Peabody Energy Corp Q1 FY2022 Earnings Call

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Peabody Q1 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following today’s presentation instructions will be given for the question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, April 28, 2022. I would now like to turn the conference over to Alice Tharenos. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and thanks for joining Peabody’s earnings call for the first quarter of 2022. With me today are President and CEO, Jim Grech; and CFO, Mark Spurbeck. Within the earnings release, you’ll find our statement on forward-looking information as well as a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures. We encourage you to consider the risk factors referenced there, along with our public filings with the SEC. I’ll now turn the call over to Jim.

Thanks, Alice, and good morning, everyone. In the first quarter, we set the stage to realize strong results for the remainder of the year. Our operations performed well given the operational and logistical issues faced. And with strong market dynamics persisting for our products globally, we are poised to deliver a strong 2022. During the quarter, we overcame production and logistic challenges in Australia related to record rainfall and COVID-induced labor shortages and instituted a recovery plan to recapture volumes over the remainder of the year. While progressing efforts to increase volumes at our U.S. mines, we strengthened the balance sheet and mitigated financial risks. And we advanced several strategic initiatives with the launch of R3 Renewables, progression of our U.S. sales strategies and expansion plans for the seaborne platform. Our focus remains to advance actions to position the Company to be resilient in all market cycles by capturing expanded margins through production and sales strategies while remaining long-term cost competitive and reducing our debt levels. Before I expand on the quarter, I would like to thank our global employees for their continued focus on working safely and efficiently, particularly given distractions from weather, COVID, labor shortages and logistical challenges. Our success is a result of the dedication and efforts of our talented workforce. I’d like to specifically highlight the significant achievement of the Shoal Creek and Francisco prep plant teams, who both have now gone over four years without a reportable injury. Turning to the market. Across the globe, all coal price indices and demand in each of our market segments continues to be strong. The near-term outlook for all our operating segments continues to be favorable with strong market indicators, increased global demand and continued supply constraints. Seaborne coal market fundamentals remain robust with significant volatility in the markets driven by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The EU total ban on Russian coal imports has European buyers seeking to mitigate exposure to Russian coal imports and has caused an upswell on already elevated demand and pricing for supply from regions outside of Russia. Japan has now also announced the ban, albeit with an unclear timeline. And we anticipate this to further impact market dynamics of the already tight and turbulent seaborne market. Within the seaborne thermal market, demand and supply balance is stretched. Thermal coal supply was already pressured prior to the Russia-Ukraine conflict with Indonesian producers impacted by wet weather and a January government-imposed export ban on coal, and Australia’s producers impacted by heavy rains and COVID interruptions. Overall, we expect the global thermal coal prices to remain elevated and the market volatile as certain importers look to fuel demand of coal outside of Russian supply and limited incremental supply available in the near term. Within the seaborne metallurgical market, market indicators are robust with global steel production outside of China at decade-high levels and steel product margins remaining strong. Ongoing impact from COVID, wet weather and logistics constraints continues to suppress global met supply. Strong demand persists from buyers attempting to mitigate Russian exposure, especially for PCI products, given Russia accounts for about 35% of global traded volume. China’s unofficial ban on Australian coal remains in place and continues to redistribute traditional trade flows. Energy shortages in some markets present a risk to industrial activity but the underlying market fundamentals remain constructive with strong demand and pricing. In the United States, overall electricity demand increased more than 3% year-over-year, positively impacted by weather. In the first quarter, electricity generation from thermal coal declined year-over-year due to strong comparatives in February 2021 as well as record renewable generation. Coal share of electricity generation declined slightly to approximately 22%. Coal inventories have continued to decline since December 2021 with a reduction of approximately 5% or 5 million tons. Utility consumption of PRB coal rose approximately 1% compared to the prior year period. Combined, this increased PRB demand with increased demand for U.S. export coal due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict makes for a very tight U.S. market with the supply side being pushed even harder with its logistic challenges. Natural gas prices have hit highs above $7 per MMBtu, levels we have not seen since 2008, and are expected to remain high for the remainder of 2022 due to record demand for LNG exports, relatively moderate production levels and storage levels