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BLBD · Blue Bird Corp

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$61.84 -0.21 (-0.34%) At close · Sep 11
Market Cap
$1.96B
Shares
31.68M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$61.84 Open$62.98 Day$61.75–63.68 52W close$46.59–81.50 Avg vol 30d597K Short int4.0M · 12.5% float · 7.4d Short vol66% Last earningsAug 5, 2026 DataJan 2020–Sep 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 5

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 4, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 7 wks
filed Aug 5, 2026

Metrics snapshot

Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.

Revenue (TTM)
$1.61B
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
$281.81M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
+29.9%
Year over year
Operating margin
11.8%
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
7.5
Trailing earnings · reciprocal yield 13.3%
FCF yield
7.8%
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
26.4%
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
$30.01M
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
+7.9%
Year over year · more shares
Price change (1Y)
+6.1%
Trailing year
Short interest
12.5%
Latest settlement · 7.4 days to cover
View all 115 metrics

AI Brief

Q3 FY26 earnings call · Aug 5, 2026
Q3 FY26

TL;DR. Blue Bird reported Q3 net sales of $517M and raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to ~$247M while announcing a major Ford commercial chassis collaboration and Detroit Chassis asset purchase, though legacy Blue Bird unit volumes fell 7.2% as a large finished goods inventory built ahead of Q4 revenue recognition.

Bullish
  • + FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to ~$247M with net revenue of ~$1.75B.
  • + Long-term Adjusted EBITDA outlook raised to $500M+ on $3.3B revenue by 2030+
  • + Announced Ford collaboration to design, manufacture and sell the next-generation F53/59 commercial stripped chassis with Detroit Chassis asset purchase of $7M.
  • + More than 770 EV buses in firm order backlog supporting 2026 EV sales target, with 355 electric buses delivered in Q3.
  • + Q3 net sales increased $119.1M, or 29.9%, year-over-year driven by Micro Bird contribution and 6.7% ASP increase on legacy buses.
Bearish
  • Legacy Blue Bird bus unit bookings fell 7.2% year-over-year in Q3 (2,290 vs 2,467 units).
  • Legacy Blue Bird Adjusted EBITDA declined $3.6M year-over-year as Micro Bird consolidation masked organic weakness.

AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

Equibles Rating

blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Buy
SellHoldBuy
Technical Neutral Momentum Neutral Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol High
Market backdrop VIX 15.8 · calm Equity put/call 0.58
Technical
price trend
Neutral
50 / 200-day cross No cross
Price vs 200-day avg −0%
below
Price vs 50-day avg −11%
below
RSI (14) 43
neutral
MACD trend Positive
52-week position 44%
mid-range
Volume (OBV) Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
Neutral
1-month return −4%
trailing
6-month return +16%
trailing
YTD return +32%
this year
Relative strength −2%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Bullish
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $70 › 200d $62 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow Accumulating
+6% holders QoQ · +55 funds added
Insider flow Accumulating
Net +$22.5K over 90 days · 0% sells
Short interest Rising
12.52% of float · ▲ +3.2% MoM · 7.4 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Multi-yr high
306 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score 69
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Excellent
Revenue growth +10%
Y/Y
Gross margin 21%
expanding
EPS growth +23%
Y/Y
Valuation P/E 7.5
below peers
Buyback $90.6M
remaining
Balance sheet $139.0M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
High
Volatility 43%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown −29%
past year
ATR 4.0%
of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Guidance & track record

Beat or met 2 of last 3
Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026
full-year 2026
Adj. EBITDA Non-GAAP Initiated $247M
2030+
Adjusted EBITDA margin Non-GAAP at least 15%
Prior guidance period ended · from the 8-K filed Aug 7, 2024
Net Revenue · fiscal 2024 full year $1.3B – $1.33B
Adj. EBITDA · fiscal 2024 full year $170M – $180M
Adj. Free Cash Flow · fiscal 2024 full year $80M – $90M
Guided vs delivered · last 3 settled
Net Revenue fiscal 2024 full year
guided $1.3B – $1.33B
$1.35B Beat +2.4%
Revenues full year
guided $750M – $850M
$800.64M In line
Net sales revenue fiscal 2021
guided $730M – $790M
$684M Miss −10.0%

