Call highlights
AECOM delivered record second-quarter results with net service revenue, margins, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS reaching new Q2 highs, while backlog grew 8% to a record. The company raised full-year earnings guidance for a second consecutive quarter, expecting midpoints of adjusted EBITDA up 7% and adjusted EPS up 14% year-over-year.
“we are increasing our full-year profit guidance for the second time this year. This guidance increase reflects our strong year-to-date financial performance, record backlog position, strong funding across our core markets, and execution of our strategic initiatives.”
- Backlog increased 8% to a record high, driven by a design book-to-burn of 1.2x (22nd consecutive quarter above 1.0)
- Segment adjusted operating margin expanded 50 bps to 16.5%, an all-time Q2 high
- Adjusted EBITDA up 8% and adjusted EPS up 27% year-over-year
- Americas design NSR grew 8% on a constant-currency basis
- Raised full-year profit guidance for the second time this year; midpoints imply +7% adjusted EBITDA and +14% adjusted EPS
- Defense pipeline with the Department of War increased 50%, and an estimated $40–50B in U.S. military infrastructure spending is anticipated in the Middle East
- GAAP operating income declined 4% to $248 million
- UK transportation market remains weak, partially offsetting strength in water and energy
- Near-term uncertainty in the Middle East due to ongoing conflict with an unclear resolution timeline is captured in guidance
- Middle East segment contracted in the first half of the year
Guidance
from the 8-K filed May 11, 2026| Metric | Period | Guided | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Adjusted EPS
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
$5.90 – $6.10 | Non-GAAP | |
|
Adjusted EBITDA
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
$1.28B – $1.31B | Non-GAAP | |
|
Organic NSR growth
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
6% – 8% | — | |
|
Segment adjusted operating margin
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
16.8% | Non-GAAP | |
|
Adjusted EBITDA margin
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
17% | Non-GAAP | |
|
Free cash flow
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
$400M | Non-GAAP | |
|
Average fully diluted share count
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
$130000000.00 | — | |
|
Adjusted effective tax rate
Initiated
fiscal 2026
|
20% – 22% | Non-GAAP |
I would like to direct your attention to the safe harbor statement on page one of today's presentation. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements about future business and financial expectations. Actual results may differ significantly from those projected in today's forward-looking statements due to various risks and uncertainty, including the risks described in our periodic report filed with the SEC. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update our forward-looking statements. We use certain non-GAAP financial measures in our presentation. The appropriate gap reconciliations are incorporated into our materials, which are posted to our website. Growth rates are presented on a year-over-year basis, unless otherwise noted. Any reference to segment margins or segment-adjusted operating margins will reflect the performance for the Americas and international segments. When discussing revenue and revenue growth, we will refer to net service revenue, or NSR, which is defined as revenue excluding past-the-revenue. NSR growth rates are presented on a constant currency basis, unless otherwise noted. Today's remarks will focus on continuing operations. On today's call, Troy Rudd, our Chief Executive Officer, will review our key accomplishments, our strategy, and outlook for the business. Laura Poloni, our President, will discuss key operational successes and priorities. And Gareth Kapoor, our Chief Financial and Operations Officer, will review our financial performance and outlook in greater detail. We will conclude with a question-and-answer session. With that, I will now turn the call over to Troy.
