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Flutter Entertainment plc Q1 FY2025 Earnings Call

Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT)

Earnings Call FY2025 Q1 Call date: 2025-05-07 Concluded

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Krista, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Flutter Entertainment First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. Thank you. And I would now like to turn the conference over to Paul Tymms, Group Director of Investor Relations. Paul, you may begin.

Paul Tymms Head of Investor Relations

Hi, everyone, and welcome to Flutter's Q1 results call. With me today are Flutter's CEO, Peter Jackson; and CFO, Rob Coldrake. After the short intro, Peter will open with a brief summary of our operational progress, and then Rob will run through the Q1 financials and our updated guidance for 2025. We will then open the lines for Q&A. Some of the information we are providing today, including our 2025 guidance, constitutes forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors are detailed in our earnings press release and our SEC filings. In addition, all forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Also, in our remarks or responses to questions, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations are included in the results materials we have released today available in the Investors section of our website. And I will now hand you over to Peter.

Thank you, Paul. I continue to be really pleased with how the scaling of our U.S. business is driving a step change in the earnings profile of the group. Our international business is also demonstrating the benefits of scale and diversification with particularly strong performances in SEA and India. These factors combined to drive year-over-year net income and adjusted EBITDA growth of 289% and 20%, respectively, in Q1. Before I turn to the quarter's performance in more detail, I want to touch on some of the themes that have been at the forefront of discussions during the quarter. Firstly, the potential impact of any change to the broader economic outlook on our sector in the U.S. in particular. Our business is resilient. During previous periods of consumer pressure in our international markets, we saw no discernible impact on our businesses, and we have conviction that online sports betting and iGaming have strong defensive characteristics over the long term. Secondly, sports results. The nature of sports results will influence our quarterly results as we have seen in NFL in Q4 and March Madness in Q1. But over time, these variations are transient and do not compromise our compelling growth model and long-term value creation opportunity. In fact, it's these ups and downs in sports results that make sports so exciting and drive engagement. Thirdly, we're really excited about our revolutionary outcome-based pricing technology that will allow us to price and offer an almost infinite number of outcomes across the most relevant and immersive betting markets. Your Way is the first surfacing of this pricing capability to customers, and the results to date have been encouraging. The opportunities that this unlocks are unique, and we believe creates an amazing platform for long-term innovation across both our U.S. and international markets. Fourthly, we're also closely monitoring the developments around futures markets and the potential direct and indirect opportunities for FanDuel to explore. We already operate the world's largest sports betting exchange, the Betfair Exchange, and we have vast experience in this space. And finally, our position as a business is clear to see as we completed another major milestone in the expansion of our portfolio in Italy with the acquisition of Snai and the continuation of our buyback program. With strong organic performance and multiple levers to drive value creation, we remain incredibly confident in our long-term outlook. And turning to performance in the quarter. We're continuing to win in the U.S., powered by our world-class customer proposition with AMPs growing to more than 4.3 million in the quarter. From a sportsbook perspective, handle growth was in line with expectations and reflected the continued shift to higher revenue margin but lower handle parlay and same-game parlay products. Basketball handle growth was lower than anticipated, offset by growth in other sports. And we believe this handle softness is specific to the basketball market, and we have a number of commercial and product initiatives that will specifically enhance basketball engagement next season. As we move into the summer season, handle trends remain in line with expectations with encouraging MLB trends. It's worth remembering that handle growth is just one driver of our long-term revenue growth, alongside product-driven structural gross revenue margin expansion, new customer acquisition, higher retention, gaming cross-sell, wallet share gains, and promotional spend efficiencies, which all work to drive the most important output, our net revenue growth, and all before the benefit of any new state launches. Our proprietary pricing capability continues to drive our market-leading sportsbook product and drive our expected structural gross revenue margin progression, reaching 14.1% in the quarter. We had a great Super Bowl, but overall U.S. sports results were nevertheless customer-friendly in the first quarter, driven primarily by an unprecedented number of winning favorites during March Madness. In iGaming, we go from strength to strength with highlights including site-wide jackpots and even more exclusive content. We hit 1 million AMPs for the first time, demonstrating the strength of the FanDuel iGaming proposition. This performance underpinned our clear leadership position with sports betting and iGaming gross gaming revenue market shares of 43% and 27%, respectively, and a 48% net gaming revenue sportsbook share. Performance across our International division continues to be positive with year-over-year revenue growth of 3% constant currency. We are benefiting from our scale and geographic and product diversification with good growth in our SEA region in particular. We were delighted to welcome Snai into the group just last week, significantly adding to our scale in Italy, and we expect to rapidly realize both the operational and financial benefits of the combination. We recently submitted a tender for the Italian lotto with a majority position in a consortium with Scientific Games. We believe the merits of this deal are compelling in a market where we have demonstrated our extensive lottery experience through the success of our SuperEnalotto proposition. Performance within SEA has been very impressive, driven by Sisal, which achieved a record high Italian quarterly market share of 15.4%, and we're also seeing very strong growth in Turkey. In the UKI, sportsbook growth moderated from previous quarters, in part due to the very operator-friendly results in 2024, while iGaming growth remains strong. The migration of our Sky Bet customers to our in-house platform is progressing well with over 25% of customers already migrated, and we expect completion this quarter. The strength of our Rummy business in India is once again visible now that the tax changes in Q4 2023 have been lapped, delivering strong year-over-year revenue growth of 45% through continued disciplined customer and product investment. Within Australia, we continue to face racing industry structural challenges. We've been able to partly offset our adverse racing handle trends by expanding our sports structural gross win margin through ongoing product-led improvements. And we've received regulatory clearance and expect to complete the acquisition of NSX imminently, forming a new Flutter Brazil business and putting us in an enhanced competitive position in a fast-growing newly regulated market. Combining a strong local management team, localized proprietary technology and a local hero brand in Betnacional, alongside our existing Betfair Brazil business and Flutter Edge capabilities will position us for success in this very exciting market. Overall, I'm pleased with our first quarter performance and remain extremely confident in the long-term fundamentals of our business. The global regulated market opportunity is significant and growing, and Flutter is uniquely positioned to win. I remain excited by the opportunity for Flutter, and I look forward to continuing to execute on our key growth drivers over the remainder of 2025 and beyond. I will now hand you over to Rob to take you through the financials and our guidance.

