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Earnings call · FY2025 Q3
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Good evening. My name is Tiffany and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Sky Harbor 2025 third quarter earnings column webinar. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply submit a question online using the webcast URL posted on our website. Thank you. Francisco Gonzalez, you may begin your conference.
Thank you, Tiffany. And hello and welcome to the 2025 Third Quarter Investor Conference Call and webcast for Sky Harbor Group Corporation. We have also invited our bondholder investors in our barring subsidiary Sky Harbor Capital to join and participate on this call. Before we begin, I've been asked by Council to note that on today's call, the company will address certain factors that may impact this and next year's earnings. Some of the information that will be discussed today contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management assumptions which may or may not come true, and you should refer to the language on slides one and two of this presentation, as well as our SEC filings for a description of the factors that may cause actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are made as of today, and we assume no obligation to update any such statements. So now let's get started. The team with us this afternoon, you know from our prior webcast, our CEO and Chair of the Board, Tal Kanan, our Treasurer, Tim Herr, our Chief Accounting Officer, Mike Smith, our Accounting Manager, Tori Petro, and Andreas Frank, our Assistant Treasurer. We have a few slides we'll want to review with you before we open into questions. These were filed with the SEC an hour ago in Form 8K, along with our 10Q, and will also be available on our website later this evening. We also filed our third quarter on Audita's Sky Harbor Capital Obligated Group Financials with MSRB, Emma, an hour ago. As the operator stated, you may submit written questions during the webcast using the Q4 platform, and we'll address them shortly after our prepared remarks. Let's get started. In the third quarter, on a consolidated basis, assets in the construction and completed construction continue to increase, reaching over $300 million on the back of construction activity at the recently completed campuses at Phoenix, Dallas, and Denver. Please note this graph is soon to accelerate its upward trajectory as we break ground in Bradley International, Salt Lake City, Addison Phase II, and other campuses. Consolidated revenues experience an increase of 78 percent year-over-year and 11% sequentially, reaching $7.3 million for the quarter, reflecting the acquisition of Camarillo campus last December and higher revenues from existing and new campuses. Operating expenses in Q3 actually dropped slightly as some of the one-time non-recurring startup expenses and new campuses that we experienced in Q2 did not carry to the last quarter. SG&A had a one-time non-cash expense in the quarter related to the recognition of investing of our former COO's equity award compensation. We are working hard to keep SG&A stable, and as indicated in prior public discussions, we look for this line item not to exceed $20 million on a cash basis when it reaches its peak. This line item has many non-cash elements, which Mike, our Chief Accounting Officer, will review shortly. Most importantly, on the lower right-hand quadrant, we are only less than $1 million away from breakeven on a cash reform operation basis, and expect to reach that goal next month on a run rate basis as discussed in prior calls and part of our formal guidance. Next slide, please. This is a summary of the financial results of our wholly owned subsidiary Sky Harbor Capital and its operating subsidiaries that form the obligated group. This basically incorporates the results of our Houston, Miami, and Nashville campuses along with the newly opened campuses in Phoenix, Dallas, and Denver. Revenues in Q3 increased 25 percent year over year and 8 percent sequentially. We expect a continuing increase in Q4 and the first quarter of next year as these campuses the new campuses continue to be leased and phase two at opaloka miami expected to open around early april of next year operating expenses decreased moderately as discussed before as i just discussed while the operating leverage is shown in the strong cash flow generation coming from operating activities as you can see in the lower right hand quadrant let's start turn now to our Chief Accounting Officer, Michael Smith, for a breakdown of adjusted EBITDA.
Thank you, Francisco. Adjusted EBITDA is a measurement tool utilized by management to evaluate our operating and financial performance. I should note that it is supplemental in nature and it is not calculated in accordance with U.S. GAF. We have provided a reconciliation from our GATNAD last results to the three months ended September 30th, 2025. Amongst the most significant Second items that are components of our reconciliation to adjusted EBITDA are the non-cash portion of our ground lease expense, as we discussed in prior quarters. Most of virtually all of our new ground lease signs do not act until we receive certificate of occupancy. Nonetheless, under US GAAP, we are required to recognize straight line expense chart, the effect of adding back that non-cash expense to adjusted EBITDA. Another significant component this particular quarter was share-based compensation, which totaled approximately $2 million, inclusive of certain non-recurring charges previously. With that...
