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BLBD · Blue Bird Corp

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$56.53 +0.93 (+1.67%) At close · Oct 2
Market Cap
$1.79B
Shares
31.68M
Volume · Oct 2 406.08K Avg daily vol (3M) 545.77K

Price & Indicators

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20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$55.60 Open$55.00 Day$54.62–56.89 52W close$46.59–81.50 Avg vol 30d547K Short int4.2M · 13.4% float · 7.6d Short vol56% Last earningsAug 5, 2026 DataJan 2020–Oct 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 5

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 4, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 5 wks
filed Aug 5, 2026
call held Aug 5, 2026

Metrics snapshot

Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.

Revenue (TTM)
$1.61B
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
$281.81M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
+29.9%
Year over year
Operating margin
11.8%
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
6.8
Trailing earnings · reciprocal yield 14.8%
FCF yield
8.6%
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
26.4%
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
$30.01M
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
—
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
+7.9%
Year over year · more shares
Price change (1Y)
+0.2%
Trailing year
Short interest
13.4%
Latest settlement · 7.6 days to cover
View all 115 metrics

AI Brief

Q3 FY26 earnings call · Aug 5, 2026
Q3 FY26

TL;DR. Blue Bird reported Q3 net sales of $517M and raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to ~$247M while announcing a major Ford commercial chassis collaboration and Detroit Chassis asset purchase, though legacy Blue Bird unit volumes fell 7.2% as a large finished goods inventory built ahead of Q4 revenue recognition.

Bullish
  • + FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to ~$247M with net revenue of ~$1.75B.
  • + Long-term Adjusted EBITDA outlook raised to $500M+ on $3.3B revenue by 2030+
  • + Announced Ford collaboration to design, manufacture and sell the next-generation F53/59 commercial stripped chassis with Detroit Chassis asset purchase of $7M.
  • + More than 770 EV buses in firm order backlog supporting 2026 EV sales target, with 355 electric buses delivered in Q3.
  • + Q3 net sales increased $119.1M, or 29.9%, year-over-year driven by Micro Bird contribution and 6.7% ASP increase on legacy buses.
Bearish
  • − Legacy Blue Bird bus unit bookings fell 7.2% year-over-year in Q3 (2,290 vs 2,467 units).
  • − Legacy Blue Bird Adjusted EBITDA declined $3.6M year-over-year as Micro Bird consolidation masked organic weakness.

AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

Equibles Rating

blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical Sell Momentum Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol High
Market backdrop VIX 15.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.58
Technical
price trend
Sell
50 / 200-day cross No cross
Price vs 200-day avg −11%
below
Price vs 50-day avg −13%
below
RSI (14) 34
neutral
MACD trend Negative
52-week position 26%
mid-range
Volume (OBV) Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
Weak
1-month return −10%
trailing
6-month return −12%
trailing
YTD return +18%
this year
Relative strength −24%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Neutral
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $64 › 200d $62 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow Flat
1 of 306 funds reported for Sep 30 · net 0 sh shares
Insider flow Distributing
Net -$227.1K over 90 days · 50% sells
Short interest Rising
13.37% of float · ▲ +6.8% MoM · 7.6 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Multi-yr high
306 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score 61
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Excellent
Revenue growth +10%
Y/Y
Gross margin 21%
expanding
EPS growth +23%
Y/Y
Valuation P/E 6.9
below peers
Buyback $90.6M
remaining
Balance sheet $139.0M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
High
Volatility 43%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown −32%
past year
ATR 4.1%
of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Guidance & track record

Beat or met 3 of last 5
Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026
full-year 2026
Adj. EBITDA Non-GAAP Initiated $247M
2030+
Adjusted EBITDA margin Non-GAAP at least 15%
Guided vs delivered · last 5 settled
Net Revenue fiscal 2024 full year
guided $1.3B – $1.33B
$1.35B Beat +2.4%
Net Revenue full year fiscal 2023
guided $1.1B
$1.13B Beat +3.0%
Revenues full year
guided $750M – $850M
$800.64M In line
Net sales revenue fiscal 2021
guided $730M – $790M
$684M Miss −10.0%

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
3 · 4 · 0
50 / 200-day cross
No cross Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−11% Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−13% Bearish
RSI (14)
34 Neutral
MACD trend
Negative Bearish
52-week position
26% Neutral
Volume (OBV)
Confirms Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bearish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $64 › 200d $62 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow Flat
1 of 306 funds reported for Sep 30 · net 0 sh shares
Insider flow Distributing
Net -$227.1K over 90 days · 50% sells
Short interest Rising
13.37% of float · ▲ +6.8% MoM · 7.6 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Multi-yr high
306 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $47 Now $56 · 26% Range high $82
vs 200-day avg -11% vs 50-day avg -13%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Key metrics

Earlier KPI extraction records exist, but do not meet the current evidence-completeness requirements. No current verified series is available. Earlier figures remain withheld until revalidated; this is not evidence that the company reports no KPIs.

Versus peers

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery — same industry group
Open screener →
Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
BLBD
Blue Bird Corp
this stock
$1.79B +18.3% +9.9% 6.9 13.4%
CAT
Caterpillar Inc
$379.99B +44.2% +4.3% 35.6 1.8%
DE
Deere & Co
$182.08B +43.3% -11.7% 37.5 2.1%
SNHIY
Sany Heavy Industries Co., Ltd./ADR
$86.82B — — — 0.0%
PCAR
Paccar Inc
$58.59B +0.4% -15.5% 23.4 2.3%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section
Ownership
Institutional Holders
Holders
306
% held
102.7%
Reported
1 of 306
Top holder
FMR LLC
Held Float
View
Held by Funds
Fund positions
316
View
Short & Settlement
Short Interest Rising
Shares short
4.2M
Days to cover
7.6d
Change
+268.8K sh
View
Short Volume
Short vol %
56%
As of
Oct 2, 2026
Short Total
View
Fails to Deliver
FTD shares
84
Value
$5.2K
As of
Sep 11, 2026
View
Off-Exchange
Off-exchange %
44.7%
Week of
Aug 24, 2026
Off-exch Lit
View
Smart Money
Insider Trades Net selling
Net (90d)
-$227.1K
Buyers / Sellers
1 / 1
Buyers Sellers
View
Congressional Trades Sell
Member
Julie Johnson
Amount
$1.0K–$15.0K
Traded
Apr 7, 2025
View
Financials
Financials
Revenue (FY)
$1.5B
Net income (FY)
$127.7M
EPS diluted
$3.88
View
Buybacks
Authorized
$100.0M
Remaining
$90.6M
Spent Remaining
View
Filings
SEC Filings
Latest
8-K
Filed
Oct 1, 2026
This year
14
View
Proposed Sales
Value
$249.6K
Shares
4.0K
Filed
Sep 18, 2026
View
Earnings & Events
Webcasts
Last webcast
Aug 5, 2026
View
Investor Relations
Latest news
Blue Bird Reports Fiscal 2026 Thi…
Published
Aug 5, 2026
View

Performance

5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
BLBD +0.0% -9.9% -11.8% +0.2% +18.3%
SPY -0.4% -0.2% +12.4% +0.2% +12.0%
vs SPY +0.5% -9.8% -24.3% +0.0% +6.3%

Capital returns

Buyback program · as of Jun 27, 2026
Authorized
$100.00M
Spent (derived)
$9.40M
Remaining
$90.60M
Spent Remaining

Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

Key facts CIK 1589526 CUSIP 095306106 13F (30d) 11 filings 7 filers Visit website Investor relations