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Earnings call · FY2024 Q4
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Good morning and welcome to the ORMAT Technologies 4th Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To do so, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Josh Carroll with Alpha IR. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Operator. Hosting the call today are Dharan Blachar, Chief Executive Officer, Ozzy Ginsberg, Chief Financial Officer, and Smedhar Laveed, Vice President of Best Relations and ESG Planning and Reporting. Before beginning, we'd like to remind you that the information provided during this call may contain forelooking statements relating to current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about future events that are forelooking, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements generally relate to the company's plans, objectives, and expectations for future operations and are based on management's current estimates and projections. Future results or trends. Actual future results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risk and uncertainties. For discussion of such risk and uncertainties, please see risk factors as described in ORMAT Technologies Annual Report on Form 10-K and co-reports on Form 10-Q that are filed with the SEC. In addition, during the call, the company will present non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures and management reasons for presenting such information is set forth in the press release that was issued last night as well as in the slides posted on the website. Because these measures are not calculated in accordance with GAAP, they should not be considered in isolation from the financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. Before I turn the call over to management, I would like to remind everyone that a slide presentation accompanying this call may be accessed on the company's website at ormat.com under the presentation link that is found on the Investor Relations tab. With all that said, I would now like to turn the call over to Ormat CEO, Dupan Blachar.
Thank you, Josh, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. 2024 was another successful year for OMAC, as we delivered solid operational and financial performance and made marked advancements, executing against the key pillars of our multi-year growth strategy. This success was highlighted by a top-line improvement of 6.1% and an adjusted EBDI improvement of 14.3%, with solid growth demonstrated across all three of our business segments. As you can see on slide four, in the electricity segment, we celebrated the successful acquisition of Enel assets, a strategic move that has substantially boosted our revenues and EBITDA. This acquisition, coupled with a remarkable recovery and resource stability at Puna and Alcaria, enabled us to more than offset the operational events and cartelments to deliver strong financial results and impressive adjusted EBITDA growth. In addition, we secured three new PPAs for our Boyan power plant in Guadeloupe, as well as Hiber-1 and Mammoth-2 in California, which captured significantly higher rates than our current agreement, demonstrating the strong demand we are experiencing in the U.S. and globally for geothermal. Turning to the storage segment, brought three new facilities online, including the 80-megawatt, 320-megawatt-hour bottleneck project, the largest storage facility in our portfolio. This milestone, along with the signing of two tolling agreements in Texas and one resource adequacy agreement in California, has transitioned this segment towards lower overall volatility and more consistent profitability while growing its way within our overall portfolio. In the product segment, we have fully recovered our top line, improved our segment profitability, and reached an all-time high backlog with the support of the approximately $210 million contract in New Zealand. This achievement, combined with our successful efforts in raising over $500 million in corporate and finance debt and the receipt of significant tax benefits, highlights our strategic financial management and robust market presence. These accomplishments are a testament to our unwavering dedication to growth. They position us for continued success and reinforce our commitment to delivering value to our stakeholders. Now, before I provide further updates on our operations and plans, I will turn the call over to Asi to review the financial results for the quarter. Asi?