All right. Thanks, Mike. Just a quick look at site acquisition. I think this is pretty self-explanatory. It's the same chart that we put up every week. We have 19 airports on the chart today. That's airports that are either in operation or development uh we gave guidance that uh we will have 23 by the end of this year and uh we we plan on hitting that guidance next slide uh okay our latest airport is uh long beach california uh as we've discussed our previous calls los angeles is a critical market for us uh both a very robust installed base of business aviation and also high growth. Long Beach itself is a real emerging technology hub, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, and we've identified our first residents already there. A very significant airport for us, and I don't think it exhausts or it comes anywhere near exhausting our opportunity in the Los Angeles market. Next slide, please. So this is a bit of an eye chart, but based on Some questions from the previous earnings calls, we thought we would provide this level of detail here, and I hope it's helpful to everybody. I'm just going to go through line by line so people understand exactly what we're looking Actually, before we say that, all of the green airports are stabilized campuses. The blue ones are in initially some campuses that were recently completed construction or about to complete construction. and then the yellow is our initial pre-leasing pilot that we discussed on the last earnings call so going line by line revenue run rate is exactly what it what it looks like that is the annual total revenue run rate from each campus as of now rentable square feet is the amount of square footage of hangar and hangar support space that we have built on or are going to build in the yellow case on each of these campuses. People have asked in the past about what are their actual rentable square footage? How do we get to above 100 percent occupancy in these in these spaces? We'll get to that in a minute, but it's just important that everyone understands in, you know, BNA, that's National International Airport, we have 149,000 built square feet that can be rented. the next line is private square footage the private square footage is the square footage of hangar that is leased on an exclusive or private basis and you'll see that there are certain airports where that is the dominant uh form of lease so sugarland for example the first one 100 of the hangars are fully private there are no semi-private spaces at sugarland and uh i know let's take uh san jose where the vast majority uh of our airport of our space is actually leased on a semi-private basis i think a good way to look at that semi-private line the next the fourth line is the square footage of hangar at that airport that is not privately leased okay that is that is available for common use or what we call semi-private. That's a square footage of hangar available for semi-private use on that airport. The fifth line is the actual square footage of aircraft in semi-private spaces. Now remember we don't care so much about the square footage of aircraft in private spaces because you're paying for every square foot in that space regardless of the square footage of airplane that's actually in that space. Semi-private space is at least on basis of aircraft square footage. So what we're seeing here is the actual aircraft square footage that is sitting in semi-private space. To answer one of the questions from I think the previous quarterly earnings call, if you look at for example SJC, that's San Jose Norman Mineta, you'll see that we have about 50,000 square feet of airplane sitting in about 41,500 square feet of hangar. That's an example of getting to more than 100% occupancy. As people who are following us know, we've transitioned from the old Sky Harbor 16, which was the prototype hangar and had 12,000 square feet of rentable hangar space, to the new prototype, which is going up in all of the current campuses, the Sky Harbor 37, which has 37,000 square feet of rentable hangar space. The dividend you get from that is especially pronounced on a semi-private basis, right? You can get, without getting too crowded, you can get close to 70,000 square feet of airplane into that 37,000 square feet of hangar and I think if people can look on the website to understand the geometry of exactly how that works but we want to give you some empirical data points of what that's looking like the next line line number six is revenue per square foot and the way that the way that works is very simple we just take the total revenue the top line divided by the rentable square footage the second line that gives you your effective revenue per square foot and then the last line which I think is an important nuance I think it's very important to understand particularly in light of our current leasing strategy shows you what the high and lows are on contracted revenue per square foot okay or contracted revenue per leased square foot uh and the reason that's important is you know if you look a little bit closer you'll see that there is a correlation between the recency of a of a signed lease the later the lease was signed the higher the revenue per rentable square foot and also a correlation between the duration of lease and the uh revenue per rentable square foot longer duration leases have higher revenues per square foot different from what you're going to find in most real estate and that has to do with i i think our tenant community's appreciation of the expected inflation on airports so we charge i hire rentable square foot on longer term leases that feeds into our uh current leasing strategy before we move to to pre-leasing uh what you can see on on the blue columns the airports that are in initial lease up right now uh in that what we're trying to do on those airports is actually get as quickly as possible to 100% occupancy and do that in general on the basis of short-term leases. Call it 12-month leases with the idea of establishing a more permanent occupancy at our target rent. So at the beginning, it's about speed, getting to 100%. That puts us in in a very different position with regard to leverage in negotiating new leases, and then go back and correct to market. Now, that said, in each of those blue airports, we do have one or two residents who are on longer-term leases that are paying full rest. What you can see on the green side is the relatively high disparities between the highest to the lowest leases again the highest tend to be the ones that are signed latest uh and or the the leases that have the longest tenor uh just a couple things to point out before we move on is uh just to preempt any questions sugarland uh that campus had was gradually taken over by its anchor tenant we started with seven hangers the anchor tenant had two of those seven Every time one of the hangers came due, that anchor tenant took over that lease, which brings us to the state of affairs today, where there is only one resident in the entire campus, so they're paying the same rent across the board. And the last thing I'll point out to people is the higher the ratio of semi-private to private space, the bigger the disparity you'll see between the highest and the lowest revenue per square foot. And again, that is a nod to our evolving strategy of increasing our emphasis on semi-private space versus private space. In general, under most conditions, that's actually a better business for us. And then the last thing I'll say is the yellow bar is just our initial pre-leasing.
