DraftKings Inc. Q1 FY2021 Earnings Call
DraftKings Inc. (DKNG)
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Auto-generated speakersGood day and thank you for standing by, and welcome to the DraftKings' Q1 2021 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. I would now like to introduce your host for this conference call, Stanton Dodge. You may begin.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Statements we make during this call that are not statements of historical facts constitute forward-looking statements that are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our historical results or from our forecast. We assume no responsibility for updating forward-looking statements. For more information, please refer to the risks, uncertainties and other factors discussed in our SEC filings. During the call, management will also discuss certain non-GAAP measures that we believe may be useful in evaluating DraftKings' operating performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for DraftKings' financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed today with the SEC and in our earnings presentation, which is available on our website at investors.draftkings.com. Hosting the call today, we have Jason Robins, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of DraftKings, who will share some opening remarks and an update on our business; and Jason Park, Chief Financial Officer of DraftKings, who will provide a review of our financials. We will then open up the line to questions. I will now turn the call over to Jason Robins.
Good morning, everyone. To start today's call, I want to touch on a few recent examples of how DraftKings, our employees and our customers are giving back to our communities. In March, DraftKings celebrated International Women's Day, our newest global company holiday, and launched a free-to-play pool celebrating female athletes. About 100,000 people participated in each entry and raised money for U.S. and global organizations supporting and empowering female leaders and entrepreneurs. We also recently announced the appointment of Gisele Bündchen, environmental activist and philanthropist, as a special advisor to me and our Board of Directors for ESG initiatives. Gisele is a global icon who has utilized the platform she established in fashion entertainment to lead and advocate for vital environmental causes and social causes. The strategic counsel and unique global perspective that Gisele brings to the Board will be indispensable. She is already making an impact as we have collaborated to set a goal of planting 1 million trees by Earth Day 2022. We launched several opportunities for customers to directly support the effort, including through charity daily fantasy sports contests and free-to-play pools. And in coordination with the Arbor Day Foundation, DraftKings has pledged to plant the first 100,000 trees in several U.S. states. May is Military Appreciation Month in the U.S. During this month, we also recognize Military Spouse Day and Memorial Day. DraftKings is proud to continue to support service members, veterans, and their families. We are launching our second Tech for Heroes class of 2021, providing veterans and military spouses with free high-tech skills and training to support their post-service career goals. DraftKings customers will also have the opportunity to show their support through charity DFS contests to benefit our Tech for Heroes initiatives. All of these initiatives are part of our overarching CSR program, DraftKings Serves, which is a catalyst to facilitate meaningful relationships between our employees, our customers, and the causes they feel passionate about in order to create a better world for everyone. At DraftKings, we're committed to creating inclusive pathways for people to build, create, imagine, and innovate. Through DraftKings Serves, we're advancing that mission with a focus on service, equity, responsibility, vitality, entrepreneurship, and sports. I am very proud of these initiatives and our ability to encourage our global community of customers to really make an impact where it is needed. On today's call, we will cover the following topics; our first quarter results and recent accomplishments, our recent state launches and legalization trends, our product and technology investments as well as the migration to our in-house bet engine. And before turning it over to Jason Park, I will talk about the acquisitions we have completed. DraftKings is off to an outstanding start in 2021. Revenue for the first quarter increased 175% year-over-year to $312 million on a pro forma basis. MUPs grew 114% and ARPMUP grew 48%. These results reflect continued over performance of our core business due to strong customer acquisition and retention as well as the successful launches of mobile sports betting and iGaming in Michigan and mobile sports betting in Virginia. Our first quarter results also benefited from external factors that once again broke our way, including better than expected online sports betting hold percentage and the extension of an executive order through April 3 that allowed for mobile registration in Illinois, which was our largest online sports betting state and it turned the handle on the first quarter. Please note that the executive order was not renewed following April 3, which may negatively affect the growth rate of the overall Illinois sports betting market, though we are relatively well positioned given the large number of mobile registrants we have already captured. In the first quarter, we continue to make progress with the migration to our own in-house bet engine and we are on track to complete the migration by the end of the third quarter of 2021. We expanded our relationships with the NFL and PGA Tour. As an official sports betting partner of the NFL, DraftKings will have the right to integrate relevant sports betting content directly into NFL media properties, including NFL.com and the NFL app. We will also be able to enhance the fan experience with NFL highlights and footage. We also renewed our rights as the official and exclusive daily fantasy sports partner of the NFL. As part of the continued DFS agreement, we will have exclusive rights to NFL IP and marks with plans to collaborate with the league on a variety of content and product offerings that fans can engage with on the DraftKings DFS. Following the legalization of sports betting and fantasy sports in Arizona, we expanded our existing commercial relationship with the PGA Tour to provide market access for retail and mobile sports betting in Arizona, pending necessary approvals. We also plan to operate with the PGA Tour premium retail sportsbook at TPC Scottsdale, home of the Waste Management Phoenix Open pending necessary approvals. We secured partnerships with the UFC and WWE to reach broader fan bases across sports. DraftKings is UFC’s first sportsbook and daily fantasy partner in the United States and Canada. Combat sports and UFC in particular have grown into a high-demand category. While DraftKings and UFC have previously collaborated on specific events, we are proud to become official partners and launch impactful integrations. We became an official gaming partner of WWE. Our collaboration with WWE