Thank you, Will, and thank you all for joining us today. Our second quarter results demonstrate the strength and resilience of our teams and our focus on delivering the most iconic infrastructure projects around the world. Before discussing our results, I want to highlight that we have once again been named the number one firm by E&R in the transportation, facilities, and water markets. Our industry leadership, investments in our professionals and technical excellence, Infrastructure domain expertise and strong client relationships are pivotal near a competitive advantage and the unparalleled value we deliver to our clients. Turning to our results, NSR, margins, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS reached new second quarter highs despite a dynamic market environment and backlog increased 8% to a new record. The increase in NSR was driven by 8% growth in our America's design business, which is our most profitable. The segment-adjusted operating margin increased by 50 basis points to 16.5%, which is reflective of the high value we deliver to our clients, our focus on efficiency, and the benefits of our strategy. Through these margins, we are investing in and beginning to realize the benefits from our strategic priorities, which include our proprietary AI and growing our advisory practice. Backlog reached a new high in the quarter, which further enhances our visibility. This was driven by a design booked to burn of 1.2 times. This performance reflects a combination of strong secular growth demand and robust funding in many of our markets, as well as continued strong win rates. This is especially apparent across our largest pursuits, where our advantages are greatest, and our win rates are consistently highest. Turning to our development and deployment of proprietary AI, We are delivering on all of our key internal milestones, and investments expanded in the quarter as expected. Importantly, deployment of AI onto projects and client deliverables is growing rapidly, as are the number of use cases identified by our teams. The best measure how AI is benefiting AECOM is our largest wins. We were recently selected for a substantial recompete for a major energy client, where our proprietary AI solution was a central element of the project proposal and our competitive edge. Notably, this contract includes specific mechanisms that allow us to capture value and deploy AI to deliver greater value to our clients. Turn to end markets. In the U.S., both of the demand and funding environments are strong. More than half of the IIJ funding remains to be spent, and that number is even greater for several of our largest clients and market sectors. An example of the positive benefit of this funding is the Brent Spence Bridge Project in Ohio, where our strong performance on Phase I helped us win a sizable contract for Phase II during the second quarter. As we highlighted last quarter, investment in U.S. national defense is also growing rapidly, and our pipeline with the Department of War, which is our single largest client, increased by 50%. The President's $1.5 trillion budget proposal points to accelerating defense spending in the key areas that we support. This includes significant increased facilities work where we are a leading provider to the Army and Navy. In Canada, NSR growth continues to be strong and broad based across all market sectors. We maintain a leading position in this market and recent national and provincial funding pronouncements underpin our confidence that this growth will continue. Turning to the international segment, in the UK, growth turned positive with continued strength in water and energy led by accelerated activity on AMP 8 and Great Grid Project. However, partially offsetting the strength is ongoing weakness in the transportation market. Longer term, there is an undeniable need for transportation investment. In Australia, trends have improved and our backlog reached new multi-year high. This includes a notable set of wins to support the $3 billion AUKUS partnership and other defense investments. In addition to defense, we also have a growing pipeline of transportation work, which bodes well for 2027 and beyond. Finishing in the Middle East, despite the near-term uncertainty, we continue to win work at a high rate, including strong wins after the quarter ended. In addition, an estimated $40 to $50 billion of spending is likely to be needed to repair, fortify, and expand the U.S. military infrastructure in the region, which presents another growth opportunity for us. According to our outlook for the remainder of the year, we are increasing our full-year profit guidance for the second time this year. This guidance increase reflects our strong year-to-date financial performance, record backlog position, strong funding across our core markets, and execution of our strategic initiatives. At the same time, our guidance is capturing uncertainties related to the Middle East as the ongoing conflict continues to have an unclear resolution timeline. At the midpoints of our updated guidance ranges, we expect adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS to increase by 7% and 14% from the prior year. Taken together, we continue to deliver consistently strong performance with a record backlog and pipeline and are confident in delivering on our increased guidance for the year and our long-term strategic and financial objectives. With that, I will turn the call over to Laura.
