MOS · Mosaic Co
Market Cap
$7.55B
Shares
317.90M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$23.76
Open$24.00
Day$23.32–24.00
52W close$19.82–35.93
Avg vol 30d7.8M
Short int29.0M · 9.1% float · 3.8d
Short vol49%
Last earningsAug 5, 2026
DataJan 2020–Aug 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 5
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 2, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 9 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed Aug 5, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Ask ALVIS about this →Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Buy
Momentum
Weak
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Strong
Quant / Vol
Very High
Market backdrop
VIX 14.5 · calm
Equity put/call 0.39
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−3%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
+6%
above
RSI (14)
57
neutral
MACD trend
Positive
52-week position
24%
mid-range
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
+4%
trailing
6-month return
−10%
trailing
YTD return
−1%
this year
Relative strength
−24%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $22 › 200d $25 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Distributing
-6% holders QoQ · +99 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$508.8K over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Falling
9.12% of float · ▼ -8.9% MoM · 3.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Steady
666 holders — mid 3-yr range
Squeeze score
66
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+8%
Y/Y
Gross margin
16%
expanding
EPS growth
+209%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$-534.6M
Buyback
$3.0B
authorized
Balance sheet
$4.8B
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
45%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−45%
past year
ATR
4.3%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Aug 4, 2026
DAP FOB Plant Prices
· Third Quarter 2026
Initiated
$820 – $840
DAP FOB Plant Prices - $ per tonne
· Third Quarter 2026
Initiated
$820 – $840
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the 8-K filed May 11, 2026
DAP FOB Plant Prices
· Second Quarter 2026
$760 – $780
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−3%
Neutral
Price vs 50-day avg
+6%
Bullish
RSI (14)
57
Neutral
MACD trend
Positive
Bullish
52-week position
24%
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bearish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $22 › 200d $25 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Distributing
-6% holders QoQ · +99 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$508.8K over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Falling
9.12% of float · ▼ -8.9% MoM · 3.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Steady
666 holders — mid 3-yr range
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $20
Now $24 · 24%
Range high $36
vs 200-day avg -3%
vs 50-day avg +6%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $407M | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Adjusted EBITDA - Phosphate non-GAAP | $128M | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Adjusted EBITDA - Potash non-GAAP | $278M | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Adjusted EBITDA – Corporate and Other non-GAAP | -$59M | Q2 2026 | — |
| Adjusted EBITDA – Mosaic Fertilizantes non-GAAP | $60M | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Average finished product selling price | $754 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Cash costs of U.S. mined rock/production tonne | $62 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| DAP Selling Price FOB plant | $773 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Free cash flow non-GAAP | -$153M | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Net cash provided by operating activities $167.4M
-$320.3M Capital expenditures
= Free cash flow -$152.9M
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| MOP Cash Cost of Production non-GAAP | $84 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| MOP Selling Price FOB mine | $275 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Mosaic Biosciences net sales | $25M | Q2 2026 | — |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes Sales Volumes | 1.5M | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Phosphate cash conversion costs, production / tonne | $129 | Q2 2026 | — |
| Phosphate Cash Cost of Conversion non-GAAP | $129 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Phosphate Cash Cost of Conversion per tonne | $141 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Phosphate Gross Margin per tonne | $4 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Phosphate production | 466K | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Phosphate production volumes | 1.4M | Q2 2026 | — |
| Phosphate Sales Volumes | 1.4M | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Potash Gross Margin | $103 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Sales of Performance Products | 626K | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Total MOP Cash Costs | $153M | Q2 2026 | — |
| Average BRL / USD | $5.26 | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Average CAD / USD | $1.37 | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Blended Rock Cost Consumed in COGS non-GAAP | $86 | Q1 2026 | — |
| Corporate and Other Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | -$53M | Three months ended March 31, 2026 | — |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes Average Finished Product Selling Price | $527 | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Mosaic Fertilizantes Gross Margin | $22 | Q1 2026 | — |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes Phosphate Cash Cost of Conversion non-GAAP | $113 | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Mosaic Fertilizantes Sales Volumes of produced product | 0.6M | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Net debt | $5.24B | Q1 2026 | — |