centers on our free-to-play pools product and launched with an inaugural free-to-play pools at WrestleMania in April that had over 100,000 combined entries. In March, we raised approximately $1.1 billion in net proceeds by selling 0% coupon convertible notes that will mature in 2028. We will not see any dilution until our stock is at $135.50 per share. This capital raises another example of our proactive approach to ensuring we are well financed to pursue our growth objectives. In terms of acquisitions, we announced and closed two; Vegas Sports Information Network, Inc. or VSiN, which is a multiplatform broadcast and content company that has delivered trusted sports betting news, analysis, and data to U.S. sports bettors since 2017. And Blue Ribbon Software, which is a leading global jackpot and gamification company that provides platform-agnostic, real-time gamification tools that allow for fully customizable jackpot promotions. I also want to provide a few highlights from three significant sporting events in 2021; the Super Bowl, The Masters, and March Madness. For the Super Bowl, DFS entry fees grew 66% and paid active users grew 60% compared to the Super Bowl in 2020. Also for the Super Bowl, New Jersey OSB handle grew 70% and active users grew 44% compared to the Super Bowl in 2020. For The Masters, DFS entry fees grew 21% though there were only five months separating this year's Masters and last year's event in November 2020. Also for The Masters, New Jersey handle grew 30% and active users grew 9% compared to the event held just five months earlier in November of 2020. For March Madness, New Jersey handle grew 181% in 2021 versus 2019 and active users grew 80%. We are raising our revenue outlook for 2021 due to our expectations for continued growth in the outperformance of our core business. Jason Park will provide more details in a few minutes. Turning to new U.S. states for DraftKings and legalization trends. In the first quarter, we launched mobile sports betting and iGaming in Michigan and we launched mobile sports betting in Virginia. When comparing our mobile sports betting handle in Michigan from our launch on January 22 through March 31, 2021 on a per capita basis with New Jersey mobile sports betting for the same time period in 2019, Michigan outperformed New Jersey by 3% in OSB and 291% in iGaming. As a reminder, by this time in 2019, we were already live in New Jersey for five months prior to this period, including the entire NFL season, which is a very important time for customer acquisitions. The same is true for our mobile sports betting handle per capita in Virginia from January 24 to March 31, 2021. The state outperformed New Jersey by 7% for the same time period in 2019. As with Michigan, Virginia had just launched while New Jersey was already live for five months, including the entire NFL season. When considered with the information we presented at our Investor Day in March, these results in non-New Jersey states further confirmed our view that New Jersey is a reasonable and perhaps conservative proxy for the performance of other states in the U.S. Also, by generating $95 million in only a second full month, the Michigan iGaming market is on an annual run rate of over $1.1 billion in gross revenue, a mark that New Jersey did not hit until December 2020, seven years after its launch. In Michigan, our cross-selling efforts are also working well with 56% of sportsbook players in the state also engaging with our iGaming product offering from launch through March 31. It is now just about three years since PASPA was struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court. 26 jurisdictions representing 44% of the population have legalized sports betting and 18 jurisdictions representing 35% of the population have legalized mobile sports betting, 15 of which are currently live representing 27% of the population. DraftKings is live with online sports betting in 12 states that collectively represent 25% of the U.S. population. Six states representing approximately 11% of the U.S. population have legalized some form of iGaming. DraftKings is live in four states, representing approximately 10% of the U.S. population. We believe the outlook for further legalization is very promising. In 2021, more than 20 state legislatures have introduced legislation to legalize online sports betting, five state legislators have introduced legislation to expand their existing sports wagering framework, and one state legislature introduced legislation to legalize sports betting limited to retail locations. In addition, four states have introduced iGaming legislation, and three states have introduced online poker legislation. Three of the states that introduced legislation to legalize mobile sports betting this year; Wyoming, Arizona, and New York have already enacted mobile sports wagering laws. Maryland has made significant progress in the mobile and retail sports wagering bill passed by the legislature and now pending action from the governor. The three states that have enacted laws this year represent 8% of the U.S. population and bring the percentage of the population with legalized mobile sports betting to 35%. We also continue to believe that Canada represents a very meaningful opportunity for DraftKings. Most progress to date has been made in Ontario, as the government's 2020 provincial budget has been adopted and amends existing laws to remove the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation statutory monopoly on Internet gaming in the province. We look forward to further progress in Ontario and in Canada as a whole. I'd now like to comment on our progress with the integration and migration to our in-house bet engine and discuss our new product and content initiatives. I continue to be pleased with the progress we are making with our organizational integration and the migration to our proprietary in-house, back-end technology for trading. We have been testing our in-house bet engine on an ongoing basis. The migration remains on track to be complete by the end of the third quarter in 2021. As we have previously discussed, being vertically integrated is important and will help with innovation, speed to market, site stability and availability. We will also realize gross margin synergies associated with the migration starting in the fourth quarter of this year. In terms of product innovation, we announced an agreement with DISH Network to bring DraftKings Sportsbook and daily fantasy experiences directly to DISH’s customers nationwide. The service launched on March 3 with the first of its kind patent-pending DraftKings app integration on the DISH TV Hopper platform. Since launching, more than 600,000 unique devices have used the DraftKings app on a DISH box. The agreement also provided for the subsequent launch of SLING TV new exclusive sports betting information channels in collaboration with DraftKings. SLING TV subscribers and SLING free users can now view real-time game scores and betting odds on the DraftKings Basketball, Baseball, and Hockey channels. SLING TV will continue to bring the DraftKings sports betting experience to customers with more sports and expanded offerings in the future. We continue to build differentiating iGaming content to increase