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Earnings call · FY2025 Q2
Executive readout · one minute
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Management tone
Confident
Net tone +65 · moderate hedging
Forward guidance
4 guided metrics
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From the 8-K filed Jul 31, 2025.
| Metric | Period | Guided | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
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NAREIT FFO per share
table
Expected 2025
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$1.42 – $1.46 | — | |
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Normalized FFO per share
table
Expected 2025
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$1.57 – $1.61 | — | |
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Same Store Cash NOI growth
table
Expected 2025
|
3.25% – 4% | — |
Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.
| Metric | Period | Guided | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
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Asset sales
2025
|
$1B | — |
How the reported period landed and where the business moved.
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Thank you for standing by. My name is Ian, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Healthcare Realty Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star one. Thank you. I would like to hand the call over to Rob Hubbard, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.
Thank you for joining us today for Healthcare Realty's second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. A reminder that except for the historical information contained within, the matters discussed in this call may contain forward-looking statements that involve estimates, assumptions, risks, and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements represent the company's judgment as of the date of this call. The company disclaims any obligation to update this forward-looking material. The discussion of risks and risk factors are included in our press release and detailed in our filings with the SEC. Certain non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this call. A reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures may be found in the company's earnings release for the quarter-ended June 30 2025. The company's earnings press release, earnings supplemental information, and Form 10-Q are available on the company's website. Now I'd like to turn the call over to our president and CEO, Pete Scott.
Thanks, Ron. Joining me on the call today are Rob Hull, our COO, and Austin Helfrich, our CFO. Also available for the Q&A portion of the call is Ryan Crowley, our CIO. We had a very busy second quarter with excellent results and contributions across the organization. Fundamentals are quite strong in outpatient medical, and that was clear with our second quarter print. Normalized FFO was $0.41 per share, a $0.02 sequential increase. FAD was $0.33 per share, a $0.04 sequential increase. Same-store occupancy was 90%, a 40 basis point sequential increase. Same-store NOI growth was 5.1%, a 280 basis point sequential increase. And net debt to adjusted EBITDA sits at six times. In addition, it was the second highest new leasing quarter in the last three years. year-to-date sales increased to $211 million at a blended 6.2% cap rate. We have over $700 million of additional assets under contract or LOI. We completed a very successful renewal of our revolver. We extended the tenor of our term loans, and we raised guidance. Rob and Austin will cover these items in more detail. A special thanks to the entire Healthcare Realty team for their extraordinary efforts this quarter. Moving on to our strategic plan, which we published on our website concurrent with our earnings release. I have now been at Healthcare Realty just over 100 days, and my time has largely been spent seeing the real estate, assessing the team, and receiving valuable feedback from our shareholders. During the quarter, the team and I toured 10 core markets encompassing approximately 50% of our overall NOI, and more importantly, about two-thirds of our overall real estate value. In addition, I've spent considerable time with our teams out in the field, including leasing and operations. Each and every one of these interactions has had an influence on the strategic plan, and I am confident now is the right time to disclose the vision for Healthcare Realty 2.0. Let me start with my overall assessment. The good news, we have the best-in-class outpatient medical portfolio. We have scale in the right markets, and we are aligned with the nation's leading healthcare system. In short, we have the essential ingredients of what is needed to be a successful real estate company. Great assets, desirable locations, solid tenants. That said, we have fallen short of expectations despite our solid foundation. Healthcare Realty 1.0 was a transactions-oriented culture that relied almost exclusively on acquisitions and development to drive growth, to the detriment of asset management. This strategy worked, too, and for many years, the company traded at a premium valuation. Unfortunately, this business model collapsed in 2022, and swift changes are necessary to reverse course and reestablish credibility. Healthcare Realty 2.0 will be an operations-oriented culture where earnings growth is paramount, strong tenant relationships are essential, leasing decisions are made based on economic reasons, and capital allocation is initially prioritized towards accretive reinvestment into our existence. portfolio. With that as the backdrop, let me elaborate on the five key action items of the strategic plan. First action item, improved corporate governance. As was previously disclosed, we reduced the size of our board from 12 to seven directors. The Go Forward board brings fresh perspectives and decades of industry experience to support our value creation initiative. Five of seven directors have been appointed since 2024 and all directors have been appointed since 2020. in addition five board members have reet ceo experience second action item a significant organizational restructuring we have implemented a new operating model that will drive meaningful cost savings and promote incremental accountability at the property level between our operations and leasing personnel this new asset management oriented platform will create stronger and better aligned tenant relationships over the past few months i have had the benefit of sitting down with leadership at some of our largest health system tenants to discuss expansion opportunities these tenants include baylor scott white hca ascension common spirit and banner health With our enhanced platform and renewed focus, we can and will do better. To advance our platform changes, during the second quarter, we hired Tony Acevedo and Glenn Preston to lead our asset management efforts. Tony and Glenn have extensive track records in the outpatient medical sector with 16 years and 25 years of experience, respectively. They have been trusted partners of mine in the past and they have hit the ground running. Another important restructuring initiative is streamlining our corporate overhead costs. We've completed a thorough review of