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MDU · Mdu Resources Group Inc

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$20.65 +0.36 (+1.77%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$4.34B
Shares
210.35M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2026 Q1

Mdu Resources Group Inc Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Mdu Resources Group Inc Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Concluded May 7, 2026 Audio replay
May 7, 2026 29:52 29 turns
Period
FY2026 Q1
Runtime
29:52
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

MDU Resources reported Q1 2026 net income of $80.8 million ($0.39 diluted EPS) versus $82.0 million ($0.40) a year ago, with mild weather reducing results by about $0.03 per share. The company affirmed its 2026 EPS guidance range of $0.93 to $1.00 and highlighted strong open-season interest in the proposed $2.7–$3.2 billion Bakken East Pipeline.

Bakken East pipeline project 26 Weather headwinds and Q1 earnings 24 Data center load growth 19 Rate cases and regulatory progress 17 Capital plan and financing 14 Long-term growth guidance and capital returns 6

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +68 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We are encouraged by the level of interest and ongoing commercial discussions that demonstrate continued demand for additional takeaway capacity from the Bakken region, which the Bakken East project could provide.”
  • “Despite the mild weather headwinds experienced in the first quarter, we are affirming our 2026 earnings per share guidance range of $0.93 to $1.00 per share.”
  • “We remain confident in our ability to execute our long-term growth strategy and believe our operational focus and financial strength continue to position us well for delivering safe and reliable energy, customer value, and strong stockholder returns.”
  • “We wanted a range that could encapsulate some of that.”

Forward guidance

3 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue $605.98M -10.2% YoY
Diluted EPS $0.39 -2.5% YoY
Net income $80.82M -1.4% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Binding open season for proposed Bakken East Pipeline drew ~1.4 Bcf/d of submitted interest, with ~40% signed under precedent agreements
  • Bakken East potential project capital investment estimated at $2.7–$3.2 billion, incremental to the $3.1 billion capital plan
  • Data center load ramp: 580 MW under signed electric service agreements, with 180 MW online since mid-2023 and an additional 150 MW expected online later in 2026
  • Wyoming electric rate case approved effective April 1, 2026, and Montana interim rates of $10.4 million annual increase also effective April 1
  • Idaho natural gas rates (annual $13 million increase) effective Jan. 1 and Washington year-two multi-year rates ($10.8 million annual increase) effective March 1, 2026
  • Combined retail customer growth of 1.4%, within the targeted 1%–2% range

Risks & pressure points

  • Mild winter weather reduced Q1 earnings by approximately $0.03 per share
  • Q1 net income declined to $80.8 million from $82.0 million, and diluted EPS fell to $0.39 from $0.40 year-over-year
  • Bakken East is not yet at a final investment decision; steel prices, labor, and compression costs remain unhedged
  • Washington natural gas rate revision filed in April to decrease revenue by $2.1 million annually due to capital investments not placed in service by Dec. 31, 2025
  • Bakken East carries significant financing risk — $2.7–$3.2 billion project is incremental to the existing $3.1 billion capital plan, with all financing options (balance sheet, partnerships, other) still being evaluated
  • Oregon natural gas rate case requesting a $16.4 million annual increase is still pending before the Commission

Key moments

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“Despite the mild weather headwinds experienced in the first quarter, we are affirming our 2026 earnings per share guidance range of $0.93 to $1.00 per share. We remain confident in our ability to execute our long-term growth strategy and believe our operational focus and financial strength continue to position us well for delivering safe and reliable energy, customer value, and strong stockholder returns. We also continue to anticipate a long-term EPS growth rate of 6% to 8%, while targeting a 60% to 70% annual dividend payout ratio.” Speaker 2, CEO
“we are projecting total capital investment for the potential project in the range of $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion, which would be incremental to our current $3.1 billion capital investment forecast. We are encouraged by the level of interest and ongoing commercial discussions that demonstrate continued demand for additional takeaway capacity from the Bakken region, which the Bakken East project could provide.” Speaker 2, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed May 7, 2026.

Metric Guided
Earnings per share
2026
$0.93 – $1.00

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Long-term EPS growth rate
long-term
6% – 8%
Annual dividend payout ratio
long-term
60% – 70%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Revenue · products & services

Natural Gas Transportation$66.58M -0.6% YoY
Other Revenues$45.52M +6.8% YoY
Natural Gas Storage$5.47M -9.3% YoY

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.14
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