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NWE · NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.

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$71.81 +0.29 (+0.41%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$4.42B
Shares
61.52M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 12, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 12, 2026 46:06 47 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
46:06
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

NorthWestern Energy reported 2025 GAAP diluted EPS of $2.94 and non-GAAP EPS of $3.58 (up 5.3% year-over-year), initiated 2026 EPS guidance of $3.68–$3.83, raised its quarterly dividend 1.5% to $0.67, and increased its five-year capital plan by 17% to $3.2 billion, while progressing the Black Hills merger of equals and multiple data center agreements.

Data Center Growth 27 Montana Rate Case and Disallowance 8 Black Hills Merger 7 Weather and PCCAM Headwinds 6 2025 Financial Results 5 Capital Plan and 2026 Guidance 5

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +35 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We have very, very good outcomes in 2025.”
  • “achieving 5.3% growth off of 2024 on a non-GAAP basis”
  • “the quarter was also impacted by $0.03 of merger costs, while the one-time charge for the Montana rate review outcome related to the Yellowstone County generating station and the disallowance of certain costs was $0.38”
  • “we remain confident in our operational and financial future”

Forward guidance

6 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

5 live sources

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Revenue $414.26M +10.9% YoY
Diluted EPS $0.72 -45% YoY
Net income $44.69M -44.5% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $3.58, a 5.3% increase over 2024's $3.40
  • 2026 EPS guidance of $3.68–$3.83 represents 5% growth at the midpoint and affirms 4%–6% long-term growth target
  • Quarterly dividend raised 1.5% to $0.67 per share
  • Five-year capital plan increased 17% to $3.21 billion, including a new $300M/131 MW South Dakota natural gas project
  • Closed Avista/1126 acquisition and Energy West/Cutbank Gas acquisitions, adding ~33,000 natural gas customers
  • Montana Senate Bill 301 and House Bill 490 signed into law, plus wildfire plan approved by Montana Commission and Montana electric and natural gas general rate reviews completed

Risks & pressure points

  • 2025 GAAP diluted EPS of $2.94 fell from $3.65 in 2024
  • Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.17 was held back by a $0.38 one-time Montana rate review disallowance tied to Yellowstone County Generating Station costs
  • Mild Q4 weather was a $0.03 headwind versus prior year and $0.13 versus normal; full-year weather was a $0.05 drag
  • $0.15 of full-year merger-related costs and $0.27 higher depreciation plus $0.23 higher interest expense pressured earnings
  • Montana PCCAM mechanism was a $0.09 full-year headwind and the sharing portion may be suspended going forward
  • Reconsideration of the Montana rate review disallowance has no clear timeline and would likely occur in 2026, if at all

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Looking forward, we are initiating earnings guidance in the range of $3.68 to $3.83 per share, representing 5% growth at the midpoint from our 2025 results and remains anchored to our 2024 base.” Crystal Lail, CFO
“We are initiating our 2026 earnings guidance range of $3.68 to $3.83, and we are updating our five-year capital plan to $3,210,000,000, a 17% increase over our prior plan.” Brian Bird, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 12, 2026.

Metric Guided
Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share
2026
$3.68 – $3.83
Effective tax rate
2026
14% – 18%
Rate base growth
long-term (from 2024 base)
4% – 6%
EPS growth
long-term (from 2024 base)
4% – 6%
Capital plan
five-year
$3.2B

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Earnings guidance
2026
$3.68 – $3.83

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.67
Full-screen source Call document