engagement with our customers. In April, we added Spanish 21, a DraftKings-built unique casino game to our product suite. Spanish 21 was available immediately to customers in New Jersey, and we plan to expand it to Michigan, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, pending regulatory approval. Spanish 21 has always been a popular land-based casino game. We are currently the only operator offering Spanish 21 and are proud to bring the blackjack variant exclusively to our casino products. We are also very excited to announce the upcoming launch of a first-of-its-kind social functionality to both our DFS and Sportsbook app. The launch of DraftKings Social, which is expected to roll out over the next few weeks, marks an industry-first innovation to create an integrated social community across sports betting and daily fantasy sports, as fans can interact with each other within the shared peer-to-peer environment. With daily fantasy and sports betting already being predominantly online, this launch enhances the digital engagement possibilities of these products while also leaning further into the inherently social spirit of sports fandom and competition. The product is particularly unique because it amplifies our ability to create an interconnected ecosystem across our consumer products. In addition to functionality, like shared login and wallets that we already offer, features like universal profiles, friends list, commenting, and loyalty flash rewards will also allow DraftKings to connect users across products in a way that no other company is currently doing. Turning to M&A. Our acquisition of VSiN allows us to benefit from the explosion and appetite for sports betting content as more states legalize, and to participate in media content creation for this rapidly growing adjacency to the sports betting market. VSiN not only provides additional revenue streams through subscriptions and advertising, but also has a highly engaged and growing audience that may provide CAC advantages and help with engagement with sports betting customers. We welcome Brian Musburger and his team to the DraftKings family. We broadened our sports entertainment footprint by completing a content distribution, monetization, and sponsorship agreement with Meadowlark Media. As part of the deal, Meadowlark Media and DraftKings will distribute The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz and the Le Batard & Friends Network across a wide range of audio, TV, digital, and social channels. Additionally, the network of shows will prominently feature DraftKings odds, betting trends, and general sports book and daily fantasy information. We continue to be big believers in the intersection of content and gaming as the consumption of each benefits the other. With the hiring of Brian Angiolet as our Chief Media Officer, we are accelerating our plans to establish ourselves as both a product provider and resource for fans. As our media presence grows with the acquisition of VSiN, partnership with Meadowlark Media, and integration agreements with Turner Sports and ESPN, Brian's creative ideas will expand the possibilities for DraftKings content. We look forward to sharing more in the coming quarters. We also completed the acquisition of Blue Ribbon Software. DraftKings will now be able to enhance the customer experience by integrating Blue Ribbon’s unique jackpot functionality, including personalized promotions and rewards tailored to the individual customer or jackpots across DraftKings various product offerings. We expect to launch our jackpot technology in the second half of 2021 in our iGaming product. We are strengthening our capabilities to rapidly integrate these acquisitions while also staying focused on winning in this rapidly growing industry and migrating to our in-house bet engine. In conclusion, we are off to a great start in 2021. We performed exceptionally well in the first quarter, saw legislative advancements in several states, continued to make progress with the migration to our own in-house bet engine, expanded and initiated relationships with important organizations, and advanced new product technology and content initiatives. I will now turn the call over to DraftKings CFO, Jason Park, who will discuss our first quarter results and revised expectations for 2021.
Thank you, Jason. Good morning, everyone. Before I begin, I want to remind everyone that we will be discussing our results on a combined company pro forma basis to improve comparability as if we owned our B2B business starting on January 1, 2020 rather than on April 23, 2020. We are pleased to announce that we generated $312 million in revenue for the quarter, representing a 175% increase versus Q1 2020 revenue of $113 million. A portion of this amazing growth is due to the sports postponements that occurred in Q1 2020 due to COVID-19. Our B2C business generated $281 million for the quarter, representing a 217% increase versus the prior year. B2C monthly unique payers in the quarter increased 114% year-over-year to 1.5 million. The increase reflects strong unique payer retention and acquisition across VFS, OSB, and iGaming as well as the lack of traditional sports in the last three weeks of March 2020. Average revenue per monthly unique payer, or ARPMUP, was $61 in Q1 representing a 48% increase versus the same period in 2020. Our ARPMUP was positively impacted by increased engagement with our iGaming and online sports book product offerings and our excellent cross-selling capabilities. Our B2B business generated $31 million in the quarter, up 26% versus the prior year due to the positive impact of FX as well as last March being impacted by COVID. First quarter revenue exceeded our expectations due to a number of factors, including the extension of an executive order that allowed for continued mobile registration in Illinois through Q1, higher than forecast OSB hold percentage, over performance in our core business as a result of continued strong customer acquisitions, retention and monetization, and strong launches in Michigan and Virginia. We generated $155 million of gross profit dollars on an adjusted EBITDA basis for the entire business in the quarter, representing a 135% increase versus the prior year period. Gross margin rate on an adjusted EBITDA basis for the business declined as expected to 50% in the quarter. As we have noted in the past, our gross margin rate has been impacted, and will continue to be impacted, by a mix shift out of our more mature and thus higher margin VFS product offerings and into higher growth rates and lower margin OSB and iGaming product offerings. In addition, gross margin rate within a period is impacted by promotional intensity, typically most intense when a new state launches and at the beginning of a major sports season, as we aim to acquire customers. Gross margin rates will be positively impacted by the conversion to our own bet engine which will be complete by the end of Q3 as well as several gross margin rate improvement initiatives. Our sales and marketing expenses were $220 million, which include our external marketing. External marketing was higher than the prior year due to being live in 12 total states versus seven in Q1 2020, including the launch of mobile sports betting and iGaming in Michigan and mobile sports betting in Virginia, which occurred in the quarter. The governor of Illinois also extended an executive order that allowed for mobile registration in Illinois through April 3, which allowed us to continue to acquire during that period. Additionally, we continued to see accretive LTV to CAC opportunities, which allowed us to invest deeper in marketing in part due to the stay-at-home nature of COVID. Our general and administrative and product and technology costs on an adjusted EBITDA basis were $41 million and $34 million, respectively, as we continue to invest to achieve scale in our back office functions such as finance and accounting, legal and human resources as well as adding to our technology team. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was negative $139 million as we rolled out our new state playbook in multiple jurisdictions and continued to invest in our product technology and G&A functions. In the quarter, we expensed $186 million in items that we exclude from adjusted EBITDA but are included in GAAP operating income, notably $152 million for stock-based compensation and $34 million for amortization of acquired intangibles, depreciation, and other amortization, as well as transaction-related expenses. Our stock-based compensation expense reflects accruals related to equity awards based on our anticipated revenue performance in 2021. Moving on to our balance sheet and liquidity. We ended the quarter with $2.8 billion of cash on our balance sheet following our issuance of 0% coupon convertible notes that will mature in 2028. We raised approximately $1.1 billion in net proceeds from this offering. We are well capitalized to execute our multi-year plan and address our key priorities of taking advantage of this unique time for customer acquisitions, entering new states as they legalize, continuing to lead the market on product innovation, and exploring opportunistic and accretive M&A. Looking at the rest of 2021, on our fourth quarter earnings call in February, we provided a range for 2021 revenue of $900 million to $1 billion. Given our strong start to 2021 and underlying acquisition, retention, and monetization of players, we are increasing our guidance to $1.05 billion to $1.15 billion of revenue for 2021, which equates to year-over-year growth of 63% to 79%, and a 16% increase compared to the midpoint of our prior guidance. The 16% increase in the midpoint of our 2021 revenue guidance reflects strong performance in Q1 which has continued in Q2, continued strong user activation due to our marketing spend, well-executed launches of mobile sports betting in Michigan and Virginia and iGaming in Michigan, and a modest impact of VSiN and Blue Ribbon on 2021 revenue. We assume that all professional and college sports calendars that have been announced come to fruition and that we continue to operate in states in which we are live today. These states collectively represent 25% of the U.S. population for mobile sports betting and 10% of the U.S. population for iGaming. Though Wyoming, Arizona and New York have legalized, we do not know the exact date these states will launch and are not including them in our revenue guidance. In addition, for the past several quarters, our financial results have benefited from the stay-at-home nature of COVID and the unique sports calendar in the second half of 2020. We expect both MUPs and ARPMUPs to grow in 2021, with MUPs increasing at a higher rate than ARPMUPs. Regarding our 2021 quarterly revenue cadence, all things being equal, which means no new states launch beyond Michigan and Virginia, we expect Q1 to represent 28% of full year 2021 revenue, Q2 to be slightly more than 20%, and Q3 to be slightly below 20% of full year revenue. We currently expect the fourth quarter to account for slightly more than 30% of our revenue for the year. While we are not providing guidance for 2021 adjusted EBITDA, sales and marketing expense is a key input. As discussed, sales and marketing in older vintage states will begin to moderate as we continue to invest in accretive LTV to CAC opportunities. 2020 and 2021 vintage states will have increased sales and marketing as we lap partial years for 2020 launches, execute our new state playbook in Michigan and Virginia well into the second quarter, and invest in customer acquisition in Iowa, given the launch of mobile registration on January 1. We have also announced new relationships, including our expanded agreement to become an official sports betting partner of the NFL. The net effect is that we continue to expect to spend significantly more on sales and marketing in 2021 compared to 2020. The significant number of customers we are acquiring also results in an increase in variable costs, such as customer service. From a quarterly perspective, we continue to expect our Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss to be deepest and meaningfully wider than last year’s Q3 loss as we ramp up external marketing substantially for the start of the NFL season, especially since we will have three states in their first full NFL season. We expect our Q2 loss to be somewhat better than Q1, though still heavily impacted by investments associated with our launches in Michigan and Virginia. In the fourth quarter, we expect a slightly narrower loss than the second quarter as we benefit from higher seasonal revenue. As a reminder, our marketing spend is impacted by the launch of new states. Our spend is also highly flexible and can be reduced or paused altogether if the sports calendar shifts. That concludes our remarks. And we will now open the line for questions.
Our first question comes from Stephen Grambling with Goldman Sachs.
Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions.
Good morning.
In the release, you highlighted the launch of social aspects on the app. Can you just help us maybe think longer term about maybe social and what do you envision as a potential opportunity? Does this include effectively user-led content? Thanks.
Thanks, Stephen. Great question. So we're very excited about some of the new social features we'll be releasing. We have a dedicated team on that, led by a guy named Jordan Mendell, and we're very excited that we'll be able to really be an innovator in this space. I think the idea is to, yes, allow some user-generated content, but obviously there will be moderation. And then the bigger picture is just to allow people to connect specifically around the experience they're having on DraftKings. Obviously, a lot of social platforms out there. This isn't attempting to substitute for what the Facebooks and Twitters and Instagrams of the world are doing. It's really more meant to enhance the actual experience on DraftKings. And a lot of requests we get from people are about how to better see what my friends are betting on and what they're playing. How do I interact if I like a bet my friend makes and let them know? How do I understand what my friends are playing so I can play contests against them on our private leagues product? So lots of requests we've gotten and we're trying to do our best to facilitate those interactions in a way that makes users stickier, but more importantly improves the customer experience.