Thanks, Troy. Our teams continue to differentiate in the marketplace by leading with technical excellence, strong collaboration across market sectors and disciplines, and focus on delivering unrivaled value to clients these attributes are key drivers of our record performance i'd like to highlight a few trends where this is most apparent first our clients are investing record amounts in ai infrastructure our expertise extends from the conceptual phase of an asset through its ultimate delivery including environment permitting site selection and due diligence stakeholder engagement as well as design project and program management our high-tech business is one of our fastest-growing, especially in the U.S. Of note, during the quarter, we expanded our relationship with a key hyperscaler that positions us for accelerating growth, and we see several similar opportunities across this market. Second, power demand continues to increase. We work across the entire power generation stack, and we have taken a leading position in emerging areas as well. One area we'd like to highlight is nuclear fusion, where we expect to deliver nine figures of NSR in the coming years. This includes our ongoing work in the U.S. with Type 1 Energy and TVA, as well as our collection during the second quarter to deliver design and technical services for the U.K. STEP Nuclear Fusion Program. These two programs are amongst the most advanced fusion programs in the world, and our decades-long leadership across the energy sector played an essential role in our positioning. The third trend I'd like to highlight is our incredibly high success rate on re-competes, which is a great indicator of the strength of our technical expertise and high client satisfaction. Our win rate on re-competes is in excess of 90% and increasingly we are securing an even greater share of the client's spend on these re-competes, which aligns with our focus on expanding our addressable share of the market. In the environment sector, two marquee re-competes for global energy companies over the past several months tell this story well. On one of these wins, our scope is substantially greater than the prior contract. This outcome not only reflects our strong performance on the last contract, but also the value we are poised to deliver in the future through our strategic investments, including AI. On the other end, we stood out against the competition because of our technical expertise and scale. Finally, our advisory business is on track to double its NSR within three years, consistent with our prior expectations. Importantly, by bringing infrastructure-led expertise to our clients, we are differentiated versus traditional consulting peers, and we are consistently beating these firms across the globe for our clients' most critical assignments. As always, I am extremely proud of our professionals who are energized by our investments to enhance capabilities, better serve our clients, and increase the value we can deliver to our stakeholders and communities. The result is sustained, strong performance across the business, and clear visibility for future growth. With that, I'll turn the call over to Gar.
Thanks, Lara. As demonstrated by our second quarter results and increased full-year guidance, the business is outperforming our expectations contemplated in our initial guidance. There are a few trends that I would like to highlight within our performance. First, we continue to deliver on all key metrics. I should note this quarter included an approximate 100 basis point headwind to NSR due to the impacts from the conflict in the Middle East. And as a reminder, revenue is disproportionately impacted given the substantial consolidated joint venture work we have in the region, but the impact to profit is much smaller, as demonstrated by our strong earnings growth. Second, strong margin outperformance remains a hallmark of our business. Building on our consistent industry-leading profitability, our segment-adjusted operating margin increased by 50 basis points year-over-year. We continue to unlock capacity to invest in our strategic priorities, and we are on track with our full-year margin expansion goals. Finally, our backlog and pipeline are at a record high, including growth in both Americas and international segments. In fact, our pipeline has increased by double digits for three consecutive quarters, which provides for long-term visibility. Both our backlog and our pipeline underpin our expectation for strong NSR growth in the second half of the year and beyond. Turning to Americas, NSR in the design business increased by 8% as we continue to execute our strong backlog position and capitalize on favorable market trends. The adjusted operating margin increased by 60 basis points to 20%, contributing to 10% operating income growth, which reflects a continued focus on driving operating efficiencies across the business and the high return on investments we are making to extend our advantages. Turning to the international segment, NSR increased by 2% and declined by 3% on a constant currency basis. Growth in the UK and Australia was offset by declines in the Middle East and Asia. Our adjusted operating margin remained consistent with the prior year at 11% and our operating income increased by 2%. Our backlog in the international segment increased by 25% to a new record, and our pipeline of opportunities remain near an all-time high as well. This is consistent with our expectation that international growth will improve in the coming quarters. Turning to cash flow and capital allocation, we returned $155 million of capital to shareholders in the second quarter through repurchases and dividends. Underlying cash flow in the second quarter was consistent with our expectation, but was offset by delayed payment timing in the Middle East business, as well as longer-than-anticipated claim resolution on certain projects. Importantly, collection in the Middle East have already recovered in the third quarter, and we have demonstrated track record of delivering strong free cash flow. As a result, we are reaffirming our free cash flow guidance for this year, as well as our long-term 100% plus free cash flow conversion target. We remain committed to our returns-focused capital allocation policy, which includes returning substantially all available cash flow to shareholders through repurchases and dividends. Concluding with our RAISE guidance, we now expect to grow adjusted EPS and EBITDA by 14% and 7% respectively at the midpoint of the ranges. As a reminder, our fourth quarter growth rate will be impacted by fewer workdays than prior year, which is accounted for in our reaffirmed guidance for 4% to 6% NSR growth for the year. Excluding this impact, we continue to expect 6% to 8% NSR growth for the year. With that, operator, we are ready for questions.