every line item and have already achieved our initial goal of at least $10 million in run rate GNA savings. One hundred percent of this has been captured through headcount reduction, office expense savings and of course the previously mentioned reduction in our board size at year end julie wilson evp and chief administrative officer will be departing the organization after a 24-year career with the company we would all like to express sincere thanks to julie who played a valuable role in the growth of the organization she will be missed third action item portfolio optimization to maximize NOI growth. We have completed a full bottom-up property-by-property analysis and segmented all 650 assets into three distinct buckets. The stabilized portfolio, the lease-up portfolio, and the disposition portfolio. Each of these buckets has different characteristics, starting with the stabilized portfolio, which is 75% of the total. Ours is hands down the premier outpatient medical portfolio, and our well-performing, stabilized assets will be the primary engine of growth for Healthcare Realty 2.0. The stabilized portfolio consists of 470 properties, encompassing over 25 million square feet. It includes trophy properties on flagship campuses, such as Ascension St. Thomas Midtown in Nashville, MultiCare Overlake Medical Center in Seattle, and Baylor Scott & White All Saints Medical Center in Fort Worth, just to name a few. Current occupancy is 95%. NOI margins are over 65%. Our average lease term is eight years, and our average escalators are 3%. Our strategy with this portfolio is to maintain high occupancy and maximize lease economics to drive consistent NOI growth. Moving to the lease-up portfolio, which is approximately 13% of the total, these 95 assets contain over seven million square feet of well-located health system aligned clinical space performance has lagged due to years of underinvestment or deteriorated local relationships these properties are primarily located within our priority markets with the top three markets of denver dallas and phoenix comprising 25 of the square footage we have strong conviction that through targeted ROI-driven investments and engaged asset management leadership, we can harvest meaningful upside in this portfolio and generate up to $50 million of incremental NOI. Current occupancy in these properties is 70%, NOI margins are 55%, and our rents are nearly 20% below market. In a bit, I'll touch more on unlocking this potential through prudent capital allocation. Shifting to the disposition portfolio, which is approximately 12% of the total. Over the last two years, NOI growth for these assets has lagged our stabilized portfolio by 700 basis points. In addition, 80% of this portfolio is located outside of our priority markets where demographic trends are weaker, limiting upside potential. We can capitalize on the current strength in the outpatient medical transaction market to strategically exit these assets at attractive relative valuations. Today, we have a robust and balanced disposition pipeline across a variety of asset profiles to maximize value and minimize execution risk. We expect asset sales of approximately $1 billion to close in 2025 at a blended cap rate of 7%. We extensively evaluated the real estate fundamentals of these assets and believe our time and capital are best focused on the lease-out portfolio. The end result of the portfolio optimization strategy will be significantly improved occupancy and margin, an enhanced NOI growth profile, and a sharpened geographic focus. Fourth action item, reprioritizing our capital allocation internally. Our near-term priority will be investing capital back into our lease-up portfolio. This will come through two different types of targeted investments. Number one, ready-to-occupy spec suites, which we refer to as RTO, and our strategic investments into select vacant suites to drive leasing. Number two, redevelopment, which are significant investments to reposition buildings and drive higher rental rates, occupancy, and cash on cash returns. Between RTO and redevelopment opportunities over the next three years, we estimate approximately $300 million of capital investment at attractive returns. Additional accretive opportunities, including acquisitions and development, will come when our cost of capital allows for it, or we have sufficient balance sheet capacity. As our balance sheet continues to improve, we could utilize a portion of sale proceeds to repurchase stock should the opportunity present itself. Fifth action item, an improved balance sheet. The company has been playing defense for years with extremely limited financial flexibility due to excessive leverage with the sale of the disposition portfolio we expect net debt to EBITDA to be in the mid five times area by year end this lower leverage combined with extended maturities will allow us to gradually shift from defense to all turning now to the dividend as a final part of the strategic plan we completed a thorough and careful evaluation of the dividend. The result of this analysis is that the board unanimously approved a dividend reduction of 23% to 24 cents per share on a quarterly basis. While we could maintain the dividend and grow into a sustainable payout ratio over time, the key factors for right-sizing the dividend are it alleviates pressure from $1.4 billion dollars of low coupon bonds maturing over the next three years it provides 100 million dollars annually of capital that we need to reinvest into our portfolio to drive performance and it positions the company to maximize our go-forward earning potential let me finish with the value creation opportunity in our strategic plan presentation we have included a high-level framework for a potential earnings growth over a three-year forward-looking period. There is a clear path to creating attractive FFO per share, and the analysis excludes any upside from accretive capital allocation. In addition, we currently trade at approximately 10 times FFO, which is six turns below both our 10-year average and the 10-year average of our healthcare REIT peers. We know our evaluation is a function of many self-inflicted wounds and a loss of credibility and does not remotely reflect the significant value embedded in our irreplaceable portfolio. With the purposeful changes underway at Healthcare Realty 2.0, we see a real opportunity to improve operating performance, restore credibility, and unlock shareholder value. With the implementation of our strategic plan. We will remain the only public REIT focused exclusively on outpatient medical. We will have a positive earnings outlook. Our balance sheet will be a source of strength. We will no longer be burdened by an uncovered dividend. We can use free cash flow to invest secretively in our portfolio. Our assets will be operating at maximum NOI capacity. We will have a lean cost structure and we will have a best in class team and board we are firmly committed to this vision and are confident it will maximize value for all stakeholders nevertheless over time if our platform continues to trade at a significant discount to our intrinsic value then it will be our responsibility to explore all additional alternatives needed to unlock value Let me now turn the call over to Rob.
