Skip to main content
AXON $612.83 -0.45%
AXON logo

AXON · Axon Enterprise, Inc.

Track AXON — free
$612.83 -2.76 (-0.45%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$49.78B
Shares
81.24M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Axon Enterprise, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Axon Enterprise, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 24, 2026 Audio replay Verified speakers
Feb 24, 2026 1:42:32 88 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
1:42:32
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Axon delivered a record Q4 with revenue up 39% YoY to $797 million and full-year revenue up 33% to $2.8 billion, supported by $7.4 billion in annual bookings (+46% YoY), while guiding 2026 revenue growth of 27%-30% and introducing new 2028 targets of ~$6 billion in revenue and 28% Adjusted EBITDA margin.

Bookings Growth and Acceleration 42 2028 Financial Targets and Guidance 32 AI Products and AI Era Plan 25 Corrections Vertical 22 Enterprise and Federal Markets 22 International Expansion 19

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +88 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 full year bookings surpassed $7 billion and were up more than 40% from last year. That's on the back of Q4 bookings up more than 50%, representing a major acceleration relative to two straight years of bookings growth in the high 20% range.”
  • “We are positioned to be a winner in this AI-driven environment, and we intend to lap the field.”
  • “This is a defensible, rapidly expanding business built on a foundation of customer trust and we can't wait to put up another record year.”
  • “I have never been more excited to kick off a new campaign. We have opportunity in front of us everywhere.”

Forward guidance

12 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

Switch sources without leaving this page or losing your listening position.

Revenue · derived Q4 $796.72M +38.5% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 57.9% -2.2 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $2.75M -98% YoY

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year bookings surpassed $7 billion, up more than 40% (specifically 46%), with Q4 bookings up more than 50%
  • Q4 revenue grew 39% YoY to $797 million; eighth consecutive quarter and fourth consecutive year above 30% growth
  • Annual recurring revenue surpassed $1.3 billion, up 35% YoY; total future contracted bookings reached $14.4 billion, up 43% YoY
  • New product bookings (including AI and Fusus) exceeded $1 billion for the year, nearly triple 2024; AI Era plan alone contributed ~$750 million in bookings
  • Net revenue retention reached 125% in the quarter; Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $206 million and Adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.5% full year
  • New 2028 targets announced: approximately $6 billion in annual revenue and 28% Adjusted EBITDA margin; Rule of 40 above 55

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 GAAP net income was only $3 million despite 39% revenue growth, indicating significant non-cash/GAAP expenses
  • International business outside the Commonwealth was questioned as an inflection point but management declined to confirm it until future execution is proven
  • Carbyne acquisition closed only in February 2026 (zero Q4 impact) and Prepared's impact was described as immaterial, contributing nothing to the quarter's results
  • Full-year net income margin was just 4.5%, well below the 25.5% Adjusted EBITDA margin, highlighting heavy reported earnings drag
  • Forward guidance implies deceleration: 2026 revenue growth of 27%-30% is below the 33% full-year 2025 result
  • Industry-wide scrutiny on data privacy and license plate readers is flagged as an ongoing risk to the ALPR/Vehicle Intelligence business

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“2025 full year bookings surpassed $7 billion and were up more than 40% from last year. That's on the back of Q4 bookings up more than 50%, representing a major acceleration relative to two straight years of bookings growth in the high 20% range. To me, this is the beginning of a trend.” Speaker 2, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 24, 2026.

Metric Guided
Revenue growth of 27% to 30% year over year
Full Year 2026
27% – 30%
Adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.5%
Full Year 2026
25.5%
Stock-based compensation expense of $590 million to $620 million
Full Year 2026
$590M – $620M
Capital expenditures in the range of $185 million to $215 millio
Full Year 2026
$185M – $215M
Achieve $6 billion in annual revenue
Full Year 2028
$6B
Deliver Adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 28%
Full Year 2028
28%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow conversion of 60% of Adjusted EBITDA
Full Year 2028
60%
Limit annual dilution from stock-based compensation to less than
Full Year 2028
up to 2.5%
Annual revenue
2028
$6B
Adjusted EBITDA margins
2028
28%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow conversion of Adjusted EBITDA
2028
60%
Annual dilution from stock-based compensation
2028
up to 2.5%
Full-screen source Call document