below the five-year average. With these dynamics, we’re seeing U.S. thermal coal demand remaining strong with recent increases in sales proposal requests and contracting for 2023 at prices above our 2022 averages. All these dynamics set a compelling stage for 2022 in terms of demand and pricing of our coal products. Now turning to the first quarter. As projected, our first quarter sales volumes were below ratable levels across the platform as we set the stage for stronger results as we progress through the remainder of the year. In our seaborne thermal segment, after severe rains in the fourth quarter, our mine sequencing reestablishment plans were hindered by further record rainfalls and COVID-related staffing shortages in the first quarter. Additionally, we started a scheduled longwall move at Wambo Underground. Against these production challenges, we drew down inventory to deliver sales in line with guidance and instituted a recovery plan to recapture full year projected volumes over the remainder of 2022. And with an eye to the future, we set our development efforts at Wambo Underground for three additional longwall panels that will extend the mine life until 2026. Our seaborne met segment performed as projected, with higher volumes anticipated as the year progresses. At Metropolitan, we commenced a longwall move, which is now completed. And at Shoal Creek, we continued to ramp up longwall production in the quarter, producing 270,000 tons while only selling 70,000 tons, building inventory that will be drawn down in the second quarter. And we expect to receive prices substantially in line with other prime high-vol A type coals. The CMJV saw higher costs and lower volumes as compared to prior quarters as a result of timing of mine sequencing, which has higher coal production in the second half of the year. We are on track with development of Moorvale South at our CMJV complex, with first coal anticipated midyear. Now, outside of our operating mines, our 50% ownership share of Middlemount continues to benefit from strong metallurgical market dynamics and productivity improvements, delivering 500,000 attributable tons in the first quarter. Our PRB sales volumes were reflective of rail performance and our investment to ramp up production for following quarters. And costs for both our PRB mines and other U.S. thermal mines increased as a result of higher fuel prices and one-time costs. In the PRB, as we work through logistics challenges to meet strong annual customer demand, we’ve been setting the stage to deliver higher volumes for the remainder of 2022 by continuing to remove overburden, completing equipment overhauls and recruiting and training an extended workforce. And in the Midwest, where we are not experiencing logistic challenges like the other basins, we are executing on the development of several projects at incremental volumes this year. Demand for this product remains strong, and we continue to place new business with both existing and new customers. We continue to explore sales strategies that position us to be the long-term producer of choice, providing our customers long-term supply security and capturing strong market prices. In the PRB, for 2023, we have approximately 59 million tons committed, while our other U.S. thermal segment is essentially committed for 2023. We have also expanded our value offering for our customers by strengthening our ESG commitment to better support the ESG ambitions of our stakeholders. We believe that investments and practices that support the net zero emissions targets can be value adding and complementary to being a coal producer of choice. Our commitment includes establishment of the emissions reduction targets for operations and taking action on a pipeline of projects targeted to meet emissions reduction goals by leveraging our existing assets and new technology. As an important step forward in supporting our ESG ambitions, this quarter, we launched R3 Renewables, a renewable energy joint venture formed to pursue the development of utility scale solar and battery storage on six tracts of previous coal mining land in Illinois and Indiana. These projects not only create value from the existing assets, but also allow us to better support our customers’ net zero emission ambitions. Our vision for the future is simple. We want to continue to strengthen our position as a coal producer of choice. We will do this by maintaining financial strength, delivering a diversity of products to support our customers’ needs, practicing operational excellence and championing ESG practices. This will allow us to be resilient in all cycles and to grow with our stakeholders. We are progressing this vision through multiple strategic initiatives. And our met platform, in addition to advancing development of Moorvale South to improve quality and extend life at the CMJV, we advanced project activity to potentially land to the south working with North Goonyella and developed 70 million tons of reserves. And in our seaborne thermal platform, we have begun development of three additional longwall panels to extend the life of the Wambo Underground until 2026. In the U.S., we continue to implement sales strategies and plans to capture short-term returns on incremental volumes and to give us flexibility in our mine plans to meet changing customer demand. Some examples of these activities are expanding into new areas at our Wild Boar complex in the Midwest and PRB refurbishments. And most importantly, we remain focused on the financial strength of the balance sheet. This quarter, we made additional debt repayment and completed a convertible notes offering.

Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. First quarter coal sales were over $1 billion, a 58% increase from the prior year, a result of substantially higher realized prices from each of our operating segments. Costs were impacted by higher sales-sensitive costs, broad inflationary pressures and investments in the U.S. thermal platform to meet full-year production volumes in response to strong customer demand. We recorded a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $120 million or $0.88 per share. This included a $301 million charge for unrealized mark-to-market losses from coal hedging activities and a $24 million loss on early debt extinguishment. Absent these items, net income would have been substantially higher than the prior year period. We reported adjusted EBITDA of $327 million, more than five times the $61 million reported in the prior year quarter. Turning now to segment results. The seaborne thermal segment generated EBITDA of $91 million, less than the fourth quarter due to lower volumes and higher costs, and the delivery of 264,000 metric tons of Wambo coal at $84 per ton under the hedge program and 215,000 metric tons priced in 2021 on average at $116. The segment sold 3.8 million tons in the first quarter, about 575,000 tons lower than full-year ratable production, as expected. Both production and cost per ton were impacted by record rainfall, COVID-related staffing shortages, higher overburden removal and the start of the longwall move at Wambo Underground. As part of the seaborne thermal segment, Wilpinjong shipped 3 million tons, including 1 million export tons. Costs increased to $28 per ton due to higher overburden removal costs and staffing shortages. Wilpinjong realized an average sales price of $50 per ton, higher than the prior quarter, despite lower export sales, generating an EBITDA margin of approximately 43%. Wilpinjong recorded $64 million of adjusted EBITDA for the quarter and had over $210 million of cash at March 31. The seaborne met segment generated EBITDA of $181 million, higher than the prior quarter as average realized prices of $258 per ton compared favorably to cost of $113 million, resulting in 56% EBITDA margins. The segment delivered expected volumes for the quarter of 1.2 million tons, about 500,000 tons less than full year ratable production due to the start of a longwall move at Metropolitan and mine sequencing at the CMJV. Costs per ton were up from the fourth quarter due to higher royalties, resulting from higher realized prices and the lower volumes. In the U.S., our mines delivered $58 million of EBITDA. The PRB mines shipped 20.6 million tons in the quarter. Costs per ton increased $1.81 compared to the fourth quarter with more than $1 of the increase related to one-time costs to achieve higher expected production levels for the remainder of the year. Higher fuel prices and other inflationary pressures also impacted costs during the quarter. The other U.S. thermal mines shipped 4.2 million tons while production increased 175,000 tons to $4.4 million. Costs increased due to higher fuel prices and one-time activities to enable higher production and certain rehabilitation costs at Twentymile. Higher realized prices in the first quarter increased segment EBITDA margins to 25%. Next, a quick update on financing items. We continue to demonstrate our commitment to strengthen the balance sheet. We retired an additional $42 million of senior secured debt in the quarter and utilized proceeds from the $320 million, 3.25% unsecured convertible notes offering to retire higher cost senior secured debt and extend maturity to 2028. As a result of the unprecedented upward volatility in Newcastle coal prices, we had $482 million of cash posted in support of our coal hedges at March 31. It is important to note, we expect to recover all of this cash as we deliver the underlying physical coal over the next 15 months. In light of volatile cash margin requirements, we completed the previously announced financing facility and drew $225 million, which was fully repaid in the quarter with proceeds from the sale of 10.1 million shares under the related ATM program. We also reduced exposure to additional margin requirements in the event of even higher prices by converting 750,000 hedge tons of fixed price sales. These transactions eliminated further margin requirements on the underlying tons and resulted in a return of approximately $50 million of exchange-related initial margin. Our remaining hedge exposure is 1.4 million metric tons with 900,000 of those tons projected to settle over the remainder of 2022. At March 31st, we had $848 million of cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash. Now, let’s turn to our 2022 outlook. With the first quarter investments and planned production levels in subsequent quarters, we are maintaining full year production and cost targets. In the seaborne thermal segment, costs per ton for the full year are anticipated to be at the higher end of the guidance range due to production challenges in the first quarter, continued inflationary pressures and increased royalties due to higher anticipated prices. Based on price volume and more than 5 million export tons exposed to currently much higher spot prices, including 2 million tons of Newcastle benchmark coal and 3 million tons of higher ash Wilpinjong coal, stronger margins are expected for the remainder of the year. For the second quarter, we expect production and cost impacts from Wilpinjong’s elevated overburden removal rate to continue as we reestablish mine sequencing and Wambo completes the longwall move. Second quarter seaborne thermal export sales are expected to increase to 2.2 million tons with 1.2 million tons priced at an average of $95 and 700,000 tons of higher ash product from Wilpinjong and 300,000 tons of Newcastle benchmark coal unpriced. Moving to the seaborne met segment. Second quarter volumes are anticipated to increase to 1.6 million tons as Shoal Creek continues to ramp up. Cost per ton for the quarter are expected to be higher than the first quarter due to a higher mix of Shoal Creek coal, longwall restart costs at Metropolitan and mine sequencing at Coppabella. Although we have considered impacts to our full year guidance, continued uncertainty regarding COVID staffing shortages and supply chain disruption exist and may negatively impact our seaborne operations beyond the guidance provided today. In the PRB, production is anticipated to ramp up through the third quarter to meet higher contracted customer demand. Full year costs for the U.S. platform are anticipated to be at the higher end of guidance due to widespread inflationary pressures. In the second quarter, PRB sales are expected to be higher than the first quarter, assuming rail performance does not further diminish. Other U.S. thermal volumes are expected to increase to 5 million tons. Costs for both segments are expected to be lower in the first quarter, as a result of higher volumes and lower one-time investment costs. Lastly, we will maintain our disciplined approach to capital allocation, further reducing debt. In summary, first quarter results reflect our investments in building a platform for improved results for the rest of the year. This was achieved despite the challenges we face. And we are on track to deliver full year volumes with higher margins and increasingly strong cash flows across all segments for the remainder of the year. I’d now like to turn the call over to questions.