Thanks, Peter, and hello, everyone. It's great to be talking to you today, almost a year since becoming Flutter CFO. Over that time, I've been really pleased with our progress. As Peter highlighted, we have all the key components to ensure long-term value creation, and I'm delighted to share that this quarter, we delivered underlying growth across each component of our compelling financial growth story. Group revenue increased by 8%, thanks to our scale and diversification. Overall group net income grew 289%, while adjusted EBITDA grew 20%. Both measures benefited from the U.S.-driven earnings transformation Peter described, while net income also reflects the fair value change of the Fox Option liability, shifting from a loss in the prior year to a gain this year. Earnings per share increased to $1.57 from a loss of $1.10 with our adjusted earnings per share up 51%. Importantly, we continue to enjoy the capital optionality to invest organically, invest in M&A, and return capital to our shareholders. Turning now to the quarter's financial performance. We are using our new segmentation for the first time, reporting under 2 segments, U.S. and International, with the corporate overhead reported separately. This reflects how our operations are managed, and we believe the simplified structure will help external audiences understand the Flutter growth story more easily. Starting with the U.S., revenue was 18% higher year-over-year. This included Sportsbook growth of 15% despite the adverse March Madness outcomes and very strong iGaming growth of 32%. Adjusted EBITDA of $161 million was more than 5 times higher than the prior year as our business delivered significant operating leverage. Sales and marketing saw 750 bps improved leverage due to a combination of our maturing state profile and the investment in the North Carolina launch last year. The quarter's performance was also impacted by the Illinois tax increase last July, which we have partially mitigated as previously guided. In International, revenue of $2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $518 million for the quarter reflected constant currency growth of 3% and 2%, respectively. The result was driven by strong performance in our SEA and CEE regions, combined with excellent iGaming growth in UKI and India. Across the segment, sports results were marginally adverse year-over-year, comprising favorable results in SEA and UKI and unfavorable results in APAC. Within International's regions, SEA had an excellent quarter with growth of 14%, driven by 25% AMP growth. UKI saw overall growth moderate to 2%. This included strong iGaming growth of 9%, driven by an 11% increase in AMPs. APAC results for the quarter included excellent iGaming growth of 45% in India, offset by luck-impacted sportsbook revenues in Australia. CEE's strong growth of 15% was driven by performance in Georgia and Serbia. From a cost perspective, we continue to operate with high levels of discipline, giving us the agility to respond to changing trends in our business. The business has many cost levers, and we've previously set out a $300 million cost-saving program, demonstrating our focus on driving operational efficiency, and we are making good progress. The migration of our Sky Bet customers to our in-house platform is on track to complete by the end of Q2 and the migration of PokerStar's Italian customers onto Sisal technology is expected to be completed in Q3. We are also ensuring we continue to put investment into the right areas. Flutter Edge investment increased by $6 million year-over-year to drive product innovation and optimize the efficiency of the services we provide across the group. From a cash flow perspective, net cash from operating activities reduced by 44% and free cash flow reduced by 52% year-over-year. Performance was impacted by a decrease in player deposit liabilities, which is included in our net cash flow from operating activities. The final day of the quarter fell on a weekday this year compared with a weekend last year, resulting in $211 million lower cash balances in customer