Operator
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us and welcome to the Hudson Pacific Properties second quarter 2026 earnings call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Laura Campbell, Executive Vice President, Investor Relations and Marketing. Laura, please go ahead.
Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me on the call today are Victor Coleman, Chairman and CEO, Mark Lamas, President, Harut Dirmarian, CFO, and Art Swazzo, EVP of Leasing. This morning, we filed our earnings release and supplemental on an 8K with the SEC, and both are now available on our website, along with an audio webcast of this call for reply. Some of the information we'll share on the call today is forward-looking in nature. Please reference our earnings release and supplemental for statements regarding forward-looking information, as well as the reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures used on this call. Today, Victor will discuss our second quarter results and current market trends. Mark will provide detail on our office and studio operations, and Harut will review our financial results and 2026 outlook. Thereafter, we'll be happy to take your questions. Victor?
Thanks, Laura. Hello, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter call. This was both a record leasing and highly productive quarter for Hudson Pacific. We signed 1.3 million square feet of new and renewal office leases, headlined by a landmark 891,000 square foot, 24-year lease with the city and county of San Francisco at 1455 market, which locks in nearly a quarter of a century of cash flow visibility. Occupancy increased 470 basis points, our fourth consecutive quarter of gains, and improved performance across our office and studio portfolios drove same-store NOI up 7.5%. Together, with continued cost reductions and Coyote restructuring, we nearly tripled core FFO and achieved a 30% increase on a per-share basis. We also stayed disciplined on capital, maintaining total liquidity of $876 million while continuing to execute our asset disposition plan. And importantly, as we look ahead, we reloaded our leasing pipeline to 2.4 million square feet. That leasing strength is playing out against a constructive venture and IPO backdrop. U.S. venture investment totaled $145 billion in the second quarter, its second largest and strongest quarter ever, with funding broadening beyond large language models into defense tech, AI infrastructure, robotics, and space tech. This all points to a wider, more diverse tenant base rather than a single sector bed, which will benefit our portfolio over time. The IPO market is improving too, with pending listings signaling further office demand as newly public companies and the ecosystem around them continue to grow. Across nearly every market in our portfolio, demand is broadening along virtually no new construction and that dynamic is strengthening fundamentals though at different rates across our markets. San Francisco posted its seventh consecutive quarter of positive absorption and its largest year-over-year rent increase since 2020. We're seeing strength at the sub-market levels across the peninsula and valley led by strong year-to-date positive absorption in Foster City and Redwood City Redwood Shores along with multiple headline leases in Santa Clara. In Los Angeles, our leasing efforts are focused on West Los Angeles, which commends the market's most robust activity and highest rents, even as the broader markets remain challenged overall. The Puget Sound extended its recovery for its third consecutive quarter, led by downtown Seattle, which leases came from Anthropic, DocuSign, and Stripe, helped drive the first improvement in CBD vacancy in six years. And downtown Vancouver continues to stand out on fundamentals with vacancy just over 12 percent the tightest in our portfolio with positive net absorption both for the quarter and year to date regarding studios our prime location studios continue to outperform as the production landscape remains mixed new york's accounts improved and los angeles was relatively stable as california's production pipeline continues to work through a meaningful backlog of tax credit approval projects not yet in production importantly with SAG-AFTRA, WGA, and DGA, all ratifying new four-year AMP-TP agreements, the labor risk that drove much of the industry's recent volatility is now off the table. Our strategy remains unchanged. Restructure Coyote while optimizing performance at our best-in-class assets. Finally, turning to dispositions, we continue to make good progress against our $200 million target, having sold 2001 Gateway after quarter end with three additional Bay Area office assets currently in contract or negotiation alongside our 10950 Washington residential development site. Buyer demand for barrier office assets has picked up meaningfully this year, allowing us to execute this program on our timeline and redeploy capital toward our broader strategic priorities. Now with that, I'm going to turn it over to Mark, who's going to talk about leasing and operations.
