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BBAI · BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

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$3.19 -0.09 (-2.60%)
Market Cap
$1.57B
Shares
479.49M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 2, 2026 Audio replay
Mar 2, 2026 26:23 6 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
26:23
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

BigBear.ai closed 2025 with its strongest financial position in company history, including $462 million in cash and investments and over 90% debt reduction, but Q4 revenue fell 38% year-over-year to $27.3 million due to lower Army program volume. The company is guiding 2026 revenue to $135–$165 million (~17% growth), reflecting contributions from the Ask Sage and CargoSeer acquisitions and international expansion.

Strategic acquisitions 45 International expansion in the UAE 8 Financial position and balance sheet 6 National security strategy and mission 5 Internal controls and SOX compliance 4 2026 revenue guidance 3

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +38 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is in the strongest financial position in the company's history”
  • “Despite the longest government shutdown in history, we closed 2025 within our revenue forecast and within single digits of analyst consensus estimates”
  • “These two acquisitions are clear indicators of where BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is heading”
  • “I would underscore again that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is in the strongest financial position in our history, and we intend to make it even stronger”

Forward guidance

1 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

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Revenue · derived Q4 $27.30M -37.7% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 20.3% -17.1 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$5.83M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Closed 2025 with strongest financial position in company history, including $462 million in total cash and investments as of December 31, 2025
  • Reduced debt by more than 90% and fully settled the remaining $125 million of 2029 Convertible notes, saving nearly $9 million in annualized interest
  • Raised $693 million in proceeds from ATM facilities and warrant exercises during 2025
  • Closed strategic acquisitions of Ask Sage (Dec 2025) and CargoSeer (Jan 2026) and established first office in Abu Dhabi to expand international footprint
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $135–$165 million represents approximately 17% growth over 2025 revenue of $128 million
  • Material weakness from prior year fully remediated as of December 31, 2025, with auditor issuing a clean, unqualified opinion on internal controls

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 2025 revenue decreased 38% year-over-year to $27.3 million, primarily due to lower volume on Army programs
  • Q4 gross margin compressed to 20.3% from 37.4% in Q4 2024 due to non-recurrence of high-margin license deliveries and an infringement overhead true-up
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDA was negative $10.3 million versus positive $2.0 million in the prior-year quarter, driven by lower revenue, lower gross margin, and higher SG&A and R&D spend
  • Full-year SG&A expenses rose to $25.7 million from $22.2 million and R&D expenses rose to $4.8 million from $2.3 million
  • Recorded a non-cash impairment of long-lived assets of $53.4 million in 2025
  • Company is not providing Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 due to integration investments and AI market pace

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 2, 2026.

Metric Guided
Full-year 2026 revenue
full-year 2026
$135M – $165M
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