Thank you. Mr. David Gagliano with BMO Capital Markets, please go ahead with your question.

Thank you for taking my questions. There's a lot happening within the company regarding the Wambo hedges and the expected decrease in PRB costs. We're still working through things on our end. So, I’ll get straight to the cash flow question. Cash from operations was a negative $273 million this quarter. Could you provide some insight into the main factors contributing to this significant negative figure? I believe there were some substantial one-time cash outflows. That's my first question.

Good morning, David. It’s Mark. Yes, negative operating cash flow. That is largely due to unrealized mark-to-market on the Wambo coal hedges that you referenced. It was $352 million for the quarter in additional margin that’s been posted. There are also working capital charges related to building inventory, and the timing of accounts payable, which is about $110 million included in that.

Okay. Sorry, it was $352 million of an actual cash outflow, which is the previously disclosed cash outflow from the hedges. Is that correct? And then, there was $110 million working capital build as well on top of that?

That is correct.

Okay. All right. That’s helpful. And then, just along those lines, I know you’ve been asked this question, not just by me but by me and others. You mentioned capital allocation focus is debt reduction. Setting aside the first quarter for a second here, can you give us a sense as to additional plans regarding shareholder returns, addressing surety bond covenants and updated thoughts there?

Yes. Dave, a couple of things. We’ve been very transparent that we want to reduce the level of debt the Company has outstanding. We are very pleased with the 3.25% convertible note that we completed in the quarter. And I would look at further debt reduction going down to eliminate all the other senior secured debt and just leaving that convertible debt outstanding. So, that’s job number one and getting that done. Once we have senior secured debt repaid, we’ll look to address the $325 million letter of credit facility, which backstops the surety bonds, as you mentioned. So, we’re going to continue to look at funding the surety obligations for future reclamation. And once we are comfortable with that, certainly, everything we do is in the interest of shareholder value. We would be looking at opportunities to invest in organic opportunities. North Goonyella, that Jim mentioned, is one prime example of that. Also, return of capital to shareholders would be on the table. All things considered, we need to take care of the senior secured debt, which would prohibit those shareholder returns first.

Okay. That’s helpful. And then, in terms of the 2023 PRB commitments, there’s a bullet, I think, in the press release, it says increased 2023 PRB committed sales to 59 million tons. Can you give us more information on just an average price for that 59 million tons that’s committed for 2023?

