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USAR · USA Rare Earth, Inc.

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$17.11 -0.98 (-5.42%) At close · Aug 20
Market Cap
$4.19B
Shares
244.72M

Price & Indicators

Indicators
Price
Panels
Event markers
20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$17.11 Open$17.77 Day$16.95–17.80 52W close$11.90–38.68 Avg vol 30d11.4M Short int29.1M · 11.9% float · 2.7d Short vol39% Last earningsAug 10, 2026 DataJul 2023–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 10

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 6, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 11 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
Latest filing: 10-Q
filed Aug 10, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Sell
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Sell Momentum Neutral Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.9 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Sell
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −11%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg −8%
      below
      RSI (14) 46
      neutral
      MACD trend Positive
      52-week position 19%
      mid-range
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Neutral
      1-month return +13%
      trailing
      6-month return −9%
      trailing
      YTD return +44%
      this year
      Relative strength −21%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $19 › 200d $19 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +23% holders QoQ · +124 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$296.0K over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Rising
      11.87% of float · ▲ +0.6% MoM · 2.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      399 holders — near 1-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 62
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Fair
      Gross margin 12%
      EPS growth −728%
      Y/Y
      Balance sheet $359.9M
      net cash
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 113%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −69%
      past year
      ATR 7.9%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Jan 26, 2026
      EBITDA · 2030E Non-GAAP $1.2B
      Free Cash Flow · 2030E Non-GAAP $900M
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Sep 30, 2025
      Adjusted ongoing operating expenses · Q4 2025 $13M – $15M

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
      2 · 3 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −11% Bearish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −8% Bearish
      RSI (14)
      46 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Positive Bullish
      52-week position
      19% Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Mixed
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $19 › 200d $19 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +23% holders QoQ · +124 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$296.0K over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Rising
      11.87% of float · ▲ +0.6% MoM · 2.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      399 holders — near 1-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $12 Now $17 · 19% Range high $39
      vs 200-day avg -11% vs 50-day avg -8%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      cash balance 1.53B as of June 30, 2026 —
      Metal and alloy capacity at LCM's Cheshire, UK location 3,000 end of 2026 —
      Phase 1b total capacity at the Stillwater magnet manufacturing facility 1,200 Q1 2027 —

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Other Industrial Metals & Mining — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      USAR
      USA Rare Earth, Inc.
      this stock
      		$4.19B +43.8% — — 11.9%
      BHP
      BHP Group Ltd
      		 $237.83B +55.1% — — 0.8%
      RTNTF
      Rio Tinto Ltd
      		 $201.54B +25.4% — — 0.0%
      RIO
      Rio Tinto PLC
      		 $166.51B +27.7% — — 0.5%
      GLCNF
      Glencore plc/ADR
      		 $91.55B +45.6% — — 0.0%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      399
      % held
      66.8%
      Net QoQ
      +11.2M sh
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      182
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      29.1M
      Days to cover
      2.7d
      Change
      +164.0K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      39%
      As of
      Aug 20, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      2.8K
      Value
      $41.1K
      As of
      Jul 31, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      47.1%
      Week of
      Jul 13, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$296.0K
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 1
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $1.6M
      Net income (FY)
      $-297.6M
      EPS diluted
      $-3.31
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      Aug 10, 2026
      This year
      29
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $296.0K
      Shares
      13.0K
      Filed
      Jun 8, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 10, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      USAR -8.1% +13.0% -9.5% +14.5% +43.8%
      SPY -2.0% +3.3% +11.2% +2.1% +11.8%
      vs SPY -6.1% +9.7% -20.6% +12.4% +32.0%
      Key facts CIK 1970622 CUSIP 91733P107 13F (30d) 340 filings 338 filers Visit website Investor relations

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