That pilot has moved on to a – it's been successful, and we've turned that into a permanent – that is the permanent leasing program going forward. and with that let me turn it over to Tim thanks pal at the obligated group we completed a modification of our construction program by removing the second phase of Centennial Airport and adding in the second phase at Addison Airport Addison has an earlier expected completion date at a lower expected construction costs and with its higher expected revenues the modification will be positively accretive to our bondholders as we approach the final completion of all of of projects in the obligated group. Next slide. We also finalized a $200 million tax-exempt drawdown facility announced with JP Morgan in September. This five-year facility will provide debt funding for our next projects in the development pipeline. We expect to draw on the facility over the next two years, as you can see on the chart on the left, followed by an eventual takeout with longer-term tax-exempt bonds once the projects are completed. We recently announced that we have locked in our cost of financing at 4.73 percent, that's 473, through a floating first fixed swap. Now let me turn it over to Francisco for discussions on future capital formation.
Thank you, Tim. We closed the quarter with $48 million in cash on U.S. treasuries, which are now in hands with the $200 million committed JPY facility that Tim discussed. We have been served well historically to continue to be a fortress of liquidity and be funded 18 to 24 months ahead of our needs. Given the accelerating growth ahead of us, we continue to explore various private and public alternatives in terms of the right type and cost of growth capital. Until we decide to start paying a dividend, we will reinvest our positive operating cash flow next year in traditional hangar campuses. We have also not used our ATM program or issued any equity, given that we consider too low of a share price. Instead, we are exploring the possibility of issuing yet additional private activity bonds outside the obligated group and outside the JPMorgan facility. Specifically, the five-year part of the curve looks attractive for an interim issuance while we construct our next portfolio of six to seven campuses. That will provide us with adequate time to come to a long-term bond issuance once our OVA group program achieves investment grade. We also announced today that we're entering into a binding LOI with an alternate high-network family office. It is expected to acquire a 75% participation in a new Sky Harbor 34 hangar at Phase 2 in Opaloka for $30.75 million in cash. The transaction is expected to close on or about April 1st of next year, subject to certain conditions. If completed, we expect to use the proceeds first to fund any remaining capital needs to construct Phase 2 at Addison, and then repay certain past payments previously advanced by a holding company to the obligated group. The balance will pass through the obligated group's waterfall and be subject to the restrictive payments test of the surplus account. This type of asset monetization is a prudent way to generate capital to fund our future growth if and only if the valuations support it and if the alternatives are less attractive to us from a dilution and cost of capital perspective. We continue to explore a few more potential hangar sales from people who simply do not like to rent and prefer to own their own hangar. With this, let me turn it back to Tao for Q3 highlights and for coming initiatives in the four pillars of our business.
Thanks, Francisco. We're breaking it down the same way we always do. Site acquisition, 19 airport ground leases, we're on track to deliver 23 airports by the end of the year. We have begun pursuing same field expansion opportunities, and I'm going to expand on that on the next slide. and as as we've mentioned before the focus has much of the focus at least has shifted to really targeting tier one airports rather than just a lot of airports development so our manufacturing subsidiary stratus is uh now pumping out steel in in full gear meeting all of our our development needs the construction program under our construction subsidiary ascend is uh is also in full gear. We're on an accelerated track to meet our 2026 construction schedule, which, as people have probably noticed, is a real step function in construction volume. Specifically, Miami Opelaka Phase 2 is on schedule. We have broken ground in Connecticut, Bradley, Connecticut. We've nearly completed site demolition at Dallas Addison Phase 2. It's going to be uh probably the the tightest uh uh schedule spread between phase one and phase two on an airport and dallas is a is a very good market for us uh we've begun site work in salt lake city and uh and we have 10 10 airports in development now again hopefully with that expands by four by the end of the year uh we've also instituted a comprehensive quality assurance program. It's kind of a nose-to-tail program starting at the design phase, through manufacturing, through construction. You know, as people on the call have heard, this is an industry that's fraught with construction snafus. And one of the benefits of specialization and pumping out exactly the same prototype anger across the country is it introduces quality assurance tools that are not really available elsewhere in the industry leasing uh stabilized campuses continue to uh to grow revenues at a really robust pace post stabilization right and again this i think i we we'd like to take credit to a certain extent uh in the quality of the offering uh and the fact that sky harbor has really kind of become an established brand in the business aviation community. If people have a choice, they will come to Sky Harbor in general. Part of it is just inflation, right? We were aware of that. Again, that's the central part of our thesis. I call the inflation kind of our macro tailwinds and the quality of the offering is the thrust on the aircraft. That's how we look at that. And we see no reason for that growth to abate. uh the airports that are in round one lease up that's uh deer valley in phoenix addison dallas and uh centennial in november uh like i said before the objective is to first get to 100 occupancy with compromises on uh on revenue per square foot as long as our lease terms are short and then in term two really establish our market rents on these fields and we were again already seeing that even on those on those four airports we're already seeing that the longer term leases are above our our target rents so we expect that to work nicely and then like we said going forward pre-leasing will be the strategy so starting with bradley connecticut all airports will will be subject to that pre-leasing strategy on the operation side we've got nine fields in operation today. We've got two phase twos in preparation, right? That's Miami and Dallas. One of the things I think, you know, the more student observers