| Operating Rate | 66% | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Phosphate tonnes produced | 656K | Q1 2026 | — |
| Potash Sales Volumes | 2.2M | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Production Volume | 2.21M | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Segment gross margin per tonne | $22 | first quarter of 2026 | — |
| Total finished product tonnes sold | 6.09M | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Total tonnes produced | 1.64M | Q1 2026 | — |
| U.S. Rock Production tonnes | 1.85M | Three months ended March 31, 2026 | — |
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| Adjusted earnings per share non-GAAP | $2.27 | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Diluted net earnings (loss) per share $1.7
+$0.57 Notable items impact on earnings (loss) per share
= Adjusted earnings per share $2.27
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| Adjusted Effective Tax Rate non-GAAP | 30.8% | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| Adjusted Gross Margin $ / tonne of finished product non-GAAP | $115 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Blended Rock Cost Consumed in COGS per tonne non-GAAP | $84 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Brazil MAP price (Brazil production delivered price to third party) | $717 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Cash flow from operations | -$56M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Cash taxes paid | $321M | 2025 | — |
| Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $505M | Q4 2025 | -15.0% |
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| Gross margin as a percent of sales | 37% | Q4 2025 | — |
| Gross Margin per tonne | $55 | FY2025 | — |
| MOP cash costs of production excluding brine per production tonne | $77 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes Gross Margin per tonne | $55 | 2025 | — |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes Phosphate Blended Rock Cost Consumed in COGS per tonne | $97 | 2025 | — |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes Phosphate Cash Cost of Conversion per tonne non-GAAP | $113 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphate Blended Rock Cost Consumed in COGS per tonne | $97 | FY2025 | — |
| Phosphate cash conversion costs in USD, production / tonne | $113 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphate cash costs of conversion per production tonne | $112 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphate DAP Selling Price FOB plant | $686 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphate Fertilizantes Production tonnes | 683K | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphate operating rate | 68% | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphates Ammonia realized cost per tonne | $550 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphates Average finished product selling price (destination) | $656 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphates Sulfur realized cost per long ton | $306 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphates Total Finished Product | 1.33M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Phosphates Total tonnes produced | 1.67M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash Average finished product selling price (destination) | $275 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash cash conversion costs in USD, production / tonne | $286 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash cash costs of production per production tonne (Fertilizantes) | $286 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash Gross Margin per tonne of finished product | $115 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash MOP Cash Cost of Production per tonne non-GAAP | $77 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash MOP Selling Price FOB mine | $264 | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash operating rate | 22% | Q4 2025 | — |
| Potash production | 2.2M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Production tonnes | 8.51M | Year ended December 31, 2025 Potash | — |
| Production tonnes (Phosphate conversion) | 1.67M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Sales of Performance Products (third party) | 520K | Q4 2025 | — |
| Sales Volumes | 9M | FY2025 | — |
| Sales volumes - MOP | 2.08M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Sales volumes - Total Finished Product | 2.23M | Q4 2025 | — |
| Sales Volumes of produced product | 3.4M | FY2025 | — |
| Sulfur costs in cost of goods sold | $306 | Q4 2025 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Agricultural Inputs — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MOS
this stock
Mosaic Co
|
$7.55B | -1.4% | +8.4% | — | 9.1% |
|
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.
|
$55.58B | +22.9% | +2.9% | 54.5 | 2.2% |
|
NTR
Nutrien Ltd.
|
$34.86B | +18.4% | — | — | 1.0% |
|
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
|
$18.72B | +62.5% | +19.3% | 9.2 | 6.1% |
|
YARIY
Yara International ASA
|
$12.38B | +15.3% | — | — | 0.0% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOS | +1.8% | +4.4% | -9.7% | +7.4% | -1.4% |
| SPY | +1.1% | +4.0% | +14.7% | +3.2% | +13.1% |
| vs SPY | +0.7% | +0.4% | -24.4% | +4.2% | -14.5% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.22
/ share · ex May 21, 2026
Declared · upcoming
$0.22
/ share · ex Sep 10, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$0.88
/ share · 4 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
3.70%
Buyback program
· as of Dec 31, 2025
Authorized
$3.00B
Spent (derived)
—
Remaining
—
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.
Key facts
CIK
1285785
CUSIP
61945C103
13F (30d)
498 filings
491 filers
Visit website
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