Thank you, Doron. Let me start my review of our financial highlights on slide 6. Total revenues for 2024 were $879.7 million, marking growth of 6.1% year-over-year. And revenue for the fourth quarter was $230.7 million, down 4.4% year-over-year. The improved top-line performance on a full-year basis was driven by growth across all three of our business segments, with the magnitude of year-over-year revenue growth driven largely by the strategic expansion on our electricity portfolio. Our mad gross profit for 2024 was $272.6 million, a 3.3% increase compared to 2023. Gross profit in the fourth quarter declined 6.2%, primarily due to the unexpected impact we saw in electricity segments due to curtailment. In the fourth quarter of 2024, net income attributable to the company's stockholders was $40.8 million or 67 cents per diluted share. Markings, solid growth in comparison to $35.7 million or 59 cents per diluted share in the same quarter last year. On an adjusted basis, net income attributable to the company's stockholders was $43.6 million or 72 cents per diluted share, an increase of 7.7% and 7.5% respectively. In the full year 2024, net income attributable to the company's stockholders was $123.7 million or $2.04 per diluted share in comparison to $124.4 million or $2.08 per diluted share last year. On an adjusted basis, net income attributable to the company stockholders for the full year 2024 was $133.7 million, or $2.20 per diluted share, an increase of 9.7% and 7.3% versus last year, respectively. Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $550.5 million, marking an impressive increase of 14.3% compared to 2023. Our fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA results were $145.5 million, an increase of 4.6% compared to the fourth quarter of last year. This year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA was written by the contribution of new project added in both electricity and storage segments, the improved performance of our La Calya complex, and better pricing at our Puna power plant, as well as by the sale of tax benefits from newly built plants. In addition, we have significantly increased in the product segment EBITDA, driven mainly by the improved margins. We note that our adjusted EBITDA growth continue to meaningfully outpace our already strong top-line expansion, which further builds upon a track record of profitability maximization as we execute our portfolio growth strategy. Turning now to slide 7, we break down the revenue performance at the segment level. Electricity segment revenue for the fourth quarter decreased by 2.1% to $180.1 million dollar due to a 5.4 million reduction at Dixie Valley driven mainly by the previously reported outage and the approximately four million reduction driven by curtailments in the U.S. While we touched based on this briefly in the last quarter earning cost, our fourth quarter revenue results reflect a greater than originally anticipated curtailment from local transmission owners as they conducted maintenance on the T-line. For the full year, electricity revenue increased by 5.3% to $702.3 million, which was driven by the contribution of the NL assets we acquired at the beginning of 2024. The Hebrew Complex Repowering Project, as it came back towards full capacity, and improved generation performance in Orcalia and pricing at the Puna power plant. partially offset by the reduction in Dixie Valley and the containment in the U.S. In the product segment, revenue declined by 21.4% to $39.6 million during the fourth quarter, and for the full year, they grew by 4.4% to $139.7 million. Energy storage segment revenue increased by 56.7% in the fourth quarter and by 30.6% to $37.7 billion in a full year. This increase is mainly related to new energy storage facilities, which commenced operations during 2023, including Bolling Green, Andover, Upton, and Pomona 2, as well as the East Flemington and Buckingham Energy Storage Facility, which commenced operations during 2024. Moving to slide 8. The gross margin for the electricity segment was 34.9%, and 34.6% in the fourth quarter and full year. Largely, in the recent quarter and modestly in the full year, the margin comparison experience was due to lower revenue resulting from the cartelment in the USA and Kenya and the Dixie Valley outage, which returned to full operation towards the second half of the fourth quarter of 2024. Excluding the impact of cartelment in the U.S. and international, Gross margin of the electricity segment was higher by 2.2% and 1.8% in the fourth quarter and the full year of 2024, respectively. We expect the curtailment we saw in Q4 to continue in 2025, as Major T-Line is being replaced in Nevada during the year. In addition, the recent wildfires in California caused a reduction in demand of electricity in the region and resulted in overload on the grid that forced grid operators to curtail part of the supply power. We currently expect total revenue in 2025 to be negatively impacted by $10 to $15 million in the U.S. The impact was taken into consideration in our 2025 revenue guidance. In the product segment, gross margin of 18.4% in the full year increased by 500 basis points versus last year. We have improved our margin in 2024 through better contract pricing, and looking into 2025, we expect to see margin between 18 to 20%. The energy storage segment reported gross margin of 9.5% and 10.9% during the fourth quarter and full year, respectively, marking a significant improvement versus prior year. As Doron previously mentioned, this improved performance was driven by our continued progress to transition the revenue and margin profile of the segment, as we have achieved a greater degree of balance between our merchant