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TAP · Molson Coors Beverage Co

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$41.13 +0.39 (+0.96%) At close · Aug 18
Market Cap
$7.28B
Shares
176.68M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Molson Coors Beverage Co Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Molson Coors Beverage Co Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 18, 2026
Feb 18, 2026 17 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Molson Coors reported a weak 2025 with full-year net sales down 4.2% reported, a $2.5 billion U.S. GAAP loss before taxes driven by $3.6 billion in goodwill and intangible impairment charges, and Underlying diluted EPS down 9.1% to $5.42, while unveiling its new Horizon 2030 growth plan and a $2.0 billion buyback authorization increase amid industry-wide volume headwinds and Midwest premium/aluminum cost inflation.

Core beer portfolio (premium lights) 24 Beyond Beer and premiumization 22 Cost savings and efficiency 21 Capital allocation and shareholder returns 20 Industry headwinds and 2026 reset 18 Horizon 2030 strategic plan 16

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +18 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 saw material industry declines, and that was a cyclic deviation from what the historical trends were. And that uncertainty remains for us.”
  • “It's no secret that our industry is facing significant headwinds.”
  • “We have a strong foundation. We have brands that have scale. We have a historical track record of delivering cash and creating cash generation.”

Forward guidance

14 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $3.13B -3.6% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 31.0% -1.0 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $238.30M -17.2% YoY

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Leverage ratio improved from 4.8x to 2.3x, providing balance sheet optionality.
  • Board increased Class B share repurchase program by $2.0 billion to $4.0 billion aggregate and extended it to December 31, 2031, with approximately $2.6 billion remaining as of December 31, 2025.
  • Company has executed 72% (Rahul cited ~70% in 9 quarters) of its previous buyback program.
  • Retained roughly 70% of U.S. core-brand share gained in 2023.
  • Above-premium/premiumization mix increased approximately 5 percentage points and Beyond Beer is approaching ~10% of revenue, anchored by Topo Chico Hard and Fever-Tree (now one of the largest per-hectoliter brands).
  • Reduced medium-term CapEx expectations from ~$750 million to ~$650 million and generated Underlying Free Cash Flow of $1,141.4 million for the year.

Risks & pressure points

  • Full-year net sales fell 4.2% reported and 4.8% in constant currency; Q4 net sales fell 2.7% reported and 4.0% in constant currency.
  • Full-year U.S. GAAP loss before income taxes of $2,518.0 million, including a $3,645.7 million non-cash partial goodwill impairment plus $273.9 million in non-cash intangible asset impairment charges.
  • Underlying full-year income before income taxes decreased 14.7% in constant currency; Q4 Underlying income before income taxes decreased 13.8% in constant currency.
  • Underlying diluted EPS declined 6.9% in Q4 to $1.21 and fell 9.1% for the full year to $5.42; U.S. GAAP full-year diluted loss per share of $10.75.
  • Industry faced material declines in 2025 cited as a cyclical deviation, with 2026 guidance described as a 'reset' to navigate continued uncertainty, volatility, and Midwest premium/aluminum cost inflation.
  • Lapping of a one-time incentive comp benefit (because nothing was achieved in 2025) is pressuring 2026 bottom-line guidance.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Given what we view as a compelling valuation for our stock, our Board has approved an increase to the amount and extended the duration of our existing share-repurchase program. This increases the initial authorization from up to $2 billion to an aggregate authorization of up to $4 billion, inclusive of the approximately $1.4 billion that we've already spent up until the end of 2025. That plan will now run through December 31, 2031.” Tracey Joubert, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 18, 2026.

Metric Guided
Net sales
full year 2026
-1% – 1%
Capital expenditures
full year 2026
$617.5M – $682.5M
Underlying free cash flow
full year 2026
$990M – $1.21B
Consolidated net interest expense
full year 2026
$247M – $273M
Underlying effective tax rate
full year 2026
22% – 24%
Underlying depreciation and amortization
full year 2026
$684M – $756M
Net Sales Revenue Growth, Constant Currency
Full Year 2026
-1% – 1%
Underlying Depreciation & Amortization
Full Year 2026
$684M – $756M
Underlying Diluted Earnings Per Share Growth
Full Year 2026
-15% – -11%
Capital Expenditures Incurred
Full Year 2026
$617.5M – $682.5M
Underlying Net Interest Expense
Full Year 2026
$247M – $273M
Free Cash Flow
2026
$990M – $1.21B
Cost savings
2026-2028
$450M
NSR contributed by M&A
annually
1% – 2%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$315.10M
Dividend / share
$0.48
Full-screen source Call document