will notice is there's actually a very modest change in OPEX when you open a second phase on a campus. So, while your revenues might, you know, double on that campus, your OPEX change is actually quite small and we will you know hopefully be realizing those efficiencies on a lot of airports uh going forward so please please stay tuned for that uh that industry recognition uh we can you know it's one of these things that it's a little bit difficult to judge uh objectively but i i think it's a pretty emphatic across the board uh recognition not just in our own resident community but in people who are coming into reserve spots in places like dulles international or Bradley or Miami phase two. We do have a, we're very satisfied with the ops training program, which we continue to improve, which has a lot of features that you don't see elsewhere in the industry. Actually, I think we have two pictures actually on this slide, so I'll call everybody's attention to that. What you see on the right side of the slide is a training rig that we actually manufacture ourselves which allows our line crew to do both initial and recurrent training in in operating and towing uh operating tow equipment and moving aircraft not on an actual aircraft okay so which which means there's there's there's no risk of damage to a tenant's property We do virtually all of our training now on this rig. One of the side benefits of that is you can train much more often. Again, if you're towing a $50 million airplane, you can be very, very judicious about the amount of time you spend on it. We don't do that anymore. Maybe others in the industry do, but that's one example of what we think is kind of an innovative new approach to um to to providing just top top level uh service we've also instituted what we call the sky standard property management program uh it's not just about the service it's also about the upkeep of these facilities which have to be six stars and i i think our residents have come to expect that uh and we've we've invested quite heavily in managing that centrally and and getting really the best property management program in in aviation across the country next slide Looking ahead, on-site acquisition, again, we've said it, we believe we're on course to meet our guidance for 2025. That's 23 airports by the end of the year. 2026, the focus will be on number one, max revenue capture. That is the tier one, the best airports in the country is our primary focus. And then secondarily is same field expansion. And again, what we're finding is in the airports where we're already operating, we know the players both on the airport sponsor side and in the resident community have real intimate knowledge of how that market works and how it's evolving. There's just great benefits in expanding. I would say if you could double the ground lease at an existing airport, it's probably worth a lot more than and establishing a new ground lease on a brand new airport, all of the things held equal. On top of that, as I alluded to with the phasing, in the phasing discussion, there are real operational efficiencies, right? If you double the size of your campus, you do not need to double the size of your team or double your equipment list on that campus. Moving on to development, we feel ready for all the reasons I enumerated on the last slide. we feel ready for the surge in 2026 it's almost an order of magnitude change in the in the scope and volume of our manufacturing and construction and we there's going to be another one in 2027 another phase shift or step up in in development volume in 2027 and we're getting ready for that Leasing, we have grown the leasing team threefold as the volume of leasable space has gone up. That team, all of the growth in that team has been veterans. You know, as some of the people who track us closely know, we've had really great success in recruiting military veterans to our team. A lot of benefits to a team that's so heavily weighted toward a big advantage. Order of operations. Let's start with the short term. We're bringing those blue campuses from one of the previous slides to 100% occupancy. That is mission number one. Mission number two is bring those campuses to market rents, meaning cycle those short-term leases to longer term leases at at at higher rents that's when we call those campuses fully stabilized and then circle back to our legacy campuses uh to focus on revenue enhancement you know we're again we've we've had perhaps too small a leasing team uh you know it took us a little longer than i i would have liked to get to the size of the leasing team that we have today uh now that we have it though it's it's going back you know really culling those waiting lists in miami and at nashville and you know the the various other locations and looking for the best residents to bring in it's not just a matter of maximizing revenue it's a matter of bringing the best residents in the industry into sky harbor and then longer term as we've discussed we're we're migrating starting with bradley connecticut to a pre-leasing model where we we go out and lease these campuses up well in advance. Remember, we have tenant leases already in Bradley, which is 12 months out, and Dulles, which is 18 months out for delivery. I'll just take a moment to also just note with gratitude that people are affording us the credibility to put down cash deposits and enter binding leases on products that we're only going to be delivering a year have from now. That really is, at least for me, a milestone event in the evolution of this company. Lastly, operations. We have a very active resident feedback loop. A lot of our residents principals speak to me directly, which we value a ton, both for better and for worse, when we do something good and when we do something bad, which allows us to really institute a rapid feedback loop, which I think people increasingly appreciate. We certainly do because it's making us better all the time uh on the defense side i i made the same points last time and i think they're they're they're critical and they stand every time is we we aim to be absolutely bulletproof on safety security and efficiency that's not where we get creative that's where we're perfect and then offense is where we get creative is continue innovating introducing new services or new variations on services customized services that really delight the residents and they're often created in partnership with the residents to continue really growing that value gap between the sky harbor offering and really anything else that
you can access in business aviation and with that i think we are done thank you tal this concludes our repair prepare remarks we now look forward to your questions operator please go ahead with the cue at this time i would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question please submit it online using the webcast URL. We'll pause for a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from Tom Catherwood with BTIG.