wallets. While this means that reported cash flow was lower year-over-year, we remain confident in the cash flow trajectory of the business over the long-term horizon as set out at our Investor Day. Available cash remained unchanged quarter-on-quarter at approximately $1.5 billion. The marginal increase in total debt to $6.8 billion against last quarter was a function of euro and sterling strengthening against the dollar. Net debt for the quarter was $5.3 billion with our leverage ratio of 2.2 times based on the last 12 months adjusted EBITDA, consistent with the ratio at the end of 2024. We recently announced the acquisition of Snai was completed using existing debt facilities at attractive terms. As a result, our leverage will increase in the very short term before rapidly reducing given the clear profitable growth opportunities that exist across the group. We remain committed to our medium-term leverage ratio target of 2 to 2.5 times. The share repurchase program, which started last November, and we expect will return up to $5 billion to shareholders over the coming years, continued into 2025 with 891,000 shares repurchased in the quarter for $230 million. We continue to expect to return approximately $1 billion to shareholders via the program during 2025. Moving now to the outlook for 2025. Our existing full-year guidance remains unchanged on an underlying basis with the updated view adjusting for M&A, FX, and the adverse year-to-date sports results, providing a little more color on each of these in turn. We have included the acquisition of Snai from May 1, 2025, expecting revenue of $850 million and adjusted EBITDA of $190 million. NSX is now included from mid-May 2025 with expected revenue of $220 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $70 million. Foreign currency movements of $360 million revenue and $80 million adjusted EBITDA, reflecting the strengthening of euro and sterling since our previous guidance. Finally, the transitory impact of unfavorable U.S. sports results for April year-to-date of $280 million revenue and $180 million adjusted EBITDA. Within our existing U.S. states, we remain on track with the previously guided underlying growth of 22.5% and a 5.4 percentage point expansion in adjusted EBITDA. For new states and territory launches, we continue to assume a Q4 launch for Missouri and an early 2026 launch for Alberta, Canada. Group revenue is now expected to be $17.08 billion at the midpoint with adjusted EBITDA of $3.18 billion for the year, representing 22% and 35% year-over-year growth, respectively, or 14% and 30% before including the benefit of Snai and NSX. Additional detailed information on guidance is available in today's release, including additional income statement and cash flow items, which have been updated to reflect the acquisitions and changes in foreign currency rates previously mentioned. With that, Peter and I are happy to take your questions, and I'll hand you back to Krista to manage the call.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Your first question comes from Ed Young with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Good evening. I've got two questions, both on the U.S., and I'll start with the obvious one perhaps. In your shareholder letter, Peter, you spoke about what you think are specific basketball-related factors on handle. Could you elaborate a little on what you mean by that? And when you said you've seen Q2 handle in line with your expectations and encouraging MLB trends, can you just confirm that you're indicating, therefore, you've seen a handle reacceleration in Q2? Second, on iGaming, there's been a lot of focus on handle given those various concerns around maturity or economic stress, whatever it might be. But U.S. iGaming is showing clearly very strong growth. Can you discuss where you are in terms of product and execution versus peers? And do you think it's plausible iGaming could display these kinds of growth trends if the U.S. gambling market in general were seeing some sort of maturity or macro impact as people relate to handle? Thank you.