Thanks, Victor. As you noted, we signed 1.3 million square feet of office leases in the quarter, 61% new and 39% renewal. On top of the city and county of San Francisco lease for 891,000 square feet, we executed an additional 402,000 square feet of leases, 71% of which were new and 29% renewal. Our occupancy increased 470 basis points sequentially to 82.5% and our lease rate climbed 440 basis points sequentially to 82.8%. Our portfolio occupancy and leased percentages improved everywhere except the already strong Palo Alto and Vancouver submarkets, both of which ended the quarter effectively 94% leased. Rent spreads grew 17.2% on a gap basis and decreased 11.4% on a cash basis. Excluding the city and county lease, gap rents were off 3.3% and cash rents were down 9.9%, due primarily to mid-sized deals in Palo Alto, rolling off of pre-pandemic peak market rents. However, these rents are still quite healthy and north of $80 per square foot. Net effective rents strengthened this quarter, rising 22% sequentially and 9% year over year, benefiting significantly from the city and county lease. Trailing 12-month net effective rents were up 7% sequentially and 1% year over year. Tours rose nearly 20% year over year. Even with strong second quarter leasing, we reloaded the pipeline to 2.4 million square feet, nearly 70% new leases with an average requirement size north of 20,000 square feet. Excluding 2001 Gateway, which we sold earlier in the third quarter, and 875 Howard, where we now have line of sight on a potential sale. We have just over 50% coverage on approximately 400,000 square feet of leases set to expire through the remainder of the year. This includes 80% coverage on the PayPal lease at 4th Attraction. At Washington 1000, we now have coverage for approximately 65% of the building, up from 60% last quarter, with active negotiations across nine tenants, including requirements of up to 125,000 square feet. We're seeing strong traction on our newly delivered move-in ready suites, with eight tenants in the last 30 days touring or scheduling tours. Tour activity building wide has also increased, driven primarily by new-to-market tech, AI, and professional services firms. Turning to studios, we continue to see strong interest from leading showrunners and major studios for our prime production space. Our in-service stages were 74.6% leased during the second quarter, up 180 basis points sequentially, driven by an improved lease rate at Sunset Pier 94, up 40 percentage points to 78.5%. Our Hollywood stages, inclusive of Sunset Las Palmas, remain well leased at 95.5%. As part of our Coyote restructuring, we have designated as non-Core with plans to exit its least sound stage facilities and Atlanta area operations, as well as Coyote's pro supplies and stage ancillary businesses, including lighting and grit. Going forward, we will speak to our studio NOI on a core basis, which in the second quarter reflects Sunset Studios and Coyote's fleet operations in Los Angeles and New York. Core Studio NOI was up $3.1 million sequentially and $7 million year-over-year to $4.6 million, with HPP's share turning positive for the first time in two years at $2.2 million. Putting a finer point on the Coyote restructuring to date, Coyote generated negative cash NOI of $18.6 million in 2024. Since then, our restructuring efforts have improved annualized run rate cash NOI by approximately $14.3 million, bringing the fleet business to just over $4 million of negative annualized cash NOI at current demand levels, closing roughly three-quarters of the gap to our breakeven objective. turning to value creation optionality across the portfolio we continue to make progress on our re-entitlement and adaptive reuse an area where our team's expertise is a real differentiator at 901 market in san francisco we filed our office to residential re-entitlement application with entitlements expected before year end we're also advancing construction drawings in parallel so we can quickly move once approved essentially the same playbook we're running at 10 950 washington We also recently amended the CC&Rs at Metro Center in Foster City and across our Redwood Shores assets to permit residential use, giving us the flexibility to explore residential and mixed-use development. This isn't a reaction to soft leasing demand, as we're seeing healthy interest in these locations, rather a proactive step to unlock value by tapping into strong residential demand, independent of where the office leasing cycle stands. In short, these entitlement efforts will create development options to enhance our current portfolio value. And now, Haru will take you through our financial results and outlook. Thanks, Mark.