Thanks, Pete. Demand for outpatient medical space remains strong, driven by tightening supply and the ongoing migration of services into a lower-cost outpatient setting. During the quarter, we executed nearly 1.5 million square feet of leases, including over 450,000 square feet of new leases. Our signed not occupied pipeline, or SNOW, remains solid at nearly 610,000 square feet, representing almost 170 basis points of occupancy in the coming quarters. We continue to see robust demand from our health system partners, accounting for about a third of our lease executions this quarter. A few notable transactions include a 24,000-square-foot new lease in a redevelopment project on the campus of the HCA's North Cypress Hospital in Houston, a 42,000-square-foot renewal also in Houston with a premier pediatrics group associated with Texas Children's Hospital, and a 23,000-square-foot new lease in Orange County, California, with UC Irvine Health. UCI recently acquired the campus hospital from Tenant Health. Looking ahead, our new lease pipeline remains solid at over 1.3 million square feet and growing. Within our pipeline, about 60% is in the letter of intent or lease documentation phase, indicating a high probability of lease execution. Shifting to operations, the second quarter marked the beginning of our transition to an operating platform with a greater focus on asset management. As Pete mentioned, we made some key hires to lead the team and have taken the initial steps to transition portfolio operations under their leadership. We expect to complete the transition to this new model by year end. Once completed, we will continue to refine the platform over the next year by implementing new operating procedures, identifying further efficiencies, and emphasizing discipline around leasing decisions based on economic returns. Turning to our same-store portfolio, with strong new lease commencements and tenant retention of 83%, we gained 40 basis points of occupancy this quarter. Consistent with seasonal trends, we expect most of our occupancy gains to come in the second half of the year. Our outlook for 2025 remains 75 to 125 basis points of absorption by year end. I want to congratulate our team on the leasing and absorption progress we made this quarter. With a robust leasing pipeline, strong tenant retention, and tightening supply, our portfolio is poised to see further leasing momentum and NOI growth throughout the remainder of the year and into 2026. I will now turn it over to Austin to discuss financial results.
Thanks, Rob. In my remarks this morning, I will cover our second quarter results, progress on asset sales, balance sheet improvements, and increased 2025 guidance. But before I jump in, let me say how pleased I am with our performance this quarter and our momentum heading into the back half of the year. Now let's dive into the details. Normalized FFO per share was $0.41 for the quarter, up nearly 7% year-over-year, driven by strong occupancy gains, disciplined cost management, and a decrease in share count. Quarterly FAD per share increased to $0.33, representing a 96% payout ratio, a significant improvement from the first quarter, primarily due to strong earnings growth and lower seasonal maintenance capital. Second quarter, same-store cash NOI growth of 5.1% was the highest in nine years as a 100 basis point increase in occupancy, coupled with strong expense controls, drove 50 basis points of year-over-year margin improvement. Since the start of the year, I've been transparent that we expected the first quarter to be a difficult comp and growth to meaningfully accelerate beginning in the second quarter. I will say that I'm very pleased with the level of growth in the second quarter and believe that it more accurately reflects the strong current fundamentals in our business. On disposition activity, we completed $211 million of asset sales through the end of July. Inclusive of a $38 million loan repayment, our total proceeds generated year-to-date are approximately $250 million. Consistent with our disposition strategy, the sales were largely concentrated in assets with weaker growth prospects outside of our priority markets. Importantly, we fully exited two smaller, slower-growth MSAs in Indiana and Washington. With an additional $700 million under contractor LOI, we are raising our full-year disposition outlook to $800 million to $1 billion as part of our strategic plan. Turning to the balance sheet, in the second quarter, we successfully completed the first phase of our de-risking strategy. Today, we are pleased to announce the recast of our $1.5 billion revolver, as well as the addition of extension options to all of our outstanding term loans. We extended the outside maturity of our revolver to 2030 and term loans to 2027 and 2029. time. With this, we have decreased the amount of debt maturing through the end of 2026 from $1.5 billion at the end of the first quarter to approximately $600 million today. This decrease in near-term maturities gives us financial flexibility and bolsters our liquidity profile. We'd like to thank our bank partners for a very successful transaction. Over the coming quarters, we will execute the next phase of our balance sheet strategy as we delever by paying off our 2027 term loans with disposition proceeds. Pro forma for our July asset sales, our net debt to EBITDA is six times, and we expect leverage to decrease into the mid-fives to the balance of the year. Coupled with the announced dividend resizing, our liquidity and leverage profile has vastly improved from just a few quarters ago. I'm very pleased to report that we are raising our 2025 normalized FFO per share outlook by a penny at the midpoint to $1.57 to $1.61. Driving this change is a reduction in our G&A expectations, reflecting the restructuring efforts discussed in our strategy presentation as well as a 25 basis point increase in our same-store NOI guidance. We are proud of our second-quarter financial performance and energized by our improved outlook for the year, despite an almost $500 million increase to our disposition guidance. Before turning to Q&A, I'd like to highlight two items from our second-quarter press release regarding reporting. First, this quarter, we began reporting leverage utilizing the carrying value of debt. This aligns with the methodology of our peer group as well as the rating agencies. Second, we adjusted our maintenance capital definition to align with peers by classifying leasing commissions based on corresponding TI classifications. Simply put, any leasing commissions associated with first-generation capital spend will now also be classified as first-gen. This aligns us with industry norms, and we expect this change to reduce maintenance capital by approximately $5 to $10 million annually. It is important to note that our FAD per share in the second quarter would have been $0.32 even without this change. Operator, we're now ready to move to the Q&A portion of the call.
At this time, I would like to remind everyone that in order to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Once again, that is star followed by the number one. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Nick Ulico with Scotiabank. Your line is opened.
Good morning, guys.
I guess maybe first off, you know, since in terms of the strategic plan, a lot of the upside feels like is, you know, in the lease-up portfolio. Can you just talk a little bit more about, you know, composition of that portfolio, if it's all multi-tenant or if there's any single tenant? And then, you know, in terms of the numbers, I just want to make sure I'm understanding the – and you talk about $20 million to $40 million of upside in that portfolio over three years, but then there's also a $50 million number that you give elsewhere. And so I just wanted to understand kind of the difference between those two numbers and then also the composition portfolio.
