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OGE · Oge Energy Corp.

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$47.50 +0.48 (+1.02%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$9.80B
Shares
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All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Oge Energy Corp. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Oge Energy Corp. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 18, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 18, 2026 34:10 49 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
34:10
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

OGE Energy reported 2025 consolidated EPS of $2.32, up from $2.19 in 2024, finishing at the top half of guidance and driven by OG&E's $2.47 EPS (recovery of capital investments and strong load growth). For 2026 the company guides consolidated EPS of $2.38–$2.48 (midpoint $2.43) and set a long-term 5%–7% EPS growth target through 2028.

Load and customer growth 21 Rate reviews and regulatory 15 Affordability and consumer protection 12 Generation expansion 10 Earnings performance and guidance 8 Financing and balance sheet 5

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +72 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 was another strong year and a continuation of the momentum we are building and setting the foundation for a long runway of future growth with generation and transmission opportunities.”
  • “We have delivered another strong year in 2025, finishing at the upper end of our original guidance range, and we are entering 2026 with solid momentum.”
  • “Our track record of setting the bar higher and higher continues to compound into increased future earnings expectations.”
  • “We are also setting our long-term EPS growth target of 5% to 7% off of this higher starting point and continue to expect to deliver in the top half of the range in 2027 and 2028.”

Forward guidance

7 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $725.80M -4.6% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $69.20M -32.1% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • 2025 consolidated EPS of $2.32, $0.05 above the midpoint and at the upper end of guidance, with OG&E EPS up to $2.47 from $2.33 on capital investment recovery and strong load growth.
  • 2026 EPS guidance midpoint of $2.43 (range $2.38–$2.48) represents a 7% increase from the 2025 midpoint, with a stated 5%–7% long-term EPS growth target through 2028.
  • Weather-normalized load grew ~7% in 2025, with retail weather-normalized load up more than 24% since 2021, and 2026 outlook of 4%–6% weather-normalized load growth.
  • Customer count grew just under 1% in 2025, with another ~1% expected in 2026.
  • Executing growth catalysts: filed for generation preapproval of the 300 MW Frontier Energy Storage Project, issued two RFPs, published 2026 draft IRP, finalizing a 1 GW contract with a data center customer ('Customer X'), and assigned a significant portion of SPP's Seminole–Shreveport 765 kV line.
  • Recently completed equity offering (including forward) satisfies equity needs through 2030 under the current plan, with FFO/debt expected at ~17% through 2030.

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 2025 consolidated EPS of $0.34 vs $0.50 in Q4 2024, driven by a six-month interim order recognition in Q4 2024 plus higher O&M expense.
  • OG&E Q4 2025 net income of $78.2M ($0.38/share) vs $110.4M ($0.55/share) in Q4 2024.
  • Holding company loss widened to $29.1M ($0.15/share) in 2025 from $28.4M ($0.14) in 2024 due to higher interest expense (only partially offset by a one-time legacy midstream benefit).
  • 2025 results reflect higher depreciation and higher interest expense on a growing asset base as headwinds to EPS.
  • The 1.9 GW IRP incremental resource need (a shift from solving for 2030 to 2031/2032 capacity needs) and ~800 MW of SPP policy changes signal substantial additional capital needs not yet built into the growth guidance, with management deferring updates until ITP, RFP, and FERC approvals are received.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Over the last ten years, we have built and put into service approximately one gigawatt of generation. Tomorrow, we cut the first ribbon on the next 1.3 gigawatts of generation we will build and put into service before the end of the decade.” Speaker 2, Chairman

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 18, 2026.

Metric Guided
Consolidated earnings guidance
2026
$2.38 – $2.48
OG&E earnings
2026
$2.57
Consolidated earnings per share annual growth rate
through 2028
5% – 7%
Holding company earnings
2026
$-0.14

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Long-term EPS growth target
off of this higher starting point
5% – 7%
Weather-normalized load
2026
4% – 6%
Debt issuance
2026
up to $300M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.43
Full-screen source Call document