market exposure and toiling contracts. Also, in the fourth quarter, we saw better merchant prices at PJM, and we continue to see improved prices also in the first two months of 2025 at these markets breaking down adjusted EBITDA at the segment level on slide nine where you can see significant increase in full year 2024 at all three segments the electricity segment generated 89 percent of format total consolidated adjusted EBITDA in 2024. The product segment contributed 6% and the energy storage segment accounted for 5% of the total adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliation of EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA provided in the appendix slide in the back of the presentation. Moving to slide 10, in the fourth quarter, we recorded a $20 million in income related to tax benefits compared to $18.7 million last year. Also, in the fourth quarter, we recorded a $20.4 million ITC benefit in the income tax line related to the three storage facilities, East Flemington, Battleneck, and Montague. In the fourth quarter, we collected $46.7 million in cash for the Battleneck ITC. We anticipate that we will receive, in 2025, up to $160 million in cash proceeds related to PTC and ITC benefits, mainly from tax equity transactions for the Hebrew complex, ITC benefits for storage assets that will COD in 2025, and PTC transfers. We expect OMAD tax rates will be positively impacted by ITC benefits in 2025. And for modeling purposes, we expect the annual tax benefit rate to be positive of 5% to 10%. This rate excludes any changes in law and our one-time events. Looking at slide 11, our net debt as of December 31st, 2024, was $2.2 billion, equivalent to four times net debt to EBITDA. The leverage decrease compared to earlier this year was supported by improved EBITDA and a 32.8% increase in cash flow from operation compared to 2023. Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2024 was approximately $206 million compared to $288 million at the end of 2023. Slide 11 breaks down our use of cash flow for the last 12 months, illustrating our amount ability to generate strong cash flow, to reinvest in and strategically grow the business, while simultaneously service our debt obligation and returning capital to our shareholders. Our cash flow from operation increased by 32.8% to $411 million, supported by the improved performance of our assets, increased collection in Kenya and Oduvas, and the monetization of bottleneck ITC at 93 cents on the dollar. Our total debt as of December 31st, 2024, was approximately $2.4 billion net of deferred financing costs and is presented on slide 30 in the appendix, which outcome the tenant schedule. The average cost of our debt for the company stands at 4.66%. The majority of our debt liabilities are at fixed interest rates, providing for good stability and creating protection from fluctuation in the market. Moving to slide 12, we have approximately $667.1 million of total available liquidity. Our total expected capital expenditure for 2025 are approximately $570 million, as detailed in slide 31 in the appendix. We plan to invest approximately $355 million in the electricity segment for construction, exploration, drilling, and maintenance. We also plan to invest $200 million for the construction of our storage assets during 2025. As we continue to progress with executing our growth plan, we have shown the ability to consistently increase our cash generation profile, while combined with the expected cash from utilizing the tax benefits, we'll fund our CAPEX. We continue to maintain excellent liquidity and have ample access to additional capital as needed. On February 26, 2025, our Board of Directors declared, approved, and authorized payments of quarterly dividends of $0.12 per share, payable on March 26, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 12, 2025. In addition, the company expects to pay quarterly dividends of $0.12 per share in each of the next three quarters. That concludes my financial overview. I would like now to turn the call over to Daron to discuss some of our recent developments.
Thank you, Afi. Turning to slide 14 for a look at our electricity segment operating portfolio. Since the beginning of 2024, we successfully added 133 megawatts of new net capacity organically as well as through strategic accretive M&A. Generation increased 3.5%, and excluding cartelment, our generation grew by 10%. This growth was driven by our acquired assets, improved performance at Puna, a full year of operations at HIDB1 at higher capacity, the repower of Biwawi, and the increase in ulcaya capacity to nearly 150 megawatts in the latter half of 2024. Earlier this month, we announced the successful COD for the EGEN geothermal power plant, which we jointly owned with PT Metco Power Indonesia. The EGEN facility began operation with its first phase, delivering 35 MW to the Java grid, with our share of the facility being 17 MW. In 2024, we secured multiple land parcels in Nevada and Utah to support our short- and long-term growth plans for geothermal energy in the U.S. This reinforces our commitment to advancing renewable energy solutions and meeting the increasing demand for sustainable energy in these key markets. Moving to slide 15, subsequent to year-end, we are now signing a favorable 10-year PPA with Calpine Energy Solutions to provide up to 15 megawatts of clean, renewable energy from our MAMOS II geothermal power plants. We are currently negotiating PTAs for more than 250 megawatts with hyperscalers with rates exceeding $100 per megawatt hour. These agreements will secure our growth and revenues post-2028. Turning to slide 16, our product segment backlog reached a record of $340 million, dollars, up 124 percent