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USAR · USA Rare Earth, Inc. · Short Interest

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$9.33 -0.30 (-3.12%) At close · Oct 23
Russell 2000 member Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$2.28B
Shares
244.72M
Volume · Oct 23 9.69M Avg daily vol (3M) 12.99M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

USAR Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 45,168,442 USAR shares sold short as of the September 30, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 6,118,710 shares. Days to cover was 3.34 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

USAR Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 46,749,342 shares sold short for the October 15, 2026 settlement, +3.5% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 41,863,313 to 52,896,320 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through October 15, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 26, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Oct 15 short interest

as of Oct 15 High confidence 74% chance it rises
46,749,342 +3.5% vs reported
Likely range 41,863,313 to 52,896,320 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 26. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
70/100
Short interest 18.5% of shares — P97 Days to cover 3.3 — P53 Price vs VWAP -39.9% — P7 Short-volume trend +8.7% — P81 Short interest change +15.7% — P79 Worst FTD 0.62% of shares — P94

Positioning score 70.2 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-30). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-26 07:43 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 10
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 45,168,442 39,049,732 +6,118,710 3.34
    2026-09-15 39,049,732 30,782,851 +8,266,881 3.19
    2026-08-31 30,782,851 28,420,137 +2,362,714 2.41
    2026-08-14 28,420,137 29,053,314 -633,177 2.16
    2026-07-31 29,053,314 28,889,305 +164,009 2.68
    2026-07-15 28,889,305 27,708,838 +1,180,467 2.94
    2026-06-30 27,708,838 25,944,954 +1,763,884 1.97
    2026-06-15 25,944,954 21,999,981 +3,944,973 1.50
    2026-05-29 21,999,981 23,956,144 -1,956,163 1.28
    2026-05-15 23,956,144 24,084,796 -128,652 1.32
    2026-04-30 24,084,796 26,154,101 -2,069,305 1.11
    2026-04-15 26,154,101 26,862,646 -708,545 2.29
    2026-03-31 26,862,646 23,152,580 +3,710,066 2.05
    2026-03-13 23,002,839 26,487,335 -3,484,496 1.92
    2026-02-27 26,487,335 38,377,549 -11,890,214 2.11
    2026-02-13 38,377,549 40,500,659 -2,123,110 1.54
    2026-01-30 40,500,659 18,647,432 +21,853,227 1.05
    2026-01-15 18,647,432 16,902,985 +1,744,447 1.50
    2025-12-31 16,902,985 12,348,357 +4,554,628 2.02
    2025-12-15 12,348,357 12,656,070 -307,713 1.13
    2025-11-28 12,656,070 8,436,270 +4,219,800 1.54
    2025-11-14 8,436,270 9,143,708 -707,438 1.00
    2025-10-31 9,143,708 10,608,474 -1,464,766 1.00

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 1970622 CUSIP 91733P107 13F (30d) 72 filings 72 filers Visit website Investor relations