SEMrush Holdings, Inc. Q3 FY2021 Earnings Call

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Brent, and I’ll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Semrush Holdings' Third Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Bob Gujavarty, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Good morning. I’m Bob Gujavarty, VP of Investor Relations, and welcome to Semrush Holdings' third quarter 2021 results conference call. We'll be discussing the results announced in our press release issued after market close on Tuesday. With me on this call is our CEO, Oleg Shchegolev, our CFO, Evgeny Fetisov, and our CSO, Eugene Levin. A summary of our prepared comments is also available on the official SEMrush Twitter account, @semrush. Before we begin, I'd like to highlight our participation in several virtual investor conferences to be held during the fourth quarter. We will attend the Stifel Virtual Midwest One-on-One Growth Conference on November 11, and the RBC Technology Global TIMT Conference on November 16. Today's call will contain forward-looking statements made pursuant to the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include statements concerning our expected future business and financial performance and financial condition, expected growth, adoption and demand for our products and features, expected investments and their anticipated benefits, industry and market trends, our competitive position, market opportunities, and our guidance for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the full year 2021, and can be identified by words such as expect, anticipate, intend, plan, believe, seek, or will. These statements reflect our views as of today only, and should not be relied upon as representing our views at any subsequent date, and we do not undertake any duty to update these statements. Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. For a discussion of the risks and important factors that could affect our actual results, please refer to our final IPO prospectus filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, as well as our other filings with the SEC. Also, during the course of today's call, we refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. There's a reconciliation schedule showing the GAAP versus non-GAAP results currently available on our press release issued after market close, which can be found at investors.semrush.com. And with that, let me turn the call over to Oleg.

Thank you, and good morning to everyone on the call. I'm pleased with our performance in the third quarter. Revenue of $49.3 million was up 53% year-over-year and up 9% sequentially. Our paid customers grew approximately 23% year-over-year, while the average revenue per customer grew by more than 20% year-over-year. I wanted to once again highlight the breadth of our product offerings, as I believe this is key to our growth strategy. As part of our repackaging efforts in January, we raised prices for entry level plans, but adjusted pricing for incremental user licenses, as we look to deepen our relationship with our customers. That strategy appears to have been successful. As of September 30, 2021, year-to-date, year-over-year user licenses growth was more than 80%. While user license growth contributed to strong growth in customers who paid in excess of $10,000 annually. These $10,000 customers were up more than 75% year-over-year in the third quarter. I would also highlight the continued strength of Semrush .Trends, our industry-leading competitive intelligence product. Semrush .Trends revenue was up more than 70% in the third quarter compared to the same period a year ago. We introduced a look ahead feature in .Trends this quarter, which updates forward traffic estimates weekly. I believe this capability is unique to Semrush .Trends, and could further position us as a leader in the competitive intelligence space. Semrush is fortunate to not have any customer or industry concentration. However, digital marketing agencies represent an important channel for us. We estimate 20 to 25% of our customers are digital marketing agencies, and we introduced our Agency Growth Kit add-on to help these customers grow their business. I'm pleased to report our agency growth kits attach rates are approaching 5% for agency customers, only 12 months after launch. I'm optimistic that attach rates for every single kit will only continue to grow, as nearly 25% of our agency customers have expressed interest in the product by registering at our agency growth clients' portal. We continued to fill out our executive team as Andrew Warden joined Semrush as our Chief Marketing Officer. Andrew is very familiar with our platform and remarketing technology industry, having had a variety of marketing roles previously to joining Semrush, including product experience as a CMO. Our growth strategy incorporates increased investment in brand marketing. And I'm pleased to have a seasoned professional like Andrew on board to help guide those efforts and ensure we have a positive impact on our growth. Semrush is gradually implementing a return to the office where public health conditions allow, and we look forward to meeting more of our investors face to face in 2022. If you would like to arrange a meeting in Boston with our team, please reach out to Bob, and he can coordinate. In conclusion, I am pleased with our performance in the third quarter. We extended our product leadership as the strong growth in every metric and robust user growth suggest that our products are becoming more essential to our customers. Looking ahead, we must stay focused on execution to end the year on a strong margin. With that, I will hand the call to Evgeny for a recap of our financial performance.

Thank you, Oleg. Q3 revenue of $49.3 million was up 53% year-over-year, and came in above our expectations. Growth was once again driven by a steady increase in paying customers and an increase in the average revenue per customer. We experienced average revenue per customer growth of more than 20% in the third quarter as compared to the year-ago period. The growth was driven by additional user licenses, a richer mix of core and business accounts, and strong growth of add-ons. Our trailing 12-month revenue retention was 124% as of September 30, up from 121% as of June 30. The increase continues to reflect easy comparisons due to COVID in 2020. I believe we will see some moderation in revenue retention as those easy comparisons abate. However, even achieving a modest decline, I believe Semrush will continue to produce industry-leading revenue retention for software firms servicing the small and medium enterprise market. Gross margin of 76.9% was down slightly from the previous quarter, but up from 76% a year ago. Non-GAAP operating expenses of $37.6 million in the quarter were up 47% from a year ago, and up approximately 10% from the previous quarter. The growth was driven by additional headcount, as well as increased marketing spend. We plan to make additional investments in brand marketing in the back half of 2021. And this investment drove the majority of the sequential increase. Those investments are expected to extend into the fourth quarter and into 2022. Strong revenue growth was offset by slightly lower gross margin and higher operating expenses, resulting in non-GAAP net income of $12,000 in the third quarter, up from a net loss of $778,000 a year ago. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $188.5 million, up from $180.8 million at the end of the second quarter. The increase in cash was primarily due to approximately $8.6 million of cash flow from operations. The third quarter was another strong quarter of cash generation, and I expect cash flow to moderate in the fourth quarter due to increased investment into marketing and sales. Looking ahead to guidance, I expect fourth quarter revenue in the range of $51.8 million to $52.3 million, representing 42% to 43% year-over-year growth. For the full year, I expect revenue in a range of $186 million to $186.5 million, which would represent 49% year-over-year growth. Increased investments, primarily driven by higher spending in marketing, are likely to weigh on profitability; therefore, I expect the fourth quarter non-GAAP loss of $5.5 million to $5 million, and a non-GAAP loss of $3.5 million to $2.6 million for 2021. We achieved another quarter of strong revenue growth in our third consecutive quarter of non-GAAP net income. Our cash flow rebound strongly in our financial performance puts us in a position to make the appropriate investments to support our growth in 2022 and beyond. With that, Oleg, Eugene, and I are happy to take any of your questions.

