MUSA · Murphy USA Inc.
$569.12
+5.96 (+1.06%)
At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$10.05B
Shares
18.38M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$569.12
Open$568.52
Day$559.26–572.93
52W close$356.57–622.78
Avg vol 30d291K
Short int875K · 4.8% float · 3.5d
Short vol62%
Last earningsAug 6, 2026
DataJan 2020–Aug 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 6
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 9, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 12 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed Aug 6, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Ask ALVIS about this →Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Neutral
Momentum
Strong
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Weak
Quant / Vol
Moderate
Market backdrop
VIX 14.3 · calm
Equity put/call 0.52
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
+19%
above
Price vs 50-day avg
−2%
below
RSI (14)
48
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
80%
mid-range
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
−8%
trailing
6-month return
+45%
trailing
YTD return
+41%
this year
Relative strength
+32%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $578 › 200d $480 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+9% holders QoQ · +114 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$2.8M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
4.76% of float · ▲ +3.2% MoM · 3.5 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
596 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
63
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
−8%
Y/Y
EPS growth
−0%
Y/Y
Valuation
P/E 16.8
below peers
Buyback
$145.1M
remaining
Balance sheet
$459.4M
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
40%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−20%
past year
ATR
3.9%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026
Retail fuel volume per store (same-store YoY %)
· full-year 2026
-3% – -1%
Effective Tax Rate
· full-year 2026
23% – 25%
Net Income
· full-year 2026
$636M
Adjusted EBITDA
· full-year 2026
Non-GAAP
$1.25B
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the Earnings Call filed Jun 30, 2025
Merchandising contribution margin
· full year 2025
$855M – $875M
Corporate SG&A
· full year 2025
$245M – $255M
Store operating expenses per store month
· full year 2025
$36,500 – $37,000
Effective tax rate
· second half 2025
24% – 26%
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
+19%
Bullish
Price vs 50-day avg
−2%
Neutral
RSI (14)
48
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
80%
Neutral
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Mixed
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $578 › 200d $480 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+9% holders QoQ · +114 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$2.8M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
4.76% of float · ▲ +3.2% MoM · 3.5 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
596 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $357
Now $569 · 80%
Range high $623
vs 200-day avg +19%
vs 50-day avg -2%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $655.2M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Merchandise unit margin (%) | 20.1% | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| New-to-industry stores opened | 6 | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Retail fuel margin (cpg) | 30.5 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Retail fuel volume - (K gal APSM) | 230.8 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Retail fuel volume - (K gal SSS) | 231.1 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Retail fuel volume - chain | 2.43B | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Store count at June 30, 2026 | 1,806 | As of June 30, 2026 | — |
| Store OPEX excluding payment fees and rent ($K APSM) | $35.9 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Stores under construction | 36 | As of June 30, 2026 | — |
| Total fuel contribution (cpg) | 37.9 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Total merchandise contribution | $437.6M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Total merchandise contribution (K SSS) | $41.6 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Merchandise contribution dollars | $210.2M | Q1 2026 | — |
| Retail fuel volume - per store (APSM) | 235.8 | Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| Store OPEX excluding payment fees and rent (APSM) | $36.1K | Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| Total retail gallons | 1.23B | Three Months Ended December 31, 2025 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Specialty Retail — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MUSA
this stock
Murphy USA Inc.
|
$10.05B | +41.0% | -8.2% | 16.8 | 4.8% |
|
CASY
Caseys General Stores Inc
|
$31.32B | +53.1% | +10.2% | 44.2 | 4.6% |
|
WSM
Williams Sonoma Inc
|
$29.16B | +35.3% | +1.2% | 27.8 | 4.8% |
|
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
|
$22.87B | -15.6% | +9.7% | 19.9 | 5.4% |
|
TSCO
Tractor Supply Co /De/
|
$18.98B | -28.4% | +4.3% | — | 5.6% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUSA | +9.4% | -8.0% | +45.4% | -6.4% | +41.0% |
| SPY | +0.4% | +4.5% | +13.8% | +3.9% | +13.9% |
| vs SPY | +9.0% | -12.4% | +31.6% | -10.3% | +27.2% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.64
/ share · ex May 18, 2026
Declared · upcoming
$0.65
/ share · ex Aug 24, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$2.43
/ share · 4 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
0.43%
Buyback programs
· 2 active
· as of Jun 30, 2026
Authorized (total)
$3.50B
Spent (derived)
$3.35B
Remaining
$145.10M
Spent
Remaining
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.