Total revenues were $188.3 million compared to $190 million in the prior year, primarily due to asset dispositions, most significantly the sale of Element LA, almost entirely offset by improved office occupancy. As a result of ongoing cost-saving initiatives, G&A improved 11% to $12 million compared to $13.5 million in the prior year. The latter adjusted to exclude the prior year expense associated with the one-time cancellation of non-cash compensation agreements. We nearly tripled core FFO to $23.1 million up from $8 million in the prior year, while core FFO on a per-diluted share basis increased 30% to $0.35, up from $0.27 in the prior year. Adjustments to core FFO, including non-core QOD lines of business, totaled $7.5 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, compared to $19.2 million, or $0.64 per diluted share, in the prior year. We grew same-store cash NOI 7.5% to $90.2 million, compared to $83.9 million in the prior year, driven by higher office and studio occupancy. Turning to our balance sheet, total liquidity of $876 million includes $81 million of cash and full availability of $795 million on our credit facility. Interest expense was 20% lower year-over-year, representing $9.7 million of savings, and all of our debt is fixed or capped. Regarding the Hollywood media portfolio alone, subsequent to quarter and the loan transfer to the special servicer ahead of its third quarter maturity, the borrower and the special servicer have since agreed on terms for a longer term extension, along with a 30 day extension to finalize documentation. Wrapping up our 2026 outlook, we are raising our full year core FFO to a range of $1.12 to $1.20 per diluted share, up from the prior range of $1.10 to $1.18 per diluted share. This updated range reflects, at the midpoint, approximately one penny of outperformance in the second quarter compared to our initial expectations, as well as approximately one pinny attributable to improved expectations for the second half of the year. As we have previously noted, even with the first and second quarter outperformance, we anticipate third quarter expirations will impact occupancy and earnings results with a rebound in the fourth quarter. As a reminder, this updated range excludes the previously announced closures of QOD's stage and Atlanta operations and the associated stage ancillary and pro supply segments from core FFO. And, as always, our outlook excludes potential dispositions, acquisitions, or capital markets activity. With that, I'll turn the call back to Victor for closing remarks.
Thanks, Root. Simply put, the second quarter reflects exactly the execution we said we'd deliver. Record leasing, our fourth consecutive quarter of occupancy growth, a transformative long-term agreement with the City and County of San Francisco, and a Coyote restructuring that's now yielding measurable earnings benefits. We still have work ahead of us, but each of these actions reinforces the same outcome, a clear and credible path to sustained FFO per share growth. Operator, now I'd like to turn it back to you for questions.
Operator
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Your first question comes from the line of Jamie Feldman with Wells Fargo. Jamie, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking the question. I'm sitting in for Blaine today. his house. But great color on some of the markets. I'll leave a goodie. Yeah, we're back. Don't call it a comeback. I had some line like that I was going to use, but I don't know. Couldn't come up with anything good. So West L.A., you're talking about a recovery and then you still have decent upside to get to stabilization in North San Jose, Denny Triangle. Can you just talk more about those markets, but especially West L.A., if there's a real inflection point happening or how we should think about what's to come?
Well, I mean, West LA, you guys cover other of our peers. You're seeing, you know, it's a bifurcated marketplace, right? You've got Brentwood and Century City and Beverly Hills doing exceptionally well. I think Westwood and Santa Monica are a little slower. Olympic Corridor is a little slower. But again, there is zero construction in the near future for new product. And so good space is pretty much leased up or in spoken for and being expanded upon. And I think you're seeing that momentum potentially drive into some of the other marketplaces like Santa Monica, and hopefully in Westwood and overall the West side. Culver City has been strong all the way through, but there's very little product there. And everything that's being built in that marketplace is already pre-leased.
But I guess more on the demand side, like what's changing?