That's great. Thanks. I’ll jump back in the queue.
The next question comes from Jed Kelly of Oppenheimer.
Great. Thanks for taking my question. So we're seeing a big media push by all the sports books in the industry. So, Jason, just a bigger picture question for you. How do you see media transforming Draft? Do you kind of see yourselves eventually becoming more of a sports entertainment product? And just how should we view how you look at the media opportunity over the next two to three years?
It's a great question, Jed. Really, it starts with two important principles. One, there's a ton of synergy between media and content and what our core products offer. We all know this. Clearly, there's a demand that gets driven for content by our products, and then in turn content drives further demand on the gaming product. So, tremendous synergy there. Secondly, we have a good track record of being able to launch new product lines and monetize our customer base as well as utilize them to acquire a broader customer base. We've done that with multiple products now. So we think between our data science capabilities and other analytics that we've employed, we're going to be really effective at targeting the right content to the right customers at the right time, and also using what we see consumption on content looking like to be able to better target gaming offers. So that's really the crux of the strategy is to be able to take advantage of those synergies and to be able to add new revenue streams and new sources of user acquisition engagement.
And then as a follow up, I guess with the VSiN acquisition, do you plan to create your own channel or put it on more streaming services? I know it's on NESN and a couple of other services. But how do you view VSiN into that overall strategy?
Well, VSiN provides a really important capability, creating content around sports betting, which is obviously a very core area that our audience focuses on. They do have a channel currently. We're exploring broader distribution and we'll also be creating content for a variety of other services, so lots of plans with them. They have an incredibly talented team and we're really lucky and fortunate to have them on our side now and look forward to collaborating with them to create great content for customers.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Ben Chaiken with Credit Suisse.
Hi. How's it going? Just to follow up on Vegas Sports Network. Is there a plan to incorporate some of that functionality into the sports betting platform itself? For example, whether it's news, analysis, or assistance with making picks, or should we view it as a separate entity that drives traffic?
I think it will be a little bit of both. I do think that the nice thing about VSiN is that we get a capability. So that capability can be utilized, as you noted, in multiple ways. Some of it can be utilized directly within the gaming experience in order to enhance that. Other ways can be utilized, as you noted, are to drive customer acquisition engagement, adoption of new products through external media and other channels that we'll distribute through. So we're going to use it in both ways. And really the important thing we look at is we got a capability to create great content in an area that's very meaningful and important to our customers and our target customers.
Got it. Is there any like hesitation with adding more functionality to the OSB platform or is it more iGaming or is it more just kind of like on the comp I guess?
Well, we always test everything. So you never know. I'm routinely surprised at things that I thought would perform in a certain way, good or bad, and don't. And that's why we always let the data do the talking. So we'll test adding different things. And if we find that it's enhancing the customer experience and not distracting people, then we'll add more. And if not, then we'll pare back. And really, it will be an evolution based on what we're seeing in the data.
Thanks. I appreciate it.
Our next question comes from Thomas Allen with Morgan Stanley.
Thank you. So just on the revenue, first quarter revenue was obviously really strong. With your fourth quarter earnings, you suggested first quarter revenues would be in the low 20s percent. And now you're saying 28%. Are you more like tempered on the rest of the year because the results you're seeing in the second quarter so far, is it seasonality? Can you just unlock it a little bit more?
Sure. So I think it really starts with Q1 was an absolutely amazing quarter for us. And some of the reasons why, certainly, there were strong performance in the business and that should carry through for the rest of the year. But there were other reasons such as higher hold than we typically get. That's just random fluctuations in sporting outcomes; really can't count on that for the rest of the year. And also, of course, the Illinois executive order, which ran through Q1 but in the first few days of Q2 was not renewed. Illinois, as we noted, had become our largest state for sports betting handle. And while we think we're continuing to be really well positioned there in terms of market share, I don't expect the overall market to grow as substantially as it could have otherwise in absence of new legislation or a renewal of that executive order. So that's another example of something that we know won't continue through the rest of the year, and that's skewing a little bit how much Q1 will be as a percentage of the overall year. And then just in general, when you have a great quarter like that, we think it's prudent not to assume every single quarter will be a blowout. So, we're taking a cautious approach and saying that we think that other quarters will be more in line with what a typical quarter might look like. Obviously, if some things break our way or just if the underlying business continues to perform as strongly as it has been, then we might see some upside there.
Okay. Just a quick one, what was the hold benefit?
Sorry, the question was on the hold?
Yes. How much was it?
I don't think we've shared exactly what those numbers will be, but we can consider providing more detail. What we have mentioned is that there is definitely a higher than average hold rate due to random fluctuations in sports outcomes. Generally, we've seen this even out over the course of the year, but it can certainly vary month-to-month or quarter-to-quarter and sometimes show some irregularities.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Michael Graham with Canaccord.
Thank you for the impressive results. I wanted to ask about MUP growth. Typically, Q1 would show a slight seasonal decline, but you managed to grow. It seems like you have several factors contributing to this, such as new activations and retention engagement, along with potentially integrating more iGaming acquisitions. Could you break down the MUP performance a bit? Additionally, when you are marketing, particularly in digital channels, can you share some insights on how competitive those channels are with OSB and iGaming rivals? Are you facing more competition from different types of players, or could you provide any insights into that environment?
Thanks, Mike. Regarding the MUPs question, we experienced significantly stronger activation and customer acquisition in Q1, which contributed to the increase in MUPs. There's a lot of momentum in the industry right now, and our marketing is performing at record levels similar to the latter half of last year. Our response rates are very high, and even with increased spending, our caps remain low, resulting in excellent returns on our marketing efforts. This is driving substantial activation of new users. Those are the key factors. Now, what was the second question?