Good afternoon, Ed, and good evening to you. Thank you for the questions. I mean, I'll give some thoughts, and I'm sure Rob will want to chime in as well. I think if I take your first question about basketball issues and handle, you're right, we mentioned it in the shareholder letter. The most important point to make here is that handle in the quarter was in line with our expectations. When you look at it from a sports perspective, you have to remember there's always going to be some ebbs and flows. We did see some weakness in basketball, but we saw some very good strength off the back of NFL. And actually, when I look at the MLB performance at the moment, we're very pleased with handle growth there as well. For Q2 handle, don't forget, we are comparing it to last year, where North Carolina was included, and so you would expect whilst the underlying handle can be performing well, when you directly compare it, you've got to make sure you factor that into the numbers. From an iGaming perspective, look, we're really delighted with the way that the team have been delivering for us. I remind you, we talked about how in this year, we plan to get ahead of competitors, and we've clearly delivered that from a product perspective. The on-play jackpot capability that we've brought into the business is resonating well. We're also trialing some of our new reward mechanics as well. So look, there's a strong pipeline of initiatives there. We've got some unique content, which we're deploying as well. So I think we're very pleased with the way that iGaming is performing first in the market.

Yes. I think just to build on a couple of points that Peter mentioned on handle basketball in particular. There was a reason that we called it out because we felt that within the overall basket of the different sports, the basketball handle was perhaps slightly softer than we'd anticipated. We attribute that to some factors that we've seen in basketball in the quarter, including some less competitive matchups over the course of the regular season. That results in larger spreads when it comes to the betting and consequently has an impact in terms of what we see. Some of the top teams have made the playoffs this year, and that may build for us as well. But given our outsized position as market leader, we think the impact on us may be slightly disproportionate. That said, we retain the conviction that we've got the best NBA product in the market. We've also got the highest structural margin in the NBA, and we have a clear competitive product advantage that we'll continue to leverage and maintain. So we feel quite comfortable with that going into Q2. It's also worth mentioning that the playoffs have gotten off to a good start, and there seems to be really good engagement around the playoffs.

Speaker 5

Good afternoon, everyone. I want to start in Italy with Snai. You've spoken to the longer-term synergies across that business. But if we look more near term, I'm seeing if we can get more color now that it's closed on what that integration process looks like and how fast you can start to see the omnichannel benefits between retail and online? And then my second question, it's still early days for Your Way, but you're the only operator to be offering that product in the U.S. today. So there's rumblings that a competitor might be launching a similar product in the near term. Does that at all change the player investment or reinvestment strategy if and when that offering becomes a little bit more competitive?

Hi, Jordan, it's Rob here. Let me start with the Snai question, perhaps hand over to Peter on Your Way. So with Snai, we're absolutely delighted to complete the deal. And when we look at this, it's the last available consolidation step with meaningful significance in Europe's largest regulated gaming market. The deal will see us retain the gold medal position in that market. We're really confident about the synergy plan that we've got there. We can put a common technology stack in place. We really see ways in which we can optimize the operating model, and there's a long tail of other synergies, including preferential retail commissions. We think there's a base synergy case here of €70 million over 3 years. On a run rate 12-month basis, we think we'll deliver 10% of that in the first year and roughly 50% by the time we've got through a couple of years. In terms of the integration plan, we've got a great plan, and actually key decisions on organization and technology have already been made. I think as Peter and I have said before, we really believe we've got the best team in the business in Italy with Francesco and his team. So they're raring to get started, and they've got good plans already in place. So we're feeling very enthusiastic about getting Snai under the Flutter SEA umbrella and seeing what we can do.

And in terms of Your Way, I think it's worth just putting it back into context. I talked about it a little bit in my opening remarks that Your Way is really one of the first sort of manifestations or examples of the new underlying capability that we've built. It's the rewiring of our approach to pricing, and I'm super excited about what we're going to be able to do in the long term with it. I don't want people to think that this is just about the funky sliders that are available now or some of the clever matchups. There's a lot more that underpins it. We've sold a lot of the math. We've re-architected our pricing and risk management capabilities, and we're now exploring what we can do with this from a consumer perspective. We've got some very great stats on the Super Bowl, which Drew shared before. We've got it enabled for the NBA playoffs, so we'll get further insight from there as well. This is a long-term set of initiatives and capabilities we're going to roll out. I'm very excited to see what we can do with it. Your Way is effectively one feature that's unlocked. There's going to be a lot more things coming out in the periods ahead.