Well, listen, we've talked about the fire tenants being being massively impactful in in West L.A., majority of which is led by law firms. You know, the the streaming slash entertainment companies have taken sort of homes in specific marketplaces like Apple and Culver, you know, Sony, Sony and Culver, Netflix and Hollywood and Amazon, Amazon spreads for themselves between obviously Santa Monica and Culver, Lionsgate, Beverly Hills. And so, you know, entertainment companies, WME, the same, are all in those marketplaces, and then their ancillary guys are growing. You know, implications around AI is just not that strong here yet. They're small growth tenants, but I do think it's entertainment and fire, and that's sort of the nucleus. Art, you want to comment on that?
I mean, I think the demand drivers, Jamie, are positive. They're modestly improving. you know, there was an improvement in net absorption, you know, gross leasing was up slightly, things like that that we're monitoring very closely. And that's coming from the small to mid-sized tenants in the market. As you know, all this talk about West LA improving, West LA has been driving the LA market, you know, for several years, and it will continue to do so, you know, as the demand drivers continue to increase.
Okay. And then, if I can ask another, just the studio loan, can you just talk about how you're including that in guidance or anything you can say about, you know, expectations of what that could look like for numbers or how we should be modeling it?
Yeah, so, you know, we can't get into any specifics because we're still finalizing the documentation, but what we can say is, in our guidance, we've kept things the same, and that is our expectation.
Okay, so just kept, like, same interest expense that you've got now? Don't change anything? Okay. All right, thank you.
Thanks, Jamie. Welcome back.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Yana Galan with Bank of America. Yana, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning and congrats on the strong office leasing and the improvements at Coyote. I guess maybe first question on the guidance. The main change seems to be the outperformance in second quarter GNA.
Are there any other kind of puts and takes that are driving the FFO guidance increase given the strong leasing outlook? um hi there uh just around guidance so yes our second quarter was very strong but not that strong compared to our own expectations we we beat our own expectations by about a penny and um we our projections are higher about that penny so the leasing expectations that we've experienced in the second quarter and the projections are in line with our previous guidance so nothing's really changed from that expectation, which is why you're not seeing a massive increase in our projections and our guidance.
Thank you. And then maybe just on the transaction market, given the asset sale post-quarter and just a few more that may come, if you can just kind of comment on what you're seeing the kind of demand and depth of buyers like.
Well, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, I mean, San Francisco is seeing an influx of interest levels. And so we have closed one deal, as we mentioned, and we've got three others, two of which are in contract, and one is imminently going to be in contract, that sort of show indicative interest level of the demand in the marketplace for our asset quality. And we're comfortable with our pricing. I think we've exceeded our expectations in three out of the four assets that we are selling. There is one asset that potentially could be an owner-user, and so that pricing is going to be dependent on timeline and occupancy for the owner-user. But overall, the demand drivers right now for the disposition market, from our standpoint, are very strong.
Operator
Thank you, Victor. Thanks, Harut.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler. Alexander, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hey, thank you, and good morning out there. Two questions. First, Harut, on the updated guidance, you guys say it excludes the, you know, the Coyote, you know, restructuring, but that would be a positive to guidance, would it not?
So, if you were to include that, guidance would increase? i just want to make sure i'm thinking about it right no um it would not increase we just like last quarter and the guys provide last quarter we've removed the impact of the coyote restructuring so it's not impacting the numbers that we have shared so just like our core ffo doesn't include that in our results neither does our guidance but isn't isn't that a drag on earnings and once that drag as a way like you're streamlining the portfolio and there's less cost going forward?
I understand in the in-between there's a negative, but wouldn't that be a positive term?
Alex, you're precisely right. It is a drag. So that is to say it operates at a loss. So the removal of it improves core FFO, right?
So our Navy FFO is dragged by it, but our core FFO is not.
Okay. Now I'm thinking about it right. Right. Second question is, Art, on Seattle, as we think about the interplay between the Eastside and CBD, you know, there's all like we want to get really enthusiastic and say, hey, Seattle could turn quickly and things are going well. At the same time, you know, office moves slower than we all think. As we think about the CBD rebound, you know, do you think this is a, you know, a later this year, 27 event? Or do you think it takes longer than that, just based on how office always, as I say, seems to take longer than we'd like?
