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SERA $1.96 -2.49%
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SERA · Sera Prognostics, Inc.

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$1.96 -0.05 (-2.49%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$77.32M
Shares
39.45M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2026 Q1

Sera Prognostics, Inc. Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Sera Prognostics, Inc. Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Concluded May 6, 2026
May 6, 2026 20 turns
Period
FY2026 Q1
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Sera Prognostics reported Q1 2026 results highlighting commercial expansion with a third partnership program reaching over 350 providers across three states, active discussions with 13 payers across 15 states, multiple peer-reviewed publications, and a business review that extended its cash runway through 2029.

Payer Engagement and Reimbursement 26 Awareness and Media Outreach 21 Commercial Partnerships / Provider Programs 21 Cash Runway and R&D Reallocation 15 Advocacy and Policy 12 Clinical Evidence and Publications 9

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +25 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We're cautiously optimistic, but we want to watch it for another few quarters.”
  • “low single-digit thousands for 2026 is not unreasonable”
  • “We'll go faster if we can go faster”
  • “The tactical timeline nets out to about two years to a decision for the state, with plus or minus a quarter or two.”

Forward guidance

1 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

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Revenue $14,000 -63.2% YoY
Diluted EPS -$0.17
Net income -$8.40M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Launched third partnership program expected to reach over 350 providers across three states
  • Cash runway extended through 2029 following a comprehensive business review that redirected investment toward commercialization
  • Two peer-reviewed publications in March, including PRIME expert commentary in the Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine and PREPARE survey acceptance in the Journal of Women's Health
  • PRIME study results showed -56% early preterm births <32 weeks, -32% <35 weeks, -20% NICU admissions, and -20% neonatal morbidity across 5,018 women
  • SHE MD podcast featuring Hailey Bieber surpassed 0.5 million views, driving awareness of PreTRM

Risks & pressure points

  • First Medicaid program coverage decision expected around the beginning of 2027, roughly two years after launch
  • Pace of payer program launches is approximately one per quarter due to the complexity of standing up provider institutions
  • Company does not currently report order volume metrics and expects to begin reporting only after sustained internal improvement is observed

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Based on our measured commercialization strategy and a more sustainable cost base resulting from the activities discussed earlier, we believe our capital resources will be sufficient to fund the company across significant adoption and commercial milestones through 2029.” Austin Aerts, CFO
“These actions are expected to reduce our base operating expenses by nearly $10 million annually while enhancing our ability to focus capital on commercialization efforts. At this new operating level, we expect that our existing cash and cash equivalents will be sufficient to fund our operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements through 2029.” Speaker 2, CEO

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Base operating expenses
annually
$10M
Full-screen source Call document