I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. And your first question comes from the line of Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, everyone. Good morning, Andy. Tori Barton, your backlog growth has obviously been relatively strong, but I think in order to get to your organic revenue and growth range for the year, you'll need a pickup and burn rates to get to your guidance. What needs to happen to see that? Are you counting on a quick ending to the Middle East, or do you see the America's work ramping up faster in the second half?
Carl will take that one, Andy. Hey, Andy. Thanks for the question. So you're right. You know, our backlog growth has been really strong. In fact, when you look at our international trailing 12 months, it's 1.4x book to burn that we have delivered. But at the same time, there have been geopolitical issues that have impacted the first half, as we've already discussed last quarter and on our prepared remarks here. But as we go into the second half of the year, given the strong backlog growth that we have had, the book to burn I just mentioned, we do expect growth to inflect. To support growth we're already seeing in our design business in the first half of the year, which has grown at over 7% in the first half. And America's design, just to note, has grown in spite of the government shutdown in Q1, and it also impacted Q2, but we saw a recovery of wins and bookings in our federal client which were impacted by the shutdown in the second quarter. So we expect that to provide good tailwind to us as we go into the second half of the year and feel good about our guidance we have put forth.
And, Andy, just a little bit to that is, you know, when we started the year, we anticipated growth ramping up in the second half of the year, and that was built into our plans. Obviously, during the second quarter, we did see growth, as we expected, in the U.K. business and in the Ann's business, and we had expected growth to be in the Middle East business, which, discussing, it didn't happen. Again, it's actually very significant, the backlog growth, the American awards, that backlog in the Middle East. So we do expect the Middle East to grow quite significantly. The part that is difficult for us to forecast is sort of exactly the pace that it's going to grow in the third quarter. But, you know, nevertheless, with the backlog in that business, we do have a very good line of sight of visibility to grow in the Middle East.
Very helpful. And then, Troy, I want to double-click on the marquee wins you're talking about that you've, you know, AI contributed to and how the mechanics are working. For instance, if you are successful in delivering to the client, what exactly does that mean? Is it like your man hours of revenue are lower in the project than a similar-sized project without AI? And what is the potential profitability of this type of project versus a similar project without AI? I think more color would be helpful.
Okay, sure. Well, again, I'll just, I think I pointed out in the prepared marks one of our wins, but I'll actually say that we've had two wins that I'd report on, and the aggregate value of those wins is almost a billion dollars, one of which came after the end of the quarter so it's not currently in our backlog but what we what we would expect to see I mean the commercial model that we've agreed is that revenue will continue to grow on those projects but as we deliver using AI we have a mechanism where we effectively will share the benefit from doing that, and so there's a, you know, there's a pretty large upside to that project. I'm not, just again, because I'm talking about some client contracts and two particularly, I'm not going to share the ranges, but I will say that there is certainly an opportunity for us to share meaningfully in that upside, and then the other thing that we're experiencing, and I think this is the most important message through this, is these are two large projects and two large wins during the year. And so what we also see is we also see an improving win rate in the conversations on these large types of programs and projects. So I would think about it this way in terms of revenue. It's not necessarily that we're going to see more revenue from these particular contracts. We will see improved margins on those contracts. But what we are seeing is an improved revenue opportunity as a result of the competitive, effectively the competitive advantage that we've created. And so I'm going to pass to Gar for a sec. You get some more color.
Yeah, Andy. A little more color on some of the contracts that Troy is talking about now. Clearly, we can't go into the details of one of these to this client, and now we're part of the largest contract, water contract, that has ever been let out by that client in Europe, UK's geography for us. And, in fact, from what we can tell in the water discipline, it is the largest contract that was let out. And the second one that happens to the quarter also follows a very similar pattern, where we did have exposure to the client currently. And what we, a multi-year basis, is a multiple of what we currently deliver on an NSR basis. So the question that you're specifically asking, how is it impacting that hour's revenue? That's more because the demand for our services, the funding that has historically been in place. And specifically on that contract, too, KPIs, where the more efficient we are in delivering, it's a pain share, there's actually no gain share, I should say, pain share mechanism on that contract, which will allow us to share with the client that did not exist before on the gain share.
Appreciate the cover, guys. Yep, thanks, Andy.