compared to Q4 of 2023. This increase was largely driven by the signing of a large EPC contract in New Zealand for the Timihi 2A 101 MW power plant and the Dominica BOT project. Revenues from this backlog will be recognized over the next two years. Moving to slide 17, our energy storage segments saw higher revenues on both a quarterly and full year basis, benefiting from facilities that came online in 2023 and 2024, including the East Flemington facility. We expect this performance to continue in 2025 as we benefit from the COD of our bottleneck and Montague storage facilities. Additionally, we made significant progress in transitioning our storage segment to a more predictable portfolio with stronger profitability. This is highlighted by the RAI agreement with the City of Riverside for our shared 80 MW, 320 MWh facility and our first two tolling agreements in Texas for the Lower Rio and Build-Up facilities, each with a generating capacity of 60 MW or 120 MWh. Moving to slide 19, we continue to remain on track to have our portfolio capacity targets reach between 2.6 gigawatts to 2.8 gigawatts by year-end 2028. This year we added 253 megawatts of new capacity with 133 megawatts in our electricity segment and 120 megawatts in the energy storage. This aligns with our long-term capacity targets for 2028, and we expect it will straighten our earnings generation in 2025 and beyond. We expect a capacity CAGR of 14% to 16%, primarily driven by the strong U.S. market, where we see increasing demand for baseload electricity. Our focus remains on capturing this demand through our electricity and storage sector, Turning to slide 20 and 21, which displays our geothermal and hybrid solar PV projects underway. We anticipate adding an additional 158 megawatts to our generating capacity from geothermal and solar PV projects by the end of 2026. Moving to slides 22 and 23, we currently have six projects under development in our energy storage segment, which are expected to add 385 MW or 1.3 GW hour to our portfolio. Our focus remains on balancing contracted revenues and merchant market pricing in our storage portfolio. We removed the LUISA project due to interconnection delays, which have pushed the project COD to 2029. We are discussing alternatives with the grid operator and will update as needed. Additionally, we added two new projects in Israel awarded through toiling agreements in partnership with Allied Infrastructure, LTT, a leading infrastructure company in Israel. Our share of the project is 150 MW or 600 MWh. Please turn to slide 24 for a discussion of our 2025 guidance. We expect total revenues to increase by 9% year-over-year at the midpoint, ranging between $935 and $975 million. Electricity segment revenues are projected to be between $710 and $725 million, product segment revenues between $172 and $187 million, dollars, and energy storage revenues between 53 and 63 million dollars. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase by approximately 5% at the midpoint, ranging between 563 and 593 million dollars, with annual adjusted EBITDA attributable to minority interest at approximately 23 million dollars. I will end our prepared remarks on slide 25. In light of the fluid policy situation in the United States, we have taken proactive measures to ensure our geothermal projects are safe harbors for PTC eligibility through 2028, and ITC benefits for energy storage through 2026, and in some cases even beyond. These steps are crucial as we navigate the evolving landscape of executive orders related to the IRA tax credits and geothermal energy production and create confidence in our growth trajectory and our goals of achieving 2.6 to 2.8 gigawatts of generating capacity by 2028. We do see exciting growth opportunities for geothermal energy as part of the National energy emergency executive orders with potential easing of project permitting timelines and increased focus on geothermal research and development. These factors, along with the growing global demand for renewable energy, reinforces our confidence in geothermal energy's role in the transition to a cleaner energy future. To summarize, we are proud of our accomplishment in 2024 and remain focused on our long-term growth target while delivering strong financial results. As we look ahead, we anticipate growing demand for renewable energy to support AI data center and the transition to a cleaner energy future. We believe we can secure improved project return through higher PPA pricing and toiling agreements, driving improved profitability for OBOT. We look forward to continuing our multi-year growth path and consistently delivering enhanced shareholders and stakeholder value as we execute our strategy. This concludes our prepared remarks. Now I would like to open the call for questions. Operators, please.
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, simply press star 1 again. Please ensure you are not on speaker microphone or muted when called upon. Thank you. Your first question comes from Noah Kay with Oppenheimer. Your line is open.
Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. The first one, just how we should think about the electricity generation expectations for the electricity segment in the portfolio, you know, embedded in a 25 guide. It looks like most of the new projects you expect to come online are really kind of tail end of the year. You mentioned some of the tail end impacts. So it kind of looks like we should assume a fairly modest, maybe low single digits increase in generation year over year or possibly slattish. But it also looks like that could set up perhaps something close to double-digit growth in generation in 26. Is that a fair way to think about it? How should we assume?
