Skip to main content
AMTX $1.77 +1.72%
AMTX logo

AMTX · Aemetis, Inc

Track AMTX — free
$1.77 +0.03 (+1.72%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$127.38M
Shares
72.17M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Aemetis, Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Aemetis, Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 12, 2026
Mar 12, 2026 34 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Aemetis reported Q4 2025 revenue plus tax credits of $53.7M vs $47M a year ago, with quarterly gross profit improving to $7.7M from a $2M loss, driven by a scaling dairy RNG segment that posted $12.2M of segment net income and 61% YoY production growth.

India Biodiesel and Expansion 54 45Z Production Tax Credit Implementation 29 LCFS Credit Pricing and Market 16 MVR System at Keyes Ethanol Plant 14 Dairy Renewable Natural Gas (Biogas) Growth 13 Capital Investment and Financing 6

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +65 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We expect strong annual growth in cash flow and profitability from the biogas segment for the next four years as 45Z is implemented and we continue to expand production.”
  • “The MVR system is expected to reduce natural gas consumption by 80%, lower the carbon intensity of ethanol produced by the plant, and increase annual plant cash flow by approximately $32 million.”
  • “post-MVR, 45Z and LCFS values go up and generate roughly another almost $3 million a month of cash flow.”
  • “We would not be surprised at all to see it hit $100 this year and $150 or more next year, as we continue to see quarterly deficits.”

Forward guidance

8 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

Switch sources without leaving this page or losing your listening position.

Revenue · derived Q4 $43.31M -7.9% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 17.8% +22.1 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$5.33M

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Aemetis Biogas segment net income reached $12.2M in Q4 2025 on 61% YoY growth in dairy RNG production
  • Quarterly gross profit improved to $7.7M from a $2.0M gross loss in the prior-year quarter
  • Q4 2025 operating loss narrowed to $2.5M from $13.5M and net loss to $5.3M from $16.2M
  • Full-year 2025 operating loss improved to $37.2M and net loss to $77M versus $87.5M in 2024
  • MVR ethanol plant upgrade expected to add ~$32M of annual plant cash flow when completed in 2026, reducing natural gas use by 80%
  • Dairy digester projects generated $18M of cash in 2025 from sale of investment tax credits, and RNG equipment is contracted to double the network to 15 digesters

Risks & pressure points

  • Full-year 2025 revenue plus tax credits declined to $208M from $268M in 2024
  • Capital expenditures rose 28% YoY to $26.0M in 2025
  • Company is awaiting the DOE GREET model and Calculated Emissions Value Letter process to fully monetize 45Z tax credits, creating timing uncertainty
  • Full-year 2025 net loss remained substantial at $77M
  • Company is dependent on long-term refinancing of existing debt and execution of an India subsidiary IPO as part of its 2026 plan

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“We will be wrapping up our MVR system. Total investment there is going to be roughly in the $40 million range. We will also continue to expand. We have 15 contracted H2S units for the next 15 digesters we are building. That is about a $27 million contract that we have with NPL. And then, separately, the build-out of those 15, which will overlap into 2027, is roughly going to be another $70 million on top of that.” Eric McAfee, CEO
“Our business is highly leveraged towards performance of the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard credit, which credit prices were $40 eight months ago. They are $70 today and should continue to rise. The cap is $268. And the 45Z production tax credit, which we have only monetized $5 million of, we did that the last couple of days of the fourth quarter of last year. And that should be a significant generator.” Eric McAfee, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 12, 2026.

Metric Guided
Plant cash flow from operations
annually after completion in 2026
$32M

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Plant cash flow increase from mechanical vapor compression syste
when completed in 2026
$32M
Annual plant cash flow increase from MVR system
later this year
$32M
Capital investment for MVR system
2026
$40M
Contract for H2S units for next 15 digesters
2026
$27M
Build-out cost for 15 digesters
overlapping into 2027
$70M
Additional monthly cash flow post-MVR from 45Z and LCFS
starting in what we are currently targeting as the third quarter
$3M
Expected monthly cash flow from 45Z plus MVR
starting in what we are currently targeting as the third quarter
$4M
Full-screen source Call document