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OSK · Oshkosh Corp

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$152.89 +0.54 (+0.35%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$9.71B
Shares
62.35M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Oshkosh Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Oshkosh Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Jan 29, 2026 Audio replay
Jan 29, 2026 55:52 52 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
55:52
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Oshkosh reported full-year 2025 revenue of $10.4 billion and adjusted EPS of $10.79, with Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.26 in line with guidance. For 2026, the company guided adjusted EPS of $11.50, reflecting expected weakness in Access partly offset by vocational growth and NGDV ramp-up.

2026 Outlook and EPS Guidance 45 Innovation, Autonomy and CES Showcase 44 Access Segment Demand and Nonresidential Construction 41 NGDV Ramp and Defense 24 Vocational Segment Strength and Fire Truck Throughput 22 Tariffs and Pricing 17

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +35 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We see a general continuation of recent economic conditions which includes expected lower capital investments at certain of our industrial customers, notably in our access equipment and refuse businesses.”
  • “Without an improvement expected in nonresidential construction in 2026, our outlook for the year is for adjusted EPS in the range of $11.50.”
  • “many other construction sectors remain soft, and we therefore expect revenue in the 2026 to be down compared to 2025”
  • “We're very confident that that continue to progress as we head towards 2028.”

Forward guidance

3 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $2.69B +3.5% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 15.8% -1.4 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $133.80M -12.6% YoY

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year 2025 revenue of $10.4 billion, adjusted operating income of just over $1 billion, and adjusted EPS of $10.79
  • Q4 adjusted operating margin of 8.4% on $2.7 billion of revenue; Q4 Access orders above $1.7 billion with a 1.5 book-to-bill
  • Vocational full-year revenue up nearly 13% to more than $3.7 billion at a 15.8% adjusted operating margin; fire apparatus sales up about 17% for the year with fire truck deliveries up nearly 10% in the second half
  • 2026 guidance of $11.50 adjusted EPS, with $2.5 billion of expected NGDV revenue, continued fire truck throughput gains, and price/cost expected to turn positive in the back half of 2026
  • Multiple CES 2026 innovation awards, including best-of-innovation for JLG robotics and the Volterra ARF, and recognition for the CAMS collision avoidance system
  • About $150 million of planned capital investment to improve fire truck throughput, with roughly $70 million spent to date

Risks & pressure points

  • 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $11.50 implies only modest growth and reflects expected lower capital investment by Access and refuse customers and soft nonresidential construction
  • 2026 Access revenue expected to decline versus 2025, with many non-data-center/infrastructure construction sectors remaining soft
  • Q4 Access backlog of $1.3 billion described as reasonable but not strong in the current environment
  • Q4 Vocational margins pressured by adverse product mix from a higher proportion of one-off/snowflake fire truck builds
  • Tariff headwind of about $200 million in 2026, roughly $160 million higher than 2025, with about three-quarters concentrated in the Access segment
  • Risk factors highlight highly cyclical end markets, potential adverse impacts on the USPS NGDV contract performance, and uncertainty around reaching 2028 financial targets

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“we see a general continuation of recent economic conditions which includes expected lower capital investments at certain of our industrial customers, notably in our access equipment and refuse businesses. Without an improvement expected in nonresidential construction in 2026, our outlook for the year is for adjusted EPS in the range of $11.50.” John Pfeifer, CEO
“Our EPS growth compared to 2025 reflects strong performance in the vocational segment, reflecting our higher production throughput for fire trucks and the continued ramp-up of our NGDV in the transport segment, partially offset by our expectation for weaker market conditions in the Access segment.” John Pfeifer, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Jan 29, 2026.

Metric Guided
Diluted earnings per share
2026
$10.90
Adjusted earnings per share
2026
$11.50
Net sales
2026
$11B

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$118.70M
Dividend / share
$0.57
Full-screen source Call document