Your next question comes from the line of Andy Whitman with Baird. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my questions this morning. I just wanted to dig into your comment about the Middle East. I think you mentioned there's 100 basis points NSR hit from the delays that you saw there. But you said that the profits weren't hit as large as the revenue. Is that because it's like a consolidated joint venture and it reduced your NCI? I noticed your NCI guidance was lowered for the year by about $5 million. Is that the delta that you would say between, like, what would be the expected profit and the actual profit it to you?
Yes. Morning, Andy. You're spot on. It's exactly what you have articulated. Middle East is the one region where we have significant NCI. Regulatorily, you're required to have local partners in Saudi Arabia, in UAE. So the margin impact isn't as equals whatever your inner sore miss is. And that's why even though there was some margin impact into the business, the rest of the business, as Troy mentioned and Laura mentioned in her prepared remarks, with UK, Australia, US performing very well, the whole company operationally delivering better than we had expected, but it was able to cover that smallness on the bottom line.
Okay, great. And then I guess kind of related to that, you were talking about the impacts to your cash flow. Sounds like some of the delays you saw in the quarter from Middle East have been resolved after the quarter, and that's good. But as I looked at kind of your claims balance over the last four or five quarters, it has been kind of going up sequentially each quarter by a decent amount. and it sounds like that might continue. So I'm just wondering if you could just give some detail on that and if you're continuing to maintain the $400 million free cash flow guidance, I'm just wondering if there's an offset somewhere else in the business because of that item specifically.
Andy, if I miss anything, please let me know and I'll revert back to it. Specific to full-year guidance, we have full confidence that we will be delivering on our guidance for the current year, similar to what we have done over the last nine years. And, you know, I'll take the last part of your question first, which is what are the offsets? You know, over the last nine years, we've looked at what the drivers are on how we deliver on our cash flow consistently, and there's no consistent drivers. When you have multiple geopolitical and geographic issues that you navigate around clients, we deliver anywhere between 35,000 to 50,000 contracts during the year. it gives you a lot of different paths to deliver on your cash, and the current year will be the same. Specific to Middle East, you're, again, spot on. Our Middle East business is back to their normal cadence. We have some advanced payments, which, again, gives us confidence that some of the large wins that we've had are now setting up to be, you know, we're going to be working on these projects in the second half of the year based on these advanced payments coming through. And last, specific to the claim amounts that you raised, yeah, these are projects we bid in fiscal year 2019 and 2020, two projects, and for two clients that have very strong credit worthiness. And specific to the claims, in our view, we have a clear right to these claims. In fact, what we've seen is four of the claims have individual claims for these two clients have gone through the resolution process, and we've been successful on each one of them. But it's just been very slow and dragged out on the resolution process. That is what has surprised us as to how long the process has taken. You know, occasionally we come across these type of issues, and you'll see on our results that we have delivered over multiple years, we have a very good history of recovering our balance sheet position, and we feel confident on these two as well. Great. Thanks a lot.
Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Cook with True Securities. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning. Thank you for the question. I did lose my first question. Garve, can you help remind us how much you're investing sort of in AI and how it's impacting margins this year? And I guess, you know, the EBITDA conversion relative to, you know, sales is still, you know, I don't know, mid-single-digit at best. I'm just wondering when we could start to see the EBITDA or the operating leverage of the business start to accelerate more as you get past some of this investment. And then I guess my second question is, as you are talking to your clients about your AI capabilities and what you can deliver, does this change your addressable market at all in that, you know, some customers are more willing to try AI or new technology or think about doing the business differently versus some that are still sort of legacy in an old-school way? I'm just wondering if that changes your addressable market at all.