The question is, with the pre-listing program now becoming the standard approach for all new developments, how will Sky Harbor manage the potential risk of locking in lease economics before the full scope of construction costs is determined all right thanks Tom good good question uh I'd say two things number one as as we systematize and diversify we think the risk of significant overruns uh in any of these projects continues to come down uh you know we certainly in early days when we were maybe a little bit more experimental and bringing a different hangar design to each new campus uh I think the risk was significantly higher uh we've i i think lowered that considerably remember that we're locking in uh guaranteed maximum price contracts on uh on these projects which which further mitigates the risk secondly the objective is not to get to full occupancy through pre-leasing you know so we've went to yet to determine what the optimum is you know it's going to be north of 50 percent But does that mean 60, 70? It's not 100%. But we do want to leave a little bit in reserve for later. Fundamentally, the real risk here, assuming construction is going to cost what it costs, the real risk here is underestimating a market's potential. If we think this is a $50-a-foot market and it ends up being a $60-a-foot market, that is the basic risk we're taking. So I think between those two factors, that risk is significantly mitigated. But it's certainly something that's on our mind, and I appreciate the question.
Your next question comes from Timothy D. Agostino with B. Raleigh Securities. The question is, are any properties in operation over 100% occupancy? Can you talk to which one those would be?
Yeah, thanks, Tim. You might have posted this question before we hit the slide, so just in case, if you skip back to the leasing slide, you'll see examples like San Jose, which are significantly above 100% occupancy, what you'll find is the more heavily weighted we are to semi-private hangars versus private hangars, the higher the occupancy is going to be. And remember, all of the new campuses are Sky Harbor 37 hangars, which just geometrically fit more aircraft.
I mean, the ratio of aircraft square footage to hangar square footage can be a lot higher in a sky harbor 37 than they uh than it can be in a sky harbor 16. so i think you'll see hopefully an increase in occupancy as as we go forward with these new airports your next question is from ryan myers with lake street capital markets and is as follows congrats on another solid quarter showing progress first question for me is is there anything from this quarter qualitative or quantitative that highlights early signs of scale in the business?
Yeah so what I can say on that is you know there doesn't have to be too much guesswork Ryan on that is that you know you there's a there's a funnel in this business and it really goes along the lines that you know I've been enumerating in in in all of these calls which is look at site acquisition, look at development pace, and then look at operations as revenues start flowing, which will give you a very solid sense of what that is. So if you kind of look at 2025, where for most of 2025, we were under construction in three campuses right Denver Dallas and Phoenix uh in 2026 that goes to 10. okay so the very significant scale now the revenues from that will start accruing in a real step function right this is not incremental growth starting in late 2026 and entering 2027. if you look at the pipeline watch the pipeline closely. If we hit the 23 airports by the end of this year, and we'll obviously publish new guidance for asset acquisition in 2026, you see how the top of the funnel widens. And I think you can trace directly from that to revenues. So I think that's probably the best way to look at that question.
Your next question is from Gaurav Mehta with alliance global partners they ask what are the details on the potential five years 75 to 100 million tax-exempt bond what's the potential timing and what is the expected rate thank you grab this is francisco uh thanks for also for your coverage of our company uh yes so um we're looking at a financing that could come to market as early as next month and as late as January or February. Think about it as a holding company issuance, meaning that it would be structurally subordinate to the existing bondholders in the obligated group and the JP Morgan facility. So it will basically come in lieu of issuing equity, in lieu of. So in terms of expected rates, it's going to be subject to market conditions, but these are transactions that we hope that will be in the 6% area. And if rates don't come at the level that we're looking for, then we'll just not do the deal. One of the things, as I mentioned earlier, to have the flexibility that our liquidity provides is that we tap the markets that make sense, and if we don't like the pricing, we just don't do the deal and look at all the alternatives or weight and things like that. So, that's kind of like the short answer to your question. Thank you for the question. Next.