Hey, Nick, it's Pete here. Hope all's well and great to hear from you. I'm glad you brought up the $20 million to $40 million versus the $50 million of upside. You know, we see $50 million in total upside. I think realistically it will take us some time to start to spend that capital and to get that return immediately. You know, these redev projects can take, you know, upwards of 12 to, you know, 18 months. We've obviously identified a nice group of assets that will go into redevelopment. But to get the full $50 million within the first three years I think would be a very aggressive assumption. So we did add some footnote disclosure that we still assume will get the full $50, but it's going to get layered in or phased in over a little bit more time. As to the lease-out portfolio, I think what gets me really excited about the opportunity to get the upside, the $50 million that we're talking about, is if you simply just look at that map page and you see where these assets are located. I mentioned, you know, the top markets being Denver, you know, you got Dallas in there as well. There's some other really good markets too, Houston, Charlotte. You know, and the way I think about it is it's really like a value-add portfolio embedded within our primary markets, and we really like the demographic, trends within those markets. So that's what gives us the confidence to be able to put out a number like that, which is a pretty big incremental amount of capital and amount of NOI. But we feel quite good about our ability to achieve that.
Okay, great. And then I just wanted to be clear as well, I mean, in terms of the capital that's going into that portfolio, and you talked about $300 million over three years. I wasn't sure, though, if it was additional capital to get to the $50 million of total upside. And then from a funding standpoint, I know you have the money saved from the dividend cut, but I think there also may be some capital you're sort of putting aside from the asset sales besides what you're paying off from debt that you're going to use for this portfolio.
Yeah. So the $300 million is what's required, we believe, to get to the full $50 million. So we don't see incremental capital required to get to the balance that you're mentioning there. And I think the primary source of funding is the way we looked at it was to come through the dividend adjustment. You know, dollars are fungible, though. So to the extent we can actually commence some of these developments or redevelopments, I'll call them, earlier, then certainly we could use sale proceeds for that. I think we're putting our balance sheet in a position where it's no longer a weakness of ours, but a strength. And so where the dollars come from are somewhat fungible. We don't have to wait for year three to be able to spend that capital to the extent that we see the opportunities present themselves earlier.
All right. Thanks, Pete.
Yeah. Thanks, Nick.
Our next question comes from the line of Austin Werschmidt with KeyBank Capital Markets.
Your line is open. yeah hi good morning everybody um just wanted to follow a little bit up on sort of the redevelopment pool and and some of the rents that that you've outlined and and you know the confidence that you can kind of get from that low 20 range um up to you know nearly 40 dollars once you you invest this capital just can you can you talk about that versus maybe underlying market dynamics thanks Yeah.
Yeah. Maybe I can jump into that. I mean, obviously, we see some below market rents within our markets where we're going to redevelop the assets. I'm not sure that I would use the White Plains example that we put in our deck, although that is a great example of how we can achieve a really solid 10 percent cash on cash yield. rents there were in the low 20s. And with the capital investment, they've gone now to around $40 a share, which is actually up pretty significantly. I'm not sure I would look at White Plains, though. That is a pretty tight market. And we've done a lot of leasing with White Plains Hospital there. But nevertheless, I think that's maybe an extreme example of what can happen. And the IRRs on that would be well in excess of the 10% cash on cash yield. But we certainly see with capital getting spent the opportunity to, you know, drive rental rates. I don't know if they're going to go from 23 to 40, but we certainly see a nice pop. And our underwriting will be, you know, we will be judicious in the way we think about that. And obviously the 10% cash on cash yield is really a requirement. Understood.
Sorry about that. Misunderstood. So that was a single example, Austin, I wanted to ask about the capitalized interest that increased pretty significantly, presumably related to some of this redevelopment and just speak. Was there any change in the policy here? You kind of outlined the capital needs here and just the decision to push these forward into redevelopment as it doesn't look like it made it into the projects that are under construction in the supplemental.
Yeah. Hey, good morning, Austin. I'd highlight that if you go into the supplemental, we've got almost 2 million square feet in redevelopment today. On the redevelopment page where we break out projects specifically, we only are breaking out about 650,000 square feet there. So you should assume if you read the footnote on that page, there's about 1.2 million square feet that's not broken out on that page. In that bucket of redevelopment projects, we have obviously been working on that since the beginning of the year and had a significant portion of those commence in the second quarter. So obviously, I think given that commencement, you are seeing a commiserate step up in cap interest, which is what you're referring to. I will say on the page where we are breaking out specific redevelopment projects, given the strategic plan and given the focus on redevelopment over the next three years, we will start to provide additional information on that page to allow you to better see what's going on in the redevelopment portfolio.
So how much of that should we coincide with, you know, how much spend, I guess, should we coincide with that step up? And should that continue to ramp as you kind of ramp these redevelopment efforts? Thanks.
Yeah, I think from here, Austin, what I would tell you is given the increased level of spend that we will have in redevelopments and the increased projects that Pete spoke about earlier in the lease up portfolio, I think you should assume that capitalized interest stays at around this level going forward. It will obviously move from quarter to quarter, just depending on development moving out or redevelopments moving in and out. But I think generally around this level would be a good assumption. That's helpful. Thank you. Thanks, Austin.
Our next question comes from the line of John Pawlowski with Green Street. Your line is open.
Hey, thanks for the time. Good morning. Rob, I wanted to drill into the lease-up portfolio, but specifically the ready-to-occupy space. Give me some historical context of why you couldn't get this occupied, why was it under-managed, and what you're going to do specifically going forward to unlock that potential.