Great. Hey guys, this is James on for Brent. Thanks for the questions. Could you talk about bringing on Andrew Warden to run marketing? And just what his strategic objectives are on the go-to-market side? Should we expect any changes to your sales structure? Or should we assume everything just stays relatively intact? That's my first question. My second one is, I know you're not providing specific 2022 guidance yet, but can you talk about the puts and takes for revenue growth next year? Are there any big drivers that we should be considering? How should we be thinking about the mix of subscriber versus average check? Thank you so much.

Thank you. I’ll take the first question related to our new CMO, Andrew Warden. Look, we don't expect any significant changes in our go-to-market strategy. We should continue the same way. And this quarter shows us that we are doing very well with our marketing and sales strategy. But at the same time, we should prepare ourselves for three to five years in the future. We want to start more branding campaigns. We want to give more attention to brand marketing. We started many experiments with video advertising, and we want to continue with video advertising even more. I think Andrew Warden will be a great addition to our team.

This is Eugene, I'll take the second question, James. So on revenue guidance, I believe it's slightly too early to talk about the next year full year's numbers. We will provide you more clarity on our next call in February. However, we can say that we plan to continue to be a high grower. We'll continue to focus on adding more customers and expanding our average check, basically in line with how we were working this year. So I guess that's the level of detail I'll be able to provide. And then, Evgeny?

Yeah, so for the next year, we think that in terms of comps, the first half of the year is going to be a little bit easier when it comes to the growth of average check, and then the second half is going to be a little bit easier when it comes to the growth of users. So that’s directionally how you can use this information in your models. But we'll provide more details later.

Hey, guys. Congrats on the quarter. Just a couple of questions on how things progressed through the third quarter. On the one hand, you did point out that on NRR, you’re starting to see tougher comps there as you evolve into the future, and come back from the COVID bounce if you will. But then I was wondering how that played out in the third quarter, combined with what may have been, if there was any seasonality from activity levels, as we hit the summer and back to the office and just general levels of project.

Michael, this is Evgeny, I’ll try to pick up this question. So what we saw in the first half of the year was clearly accelerated growth, which will not be typical, and we didn't see the typical seasonality. What we saw in the second half of the year, or continue to see in the third quarter in particular, is actually a return to the more normal patterns. The numbers we're seeing are fairly much in line with what we expected them to be at the beginning of the year. So that's probably corresponds to what you're seeing across the board. So, elevated first half of the year, and more normal second half of the year.

Thanks. And Evgeny, I was just wondering if you could – you talked a little bit, you guys talked a little bit about pricing and those two different factors of the price increase, but also the price reduction and incremental seats. So can you talk a little bit if you can quantify the impact of each of those?

To quantify at this point is quite early in the quarter, but we see an accelerated adoption of additional user licenses or seats by our customers. So, net-net with lower prices, we're seeing a higher attach rate and higher revenue from this particular feature. And then overall, we see some support, I mean, part of the growth in the average check is driven by new customers coming in at the new price. Plus there is a fraction of the increase, which is driven by our existing customers migrating to new price points when they upgrade. So there is a positive.

Yes. So just it seems like you're getting demand elasticity, if you will, out of the reduction in incremental seat price where it is driving more revenue, even at a lower incremental price.

Absolutely. That's correct.

Great. Hey, this is Ben Jilin filling in for Mark. Congrats on the quarter. I want to ask at a high level, what are you hearing from your customers in terms of how they're evolving their marketing budgets, given all the uncertainties around IDFA and cookies? Are you seeing them lean more towards organic marketing, which could maybe act as a tailwind for your content marketing solutions?

Yeah, thank you for the question. This is Eugene. It's a big part of the conversation that we're seeing in the marketing community, and people are trying to figure out what is the right path forward. In general, what we have done so far is conduct a small scale survey and asked our customers about how they're planning to address changes in the marketplace, and how they're planning to reallocate the budget. Now, within our customer base, we've seen that most people are saying that they will double down on their investments in organic search, paid search, and content marketing. Those have been the top three gainers in their budget. Surprisingly, number four was Facebook ads. So people still have more faith in Facebook ads than in things like programmatic advertising or retargeting. So those are our conclusions so far. Now, I have to comment that it's really a small scale study, and it's only our customer base, which is a fraction of the total market. But that's what we are seeing within our user base.

Right. This is Evgeny. I think you're right. This is more of a pull forward or higher base from the first half of the year. So it's a little bit tougher to compare. Again, as I mentioned, that was the abnormal seasonality, and now again we’re coming back to normal. So I think that's the case.

There are no further questions at this time. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.