Next is from Peyton Skill. The JV deal implies that the hanger is valued at 41 mm. At that valuation, are you looking to do more of these deals? How are you evaluating this strategy versus the core operation of leasing hangars over the life of the ground lease?
All right. Peyton, thanks for the question. Let me answer it, and let me ask Francisco to answer it, because I think you can come at it from two directions. I think what you're implying here, without getting into valuations specifically, is that the net present value of a 50-year stream of lease revenue is probably significantly higher than what you've calculated here. And we agree with that. I think that's true. However, I don't know that that should be the only bogey for doing these deals. I think there's a capital formation angle that you need to take into account as well. So, Francesco, can you talk to that for a minute?
Yeah, sure. Thank you, Tal, and thank you, Peyton, for the question. Indeed, you know, we look, as I mentioned earlier, at all the alternatives in terms of equity, debt, different structures, and so on. And we're looking always to what makes sense for the company from a risk-reward perspective and a cost of capital perspective. So at this juncture, when, you know, the equity markets seem not to fully capture, you know, basically what we believe is the value of this company, looking at the monetization of very deliberate of one or two hangers here and there make a lot of sense in lieu of having to issue equity at the current prices. So, of course, our core business, as Tal mentioned, is the leasing of hangars over time. The present value of our expected leasing rates and cash flows, we believe, are higher, even than the implied valuation that you mentioned of $41 million. But still, the analysis doesn't end there. The analysis has to be compared to our alternatives. And right now, we're looking to take advantage of this opportunity. I will say also the following, there are certain potential tenants out there that just intrinsically don't like to rent. So by looking at opportunities where they can actually have opportunities to acquire a hangar rather than rent it, it basically also expands our universe a little bit on that front. Anyway, but very good question, and that's kind of like the balanced approach and why we're taking a bunch of these opportunities.
By the way, Peyton, I'll add to that. I don't know that it's exactly a strategy. I mean, you asked how are you evaluating the strategy versus the core operation. I don't know if it's exactly a strategy. It's, you know, we might do one, we might do two, maybe three of these. I don't see this becoming part of the, remember, we don't need that much more equity to fund our development. This is primarily a cost of capital question. So, right, I mean, once you're covered in terms of your equity, it really becomes a matter of maximizing net present value. Next.
Your next question is a follow-up from Tom Catherwood. By our math, the letter of intent for a 75% JV ownership stake in a S834 hangar at OPFLL implies a gross valuation of more than $1,000 per square foot. With an expected cost of roughly $353 per square foot, this deal represents a development margin of more than 180%. Is this indicative of value across your portfolio, or is the deal unique given the specific needs of your JV partner?
Yeah, Tom, thanks for that. By the way, I really enjoyed your research coverage. I think you're you've got us dialed in, I think, quite well. Look, a similar question to the previous one. What I'd say is, I wouldn't say it's indicative of the value across the portfolio necessarily, but it's also not unique to the specific needs of that JV partner. Anybody who has an appreciation who's living in that market, it, I think comes to the same conclusion that we come to, which is the airport system is Manhattan. It's Manhattan. You cannot build more airports in this country. There is no room for it. So we are stuck with a static supply of developable land for a very, very growing demand, a very, very sharply growing demand for aviation hangar space. So what What I'd recommend that all the analysts do is look at your model's sensitivity to inflation assumptions. And, you know, again, I'm not saying we're going to necessarily hit the same inflation rate as Manhattan residential real estate over the past decades, but I wouldn't be surprised Anybody who shares that view, I think, understands that there is tremendous value here. again we we think it's we tend to think it's worth more than what we're selling it for today so I think we're creating win-wins with some of these people because again for it it's primarily a cost of capital question for us so I think it's a good compromise for us to be making yeah I just wanted to add a on your math just be aware that given the square footage of this Sky Harbor 34, the implied valuation is roughly about $1,200 per constructed, you know, rentable
square foot of that hangar, and we hope to come at a cost lower than $353. So, basically, you're looking at a north of two times or maybe even three times our cost in terms of the implied valuation. Next question.
That's the cost of the hangar, not the cost of getting to a place where you could actually put these hangars up.
Your next question is from Joe Jackson. Regarding the Miami JV, how was the $30.75 million valuation for a 75% stake determined? Is this a repeatable financing model you plan to use at other campuses?
Yeah, so again, it's a similar question. We definitely think it's repeatable. We don't know that we're going to want to repeat it too much, but it's certainly repeatable.