Yeah. Hey, John, maybe I'll start with that, and then I want Rob to go through the RTO program, which we've had a lot of success on. I mean, I went out and saw a lot of markets this last quarter, and I intend to see a lot more going forward. I'd like to see every single asset in the portfolio. What I would say is that it was very clear as I went out into the market that certain assets had just been underinvested into for many, many years. And that would be well before the merger as well. And a lot of these assets were assets that came over as part of that merger. We own them now, so they're ours, right? But they clearly had not been invested into. And the other thing I would say that became very clear to me in certain markets is the relationship with the health system had deteriorated or declined to a level where they were not supporting our assets, even if they were proximate to the hospital. and that's a problem when you don't have your health system and your partner in that market supporting your real estate. We are fixing that. The team has been fixing that. Good work has been done, but there is more work to continue to do, and I'd say a great example of where this is turned around is in Houston with our North Cypress assets. I would say the relationship with HCA was fractured for many, many years. We are redeveloping that campus. We're actually having a lot of progress there in leasing that up, and we're getting the support of the local hospital CEO who is actually encouraging tenants to look at our properties now as opposed to discouraging them in the past. So those are really the main two drivers. I mean, there's more in there, John, but I just wanted to lay out what I saw when I went out into the road that became, like, abundantly clear to me. Maybe I'll have Rob just talk about the RTO program now.
Yeah, thanks, Pete. Yeah, the RTO program has certainly been something that we've had some success with in the past, having more success now. I think if you look at year-to-date, we've at least a little over 100,000 square feet in that program. Second quarter, significantly about 16-17% of our new leases were coming from the RTO program. So we are seeing some good success there. The benefits come and being able to capture demand from tenants who need to move quickly. In some cases, they want to move in that month. So having readily available move-in ready suites is really critical for the leasing team. I would also say that when you look at getting to cash rent and from lease execution to cash rent paying tenants, the time is significantly reduced through the RTO program. We see generally it's about a six to ten month improvement from the time they execute a lease to getting to cash paying rent. So some real benefits there for the organization from a cash flow perspective. I would say in terms of the returns on the RTO program, generally targeting the mid-teens IRRs and generally targeting about a seven-year waltz on those deals. So substantial returns, good use of capital, and a nice lease for the organization.
Okay. Thanks for that context. The second question is on the pool of assets you've sold or are in the process of selling. I think the average 7% cap rate struck us as high given they're only 80% occupied, so maybe a buyer's going to be underwriting a higher going in yield. Is it mostly a function of deferred CapEx or onerous or short-term ground leases?
What's pushing those cap rates and those assets higher in terms of a stabilized cap rate? yeah I mean it's a variety of things but let me let me have Ryan Crowley spend a little bit of time on that portfolio yeah when you think about what we have under contractor a lot you're looking at over 40 different assets and nearly 20 different transactions and these assets really run the spectrum of MOB types whether it's on campus and off campus single tenant multi tenant large small ground lease terms of various term lengths. So yeah, you're right. I'd say there's definitely a value-add component in there, but there's also some core assets in undesirable markets that are sprinkled in there. So when you think about what we're really doing, the overarching theme is that we're exiting markets with weak real estate fundamentals where we don't have scale and we don't see a path to scale. But by and large, the disposition portfolio is generally characterized by and lower occupancy, lower margin, and older vintage, and all those things play into that 7% blended cap rate you're talking about.
Okay, thank you.
Our next question comes from the line of Omatayo Akusanya with Deutsche Bank. Your line has opened.
Hi, yes, good morning. Pete, great to see you are shaking the table so soon. Question around the lease up portfolio, the 300 million you talked about, trying to understand, you know, the 50 million NOI opportunity there, how much of that is just pure lease up versus how much of it, again, is kind of getting better pricing after you reposition these assets? And could any of the repositioning or redevelopment be disruptive to current NOI?
Yeah. Hey, Tayo, nice to chat with you as well. I would say the The vast majority of the $50 million is simply just leasing up from, you know, 70% to 90%. But obviously, getting a better rental rate is going to have some contribution to it as well. But, you know, today we're getting nothing on that, you know, vacant space, and we're actually absorbing all the expenses. So the lion's share of that move is getting, you know, tenants into the space. That said, we do see an opportunity to drive rate with capital that gets spent. If we don't see that opportunity, then what we would do is just look at selective, you know, RTOs and vacant suites, right? So it's not as if the entire amount is going to come all from redevelopment. I mean, as we look at redevelopment of those, you know, 95 assets, we see probably about 10 that fit into the redevelopment, you know, bucket where we think we can get the returns that we need. the balance of that is really going to come through selective capital spend in the vacant suites.
That's helpful. And then, Austin, just hoping you can help us kind of reconcile guidance again. You have a penny increase in the guidance. You are picking up from increasing, so NOI of, you know, a penny or two. You are picking up from the GNA spend, you know, about a penny or so. It sounds like, you know, you're talking about higher capitalized interest. That's also a couple of pennies. You have an offset from increased asset sales. But it still feels like, you know, that all kind of sums up to three or four cents. But guidance was really increased by a penny. So trying to understand the difference.
Hey, Taya, thanks for the question. I think you should assume that we had good insight into the capitalized interest moves at the beginning of the year. And so what I would point you to from a guidance perspective is really the $4 million decrease in G&A coupled with the 25 basis points increase in same-store NOI. And then obviously we've taken disposition volume up half a billion dollars. What I would also say to Tayo is we're halfway through the year. Ryan and his team are very hard at work at getting through the $1.2 billion of strategic dispositions as quickly as they can. We've guided $800 million to $1 billion this year, but I would say it's early in the year, and there's continued timing uncertainty around when exactly Ryan will close on dispositions in the back half of the year. So I'd say when you put all that together, we're pleased to be able to raise a penny, given the increase in dispositions and given what Ryan and his team are working to accomplish this year.