Yes. Hi Dave, this is Jim Grech. The 59 million tons for next year is higher than our usual pace for coal sales at this time. We currently have active requests for proposals for additional sales in 2023 and 2024. We're noticing that customers are open to multi-year contracts, which is a change from what we have experienced before, contributing to our strong sold position at this time of year. While I can't disclose specific pricing right now, I can say that our average pricing to date is above our average PRB pricing for this year. I hope that provides some guidance on our direction. As you know, the PRB market is complex due to different coal qualities. On average, our portfolio has a Btu of about 86.70. I just wanted to highlight that we are seeing prices higher than our averages for this year.

Okay. That’s actually helpful. Thank you. And then just on the volumes for the PRB next year, target volume this year, 88 million to 95 million. What’s the early read on volume growth for 2023 in PRB for Peabody, given quite a dynamic U.S. thermal coal market all of a sudden?

Well, I would say, there are two factors into that, Dave. One is the demand there, and the demand is very strong for us this year and next year. The second piece of that is the ability for all PRB producers to deliver the coal with the rail challenges that we have and continue to have. I feel good about both of those areas over the long run of this year, later this year. The railroad is staffing up. It’s going to take time for them to get the crews in and get them trained, but that capacity will be there later in the year, which should lead us to have the opportunity to ship as much coal or more this year, and the demand is there for next year. So, we’re not giving guidance on ranges for next year. But if things keep lining up as they are, strong demand, our operations with the first quarter investment that we’ve done are in good position to produce and the railroad coming on stronger as the year goes on, I think next year could be a very good year for tonnage for us in the PRB.

Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. Sorry, just one last quick question. I wanted to clarify something that might be causing confusion about the cash outflow related to the unrealized hedge you mentioned earlier. Can you confirm that this will all come back to you once the volume is produced?

Yes, that's correct. Currently, we have 1.4 million tons outstanding. In relation to the Wambo hedges, which are averaging $84 per metric ton, consider that we need to post margin for any amount exceeding that $84, which translates to $1 for each ton above that price. It's crucial that we maintain the trade book open and meet these margin requirements. If we were to close it, we would realize those losses, which we intend to avoid. When we deliver that coal, it will be sold at spot prices, which will cover the difference between the $84 and what we posted in March.

And we have Lucas Pipes with B. Riley Securities with our next question.

Hey. Good morning, everyone. I want to talk a little bit about Q2. So, on the seaborne thermal coal side, you expect sales of 2.2 million tons. You have 1.2 million booked at $95, so that leaves at least 1 million tons. And I think you said that 700,000 tons, Wilpinjong, and 300,000 tons Newcastle. And the Wilpinjong price is not the most transparent for investors to observe, given that’s the API 5, I believe. So, could you maybe point as to a reasonable range for Wilpinjong prices in today’s market, so we have a good outlook there on Q2 realizations? Thank you.

Good morning, Lucas. Yes. So, on the seaborne thermal, you’re right, for export tons, there’s 2.2 million tons for the quarter. 1.2 million of that is priced at $95, as you said, with the 1 million tons that are unpriced, 700,000 relates to the high ash Wilpinjong product. That price is at a discount to API 5. API 5 today is roughly $190 a ton. You need to take about a 10% to 20% discount off of that to get to the Wilpinjong product. And if it’s higher ash, it could be even a little bit higher discount to that. And then, there are 300,000 tons of Newcastle, essentially benchmark product that should price in line with the forward curve.

Got it. And all the prices you mentioned are metric tons. So, for your 1 million tons of short tons, you do the metric short ton conversion as well?

Exactly.

That’s helpful. Got it. And, would you sell on the prompt month for the Newcastle tons or prompt quarter? What’s a good benchmark there to look at?

Probably a lot of those tons will be on the JRP, or Japanese reference price for those 300,000 tons. That has not yet been settled for this year. As a reference point, it was only $110 last year, but it should be in line with kind of a forward view for the year off of that $325 current price.

Okay. That’s helpful. Very helpful. Thank you. I appreciate that. And a similar question for met coal. So you expect 1.6 million tons, you have 200,000 tons hedged at $418. What’s a realistic composition for the sales price of that open 1.4 million tons of met?

At Wambo, we focus on approximately 85% premium hard coking coal. We are looking at a met platform with around an 85% discount to premium hard coking coal.

Sorry. You mentioned that was 85% hard coking coal? And is the pricing also at 85% of the benchmark?

Now, to be clear, on a portfolio level for met coal, we achieved 85% of the premium hard coking coal benchmark price. There are various different products or more.