There's definitely demand for for those across the country next question your next question is from philip congratulations on the quarter what are your thoughts about more hangers similar to the 75 in miami in an spv also are these more likely to happen if the equity price for sky harbor is below that is attractive to raise equity capital or is that not a major factor thanks okay so definitely a lot of, we get a lot of focus on this particular transaction.
Philip, you're bringing a new angle to it. And I think you, if I understand your question right, you get this, right? This is not something, this is not the new business model for Sky Harbor. It's about cost of capital. And it's about getting to a place where the company is not reliant on primary equity issuance to fund its growth, even if that growth is as fast as we hope it's going to be. We want to be independent of the primary issuance market as a benefit, obviously, to all current shareholders of the company. There is some break-even. We're probably going to be debating that late at night over the coming year or so. What is the share price at which it does make sense to raise private equity in the company, considering the options that we have? Remember, there's, I don't know how many, 70-some hangers in the network today, it's not taking a significant bite out of your total addressable market if you do two or three deals like this. So that is something I think is probably not unlikely to happen over the next, over the coming months. But you're absolutely right that the the equity prices is is is a factor that we have to consider your next question is from ryan myers do you think you could see similar jv partnerships across other campuses like the one you announced at miami phase two yeah i think again i think all these questions were probably asked before that so i think we've addressed that why don't we go to the next question Next is Gaurav Mahata.
Is there an opportunity to do pre-listing at more airports?
Yeah, Gaurav, thanks for the question. That is the strategy going forward, is pre-listing. So starting with Bradley, Connecticut, we want to do pre-listing at all.
Next is from Future Hendricks. It has been projected that some of the NY area locations can reach rents of 100 per square foot. Do you think this is possible? Where is BDL shaking out in your pre-leasing?
The answer is it's definitely possible. Bradley is not at $100 a square foot today, but let's see how that goes. Remember, these are pre-leases that are way out. So we think the willingness to pay when we're ready to open and there's a very short supply will hopefully be significantly higher. Remember also that the closer you get to New York City, the higher the rents on those airports. And of the four New York airports, Bradley's actually the farthest from New York City. So that's actually a significant repositioning flight from Bradley to New York and back. But the big answer is yes, we do think that's possible.
Your next question is from Alan Jackson. Two questions. Can you please provide a status update on when Sky Harbor expects to receive investment grade ratings? I believe the original target was the end of this year. Second question. In general, what percentage of the portfolio leases are expected to expire in 2026? Should we expect the same step up in rental revenue on the second term of the lease as discussed in prior calls?
A very good question. I'll answer the first one. We'll take the second one. In terms of the first one, you know, we, as you have heard us say before, we're very conscious that we want to take the program to invest in great ratings, and we want to arrive to the ratings with our best foot forward to, you know, not just be a BBB minus, you know, hanging by the balance, but be a very strong BBB minus. If you let me, I'm going to make the case to the ratings that we should go right to to BBB, but let me temper also everybody's expectations. The idea here is that now that we're completing the leasing of these three new campuses, and then we open Opaloka to phase two, and then we finish Addison in the next year, but next summer is really where we want to approach the range where we're basically not going to show the full power of the cash flow generation of these various campuses, and that we have basically completed and taken away the construction risk of this portfolio, we believe that that's the opportune time to arrive to the rating and seek the triple BINOS and hopefully triple B ratings.
Yeah, so, Alan, I don't know what the actual percentage of portfolio leases that are expected to expire in 2026. What I'll say is it's more significant because, you know, if you look at the mature campuses, you know, Houston, Miami, Nashville, you'll see that the average tenor on those leases is very long. I don't know exactly what it is, but I'm guessing more than five years because those are campuses that are in a relatively permanent state, right? We're kind of much closer to finished cycling out of the shorter term leases where we've compromised both on the identity of the resident and on the on the revenue per square foot the new campuses are in that first phase right so Dallas Denver Phoenix are all in that phase where the our objective is to get to 100% occupancy first with compromises at least on the shorter term leases and then go back and recycle so we do think you're going to get those step ups uh perhaps even even higher step ups here because that was not the deliberate strategy in miami houston and your next question is from philip rousseau what are your thoughts on new locations for 2026 yeah well phil thanks that that that's probably one of the areas where we we think we should be you know playing our cards as as close as possible to our our best um probably the most proprietary thing that we do is site acquisition uh in the company again we're we're structured in a way that we we really couldn't find any other company couldn't find people to hire who have this skill set to do you know the type of site acquisition we do at airports across the country and the targeting methodology is is key to that it's not always so obvious which airports uh we should be going after which airports we actually are going after. So apologies, I'm not going to get any more specific on that, other than to say the primary focus is on Tier 1 airports.
Next question is from Tess Tecol. Your projected DSCR is three basis points above your covenant level in 2026. How do you weigh the probability of a cure in the case of a delay or slow leasing?