Hi, Jamie. Thanks for the questions. I'll take the first one, specific on AI leverage and margin EBITDA conversion. For the first half of the year, we've delivered good, strong margins, a little bit above our expectations of what we had laid out earlier in the year. If you recall, we had set 20 to 30 basis points, and we've been doing better than that. And it's a combination of a few key things. First is, you know, our American business organically is very robust and driving incremental margins. Second is, you know, throughout our organization has a very strong operating culture of delivering, continuing to deliver better every single quarter. But third, as you specifically asked about on AI leverage, in the first quarter, you would recall, we had only ramped up approximately $5 million of spend. Our expectation was 60 to 70 bps is what we will spend in FY26. And, in fact, in Q2, we ramped up that spend to that full scale. We spent $13 million on our AI roadmap, equates to about 66 dips. So the margin increase that you're seeing, where we delivered 16.5% operating margin in the first half of the year versus 16.1% in last year, there is that incremental investment coming through. As we move forward, you know, we have a lot of confidence that given what we're already seeing in the early results, not only from the growth standpoint that Troy has already spoken to earlier on some of the Q&A, but if you take a step back with the 66 bits of AI investment we're making in our margins in Q2, our America's margins continue to grow over prior year and just a little bit better quarter over quarter as well because of some of these tools that we have already deployed internally, developed and deployed internally, are driving benefits. And it's much more clear when you look at our international business. International businesses not having the same robust growth we're seeing in the America's business version that you talked about we have put forward will be And, Jamie, to answer your second question, first is our clients, they have large, complex projects.
They are looking for a few things. They're looking for an improvement in the value you're delivering, and that can be in different ways, either through improving the speed at which you deliver, reducing the cost, but more importantly, providing more certainty around very complex outcomes that we deliver for our clients. And so they embrace innovation, and what we're finding in our conversations as we work through this is that they're willing to embrace the innovation that we're providing. And so those conversations are not, they're really not that difficult. And addressing your second question, you know, does this change our addressable market? The answer is it does. And what this does is it allows us to actually have a way of entering some markets that we hadn't previously participated in a meaningful way in the past. And an example of that would be health care. You know, we haven't participated meaningfully in health care design around the world. and so we're effectively, again, building tools to support our professionals in their conversation with customers that reduce time, the uncertainty associated with complexity, and cost. And so that allows us to more easily enter new markets, and a good example of that is the health care market.
Thank you.
Next question comes from the line of Adam Bubez with Golden Sacks. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning. I was just wondering if you could talk about the construction management revenue growth and book-to-bill trends in the quarter. How are you thinking about the outlook for growth in that business over the next 12 months? Hey, Adam, this is Gar. I'll take that question.
On CM, you know, CM business is very much impacted by large projects, specifically timing. Just to be a little bit more detailed on what I mean by that is generally when we first contract into these projects, We work on a T&M agency basis for the first few months where we help the client out with the design and other factors, procuring subcontractors according to their preference, and then we enter into a GMP contract with them. Usually it could be anywhere between 10 to 20 months after we have provided that agency work to them. when the design is practically complete, and we have a lot of certainty, all the work has been subcontracted through practically. And that's when you see we're in process of some of these new projects that have come on, including that we've discussed in past couple of quarters. We're performing that agency work right now. And my expectation, so that'll continue for the next six months. And my expectation is in FY27, especially starting in Q2 and beyond, good ramp up in in that revenue burn so to drive that my expectation is you know two three two four you'll start seeing a good to burn being contributed by RCM business that we really haven't seen because of the nature of how these projects flow through got it and then separately you know it's been six months over six months in from scaling your your AI tools and your a acquisition Can you just talk about if visibility has improved on your ability to hit your margin expansion targets,
and if you have any updated thoughts on the cadence of margin expansion in 27 and 28?
Yeah. So we really sort of started this in earnest about, as you said, six months ago. And sort of think about this in chunks. So the first three months relate to integration and really ramping up a team and then taking what we had been already working and effectively moving that across our entire population of professionals. So that's started, and, you know, we have the majority of our people having access to certain kinds of AI models and tools that help them in their work. And at the same time, and we mentioned this in our prepared comments, we've been working on actually building out what I'll call the model pipeline. And so that's going on in earnest as well. What we are seeing is that we've been investing in building the team, building the AI tools that our professionals will deploy. But we're also now seeing, you know, again, the benefit of those tools be deployed. And so we see that ramping up. All that being said, what we have experienced is we're experiencing an increase in our confidence in our path to ultimately improve margins over the next three years. And so even as we look forward to next year, I'd say that we have increased confidence in our ability to deliver on the margin expectations for next year as well. Great. Thanks so much.
Thank you. Again, if you would like to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. And your next question comes from the line of Michael DDoS with Vertical Research Partners. Please go ahead.