Just wanted to ask if you could comment on the marketing environment when you're out there acquiring players in digital channels, like how intense is the competition from your competitors?
Well, what's interesting on digital channels is, yes, there is certainly competition within our core market. But also a lot of where we were competing previously for impressions was with mobile games, and those games I think have been hurt more so than maybe we would be by the IDFA changes. So we've actually seen some softening in the digital markets due to some of the traditional mobile games companies pulling back a bit. And that's created a favorable environment for us. I wouldn't say it's tremendously favorable. It's really kind of more similar to what it looked like before. But to answer your question directly, we're not really seeing a hyper-competitive environment right now relative to anything we've seen before. It looks pretty normal, and I think it's kind of an offset of, yes, we are seeing better performance for companies like DraftKings, but it's also offset by maybe some pullback in the traditional mobile gaming companies.
Okay. Thanks, Jason.
Our next question comes from Carlo Santarelli with Deutsche Bank.
Hi, guys. Thanks and good morning. Appreciating the fact that you guys don't want to disclose the hold benefit in the period. If we can kind of just break down the old guidance midpoint and kind of that low 20s range, it would apply you can kind of beat the implied guidance within the guidance by about $100 million in a quarter. Any chance you guys would be willing to maybe bucket where that outperformance came, if it's iCasino relative to OSB relative to DFS? I'm assuming the two former categories are the lion's share. But maybe even just if you could split out kind of a delta of the upside in relative to that guidance between kind of OSB and iCasino in the period given the very strong start of Michigan?
Thanks, Carlo. I appreciate the kind words. At this time, we are not providing a breakdown of iGaming versus OSB revenue. However, the recent trends in Michigan, particularly its strong iGaming performance, have clearly benefited us and exceeded our expectations. As we mentioned in the earnings call, the revenue per capita from iGaming in Michigan significantly outperformed that of New Jersey during a similar time frame in its first year. The same is true for OSB, though not to the same extent. The hold rate also contributed to a slight increase in OSB revenue compared to what we would typically expect based on betting volumes. While we are not detailing the figures, it is fair to say that all products, including DFS, performed exceptionally well. In fact, we achieved record numbers for DFS over the past several years, particularly during events like the Super Bowl and March Madness. We have not seen growth at these levels in that product since 2015. Overall, I am very pleased with the performance across the board, and all areas contributed to our positive results.
Great. Thank you. And then if I could, just one follow-up. As it pertains to the integration of the SBTech stuff at the end of the 3Q, will that basically for the 4Q be your functioning back-end for every state, or does it kind of go state by state and you take it slowly?
Well, we are going state by state, but we're saying by the end of Q3, we will be fully complete with every state. So to answer your question, in the fourth quarter, we will be on our own proprietary platform in every state. And between now and then, we will take it on a state-by-state basis. This is, of course, assuming we get all the necessary regulatory approvals. That's obviously a process and that's part of why we are going state by state. But assuming we get all the approvals from just the pure product and tech standpoint, we feel like we're well on track for end of Q3 and maybe even a little bit earlier.
Great. And then guys, I'm sorry, if you could just take one more? Any commentary around New York and the strategy there given kind of the cloudy regulation as it currently stands?
Well, first of all, really exciting that New York has moved forward the mobile sports betting legislation. I know for years there's been speculation about it. And it's really great to see that it got done. And not only got done, but has strong support from the legislature, from the governor's office, and really want to thank the legislature and Governor Cuomo for moving that bill through the budget. As far as our strategy, we're going to wait and see when the RFP comes out what it looks like. And we're going to put our best foot forward. And I think we feel, like I said, very excited about the opportunity in New York and we're looking forward to participating in the process. Hopefully, it will be a good outcome.
Great. Thank you very much, guys.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Bernie McTernan with Needham & Company.
You mentioned the 600,000 unique devices with DISH. I was just wondering how the customer is using this product. Do you think it's going to be an important part of the customer experience long term or more niche? Just because watching TV, everyone already has a second screen next to them with access to the app? And then within that, is the MVPD the more advantageous position to be able to execute this strategy relative to a cable network or is it the other way around?
I think that there are different ways you can execute the strategy that device makers provide potentially another way in addition to the ones you named. And I think the cable networks are a little more challenging. It would have to be something that we're more directly connected to the device or to the network I would think. The first part of your question, I think really what we're trying to do is to create something that makes the convenience of being able to consume whenever you're watching, sports on the screen as well as playing the games and checking your bets and all that as easy as possible. I think people will have a mix of things they use. Part of the sort of proliferation of devices all around us has been people don't typically just do things one way or another. Even as I think about my own behavior, sometimes I use my phone to turn my TV on because it's connected. Sometimes I just grab the remote, and it just sort of whatever feels convenient at the moment. So I think you'll see some people exclusively using that or primarily using that. I think you'll see some people not using it at all. And I think you'll see some people going back and forth. But what we're going to do is just keep looking at the data, keep optimizing the customer experience, and listen to what our users are saying and what makes their experience more entertaining and more convenient.
Thanks, Jason.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from David Katz with Jefferies.
Good morning. I know we're still a couple of quarters away, but I wondered if there were any testing or any learnings or any interesting surprises one way or the other around that in advance? Thank you.
Sorry, around what?
The SBTech go live, which is still a couple of quarters away.