Got it. That’s helpful. So, the $418 that you booked on the 200,000 tons could be even a conservative indication of where you’d sell the remaining 1.4 million, given where prices have been quarter-to-date?

Yes. It’s $418 on 200,000 tons priced, and you got that 1.4 million or whatever unpriced at a discount to premium hard coking coal. I don’t think you’d be much above the price position, but it’s completely price-dependent, as you said.

Lucas, hi. Jim here. As an example, maybe on the pricing that we’re seeing at the moment. In our remarks, we mentioned that Shoal Creek had produced 270,000 tons, but we’d only sold 70,000 of it. So, we have some inventory move. And so far month-to-date in April, we moved about 127,000, 129,000 tons of it at numbers in the $420 range month-to-date in April. So, that’s the type of pricing we’re seeing on the Shoal Creek product right now.

Very, very helpful. I really appreciate the color.

That’s on a short-term basis, just to keep it clear.

Volume and price, respectively?

Yes.

On the hedge side, it seems like you've been managing that since last October, and earlier this year, and now possibly again today. Hopefully, that noise is starting to clear up. You have 900,000 tons for 2022 and 500,000 tons for 2023. Should we consider about 300,000 tons per quarter rolling off for the 2022 hedge for the rest of the year?

Yes. Lucas, it's not exactly flat. You are correct about the tons for the rest of the year. Just under 450,000 tons will be rolling off in the second quarter of this year, leaving us with less than 1 million tons remaining as of June 30. For context, it’s important to remember that we put these hedges in place early in 2021 to extend the life of the Wambo Underground mine. Without these hedges, we would have had to send the crews home last year. As you saw today, we just announced that we’re developing the next three panels to extend that mine life for several more years. While we would like to provide the spot prices for coal this year, we will still be profitable even with those hedges. We have maintained our optionality and have been able to extend the life for several more years.

Nathan Martin with The Benchmark Company has our next question.

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for answering my questions. I wanted to follow up on the previous discussion about the conversions on the hedges to fixed price. Do you expect to convert more of those hedged tons to fixed prices in the near future?

It’s something that we continue to look at, Nate. It is challenging. If there’s an opportunity to do it at favorable terms, we will continue to do that, finding counterparties that want to lock in essentially today’s prices or the forward prices. And there is a premium for physical to the forward. So, we want to maintain all of our optionality for that P&L. So, we continue to look at it. We’re going to maximize shareholder value and maximize returns of the Company. We do feel with the remaining hedge position in the Company’s current liquidity that we’re in a good spot from a liquidity perspective.

And just to clarify, I think you said that the 750,000 you converted reduced future margin requirements by about $50 million. Is that right?

Yes. So, it eliminated any future margin requirements from changes in prices on those tons. And then, there’s $50 million of exchange related to initial margin, just to open the positions. That was returned once we converted the fixed physical sales and don’t have an open hedge position, then we got about $50 million of margin returned back to us.

Okay. Got it. Maybe shifting over to the cost side. Despite the challenges at the start of the year, it seems you have maintained all your buyer cost guidance ranges across the segments. Can you share your confidence in staying within those ranges? Is this based on expected higher sales volume as we approach the second half of the year? Obviously, prices should be increasing, and there's an advantage from the easing of inflationary pressures you've mentioned. Additionally, with rail service, hopefully that will start improving as well. How should we approach this, and are there any additional one-time costs similar to what we experienced in the first quarter? Thank you.

Sure. I'll begin by addressing your questions in reverse order. Regarding the one-time costs, these primarily stem from our investments in the U.S. platform, which totaled around $1.08 million. This was mainly due to efforts to clear pit inventory, which involved significant overburden removal costs, equipment refurbishments, and contractor mobilization expenses. These one-time costs should diminish moving forward, leading to a reduction in expenses. The situation is similar in our other U.S. thermal portfolio, where we encountered increased costs due to headcount additions, pit development, and dragline refurbishments during the first quarter. However, those expenses are now behind us. Volume in the Powder River Basin is crucial, and as Jim noted, rail logistics are vital for transporting these volumes and controlling overall costs. In terms of the seaborne platform, excessive wet weather, record rainfall, and COVID-related staff shortages significantly impacted our costs in the first quarter. Additionally, we initiated a longwall move at Wambo, which will wrap up in the second quarter. Collectively, these factors likely increased costs by approximately $8 or $9 for the seaborne platform this quarter. We anticipate elevated costs will persist into the second quarter as we work to reestablish mine sequencing at Wilpinjong and recover from the heavy rainfall. While we saw strong performance in the first quarter, we expect costs to rise with a greater percentage of Shoal Creek coal output in the second quarter as we complete a low-yielding panel. Looking ahead for the remainder of the year and providing guidance, the impacts of COVID, staffing challenges, and supply chain logistics remain unpredictable, and we still have to navigate the wet season, which could affect the seaborne platform.