Yeah, I mean, the good news is, you know, the word rebound is being used. We're already seeing green shoots, Alex. We've been talking about the greater Puget Sound, you know, with three quarters of positive absorption. We saw for the first time in six years the CBD this quarter had positive absorption. We're seeing demand drivers continue to increase. across downtown Seattle. And specific to our portfolio, specific to our pipeline, Seattle for the last two quarters has the most deals in negotiation than any sub-market that we have, including the Valley, including San Francisco. And to us, I mean, that's a tremendous sign of what's to come. And it's really being driven by not just the larger tenants that have come back in the market that we've talked about for the last two or three quarters. It's really the 10,000 to 30,000 square foot tenants and the expansion of those tenants in the market, which, by the way, is predominantly driven by growth in the professional service firms, the fire sector, and governmental firms that are there. So we're seeing it real time. And it's demonstrated by the fact that these, you know, this last quarter, there were three larger deals done in downtown Seattle. Again, that demonstrates that the larger tenant demand is broadening beyond just Bellevue, as people had thought before.
Okay, thank you. Thanks, Alex.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Caitlin Burroughs with Goldman Sachs. Caitlin, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hi, just to follow up then on Seattle, wondering if you can talk about how what you're seeing in the Seattle market is or is not impacting activity at Washington 1000 and kind of leasing potential there.
Hi. Yeah, no, it absolutely is. In fact, we're seeing, as I mentioned to Alex, we have more activity in our pipeline, which is active deals and negotiation in Seattle than any other market. It's over 600,000 square feet for the for the market. Washington 1000, we talked about nine deals we have in negotiation represents over half of that. So 300,000, about 350,000 square feet of deals in different stages that have been impacted. And we feel like we've had more momentum than we ever had. Even as we speak, you know, kind of the last 30 days, tour activity has increased kind of in the dead of summer. tour activity has increased tremendously.
Okay, got it. And then just on the maybe same Surin-OI side, it looks like guidance suggested deceleration in the second half. I think you guys mentioned earlier that there could be like lease expirations or low retention in the second half. So wondering if you could talk about that a little bit and the expectation for, yeah, I guess like occupancy in the back half.
Sure. As far as the guidance goes, What I specifically say is not the second half, but primarily the third quarter. You know, we have two large expirations that are impacting our numbers in the third quarter that we've previously spoken about. This is not the first time we've brought it up. And we expect a rebound again in the fourth quarter.
Let me answer that. On the occupancy question, if you're waiting on that answer, we've maintained that midpoint, that 81%. You know, when we initially launched that guidance, we had indicated that if you kind of run the math from the beginning to the end of the year it suggests that uh we should end the year towards the mid you know kind of mid 80 ish range uh and that remains uh that remains intact okay thank you your next question comes from the line of dylan brzezinski with green street dylan your line is open please go ahead hi guys thanks for taking the question And just maybe continuing with that mid-80% occupancy year-end and maybe looking at sort
of the 2.4 million square foot leasing pipeline, is there any sort of large leases that are needed to require to hit that mid-80% occupancy range? And then maybe just sort of diving into that 2.4 million square feet a little bit more. You mentioned an average size over 20,000 square foot, but are there any sort of leases or potential leases that are well over that 100,000-square-foot range?
Hey, Dylan. So, yeah, we have a series of leases that are the average size that we're talking about, and that's the majority of the portfolio. There are a couple of deals that are multi-tenant floors and leases that are large, but we're still banking on our bread and butter, which is the 20,000 to 30,000-footers that are out there right now, and that seems to be the consistent aspect of where our properties are lined up. Not to say, as Art had mentioned, in Seattle as an example, I mean, there have been now, you know, a handful of deals either closed or about to close over 100,000 feet. And, you know, I think there's more for sure in that marketplace behind it. There is clearly more in the city that are larger tenants. Specific to our portfolio, we do have our fair share. But what we're really talking about on the 2.4 million square feet is the average size tenants of 20,000 to 30,000 footers.
Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe just touching on sort of capital markets, obviously mentioned confident in hitting that $200 million target this year. But as you sort of think about beyond 26, I mean, is there any desire to sort of continue bringing assets to market to potentially help deleverage the balance sheet, given the strength that you've seen in capital markets? And hopefully that continues.
So, Dylan, as you know, you've covered this for a long time. You know, we've we've increased our optionality for the ability for us to lower our our debt matrices and the likes of that. And that that will continue working on these dispositions right now, confident that they're all going to go through and we're going to exceed that 200 million dollar number that we talked about at the beginning of the year. We have other options that are out there with with assets that could either be put but put in the marketplace, given the activity in the market, or we have options on refinancing certain assets or just financing assets that are unencumbered as well. So we've got, and we've got other alternatives. The nice thing is, is we do have some time. We're acutely aware of what our needs are and what the demand market is at the end of the day. And I think we're comfortable with our ability to execute on all fronts. Great. Thanks, Victor. See you, buddy.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Seth Bergey with Citi. Seth, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Okay, thanks for taking my question. I guess just to start, you kind of talked on the increased activity with the transaction market and the depth of the buyer pool. But just, you know, what type of money is out there that's interested in office product? Is it core money? Is it opportunistic money? and just how are you seeing that kind of evolve?
So I think there's three buckets, Seth, that you're looking at. I mean, there is a revamped core money that is out there that is looking for the high-end, high-quality. It was more driven around Walt, and it still sort of relies on that aspect. I mean, the opportunistic dollars are absolutely at the forefront for office looking for value add, which is usually lease-up or repositioning. And then and then you still have your owner user dollars that are out there that we've seen, you know, a fair amount that is either owner user for an occupancy standpoint or conversion standpoint. You know, we we did comment in our prepared remarks. We have some options on some assets, just like we did at 10950. It's not been our core game plan to convert assets to residential, but we are in the process of a couple of assets in the portfolio right now that we're entitling. And the activity is very strong on that as well, given the demand for residential. So I think there are three buckets. They're consistent. I believe that, you know, the trade dollars, we haven't seen much of the trade dollars, albeit we did do a deal with the 1031 exchange just recently. that was our most recent deal. So the markets are pretty much even across the board for activity and interest levels.
Great. Thanks. And then just maybe as leasing activity continues to accelerate, are you seeing any changes in kind of the timing of the conversion from when tenants are touring assets to signing leases?
I mean, I think at the end of the day, it's competitive driven, right? So high quality stuff, if there's one or two tenants looking at it, the decisions are being made quicker brokers are more aware i i will let art comment but and and and ken's in the room as well um for for the bay area but i think what you're finding now is high quality space is getting grabbed quickly and as a result of that a tenant is only looking at when they had maybe four or five options that were clear and identified now if it's one and one or two they're moving quicker on one and two versus hey i have four different options i can take my time Yeah, no question.
It's demand driven. You know, we're seeing in the markets where actually we are well leased, you know, 94% in Palo Alto and Vancouver and so forth, West LA. I mean, decisions have to be made quicker by necessity. And so as you start to see that pendulum swing on leverage, or dare I say leverage, you're going to get a truncated deal cycle time. And we're certainly seeing more and more of that.
Let's not mistaken this to be a landlord's market, though. I want to make sure we're clear on that. That's what I said, dare I say. Doors are always open for us to make deals.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of John Kim with BMO Capital Markets. John, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Thank you. I wanted to ask for more color on your 2.4 million person leasing pipeline. I think last quarter you gave some information on how much of that was tech versus AI. So if you could provide some of that and how much of the pipeline will be addressing either near-term expirations or currently vacant space?