Yes. So we have begun the process. We've done a tremendous amount of testing. We test everything internally. And then, of course, as we go state by state, we'll get more and more data. And so far what we're seeing is very encouraging. There's been really only kind of minor things around the edges that we've had to clean up. Otherwise, our internal testing has been really strong at predicting things, and we've been able to get everything in order. So, so far, so good. It is still early. And to answer your question, yes, as we get closer to the full migration, we'll have more and more states there migrated over and we'll have more and more data to look at and be able to get a sense of how things are going. But from what we're seeing so far, everything's going great.
Okay. Thank you. I appreciate it.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Stephen Glagola with Cowen.
Hi. Thanks for the question. I just want to touch base on Illinois a little bit more. It seems like you had a Q1 with the number one market share in terms of handle. With remote registration ending in early April, have you seen any impact in your market share so far? And do you expect to maintain that share throughout the year until it goes back to remote registration in early 2022?
Yes, that's a great question. It's difficult to say for certain, but I don't expect the number of sign-ups to be very high. If we look at Iowa as an example, for the first 18 months after launching, there was no mobile registration. When mobile registration was enabled for just a few days in January this year, we surpassed the total registrations from the entire previous year. Therefore, I believe that the influx when mobile registration is available is significantly greater than when it isn't. I suspect that market shares will stabilize until that capability is restored, and hopefully, it will be restored. As you mentioned, we've held the number one position in handle in Illinois since August, so we believe we're in a strong position. It's certainly disappointing that we can't accept mobile registrations at the moment, but if that situation changes, I think we could strengthen our position and feel confident about our market share in that state.
All right. Thanks, Jason.
Our next question comes from Vasily Karasyov with Cannonball Research.
Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to follow up on your comments about the convergence of online sports betting and media content. There is a situation developing between Flutter and Fox Broadcast Corporation that could lead to various structural outcomes in the market. With FanDuel becoming a stand-alone publicly traded company in the U.S., there may be some combinations involving PokerStars, Fox Bet, and others. I was wondering if you could share your thoughts on how this would impact your strategy and market position.
Thank you. So, I know there's a lot of rumor and speculation about that right now. One, we don't really have any insight so it's hard for me to really have any opinion but even if I did, we don't really think that what others are doing in terms of corporate structure and how that all plays out, really has much of anything to do with our strategy. We're going to continue to pursue the strategy that we've set out that we believe will position us to have the best long-term value and continue to be able to consistently meet or exceed the expectations that we set. And I think being able to focus internally on driving those types of results has been part of what's driven our previous strong performance. So we're going to continue down that path. And there will be a lot of activity in the market. I think when you have an exciting industry with so much potential, tens of billions of dollars, maybe more potential, you're going to see a lot of different moves by competitors. Obviously, we pay attention to them but it doesn't really change what we're doing.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Joe Stauff with Susquehanna.
Good morning. Jason, could you provide insights on overall engagement for the second quarter so far, specifically in April and early May? I'm asking because I know that online sports betting tends to be slower during this time due to fewer sporting events. I'm interested in understanding how engagement is trending, particularly regarding iCasino engagement and any changes we might see there.
Yes, that's a great question. You're correct that there is seasonality in the sports calendar, with the latter half of the year typically being stronger. This year, however, has seen some disruptions due to calendar shifts, making it quite unique. As a result, Q2 has a lot planned. The NBA and NHL regular seasons are concluding soon, leading into the playoffs, which are set to extend into July for the first time. This offers additional content that has not been available in past years. Baseball has started strongly, and there are two major PGA events in Q2: the PGA Championship in May and the U.S. Open in June. On the tennis side, we have the French Open in late May and Wimbledon toward the quarter's end. Additionally, there are notable happenings in other sports; UFC, with which we have a new partnership, has two significant fights coming up on May 15th and June 12th. This year also features the Euro Cup, starting in mid-June and extending into Q3, along with the Champion's League and Premier League. There's an exciting array of events on the sports schedule this year, especially compared to previous years, providing a full quarter due to the shifts in the sports calendars. It's hard to predict how the NBA Finals will perform in July since this has never happened before, but we're looking forward to it. We're excited about the wealth of great content available for our customers.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Shaun Kelley with Bank of America.
Hi. Good morning, everyone. Just wanted to ask about some of the marketing efficiency in the quarter. It looked like things were a lot more efficient on sort of a per-user basis sequentially from the fourth quarter and from what we saw throughout last year. And I'm just wondering, is that a direct product of efficiency gains or is there some seasonality attached to that as we just think about the balance of 2021?
There's always seasonality to marketing performance. Typically, though, what that results in is us just dialing up or down where we're investing based on the ROI we're seeing. I think Q1 was very similar to Q3 and Q4 where we spent more than we thought and had lower tax than we thought. So it was almost like we couldn't spend enough to hit our cap targets. And I think that efficiency was consistent, but a lot of what you see is that the customers that were acquired in Q3 and Q4 that remained active into Q1 boosted the MUP numbers. And obviously we continue to add more but more exciting to me is the retention that we're seeing of the customers we acquired in the back half of last year. I think that was the largest driver of what we saw on the MUP front. And as far as future quarters and seasonality go, I think you'll see typical seasonal patterns. But as I mentioned, there is still this wildcard of this shift in the sports calendar. So I think it will be a bit different this year than in previous years. Typically, for example, we've seen good activity during the NBA and NHL playoffs. Having that overlap with baseball should provide better than I think typically what we've seen activity in the July timeframe and late June timeframe. And then I think also we'll have to see in the back half of the year what the leagues do, the NBA and NHL in particular, in terms of when they start their new seasons. Do they try to go back to the typical schedule in early Q4 or do they go with the late December, January schedule that they went with this past year? So I think that will also drive some activity. And then, of course, the NFL, assuming that goes according to plan, which right now we see no reason to believe it won't then that’s obviously going to be a big driver of activity as well.
