chubb Ltd
|
$133.92B | +9.2% | +6.5% | 12.2 | 1.1% |
|
PGR
Progressive Corp/Oh/
|
$120.36B | -4.6% | +16.3% | 10.4 | 1.4% |
|
TKOMY
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
|
$87.29B | +24.3% | — | — | 0.0% |
|
TRV
Travelers Companies, Inc.
|
$76.74B | +24.9% | +5.2% | 9.9 | 3.6% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFG | -1.0% | +2.1% | +7.5% | +1.1% | +4.8% |
| SPY | -0.4% | +2.9% | +11.6% | +3.0% | +12.8% |
| vs SPY | -0.6% | -0.9% | -4.1% | -1.8% | -7.9% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.88
/ share · ex Jul 15, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$7.02
/ share · 6 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
4.90%
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.
Key facts
CIK
1042046
CUSIP
025932104
13F (30d)
482 filings
455 filers
Visit website
Investor relations