Nate, what I would say, though, is the investments that Mark referenced that we made in the first quarter and our fleet in general, our mines, whether it’s in Australia or the U.S. are in good shape and they’re ready to go in the second quarter and the rest of the year. We’ve increased our staffing. We’ve capitalized and got the equipment in good shape to run. We’ve got our development caught up and ready to go. So, our fleet in general is ready to go to meet the increased demand. And I would say the biggest potential headwind we have is the things that we can’t control being, as Mark just said, weather, COVID, and rail performance. But operationally, I said, the investments we’ve made have put us in a good position to produce well for the rest of the year.

Very helpful, guys. Thank you. And then, maybe Shoal Creek, just for a second, Jim, you mentioned shipments rolling out 71,000 tons, I think, on 270,000 of production, building some inventory there. As far as the ramp is concerned, does everything still seem on schedule to kind of hit that 1.5 million ton level this year? And when should we start to see the sales pick up to kind of match production, because obviously, some of you guys have great demand for that coal, given the current marketplace? Thanks.

Yes. Those sales were supposed to occur more into the first quarter. So, they slid into the second quarter. And so, that’s why we were off to such a good start in April at the mine because those are actually March sales. So, we expect the sales to be consistent over the rest of the year. And we expect mining conditions to improve. We’re in a panel right now that we’re going to get out of in May as some challenging yield and getting the better mining conditions. And so, we should see our cost structure stabilizing upon improving it as we get through the rest of the year. So, sales are good. The mine is coming along well from having been shut down. Like I said, we should be getting better mining conditions, say, June forward for the facility.

Just wondering, Jim, the slippage is at largely transportation related or something else? Was it a rail or barge, et cetera?

It’s just the congestion down the ports, down there in the Gulf just had things back up.

Got it. And then, just one final one. Again, Jim, to you, I think. North Goonyella, you touched on it very briefly in your prepared remarks. I think you said last call, hopefully you’d be in a position to give more info on that project by this call. So, I was just hoping if you could share your current thoughts, maybe any updates on timeline, capital costs, volume, et cetera. That would be helpful. Thank you.

Yes, Nate. We are currently installing main mine fans to support future underground operations and working on surface conveyors. All the work is being done on the surface. Looking ahead, we are finalizing our costs, estimates, and engineering plans and considering further reventilation for reentry into the mine. We are making progress, but we don’t have the specifics you’re asking for finalized yet. Therefore, I can’t comment on the timeline and costs beyond the details I provided. We are moving forward. Reentering the mine would take us down toward our southern reserves, where we have approximately 70 million tons of reserves available. That’s our goal moving ahead.

Any expectation, Jim, at this time before you make a decision whether to move forward or not?

We need to refine the engineering plans and collaborate with the relevant regulatory bodies to ensure they are acceptable before we can obtain better cost estimates. It's essential to ensure our engineering and cost estimates are reliable before making any decisions.

And that does conclude our question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the call back over to Mr. Jim Grech for any additional or closing comments.

Thank you. And as we stated here a few times in the call, we had some adversity in the first quarter with the weather and COVID and the railroads, and it was also a period of investment in our fleet getting ready to serve our customers and the demands that we have going forward in the rest of the year. So, we’ve been successful on that, and we are there. Our mines are ready to go. So, we’re looking forward to a good finish with the second, third and fourth quarters for this year. So, thank you all for joining us today. I’d especially like to thank our employees remaining focused on safety and for continuing to execute on our various initiatives. And I’d also like to thank our customers, investors, insurance providers and vendors for your continued support.

Thank you. And this concludes the Peabody Q1 2022 earnings presentation. Thank you for participating.