Thank you very much.
You’re welcome.
Our next question comes from Chad Beynon with Macquarie.
Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Even with your recent acquisitions of VSiN and Blue Ribbon, which are sub $100 million in the quarter, following your convertible rates, you're still sitting with a ton of cash at the end of the quarter. Based on your projections for 2021 and how you know the business should ramp to become more profitable, how are you thinking about the best use of this cash, whether it be bigger acquisitions, more partnerships, or even considering something like a share repurchase, given the sell off? Thank you.
That's a great question. Right now, we're actively exploring several opportunities, including some that you mentioned, and we aim to maximize returns on that capital. Even with our financing at 0%, we maintain our own internal criteria for the returns we expect from the capital we invest, and we are very disciplined in this approach. Ultimately, it will be about rigorously assessing various opportunities. If we find compelling uses of capital that generate strong returns, we will proceed. If not, we will wait and deploy the capital as promising opportunities arise.
Thanks. And then separately, I just wanted to revisit Canada. I understand that there's a federal bill that's kind of hung up right now. There's a separate one in Ontario and it seems like from a parental standpoint, they're extremely interested. If the federal bill doesn't pass, is there a path for you guys to be in the Ontario market? I guess from a limited basis, it won't be a comprehensive product but it still could have some type of a parlay, or would you wait for a federal bill to pass for you guys to enter that market? Thank you.
It's a great question. As you noted, parlays are still possible under current federal law. It would be great to have single event betting if federal law changes, but parlays are very popular. More importantly, iGaming will be allowed in Ontario, which is unaffected by federal law. Therefore, we plan to launch both parlay sports betting and iGaming regardless of federal developments. We're not waiting. If federal law does change, we will also offer single event wagering.
I appreciate it. Nice results.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Daniel Adam with Loop Capital Markets.
Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Jason, when you think about the long-term opportunity for DraftKings, does it make sense at some point to start thinking about the global TAM instead of just North America? Just for context, there is a daily fantasy company in India that reported 100 million users in March. So when I think about your 1.5 million MUPs, it would seem that the international opportunity for DraftKings could be massive, which no one is really talking about right now. Is that something that factors into your long-term vision?
Absolutely. It's a great question. So as you noted, there's a huge global opportunity, and as excited as we are in the U.S. and as much as we believe the U.S. will be the largest in the world, the rest of the world will certainly be larger combined. And our ambitions are to be a global company. So we think there's a lot of exciting opportunity out there. We're obviously closely following that daily fantasy company you mentioned and also following regulatory developments in markets around the world. Lots of things are opening up, not just the U.S. So I think that provides a huge runway for our growth and it's something we haven't talked as much about because we have been so focused on the U.S. But I think you're very smart to point out that there's a huge opportunity there that can keep our growth rolling for many years to come.
Great. Thanks.
Our last question comes from Ryan Sigdahl with Craig-Hallum Capital.
Good morning, guys. Just curious, you mentioned Michigan and Virginia, they're ramping faster than New Jersey, really strong GGR per capita. But other states haven't ramped quite as well; Indiana, Pennsylvania, Iowa, West Virginia, et cetera. So I guess what gives you confidence that Michigan and Virginia are the better proxies for future states versus the other ones I mentioned? Thanks.
Yes, it's a great question. What we showed in our Investor Day is that New Jersey is kind of right around the middle of the pack. So there will be states that grow faster, there will be states that grow slower. But I think what's really interesting with both Michigan and Virginia is it kind of further validates this notion that New Jersey is not some outlier that's just bigger than everything else. And we didn't have those two states on our Investor Day. Even without those two, New Jersey was already slightly below the median for the other states. So this just kind of brings that up even a little bit more and widens that gap more and gives us further confidence that New Jersey is at worst a good proxy and at best maybe a conservative proxy when you're trying to size the rest of the states. And then there’s a few examples where it's hard to compare apples-to-apples. You mentioned Iowa, for example. Iowa's tough to compare because Iowa for the first 18 months had no mobile registration. So, clearly, that would make it get off to a slower start. And I think once we saw mobile registration kick in earlier this year in Iowa, we started to see really strong ramp there. So, I think it will definitely depend. Pennsylvania is another interesting one. Pennsylvania, we have not invested as deeply in from a customer acquisition standpoint due to the tax rates there. It's just not as profitable of a market for us. So that's another one where I think perhaps in a different setup, it might have been the place that we could invest more. But really if you look at it, like I said from the macro standpoint, New Jersey is right around the middle of the pack and that was just a question we used to get a lot in the earlier days when everybody's using New Jersey as a proxy for what the rest of the U.S. could look like and I think the data that we've seen emerge further validates that it's a pretty good proxy and maybe even a conservative one.
Thanks. Good luck, guys.
Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude the Q&A portion of the call. I'd like to turn the call back over to our host for any closing remarks.
Thank you. Thank you all for joining us on today's call. We really appreciate your questions and look forward to continuing our conversations with you. We had a very strong start to 2021 and continue to be excited about the future. DraftKings is well positioned with $2.8 billion in cash to enter new states as soon as practicable, to drive continued product innovation, to acquire customers, and to explore opportunistic M&A. I hope you all stay safe and well and we look forward to speaking with you on our next earnings call in August.
Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today’s presentation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.