Hey, John, it's Art. Yeah, so that we, first of all, we grew the pipeline, right? We were about 2.3, even after the large quarter, we've, the team's done an excellent job of increasing the number. You know, it's interesting, over the last 12 to 18 months, there's been a lot of attention paid to, for good reason, to tech and the AI ecosystem. But what we're finding now in our active deals and negotiation pipeline is it's evenly distributed. It's about 50-50 AI ecosystem slash tech versus non-tech, which is professional service firms, fire sector, and now kind of governmental agencies taking more space. And so we have a broader depth of tenants that are looking for space, which is great. And they're all, not just the tech and the AI ecosystem, they're all looking for some level of expansion down the road. So we feel even better than we did before this last quarter.
And how much of it is new versus renewal?
70. Right now in our active pipeline, it's 70-30, 70 new, 30-30 renewal.
Okay. And now that your Hollywood media, CNBS, has gotten a short-term extension, but it's in special servicing, is your expectation that this will ultimately be refinanced, or is it a possibility that you'd walk away from these assets? But assuming it's the former, do you expect any pay down as part of that extension? Or do you expect pricing to change even though it's not officially in your guidance?
So, John, I want to be clear. We've commented on it. We're not going to talk about what's the pay down. We're not going to talk about the terms until they're finalized, okay? Your assumption is that, which is wrong, it's a short-term extension. But that's your assumption, okay? So I want to just make sure you're clear on that. In terms of us walking away from the assets or dealing with the refinancing, we'll address that publicly when we get the renewal completed.
So if it's not short term, how long is the extension for?
John, as I said, you'll get full terms and conditions on the extension when we announce it. You're not going to get it in advance of anybody else.
Thank you. your next question comes from the line of ronald camden with morgan stanley ronald your line is open please go ahead great thanks so much just uh commentary just on an affo obviously a lot of the leasing has come through nicely how do you guys think about the capex trailing off and sort of the prospects of that affo uh to start kicking into gear as well thanks sure um either on uh so So the FFO, I think we previously stated this, that we're still working through the leasing There's a lot of leasing that are mentioned that's still coming.
The spend usually comes in a little later than we've experienced in the past. So we expect FFO to be up and down over the next few quarters until all the spend is happening and the cash flow starts coming through from all those leasing. So even though we've done a lot of good leasing, there's still some CapEx to be spent, and that leasing still hasn't generated cash flow yet, full cash flow.
Helpful. And then just on the studio recovery and so forth, now that, you know, obviously the QLT services in Atlanta is out, how do you guys think about sort of the ramp and the ultimate sort of NOI opportunity now with that studio business?
Any color there would be helpful. thank you yeah um i mean maybe just to make sure our expectations are uh you know in line you know our first goal is to get this thing to break even and if you look at our results uh you know and i assume you're talking about the community business that because that's really where the you know the opportunity um uh sits is um if you look at our uh second quarter results you'll see that um we're now uh generating somewhere in the neighborhood of call it negative four million annualized cash noi uh that is with a backdrop of about 70 shows um uh we think we've through all that cost-cutting efforts we've uh managed to um uh lower the threshold uh to get to break even in terms of show count so um if we if shows can improve very very modestly say from the current 70 level to 80 we think we're uh at break even um when we started the cost cutting endeavor shows were around 90 um had they uh stuck to the at that level we would be in positive territory already um so which is to say if we were at 90 shows we should be running at like you know positive four or five million we think of positive in a line cash uh for coyote um uh that we we you know we're not trying to project where we think show counts are trending we are just going to continue to focus on costs we're going to continue to um uh reach uh for that break-even point we think we're getting increasingly close to that as the number show um and we'll and we'll see where things go from there. Right now, we're in summer. Summer is, you know, historically a slow period. We'll see if shows pick up as we get closer to fall, and hopefully if they do, we'll start to see, you know, positive NOI in Coyote.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Richard Anderson with Cantor Fritzgerald. Richard, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hey, thanks. Some I'm going to draft off that last question for you, Mark. Do you still approach the Coyote Unwind as if it's 70 shows? You're not counting on 80 or 90, and so the process continues? I just want to make sure I understand that.