I don't know. Thank you. I think you got it exactly right. We didn't have too many projects coming online at the end of four and beginning of five. We do see all the enhancement that we'll do it for the NL project coming on towards the end of the year. And as we said, we do see some more cartelments in the U.S. than what we've seen in the past. So all in all, this year, as presented in the guidance, we see similar generation, maybe a little bit up. In 26, the impact will be basically following the power plants coming online towards the end of the year. that will have the positive income for 26 and all the projects that we've listed that will come on during 26th as well.
Okay. Maybe, Doron, I will add a few more things. Maybe, Noach, if you don't mind, I'll add a few more things. While the curtailment in the U.S., we've been told by NV Energy that it will be towards the second half of the year, this thing can move also to the next year. It can happen from time to time, and then this year will be higher than that allow us to be higher end of the range. Also, both in January and February, we saw lower curtailment than once we anticipated in Kenya. So from a generation perspective, there are a few things that can move us towards the higher end of the range. But as you said, rightfully so, right now we're seeing maybe slight up versus last year, mostly as a result of the Dixie assets coming back online.
Perfect. You know, embedded in the CapEx guide is a doubling year-over-year of exploration and preliminary drilling activities. Can you just comment on that program a little bit? And, you know, what would drive the increase in activities and, you know, to what extent you would consider this kind of, you know, truly early stage versus, you know, something that could help accelerate the portfolio growth over, say, the next three to four years?
Great, so we have been working to increase our exploration activity over the last years and we've changed the way we approach the exploration starting in 2021. Basically, we're starting to focus on four wells and before drilling full-size wells, We've been drilling between eight to 12 four wells in the last two years, and that will happen in the next coming years. Each core campaign is about three to four wells per site. So these sites, and once the core well campaign is successful, and the work was successful, then we move to the two-size drilling. So that was our plan to increase exploration. We see the PPA tricing above 100 today, so we feel very comfortable to increase significantly the exploration. And also on the permitting side, we have been able to get permitting faster for the four wells campaign, which reduces the risk of the full-size drilling. And we expect that with the Trump administration, we'll be able to get additional permits for full-size and for constructing power plants faster so the exploration that we are doing this year previous year and obviously in the coming years will have the growth coming in the following year and we are focusing on many many green fields that were sort of a bit lower development in the past but nowadays we're focusing to increase and expand the development we also increase our staffing in the U.S. to support this growth, and we do see these problems, and as we move forward, and we will update the market, obviously, once we confirm the results.
Yeah. Just to get one more in, you talked about the 250 megawatts of potential PPA contracting with data center hyperscalers, you know, and the pricing expectations there. And I think you mentioned around that you would expect those to be for, uh, off takes, uh, post 2028. Um, can, can you just comment on, um, a reasons for that timing, uh, and B any kind of sense of expected tenor length of the agreement, um, and, uh, you know, possible location of agreements, would these necessarily be for centers located near production, or would these perhaps be more for, let's call them sort of virtual optics for plants located elsewhere in the country?
So, the reason we're talking about 428 is, if you remember, three years ago, we signed for the PTA with NV Energy and with the PTA power that covers the period until 28. So we are actually looking for the duration after that. On top of that, we just talked about the exploration. We believe these greenfields will come towards the end of 28 or probably the beginning of 29, some of them. So that's the place that we are looking. That's why we're talking following The ones that we are talking, some of them are looking for us to sign contracts with them with the local utility, actually prefer to do direct negotiations with us, using the system, the network to get the electricity. We are not negotiating somebody specifically that will build a data center adjustment to our facility, but it is definitely something that we're looking across our fleet. There are places that we can actually combine the two together. At this stage, most of the discussions we have are combining the utilities in some form.
Very helpful caller. I'll turn it over. Thank you, Noah. Thank you, Noah.
The next question comes from Justin Clare with Roth Capital Partners. Your line is open.
Hi. Thanks for the time. So I wanted to start out here on the safe harbor. You had mentioned that you have safe harbored all the geothermal projects with CODs through 2028. I was wondering if you could share how many megawatts that includes. Is that just the projects that you have named in your deck, or is that a larger group of projects that would enable you to get to the uh 2028 targets that you have uh and then just wondering you know as we move through 2025 do you think you can extend the safe harbor time frame beyond 2028 into into 2029 for geothermal or can you extend the uh the storage uh safe harbor projects beyond 2026. good morning justice that's
great question.