Speaker 6

Hey, great. Thanks for taking my question. Just circling back on handle and sort of the first half comps. It does seem that there was a lot of industry promotion last year you were comping. Should we expect some of the industry promo to normalize as we get throughout the balance of the year? And then just looking longer term, you look at industry iGaming, I think New Jersey is in its 12th year from 20% or so in March. I mean, is that the right way to look at the long-term growth of the U.S. sports betting, and are people probably looking a little too much into these handles as potentially implying a slowdown in the market? Thank you.

Hi, Jed. I'll start by reiterating some of the points I made earlier. I mean, I think handle is one of the factors, but there's a lot more that comes into what is ultimately the most important metric for us, which is what's happening from a net revenue perspective. That's what we're very much focused on, and there are a large number of drivers that impact that. You're right in terms of what's happened from a promo perspective last year, and actually even this year, some of the long-tail competitors are doing some interesting things in terms of the promo stance. So people are not always going to be rational, but we've maintained in all the years we've been running the business, a very disciplined stance toward this. We're not going to try and generate handle if it doesn't make sense. Your observations around iGaming are interesting. Look, I remember when we launched into Jersey originally, and here we are those years later, and the business is still growing. We've made a dramatic improvement to the quality of our products, and there's still more to come. We're seeing the benefit of that in terms of the growth rates that we're delivering for our business. I think we need to remember, we're still in the early days of this industry. There's a lot of growth ahead. There's a lot of penetration rates to take. There are new states to bring on board, but we're delivering good growth in the business.

Speaker 7

Great. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe to just follow up on the handle conversation. Can you just talk about the balance of handle growth versus promotion and how much you're investing in the customer right now? And if we are in a world where handle growth is decelerating to mid-high single digits going forward, what the offset could be on the promotional side?

Yes. Maybe let me follow up on that first, Bernie. As Peter said, we've always said that we're extremely disciplined when it comes to our approach in terms of customer generosity. The other point is we continue to innovate and develop our stance when it comes to customer-specific generosity, and we're looking at a bunch of things that should hopefully give us more of an advantage over time. When you look at the broader market, and this is bringing in some of the Tier 2 and Tier 3 operators, we are seeing some very high levels of generosity in the short term. If you look on a more medium to long-term horizon, we think some of those levels will be quite unsustainable. We're following a playbook and approach that's been very successful for us in the past. But as Peter said, in terms of the measures and metrics that are really important to us over the long term, net revenue is the thing that we really focus on.

Speaker 8

Hi, team. Thanks for taking my questions. Just got two. On promotions, you've called out the comp in North Carolina. But on an underlying basis, would it be right to think of promotions as flat? And then my second question is, unfortunately, also on U.S. handle. Are sports betting A&Ps outgrowing handle, i.e., is the slowdown more so over ARPU, if you will, rather than player volumes? Thank you.

Maybe let me start on the promotions question. I think you're right that if you exclude North Carolina from the comps, then we are broadly flat. So you're correct with that assumption.

And then, Ben, your question was around what's happening to the ARPU for the sports betting customers in the quarter year-over-year. I mean, we have seen growth in average player days of around 12% over the year. You can see what's happening to revenues, and there has been some expansion as a consequence. AMPs are growing in line with handle, and revenue has been growing fast.

Speaker 9

Thanks very much. Peter, I wanted to follow up on some of the comments you made around U.S. iGaming performance. I know you highlighted the benefit that some of the daily jackpot and rewards features are having on the business. But I wanted to see if you could also talk about the push that you're making with first-party content. Specifically on the back end, if you're successful with both of these, is this going to be a revenue driver? Will it be something that helps you extract some cost savings? And then bigger picture, this feels like it's sort of part of what we've seen over a multiyear timeframe in the U.K. So I'm curious, I guess, if you could help us maybe contextualize things around what maybe is on the back end of this sort of current push a few years down the road.