Much appreciated. Thank you and best of luck to you guys. Thanks, Taya.
Our next question comes from the line of Seth Bergey with Citigroup. Your line is open.
All right, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. What gives you the confidence you can achieve the 92 to 93 percent occupancy given occupancy has kind of trended near the high 80 percent range over the past several years. Is that just a function of go forward portfolio composition? Is it the change in the structure to better align leasing and operations? Just if you could talk a little bit more about that.
Yeah. So I would say a couple things to that. One, the macro environment has improved. And if you look the last five years and even the last couple years, occupancy has trended up in outpatient medical. So you've got simply demand exceeding supply. And I think that's something that we see for the foreseeable future. So obviously, we have that opportunity as well. A couple other things I would just mention. We are doing a very significant revamp to our asset management platform here, which I outlined in my prepared remarks. And we certainly see a benefit coming from that. We're also disposing of assets that have historically been under-occupied. And as we laid out the bridge to go from the high 80s into the low 90s, the disposition portfolio certainly plays a role. So our same-store occupancy today is at 90%. I think that's the highest it's been. And I asked someone for the stat, I think, since like 2016. So it's been, you know, almost 10 years since you've seen a 90% same store number here. So, I mean, things are changing on their own. And then obviously, you know, I said a little bit of this in my prepared remarks, but the company was not really in a position to have free cash flow to reinvest into its assets. The balance sheet was really a big liability, not a source of strength. And we're fixing all those things. So I have a lot of confidence now that we have the cash flow to invest into our assets to be able to get that occupancy upside. And that's something that hasn't existed for quite some time here. So I think for all those reasons, we have a lot of confidence that we can get into that 92%, 93% range over time. It's not going to happen overnight, although you should see a nice incremental benefit as we get more and more of these dispositions done.
Thanks. And then, you know, you talked in your opening remarks about the opportunities for expansion with some of our top tenants. You know, can you just provide a little bit about what that looks like? Is that, you know, kind of investing in the portfolio and leasing existing space to them? Is that external acquisitions? You know, just kind of what is the growth opportunity to look like with that?
Yeah, I think first and foremost, it's having our health systems expand within our existing portfolio if there's room for that. And I think what we outlined on that slide in the strategic plan was in some cases we can do better, right? And I think we will do better. And we've opened communication with all those health systems to improve upon that. And I feel confident that we will gain some traction within that. I don't know, Rob, if you want to add anything more onto that topic.
Yeah, I mean, I think certainly, you know, I think restructuring the platform is going to help in that area, you know, having relationships really driving the – more at the local level. But I also think that, you know, the opportunities within the re-dev and lease-up portfolio, there's a lot of strong relationships inside of that lease-up portfolio that we are going to continue to expand on, and we think a lot of the opportunities are going to be taken by the health systems. I mentioned in my remarks that about a third of our leasing was related to – or came from our health system partners. I think we can do better than that, and so I think we're going to continue to focus on that stat and drive that upwards.
It comes from the line of Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets. your wine is open.
All right. Thanks for the time. Just maybe piggybacking off of Tayo's prior question with regards to dispositions and the earnings. So, how should we think about the exit run rate? Because it seems like some of the disposition dilution won't necessarily be fully factored into this year's increased FFO guidance.
And as part of that, could you talk about the kind of the next leg of cost cutting and what that's what's driving that yeah let me let me start with that you know look we've been spending a lot of time first of all Juan it's great to talk with you you know we've been spending a lot of time going through the platform and savings within the platform it's a little bit of what I would call just pure blocking and tackling And so we've started heavily on the G&A side, and I think we're pretty pleased that we've been able to identify. We said we thought we could find about three pennies of, you know, savings to help offset some of the dilution as we want to get the balance sheet into a better spot. And, you know, we've been able to do that, right? It's not easy. Those are tough conversations to have with people. But everybody, I think, here, you know, understands that we've got an objective and we know where we want to go. You know, with regards to additional, you know, savings, we'll certainly continue to look for that. I think most of that will come at the property level, right, which will certainly help from a margin perspective. As we complete the dispositions, we look at the stabilized plus the lease-up portfolio. And if you look at the chart in there, there is some references to the total amount of, you know, employees within the platform and that number, you know, coming down. I would say that's not the biggest driver of margins improving. That certainly helps, you know, improve those margins. But really the biggest driver of margins improving is going to be from, you know, occupancy increasing. And that's where our focus is going to shift. So we certainly have some additional, you know, cost savings opportunities. But really, what's going to drive the path to FFO growth is going to come through lease-up and revenue growth.
One, it's all set. Maybe I'll just touch on your disposition. I think at the beginning of that, you had a question around disposition timing as well.
Yeah, more just the run rate, given the acquisitions are going to be back half-loaded of how you'll exit the year from a FFO perspective vis-a-vis your revised guidance.
Yeah, that makes sense. I would point you to page 28 of the strategy presentation, Juan, just to give you some insight into this. On the dispositions line item here, we give you the $1.2 billion at a 7% cap rate. You should expect that we are selling assets at that 7% cap rate to pay down debt at approximately 5%. We have given you the six pennies of estimated dilution off of the 25 revised guidance. It would be safe to assume that we would assume the vast majority of that $0.06 is going to impact 2026. To the extent that we close on additional asset sales in 2026, I would expect it to be earlier in the year. And so I think it is a good assumption to include that full $0.06 impact in your 26 numbers.
Perfect. Thanks. And then just on the capital spend on the lease up, some of it sounds like it's read ads. Some of it is first gen, which is now not included in FAD. Could you just give us a breakdown of like to drive that lease up occupancy higher, the different buckets of CapEx and what will be and kind of won't be in CAD, if that makes sense?