As you can see from our deck, between now and 2028, we need to add close to 400 megawatts of solar and geothermal. And when you look at the name project, there is much less than that, which means that all the drilling that Doron just spoke about a few minutes ago, that they should enable us to add somewhere around 250 megawatts between 2027 and 2028, all of that was already saved harbor so when you talk about geothermal we saved harbor many projects that are not on the list everything that we're doing cohorts already or full-size wells we also did that and we're also doing it through a cell of equipment on the storage side we are also as we speak today looking to get four more projects in addition to what you see on the list in Texas and California, and we already safe harbor two more projects that are not on the list. So there will be at least six more projects that are not on the list that will be safe harbored in the next, already harbored in the next few months, and we will do it also through a start of construction. We will look at through 2025 what else can we do in order to secure additional 2019 project. That's our goal.
Okay, great. Very helpful. And then wanted to touch on the product segment here. Wondering in 2025, are you expecting a meaningful contribution from the $210 million contract for the New Zealand project? I think the revenue contribution for that project was initially going to be more in 2026 and 2027 but it seems like that might be moving a little bit faster than um than previously expected um and then just wanted to touch on the margins as well uh product segment margin in q4 very strong at 24 percent um can you talk about your gross margin inspection uh expectation for the product segment in 2025 and what you're seeing in the backlog Thanks.
Great question. So when we have a very large project like that, you know, it spans over two and a half years, which started basically when we actually got the NPT to proceed. And the revenue is spread roughly evenly towards the entire period. So we see revenues from the TBE projects in 25, 6, and 7, it went, and so it's spread across, and usually we will start, you know, with engineering, then manufacturing, then the construction part, and so 26 would probably be the higher with the most revenue out of the contract, but 25 had a significant amount of revenue from TBE as well. And regarding the margin that you said, I think we should look on the annual basis quarter margins sometimes are impact by specific projects that can do better or worse depends on the situation q4 it was a better one to have 20 more than 24 percent margin we are targeting an 18 to 20 percent margin within the range that we had in the 24 but that's the target that we're looking at got it okay very helpful thank you The next question comes from Julian Dumoulay-Smith with Jeffries.
Your line is open.
Hey, good morning. This is Hannah Velasquez on for Julian. Thanks for the update and great quarter. I had a similar question to Noah at the beginning, just in terms of your assets in 2025 coming online towards the second half or later end of 2025. How does that impact EWDR? How would that get you potentially to the higher end of the range toward $593 million? Is any contribution expected from those 2025 assets, or should we think about it largely driven by a full-year contribution of the 2024 assets added being operational?
I think what will put us towards the higher end of the range in the electricity segment specifically, it's not the additional of new assets. It's mainly the amount of curtailment we will experience in the U.S. and in Kenya. We've been told by Envy Energy that they will replace a large T-line in the second half of the year, actually in Q4. And also they will do some maintenance work in April. With that being said, this thing can shift between the years. And we're actually talking to them to see if they can smooth a little bit between the few years, the maintenance. That's on one hand. On the other hand, in Kenya, the plant, as you already know, is very close to get to 150 megawatt, which is full capacity. But we've seen a lot of curtailment during 2024. January and February, curtailment was significantly lower. So, again, if we continue to see lower curtailment in Kenya throughout the year, that will be also very beneficiary and put us toward the higher end of the range. And weather results always can impact us. I can tell you that in Q1, the weather was a little bit warmer than anticipated on the electricity segment. And we saw in February, we just were now in Reno, Nevada, or close to it, and it was quite warm. On the other hand, when you talk about the hiring of the regs as a whole, as a company, on the storage segment, the freeze that some of you guys experienced in January and February, we are very sorry for you guys, but I can tell you that for our storage segment, it was very beneficiary. So weather can also impact us. So there are a few things that can happen that can move us to the upper end of the range. It's not about CODs this year. Most of the CODs are towards the end of the year and they will impact the 2026. Hopefully that answered the question.