Yes, thank you for the question. And, you know, it's important for those of you guys following the obligated group and the, you know, we, of course, have been slower or a little bit delayed in terms of the delivery of these campuses than at the time that we projected this portfolio four years ago now when we did the bond deal. But construction costs, as you all know, has been higher. As you know, we all basically met that with additional equity into the portfolio. But the most important thing, as Tal has mentioned before, and we mentioned prior calls, is that rent ended up being higher, higher than what we forecasted, and higher on a percent value basis that the cost increases. Thus, death service coverage, when you look out into the future, is actually higher than what we forecasted at the time of the bond issuance four years ago. And as we mentioned earlier in the press release and as our team discussed, we just filed the quote-unquote pivot in the obligated group, bringing the second phase of Addison to the obligated group and pushing out the centennial phase two and as part of that you're required to file a updated market and feasibility report basically on the entire portfolio of properties I encourage everybody to you know look at MSRB filing that we did today and be able to look at this comprehensive report that has a lot of information regarding all our campuses. Obviously, it's their assumptions, their work, and so on, but it gives you a sense of what coverage is going to be in the future. And so we're very comfortable that the death service coverage, a covenant test, will be met in terms of compliance. Next question.
Your next question is from Pat McCann with Noble Capital Markets. Can you elaborate on the statement that 2026 will be focused on max revenue capture?
Yeah, thanks, Pat. If you think about it, we have a defined threshold that we've published that we want to see double digit yield on cost on the basis of current revenues at an airport and our projected construction costs at that airport. If you only use that criteria, there's 200 airports in the country where you can do that. I'm not going to name any airports specifically, but there are a lot of attractive airports in the country. Now that we have our methodology in the place that we want it, and we have existing processes at the top airports in the country, We want to shift our focus, at least for the time being, to the airports where you can get much more than just double-digit yield on cost on those airports. And as I've said here before, the denominator of yield on cost, which is primarily construction costs, right, because OPEX is pretty low in our business, that construction cost varies within a fairly tight range across the country, right? It's not double in one place what it is in another. whereas the numerator, the revenue, is very significant. We're in the real estate business, right? It's primarily about location. So, you know, as we're in a place where, you know, I don't think we've still seen real competition come into our space, but we're anticipating it. I mean, you know, we're on these calls every quarter, and people are seeing the numbers, what this business looks like. We're sure there are going to be other players in our space. We would like to be, you know, in the best 30, 40 airports in the country. industry before, you know, before we have robust competition and then we'll compete for the remainder, right? We'll still be doing, you know, those airports will still be out there. And so I think that's the kind of, that's the appropriator shifted. By the way, by the time we get to those airports, the hope is that our construction costs through prototyping, manufacturing, value engineering, everything that we're doing to get that construction cost down will be significantly lower, which now increases the universe of airports where you can achieve those double-digit yields on cost. So, you know, hopefully we get there. Cost of capital, of course, will also be a factor in that. But for the time being, call it 2026. We think the focus should be on get the best airports in the country first, then search back.
Your next question comes from Dave Storms.
Do you see a greater percentage increase between first and second leases of square feet that is private and compared to square feet that is semi-private um well the in general we're migrating to a more semi-private model again because of the occupancy rates we do see that there are flight departments in the country who recognize hey look you can get to 130 occupancy on this airport like we are in san jose today uh privacy is important enough to me that i'm going to pay you a 30 premium uh per square foot than what you're getting there which which is great for us and we're happy to have that as well so increasingly we are migrating to a more semi-private
weighted model also if i may it has to do also with our prototype being so much bigger that's right and it allows obviously the ability to do semi-private and as we have discussed in the past semi-private has a punch in terms of being able to get occupancy theoretically in that skyward 34 for all the way to 140 percent of economic occupancy next question your next question is from connor kime do you expect to begin pre-leasing opf2 in the coming quarters yeah so we've already begun leasing opelaka ii i don't know that we exactly call it pre-leasing because we're already there and a number of the new residents coming into opelaka phase two are
actually currently phase one residents and we're very happy because there's a there's a big waiting list on phase one so it's relatively straightforward to backfill those hangers also at higher rents so that's already in progress what we've called pre-leasing is really what we're doing on these fresh campuses like like bradley and uh dulles there are no further questions at this time mr gonzalez i'd now like to turn the call back over to you thank you operator thank you for all Thank you all of you for joining us this afternoon and for your interest in Sky Harbor.
Additional information may be found on our website at www.skyharbor.group. And you can always reach out directly with any additional questions through the email investors at skyharbor.group. Thank you again for your participation. With this, we have concluded our webcast. Thank you, operator.
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
SEC filing · Item 2.02
Filed Nov 12, 2025 · complete as-filed document
SEC periodic report
Filed Nov 12, 2025 · complete as-filed document