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
1 · 5 · 1
50 / 200-day cross
No cross Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−0% Neutral
Price vs 50-day avg
−11% Bearish
RSI (14)
43 Neutral
MACD trend
Positive Bullish
52-week position
44% Neutral
Volume (OBV)
Confirms Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 3 of 6
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $70 › 200d $62 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow Accumulating
+6% holders QoQ · +55 funds added
Insider flow Accumulating
Net +$22.5K over 90 days · 0% sells
Short interest Rising
12.52% of float · ▲ +3.2% MoM · 7.4 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Multi-yr high
306 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $47 Now $62 · 44% Range high $82
vs 200-day avg 0% vs 50-day avg -11%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Key metrics

Earlier KPI extraction records exist, but do not meet the current evidence-completeness requirements. No current verified series is available. Earlier figures remain withheld until revalidated; this is not evidence that the company reports no KPIs.

Versus peers

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery — same industry group
Open screener →
Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
BLBD
Blue Bird Corp
this stock
$1.96B +31.6% +9.9% 7.5 12.5%
CAT
Caterpillar Inc
$376.28B +42.9% +4.3% 35.2 1.6%
DE
Deere & Co
$182.20B +45.1% -11.7% 37.6 1.9%
SNHIY
Sany Heavy Industries Co., Ltd./ADR
$91.67B 0.0%
PCAR
Paccar Inc
$64.60B +12.1% -15.5% 25.8 2.4%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section
Ownership
Institutional Holders Reducing
Holders
306
% held
102.7%
Net QoQ
-899.8K sh
Top holder
FMR LLC
Held Float
View
Held by Funds
Fund positions
308
View
Short & Settlement
Short Interest Rising
Shares short
4.0M
Days to cover
7.4d
Change
+121.7K sh
View
Short Volume
Short vol %
66%
As of
Sep 11, 2026
Short Total
View
Fails to Deliver
FTD shares
839
Value
$54.8K
As of
Aug 11, 2026
View
Off-Exchange
Off-exchange %
48.3%
Week of
Aug 3, 2026
Off-exch Lit
View
Smart Money
Insider Trades Net buying
Net (90d)
+$22.5K
Buyers / Sellers
1 / 0
Buyers Sellers
View
Congressional Trades Sell
Member
Julie Johnson
Amount
$1.0K–$15.0K
Traded
Apr 7, 2025
View
Financials
Financials
Revenue (FY)
$1.5B
Net income (FY)
$127.7M
EPS diluted
$3.88
View
Buybacks
Authorized
$100.0M
Remaining
$90.6M
Spent Remaining
View
Filings
SEC Filings
Latest
8-K
Filed
Aug 5, 2026
This year
13
View
Proposed Sales
Value
$304.0K
Shares
5.2K
Filed
Mar 4, 2026
View
Earnings & Events
Earnings Calls
Last call
Aug 5, 2026
View
Investor Relations
Latest news
Blue Bird Reports Fiscal 2026 Thi…
Published
Aug 5, 2026
View

Performance

5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
BLBD -2.9% -4.4% +15.7% +6.4% +31.6%
SPY -1.2% -1.8% +17.8% -0.4% +12.1%
vs SPY -1.7% -2.6% -2.1% +6.7% +19.5%

Capital returns

Buyback program · as of Jun 27, 2026
Authorized
$100.00M
Spent (derived)
$9.40M
Remaining
$90.60M
Spent Remaining

Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

Key facts CIK 1589526 CUSIP 095306106 13F (30d) 85 filings 84 filers Visit website Investor relations