Yeah, super helpful. And I'm glad to hear you all benefited from the freeze. I am in Texas. I did not. So just a follow up question on some of the repowerings you all are going through. I know some of the other companies we look at have talked about being able to renegotiate higher off of some of these repowerings. Are you seeing a similar opportunity? And if so, how meaningful is the upside there? Thank you.
Thank you. The recontracting that we see is very meaningful. I'll tell you that the last recontracting that we did that we announced was with Calpine for the Mammoth G2 facility. The Mammoth G2 facility ends with PPA at the end of 26, starting 27. It's a PPA with a little bit lower than $70 per megawatt hour. The PPA that we signed was over $100. And so we see a big change. And we signed a couple of years ago a portfolio PPA with the the energy in similar ranges like we had you know in the around 70 dollars today we see prices above 100. so today we see that the re-contracting all of them will be higher prices than what we have today and we also see which we haven't seen in a while and mainly with the hyperscaler willingness to look or include some indexation to pricing, some that we didn't have in the past. We still don't have it in contact with time, but we are seeing a willingness to discuss it into the PPA. So it's a big, it will have a big impact going forward.
Thank you. The next question comes from Derek Podheiser with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.
Hey, good morning. Maybe shifting over to energy storage, maybe the margins obviously fell a little bit here, quarter over quarter. Just can you talk about the different moving pieces as far as how margins step down below the 10% range? And as we think about it, looking into 2025, you know, puts and takes between bringing on new projects and obviously a lot of the tariff talk out of coming out of China. I know a lot of your supply chain comes out of China for these energy storage units. Maybe just some help around the margin outlook and then how tariffs could be impacting this business.
Good morning. As you can see, in general, 2024, we had around 10% to 11% margin between the quarters. I would say that in general, 2024, there was no significant weather event across the fleet. And we only benefited from a bottleneck, which bears a higher margin. during the month of December. That's when it fully operated. When we look at 2025, we are experiencing more weather events already in January and February. And with the increased exposure in PJM, with Montague coming online earlier, we are seeing now for the year roughly a margin of 15% to 20% for the full year. And I will say that we will see a higher margin than expected in Q1 because of the weather events that we experienced. Also in Q3, a bottleneck project has a better margin. In general, during Q3, the contract gives us a higher rate versus the remaining of the year. This is a new tolling agreement that we have in place already in December 2024. So we think about the year, We expect Q1 and Q3 to lead the margin, and for the full year, 15% to 20% margin, which is close to double the T. Right, no, that makes sense.
And then maybe just some comments around the tariffs out of China, just your supply chain with the batteries and the cells and everything else that goes into it.
If you think about our CAPEX this year, for example, total CAPEX on storage is expected to be $200 million. I would say at least half of it is the things that we bring from China. So it will add some cost to our basically all investments, and it's taken into consideration. But please remember that the battery prices are down from a high of $250 per battery three years ago to $130, $120. You can even buy batteries now at $110, $100. So overall, from the time we decided to buy the projects until now, the value of the batteries went down significantly. So 10% should not impact almost anything in our decision-making, and it will not stop us from continuing the growth. The key for us is to get interconnection on time, and the key for us is to continue to sign good tolling agreements to allow us to develop more projects.
Got it. That's helpful. And then you recently signed an MOU with SLB in the oil and gas world to develop traditional and next generation geothermal assets, EGS. Could you give us an update on how that's progressing? Anything noteworthy you want to share, how you're viewing this MOU and how it's evolving?
Thank you. So it's a very important MOU from our perspective, and i'm seeing also from a slb and it basically has two two arms on one hand slb you know one of the largest drillers have many customers that are drilling around the world and have access through to potential geothermal sites they are also owning geothermets which is one of the consulting trails that deal with geothermal and then we do hope that through their customer base and a knowledge from geothermics we will be able together to develop geothermal projects and for a hyperscaler when you have a smb customer on the other part is the egs as As you know, EGS is significantly focused and looking on drilling, drilling costs, drilling technologies, and SLB is in the forefront of this technology. And we are working with them to design exactly the framework where we will together develop an EGS solution, deal with the technology challenges that EGS has today. between our experience in the resource management and SLB experience in the drilling, we believe that we have a good chance to deal better than others on these technology challenges. And then once we do find the right economical EGS solution to start developing EGS projects. It's a process that we are starting with SLB today, these days, you know, finalizing the framework and going forward. So, it's not a short, it won't have a short-term impact, obviously, but it hopefully will have a mid-term impact and a longer-term significant impact. Great. Appreciate all the color.