Yeah, I think it's a good question, Juan. If you look at redevelopment and the RTO, RTOs fall into first-gen capital, and then obviously we break out the redevelopment separately. So I would assume that the vast majority of that $300 million will not be included in maintenance capital. Thank you.
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Gorman with BTIG. Your line is open.
Yeah, thanks. Good morning. Pete, could you spend just a minute on kind of the core portfolio? You talked about a focus being maximizing lease economics and maybe give us some context that with the new organizational structure and with kind of the refined focus, maybe what the opportunity set there is from the lease escalator perspective or the least spread perspective to kind of drive incremental growth out of that 75% that really represents kind of the core of the HR platform?
Yeah, it's a good question, Michael, because I think that's going to be the biggest growth engine and the biggest driver of earnings going forward. You know, one of the things that actually was encouraging when I was out seeing the real estate is, you know, I'm not saying we're getting this in every lease, But in some leases, we're actually getting escalators all the way up to 4%. You look back three, five years ago, escalators were kind of in that 2.5% range and didn't move for a long, long time. They started to trend up to 3%. I think 3% is absolutely the norm today, unless a tenant has a lease extension option already embedded in with a fixed escalator. if they don't have that, then we're getting 3% or better in every single, you know, deal. And we've actually started to talk about, can we push that even further? You know, the other thing I would say is that portfolio being 95%, you know, occupied, we certainly, you know, want to keep retention really, really high because capital spend and downtime is actually what really impacts, you know, your go forward earnings trajectory. So, keeping that, you know, portfolio fully occupied, pushing on retention, and then obviously when you're in the 95%, you know, range, I think pushing on cash leasing spreads is important as well. So, it's really a combination of all those, but I think pushing on the escalators more is something that we're going to continue to work on and see if we can't have some success with that.
That's helpful. Thanks. And then maybe be a question for Ryan. Can you just give us a sense for, as you look at the pipeline of dispositions, given the volatility we've seen year to date, how leverage sensitive are the buyers that are coming in and looking at these assets? Or are these more cash buyers, owner occupants? What's the composition of the buyer pool here for those dispositions?
Yeah, it's a great question, Mike. And given the threats of what we're doing, it really runs the gamut. What I would say is that today there's more buyers and more equity looking to be deployed than there are assets available for sale. Frankly, our bid rosters, we've seen them deeper here on recent deals than we have in recent years. And we're seeing a lot of competitive bidding in the later rounds of our transaction processes, and that drives up pricing. So, you know, as we work through this large disposition portfolio, as always, it's about finding the right property for the right buyer and the private investors the operators they've partnered in recent years with a lot of new institutional equity that's come into our space and that equity is continuing to look to flow into outpatient medical over the last several quarters the financing market has been a creative to going in cap rates you know we've seen banks really step up today they're eager to lend we've seen compression on the spreads, and we've seen good movement on the base rates. And today, if you're looking at financing a deal that you're acquiring from us, it's 5.6 to the low sixes on an all-in rate, which, again, is accretive to going in cap rates. Cap rates today, you know, we're seeing deals go off in the high fives to the seven range. For a stabilized asset, you could see typically in that 6.5 cap rate range. But one of the more interesting observations we've had as we've been progressing through the dispositions through the year is a real increase in health system MOB acquisition activity. The proportion of deals that were going to health systems is more than doubled when you look at the transactions volume over the last two years. And what's interesting thing about the health systems is their decision-making is less about price. It's more about long-term strategy and control over an asset. And frankly, that's constructive to our disposition pricing. So, you know, we're doing direct deals with health systems. We're doing marketed deals that are broker-driven. We're maximizing price and finding the right buyers. And there's no shortage of buyers out there.
That's really helpful. Thank you for the time, guys. Thanks, Michael.
Our next question comes from the line of John Kilikowski with Wells Fargo. Your line is opened.
Thank you. Good morning. And great work on the strategic plan team. First question from me is on just on the GNA savings. I know there's roughly $5 million that's kind of been identified, but could you maybe help Let me bucket sort of that second tranche of savings into, or maybe the entirety of it into already achieved or identified but not achieved, and then maybe yet to identify and give us sort of a timeline on that three-year plan when you expect to achieve that savings.
Hey, John, it's Austin. Let me bucket this, starting with the G&A savings that we have already identified, and I would say carried out the actions necessary to achieve. That is the $10 million of initial savings that we spell out in the strategy presentation. We will have achieved $5 million of that this year, and we expect to capture the remaining $5 million next year. If you then look at page 28 of our three-year growth plan, we are highlighting another $5 to $10 million in additional saves beyond the $10 million of G&A that I just outlined. I think it would be safe to assume that $5 million to $10 million will be embedded more on the property operating expense side. As Pete mentioned, the majority of the increase in margin at the properties will be driven by occupancy, but with the asset management platform and new leadership, we do believe there are some opportunities to achieve some additional savings in there as well, but I would expect that to be more split over the next three years.
Got it. And then maybe on the same-store performance, the same-store cash NOI growth is running still well ahead of the midpoint of your new revised upward guide. I'm curious how much of that is just you're seeing better demand for your product and better leasing up versus maybe this is also part of the culling process of those non-core assets.
