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SERA · Sera Prognostics, Inc.

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$1.96 -0.05 (-2.49%) At close · Aug 14
Going-concern doubt — flagged Aug 12, 2026

Substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.

“Each of the foregoing factors may harm our business, operating results, and financial condition and may impact our ability to continue as a going concern.”
View the 10-Q filed Aug 12, 2026
Market Cap
$77.32M
Shares
39.45M

Price & Indicators

Indicators
Price
Panels
Event markers
20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$1.96 Open$2.01 Day$1.96–2.05 52W close$1.59–3.75 Avg vol 30d38K Short int231K · 0.6% float · 6.4d Short vol32% Last earningsAug 12, 2026 DataJul 2021–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 12

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 19, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 14 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
Latest filing: 10-Q
filed Aug 12, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Sell
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Neutral Momentum Very Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Neutral
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −20%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg −2%
      below
      RSI (14) 46
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 17%
      mid-range
      Volume (OBV) Bullish div.
      accumulating
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Weak
      1-month return −4%
      trailing
      6-month return −20%
      trailing
      YTD return −34%
      this year
      Relative strength −34%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $2 › 200d $2 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      -16% holders QoQ · +2 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$87.3K over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      0.59% of float · ▼ -4.1% MoM · 6.4 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      47 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 42
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Strong
      Revenue growth +5%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +32%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-26.3M
      Balance sheet $3.9M
      net cash
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 76%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −58%
      past year
      ATR 8.5%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the Earnings Call filed Mar 31, 2026
      Base operating expenses · annually $10M
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Dec 31, 2023
      Total 2024 gross cash expenses · this year / 2024 $26M
      Potential additional investment beyond gross cash expenses · this year / 2024 up to $5M
      Annual gross cash burn · this year / 2024 up to $25M

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
      2 · 4 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −20% Bearish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −2% Neutral
      RSI (14)
      46 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      17% Neutral
      Volume (OBV)
      Bullish div. Bullish
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bearish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $2 › 200d $2 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      -16% holders QoQ · +2 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$87.3K over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      0.59% of float · ▼ -4.1% MoM · 6.4 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      47 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $2 Now $2 · 17% Range high $4
      vs 200-day avg -20% vs 50-day avg -2%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Versus peers

      Medical Devices — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      SERA
      Sera Prognostics, Inc.
      this stock
      		$77.32M -33.6% +5.2% — 0.6%
      ABT
      Abbott Laboratories
      		 $193.78B -11.2% +5.7% 31.2 1.3%
      SYK
      Stryker Corp
      		 $130.11B -3.5% +11.2% 35.2 2.2%
      MDT
      Medtronic plc
      		 $116.83B -5.0% +8.4% 24.5 1.4%
      BSX
      Boston Scientific Corp
      		 $75.11B -45.6% +12.5% 21.0 1.5%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Reducing
      Holders
      47
      % held
      43.2%
      Net QoQ
      -2.9M sh
      Top holder
      BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      23
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      230.9K
      Days to cover
      6.4d
      Change
      -10.0K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      32%
      As of
      Aug 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      2.0K
      Value
      $3.6K
      As of
      Jun 26, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      61.6%
      Week of
      Jul 6, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$87.3K
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 5
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $81.0K
      Net income (FY)
      $-31.9M
      EPS diluted
      $-0.67
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      Aug 12, 2026
      This year
      13
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $4.4K
      Shares
      2.2K
      Filed
      Jun 15, 2026
      View
      Exempt Offerings
      Offering
      $100.3M
      Filed
      May 11, 2021
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 12, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      SERA -5.3% -4.4% -20.0% -3.9% -33.6%
      SPY +0.4% +4.5% +13.8% +3.9% +13.9%
      vs SPY -5.7% -8.8% -33.8% -7.8% -47.4%
      Key facts CIK 1534969 CUSIP 81749D107 13F (30d) 46 filings 46 filers Visit website Investor relations

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