That's right. Or maybe to put an even finer point on it, if you look at our guidance, we are assuming no improvement in show count.
Okay. That's what I figured. I just wanted to confirm. Now, what does the Coyote platform look like as a long-term hold in terms of lease stages and so on? Like, you know, where and what should we expect to be the, you know, sort of the ultimate landing point?
Well, once the announced wind downs are done, it will consist of a fleet of various types of vehicles of about a little bit more than a thousand vehicles largely located in Los Angeles with some in New York. that will be the you know the remaining uh going concern if you will um uh you know i'll you know victor can comment on you know where we go from there because the first you know priorities to get that wind down done and uh give ourselves a chance at you know profitability um and then where we go from there i think you know you know we'll you know we'll have to you know explore yeah and
And Rich, you know, just in line with that, it's, you know, let's not let the numbers get skewed a little bit here or there. You know, we still have market share in the in the range of 70 percent in that business. So it's not that we're servicing just our portfolio. We're servicing the industry itself. And so as the industry evolves and if it if it lays out to where it is right now, which we underwrote it at, as Mark said, you know, we'll we'll break even relatively shortly. If it ends up expanding, then there's options for us to look at that industry and that business around Coyote and look at our alternatives.
But it's a fleet business at the end of the day. Would you be out of the leased studios as well entirely? Yeah, that's the goal. On the Coyote side, pretty clear, right? Yeah, on the Coyote side. On the Coyote side. Yeah, understood. And so then my last question is, you know, that's a nice, nice change from 18.6 million loss in 2024 to 4 million currently run rate today.
Would you describe yourself as ahead of the game versus when you started to talk about the unwind process? i would in in in that you know even as we've lost demand that is to say you know show counts have uh gone down uh over the time frame that we've been cutting costs um the fact that we are uh approaching break even even in that kind of declining demand environment i think is a a good indicator that our our plan is working um and uh um and you know because like because we would be in positive territory as i indicated had had demand held up okay and then just real quickly will the studio side of coyote will that extend into 2027 in terms of the unwind i mean year-end this year will you still be in some studios or i again i apologize well we we don't we're in the process we've got call it we we started with 10 leases uh uh um mostly staged leases uh we have uh we're out of five of them and we are in negotiation on the remaining five Okay.
All right. Great. Thanks for the color.
Operator
Your final question comes from Jamie Feldman with Wells Fargo. Jamie, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking the follow-up. So I guess just sticking with the studios, can you just talk about the potential show pipeline? I think you had commented on, you know, now that there's more stability or visibility on labor, maybe you feel better about what's out there. Can you just give us more color of what you think could come to the studios?
I mean, Jamie, listen, as Mark said, it is a quiet time right now. I think the labor comment is absolutely apparent that there are no foreseeable hurdles on that basis. As we're seeing, New York has picked up dramatically. So it's taken some business away from Los Angeles. our core portfolio is extremely performing extremely well and very well at least in terms of what we own you know the show counts have been have been varied and i think i think candidly the um state um credits have been disappointing in in that they haven't really expedited a lot of filming we'll have to see what happens in fall there is you know banter around you know some some federal aid on that basis. And we're in the middle of it as we sit. So we'll see what happens on that side. Los Angeles isn't going anywhere from a production standpoint. And what we have seen is the other ancillary markets are in a much worse situation being Atlanta, New Orleans, Michigan, and Toronto. I mean, the three core markets really that have held up are New York, Los Angeles, and Vancouver. So by fall, when we get through what we're working on right now and seeing the new shows that are launched in fall, I think we'll have a clearer picture of where those numbers are going to shake out on a consistent basis.
Okay. And is there anything you can say about Netflix or the Netflix police?
All we can say is that our relationship and conversations are completely ongoing, to the contrary of what other people are talking about. okay all right great thank you thanks with with that i'd like to uh thank everybody for participating in this quarter's call and we look forward to updating you through the next quarter and speaking next quarter thank you this concludes today's call thank you for attending you may now disconnect