We're really focused in the iGaming business. It's true here in the U.S., but if we picked out any of our other markets, it would be equally valid on delivering what our customers want. If I think about the Huff 'n Puff launch, look, it's a very popular slot across casino floors in America. Being first to market for an online casino was important. It was a record-breaking launch for us, and it's ranked number one in unique actives for slots across all states in the days of launch. These things are really important in terms of driving revenue and frequency and customer engagement. The extent to which we can find ways of bringing that sort of unique content to the platform is important. We know that's true in all markets. People want to have their favorites, but they also need to keep us fresh and exciting new content available for people as well. The work that we've been doing around jackpots, we've been really pleased with the number of our actives on the platform, and we've hit 1 million AMPs in Q1 for the first time in iGaming. We've been really pleased with the way that jackpots have worked for us on the platform. We've taken a decision to have higher frequency, lower payouts, and we think that's working well. It's delivering what our customers want. We take a very customer-obsessed approach to delivery.

Just building on Peter's first point as well, Clark, we do have our own kind of studios in-house, which provide a certain proportion of our overall content and games within our iGaming suite. That's something that we've invested in, we're quite focused on. Given the disaggregated nature of content and new games always coming out, that will remain a relatively small proportion. We've got that in our international markets and hope to bring that to the U.S. in due course, which reduces rev share and has other benefits as well as helping drive the top line. So the best way to characterize the lotto opportunity is that it's a really unique and sizable opportunity to cement our leadership position in Italy. We have made a bid in a consortium with Scientific Games, and we think we'll bring significant expertise to the consortium, and we're expecting to hear the outcome in early Q3. In terms of our strategic rationale, this lotto is the largest draw-based concession. It's low risk and highly profitable in its own right. If you look at the digitalization of that product at the moment, it's low single digits versus 30% plus in France and 60% plus in the U.K. So there's really unexploited growth potential from a digital perspective. Yes, you're right, cross-sell is a key component that we will look at as well, and that's an area where we've had success with the SuperEnalotto product already in Italy. Through the consortium, we'll share the capital outlay, and as we've said, the deal would be highly synergistic, and the financial returns we think would be very compelling if we were to win the bid.

Speaker 10

Good afternoon or good evening, everybody, and thanks for taking my question. The first question is on the prediction markets. Hoping, Peter, you could just address all the chatter out there, and with the roundtable canceled, what is the next sort of milestone or event that we should all be keen on in the next weeks and months? Then the second question is another question you were asked earlier, just to ask it a different way. The first quarter was a second quarter of very favorable results. A lot of betters out there have lots of cash in their accounts. Is it wrong to look at that as de facto added resiliency in the balance of your guidance and your operational outlook, knowing that those folks have flush accounts?

I'll take that. Let me start with the prediction markets question. I've said this to people before, but it's worth reminding you, we do operate the world's largest sports betting exchange. The Betfair Exchange has given us very good insights into how this stuff can play out. You've got to be quite thoughtful about how exciting the exchange product can be when you have a fully-fledged sports betting product available to you. We can see how important the parlay mix is to a U.S. audience. You can't access that in the same way with something like the exchange. We are interested in the potential opportunity. We've brought some of our team who have experience in building these products and services from the Betfair Exchange business and put them into FanDuel to help us evaluate the opportunity. We're working through it. Clearly, in states that haven't regulated, there's a prime the pump type of opportunity that is not that dissimilar to some DFS stuff. Albeit it's worth remembering that DFS is a really good precursor to the parlay product, whereas the prediction markets are quite limited. So we're interested in the potential opportunity, and there are puts and takes, and we're working our way through it.

To pick up on your second point, Brandt, in terms of the couple of quarters of favorable results and whether or not that has resilient. It depends on a number of factors, such as who the winners are, the mix of those winners, and how much they're winning. Ultimately, customers having more back in their wallets can't be unhelpful to quarters still to come. We'll monitor that and see. The point to reiterate here is that we've got absolute conviction in our pricing and our structural margin assumptions and that we're getting that right. It's not the first time in history that we've had a period of customer-friendly results. There have been similar examples in the UKI market, for example, in the past, where we experienced two or three successive negative results in Q4. Very positive results in Q4 last year. If you look at a net basis over a 3-year period, the margin was actually marginally favorable. So it's not the first time we've seen this and probably won't be the last time, but we're confident in our underlying pricing and structural margin.

Paul Tymms Head of Investor Relations

Okay. I'll make the closing comments, Krista. Look, thank you very much, everybody, for joining. I know there were a couple of people who we struggled to get onto the line, so we apologize, and please call us afterwards, and we'll speak to you. But thank you all very much for joining. Much appreciated.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.