I'll turn it back.
The next question comes from Jeff Osborne with TD Cowan. Your line is open.
Yeah, thank you. Just two quick ones. On the contract renewals that you mentioned with Calpine for 15 megawatts, I think you had 88 total megawatts that were being renewed from 26 to 28. Is there any update on the cadence of that expectation? And I assume those would also be north of 100 megawatts an hour?
The other recontracting that we have until 28 actually go through the energy portfolio. These are contracts that are signed with Envy Energy, and we signed them three years ago. The portfolio, it is a smaller number, around $70. However, still, these are higher prices than what we have today in these contracts.
Got it. So, no new renewals between now and 28, and then it would require or new exploration to reach the $100 price point for anything above and beyond that. Just want to make sure I get the timing right.
These were relating to the VADA. We have a Heber contract in California that we signed with SCAPA. That contract ends in February 26. And we are waiting to the final signature for stuff that should happen in the coming weeks. And that contract on average is about 100. Again, significantly higher than .
Perfect. And my last question was the, I forget what year it was, maybe 22 or 23, you made an acquisition that had a power line associated with it. And I believe you're trying to sell that power line or have been for a while. Is there any update on that? And what the potential proceeds could be?
We have the power line connected to the control substation, which is waiting for an upgrade. We are not a transmission company, and as you said, we are looking to sell it. We are in the process, and obviously, since we're in the middle of the process, I cannot share some commercial details, but this is definitely a process that we're doing, and we plan to finalize it.
Perfect. And just a clarification, I think you mentioned the prepared remarks, but I failed to hear Did you name the particular Envy Energy project that was being curtailed that's leading to the electricity shortfall in 2025?
I don't think we named it, but it's mainly in the Guinness area, the Guinness city. Got it. Thank you.
The next question comes from Ryan Levine with Citigroup. Your line is open.
Thanks for taking my question. There's two questions. What's changed from the company's prior stands to go through a regulated utility to this direct PPA with the hyperscaler? And then related, another IPP or another power company indicated $70 to $90 per megawatt hour range for hyperscaler deals that didn't include capacity or ancillary service. Can you provide some color or is there anything that you're able to share as to what's included with the north of $100 per megawatt hour number?
First of all, we are negotiating with Hyperscaddle, as I said, directly and also through the utility of companies. So we're looking at both alternatives and we're trying to maximize the growth and profitability of the company between these two aspects. When we signed the PPA, we basically sell with the PPA all the attributes of the renewable energy, including direct and everything. So we have one customer, one price that deals with everything. Maybe that's the difference. I don't know who mentioned $70 to $90, but maybe that's part of the difference, but that's how we see it. There are other technologies. Our technology is emission-free. Other technologies have emissions that also might have an impact on the price that people are willing to pay. New power plants get, we see, tend to get higher pricing than re-contracting many times. So there are various issues that can impact the pricing of the PPA, but what we said is we see pricing that we are negotiating above 100.
Okay. Appreciate that. And just in terms of duration, I think it was previously mentioned or clarified, but do those duration conversations include all attributes of the power that you're selling? I mean, does this include capacity, some of the racks, or any type of environmental attributes? And are they all likely to be similar in duration, or any color you could share on that front?
Yes. All the PPAs that we have sent, all the attributes at the same time, period time of the PPA. So the PPA is 10 years. It could be for 10 years, 15 or 20. And the duration of the PPA is based on the negotiations we have with a specific customer usually ranging between 10 to 20 years. Great.
Thanks for taking my questions.
Thank you.
This concludes the question and answer session. I'll turn to CEO Doran Blachar for closing remarks.
Thank you all for joining us today. 2024 was another very good year for Obama. We see the significant increased demand in the U.S. and globally, and we are fully committed to continue to focus on this growth and make sure that this is a possible growth going forward. Thank you, Autumn.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.
SEC filing · Item 2.02
Filed Feb 27, 2025 · complete as-filed document
SEC periodic report
Filed Feb 27, 2025 · complete as-filed document