It's a really good question, John. I'm going to be really specific on this, which is just to your last point, the assets that were sold during the quarter had only about a 30 basis point impact on our same store. So we were right at five either way. I would say if you look under the surface, what is happening is the 100 basis points year-over-year increase in occupancy is really starting to pull into that same store NOI growth. In the first quarter, I talked about some difficult comps, but I think as we get in the second quarter, this is what I would say much more reflective of what I would expect from the business given the year-over-year occupancy increases that we're seeing. I do think to your earlier question, our same stored growth year to date is 3.9%. Obviously, that's a little bit above where our guidance, our revised guidance is for the year. But I'd say as we're halfway through the year, we've got a lot of leasing still to do this year. So we'll see how things play out in the third quarter and update you then.
And the one thing I would add to that, John, I mean, obviously, as you look at the three year you know framework that we put out in the deck you know it's got three to four percent you know noi growth embedded within it i mean i'm i'm i'm searching for the three to four percent i know some of the numbers you've seen have been at five percent if we could do better great but but the baseline that we set out was the three to four percent um you know we're working hard to achieve that okay very helpful and just last one for me i know you've already talked a ton about this today, but just on, as we think about CapEx and the focus on the RTO plan, I'm just kind of curious how I should think about the cadence of CapEx, you know, as a percentage of NOI going
forward here. Yeah.
Austin, you want to take that?
Yeah, I think, John, it would be a fair assumption. I answered this a little bit earlier, but just to put a fine point on it, the RTO program is really, I think, what many people call spec suite program, which is going to fall into and does fall into our first-generation TI bucket, and then the capital for redevelopment will obviously flow through the redevelopment bucket. So I think from a maintenance capital perspective, it would be fair to look at our year-to-date experience and assume that's a reasonable starting place looking forward.
But maybe that didn't answer your question entirely. I know that those are all the right facts. I was just, your question might just be, how should we model the $300 million getting spent? I mean, I think the RTO will probably get spent, you know, ratably over, you know, three years. And I think the RE-DEV is probably the best assumption today is it's probably, you know, more of a ratable spend. But if we can accelerate that a little bit, right, because we talked about $20 million to $40 million of the $50 million in our framework, I mean, I'd like to get as much of that as we can. But I think the way we initially thought about it is spending that over, you know, three years. And if there's an opportunity to accelerate it, great. But I think for modeling purposes, I'd probably look at that $300 million as $100 million each year for the next three years. Very helpful.
Our next question comes from the line of Mike Mueller with J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.
Yeah, I have a couple of questions, but a quick clarification first. Rob, when you were talking about 75 to 125 basis points of leasing absorption in 25, was that overall occupancy, same-store occupancy, multi-tenant occupancy? What was the metric that was for?
Yeah, that's the same-store occupancy gain guide that we gave for this year.
Okay, so that's overall. um and then i guess when we're looking at the three-year nffo target 165 to 185 what are the biggest moving parts between the top and the bottom end of those range of the range yeah yeah good question mike uh i think on page 28 we try to give you some of kind of what i'll call the uh you know uh goal post here for either side i would say i think some of the biggest things that we'll look to drive is the biggest number, if you look across this page, right, is the annual and OI growth that Pete touched on earlier for the base portfolio. So driving that compounding cash flow growth of three to 4% in the portfolio, the closer we can be to four, the bigger that delta becomes. And there's obviously an enormous amount of spread there in terms of the compounding over three years. I think the second is how quickly can we achieve the 50 million of upside in the lease-up portfolio. You know, from a redevelopment perspective, that can take time for that number to hit. So how much falls into that three-year period, we're going to be working as hard as we can, but that will be a little bit of a spread as well. I think from the dispos and other things we've laid out, those things kind of are what they are. And the math is what it is at this point based on the strategic plans.
I would kind of point to those two top side items. And obviously, Mike, as you know, everyone's going to model our refinancing rates in some way. And we laid out what we think the sort of bookends are with a little bit of cushion on the low end and the high end. I mean, we have zero control over that at this point in time. So obviously that could change. And there's nothing that we can obviously do about it. I mean, obviously we'd be fans of rates, you know, declining. I think everyone in REIT land would say that'd be fantastic. but we don't have any control over that. But we did lay out what we thought were kind of the bookends today and that could change tomorrow.
Got it.
Okay, that's good. Yeah, thanks, Mike.
Our next question comes from the line of Omatayo Okasanya with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.
Thanks for taking my follow-up. I just want to... Hello?
Yeah, hey, Tayo.
Hey, just a quick follow-up. Just curious what your thoughts are in regards to the big, beautiful bill and potential positive or negative implications for medical office buildings?
Yeah, that's a good question. I think the short answer is probably it's still a little too soon for us to know exactly what's going to happen. We actually met with one of our larger health systems earlier this year, and she conceded that they're still getting their arms around what exactly this means. So I'd say, you know, probably too soon to tell, you know, our initial reaction to it is, like a lot of these changes, it tends to indirectly have a benefit on the outpatient model, and that's something that has not changed for a long time, and I think there are charts that show that that's been happening for many, many years, just given the profitability inside of our buildings versus inside of the hospital. You know, what hospitals could be most affected by this? We have talked about that as well. And I think the rural hospitals are probably the ones that will struggle the most with the Medicaid cuts. We really are not impacted at all by that, just given where our assets are geographically located. So it's a good question, Tayo. We're continuing to monitor it. I mean, and outside of that, there's obviously been some CMS proposals that have been out there on, you know, site neutrality. That's come up a little bit. And, again, I'll just reiterate the point I said before, which is, you know, that to me feels more like a real benefit to the outpatient model as doctors can choose the site where they would like that procedure to happen. They don't just have to have the default at the hospital. And, again, we see that as a demand driver for our space as well. I think a lot of our other peers have been saying the same thing as well. So it's a really good question. We're continuing to monitor it, but I don't look at it as having an impact necessarily on our business. Great. Thank you. Thanks, Kyle.
And there are no further questions at this time. I would like to hand the call back.
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