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GRNT · Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.

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$5.11 +0.07 (+1.39%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$674.01M
Shares
131.90M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 6, 2026 Audio replay
Mar 6, 2026 34:46 28 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
34:46
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Granite Ridge reported Q4 2025 production up 27% year-over-year to 35,120 Boe/day with Adjusted EBITDAX of $69.5 million, and guided 2026 production to 35,000 Boe/day (9% growth) while reducing development capex roughly 15% to $315 million, targeting free cash flow from operations in 2027.

Inventory and Acreage Acquisitions 41 Production and Capital Efficiency 38 Free Cash Flow Transition 36 Capital Return / Dividend 12 Commodity Price and Hedging 8 Utica Shale Non-Op 8

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +55 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We have built our business for capital-efficient growth and free cash flow visibility at $60 oil.”
  • “In the Permian, our average acquisition cost per net location was just $1.4 million, far below recent public market transactions.”
  • “We see 2026 as a year of transition. Production growth is moderating, and development capital expenditures are aligning more closely with expected cash flow.”
  • “We have also signed up three additional operator partners, each pursuing a different strategy in the Permian.”

Forward guidance

7 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $105.48M -0.8% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$25.06M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Q4 production rose 27% year-over-year to 35,120 Boe/day, including 17% oil growth
  • Full-year 2025 production grew 28% to 32,000 Boe/day
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDAX (non-GAAP) of $69.5 million; full-year Adjusted EBITDAX of approximately $315 million
  • Permian operated partnership net locations acquired at $1.4 million per location, below recent public market transactions
  • Executed over 50 Permian transactions since 2023, adding 331 gross (77.2 net) locations in 2025 for $122 million
  • Year-end liquidity of $339.5 million with Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDAX of 1.2x and quarterly dividend maintained at $0.11/share

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 net loss of $25.1 million, or $(0.19) per share
  • At current strip pricing, company anticipates a modest outspend in 2026 and does not expect free cash flow from operations until 2027
  • Production growth is moderating, with 2026 exit production expected to be essentially flat or only modestly up vs. 2025 exit
  • Oil volumes are guided down in the first half of 2026 (low single-digit decline in Q1 and Q2) before increasing
  • Added oil hedges in response to recent geopolitical shocks, signaling commodity price risk

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“We see 2026 as a year of transition. Production growth is moderating, and development capital expenditures are aligning more closely with expected cash flow. At current strip prices, we expect to achieve free cash flow from operations in 2027.” Speaker 2, CEO
“2026 production is expected to average 34,000 to 36,000 barrels equivalent per day, with oil just under half the mix. Development capital is projected at $300 million to $330 million, and total capital is $320 million to $360 million, including acquisitions. The key point is this: growth is moderating, capital intensity is coming down, and development spending is aligning much more closely with expected cash flow.” Kyle Kettler, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 5, 2026.

Metric Guided
Oil production (% of total production) table
2026 Guidance
50% – 52%
Lease operating expenses (per Boe) table
2026 Guidance
$7 – $8
Production and ad valorem taxes (% of total revenue) table
2026 Guidance
6% – 7%

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Oil volumes as percentage of total production
2026
51%
Development capital expenditures
2026
$315M
Acquisition capital expenditures
2026
$20M – $30M
Maintenance capital
2026
$250M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.11
Full-screen source Call document