Good morning, gentlemen, Laura. Good morning, Mike.
Troy, you called out in your prepared remarks. Pretty good potential in your U.S. federal business. Maybe you can remind us what that position is and what areas do you think that could contribute to the pipe? I find it's a 50%. What can we maybe think about and look forward to see that the XQ get converted into backlogged revenues over the next six to 12 months, assuming, again, the vagaries of government budgeting process?
Yeah, certainly. Well, first of all, I'll just say that I think about defense in terms of our global client set, and obviously within that global client set, the largest is the U.S. government or the Department of War here. And so in aggregate, all those defense clients represent about 10% of our portfolio, and the Department of War represents, you know, five or a little bit, maybe slightly higher than that. But what we have seen in that pipeline, certainly here in the U.S. and around the world, is we've seen that pipeline increase by about 50%. So, you know, that's for us. Even as you said, pointing aside kind of the vagaries of funding, there is no question that with a pipeline increasing like that, there will be funding that will certainly match some or all of that. And so I think that with what's happening in the world, it is certainly supporting a larger investment in defense. And, again, through our long-term relationships with these clients in the U.S., in the U.K., in Australia and Canada, we see a lot of opportunity for our defense business growing.
I appreciate that. And maybe touch on, you discussed about the new relationship with the hyperscaler, and you touched on the power opportunities. As you assess what the demand for AECOM services the next couple years, six months, a few years in this cycle, do you think you'll get more opportunities with the hyperscaler customer side, or is it more on the power district T&D power work, or is it going to be a combination of both that's going to significantly flipporate?
Yeah, and I think what we're experiencing is we're actually experiencing an opportunity, all three of those markets. And so it is certainly hyperscalers are an important part of that, but there's certainly just a significant amount of spending within that supply chain to ultimately support increased compute capacity. And so it really is across our entire portfolio, but the big places we see it is obviously investment in data centers, and that's all-encompassing from, you know, the environmental process all the way through the completion of that. Energy and transmission are an important part of that as well. So we're seeing that it's a broad opportunity for us. It sort of fits business. There's no one piece that's dominating.
From the line of Lauren Sullivan with UBS. Please go ahead.
Hi, thanks for taking my question. My question is, what do you have in budgeting guidance for the pace of ramps for those recent wins in the Middle East that got started a little bit slower than you were expecting?
Yeah, I'll let Gar take that question. Hey, Lauren, I'll take that. Specific to the growth in the Middle East, which has contracted in the first half of the year, we're expecting the second half of the year we're going to start seeing the growth to support the guidance we have of 4% to 6% excluding the workday impact and including the workday impact, 6% to 8% can let Laura speak more to the specific opportunities that we have been successful at and we continue to win even subsequent to the quarter.
Yeah, thanks. Lauren, I mean, just a bit more colour. We, so far, year to date, we've won 100% of what we call all our enterprise-critical pursuits across our business. And in addition to those recent wins and confidence about the growing pipeline of transportation work, for example, in the UAE, I think we're well-positioned in terms of the pivot that's happening in Saudi Arabia at the moment, where there's going to be continued investment in sports and entertainment, and we have an existing position with many of those clients, and there's a very substantial portfolio and pipeline of work, for example, associated with that and some of the downtown mixed-use development in RIA. When we look across the whole Middle East portfolio, I think long-term we're positive about continued growth.
Got it, makes sense. And for my follow-up, how do you see your AI investments evolving over the next few years? Like, will anything change about the type or the magnitude of these investments?
I mean, so no, the answer is they're sort of thinking about this financially. In terms of sort of the team and what we've built out, you can think about that as sort of being relatively static, you know, over time. But what we are starting to see and we will see and this will continue to grow is obviously an improvement in the overall profitability of the business and certainly in our margins. So, if you look forward, you know, the way you'll So you'll be able to sort of get a sense of are we performing or getting a significant return on those investments? You're just going to see a margin uplift certainly over the next year and beyond that.
Got it. Thanks.
Thank you.
No further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Troy Rudd for closing remarks.
Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. And I want to make sure that I thank all of the AECOM professionals and employees that have done an outstanding job this quarter delivering, and I'll say it's been a turbulent environment. Thank you, and thank you, everyone.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.