INTC · Intel Corp
Price & Indicators
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AI Brief
TL;DR.
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Ask ALVIS about this →Equibles Research
our published analysis of this company-
Research ThesisIntel: The $465.7B market cap attached to a $57.0B money-losing business has one quarter to prove the Q2 2026 reset
Intel's 326.7% rally has priced in a turnaround the Q2 2026 print only just began to earn, with $57.0B of TTM revenue against -$77.0M of TTM EBIT. The Q3 2026 guide of $15.8B–$16.8B revenue and $0.31 GAAP EPS is the first datapoint that will decide whether the 41.8% non-GAAP gross margin holds and a dividend reinstatement becomes credible, or whether the -28.9% drawdown from $140.94 deepens.
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Research ThesisAMD at 171.1× earnings is the cycle's most multiple-expanding bet, and Q2 2026 is the bar
Advanced Micro Devices trades at 171.1× on +34.3% revenue growth against Nvidia at 31.7× on +125.9% and Broadcom at 63.6× on +143% AI semiconductor growth, with the $11.2B Q2 2026 guide and initial Helios volume in Q3 now the only thing standing between the multiple holding and a re-rating toward Broadcom's 63.6×.
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders SellIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
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| All Other revenue | $701M | FY2026 Q2 | -33.4% |
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| Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue | $8.88B | FY2026 Q2 | +12.4% |
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| Intel Foundry external revenue | $293M | FY2026 Q2 | +1231.8% |
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| Intel Foundry intersegment revenue | $5.77B | FY2026 Q2 | +31.0% |
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| Adjusted free cash flow non-GAAP | -$8.42B | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP net cash provided by (used for) operating activities 7.01B
-2.65B Additions to property, plant, and equipment (gross capital expenditures)
+60M Proceeds from capital-related government incentives
-12.22B Partner contributions, net
-617M Payments on finance leases
= Adjusted free cash flow -8.42B
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| All other | $0.7B | Q2 2026 | — |
| Cash from operations | $7B | Q2 2026 | +233.3% |
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| Client Computing and Physical AI Group (CCPG) | $8.9B | Q2 2026 | +13.1% |
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| Data Center and AI (DCAI) | $6.3B | Q2 2026 | +59.9% |
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| Intel Foundry | $5.8B | Q2 2026 | +31.8% |
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| Intersegment eliminations | -$5.5B | Q2 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP earnings (loss) per share attributable to Intel—diluted non-GAAP | $0.42 | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP earnings (loss) per share attributable to Intel—diluted -$2.16
+$0.02 Acquisition-related adjustments
+$0.13 Share-based compensation
+$0.03 Restructuring and other charges
+$0.01 (Gains) losses on equity investments, net
+$0 (Gains) losses from divestiture
+$2.45 (Gains) losses on mark-to-market of Escrowed Shares
-$0.01 Adjustments attributable to non-controlling interest
-$0.05 Income tax effects
= Non-GAAP earnings (loss) per share attributable to Intel—diluted $0.42
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| Non-GAAP gross margin non-GAAP | 41.8% | Q2 2026 | +40.7% |
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| Non-GAAP gross margin percentage non-GAAP | 41.8% | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP gross margin percentage 40.4%
+0.6% Acquisition-related adjustments
+0.8% Share-based compensation
= Non-GAAP gross margin percentage 41.8%
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| Non-GAAP gross profit non-GAAP | $6.74B | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP gross profit 6.51B
+100M Acquisition-related adjustments
+128M Share-based compensation
= Non-GAAP gross profit 6.74B
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| Non-GAAP net income (loss) attributable to Intel non-GAAP | $2.2B | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP net income (loss) attributable to Intel -11.03B
+117M Acquisition-related adjustments
+687M Share-based compensation
+170M Restructuring and other charges
+39M (Gains) losses on equity investments, net
+1M (Gains) losses from divestiture
+12.53B (Gains) losses on mark-to-market of Escrowed Shares
-42M Adjustments attributable to non-controlling interest
-271M Income tax effects
= Non-GAAP net income (loss) attributable to Intel 2.2B
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| Non-GAAP operating income (loss) non-GAAP | $2.77B | Q2 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP operating income (loss) 1.8B
+117M Acquisition-related adjustments
+687M Share-based compensation
+170M Restructuring and other charges
= Non-GAAP operating income (loss) 2.77B
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| Non-GAAP operating margin non-GAAP | 17.2% | Q2 2026 | — |
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| Non-GAAP R&D and MG&A non-GAAP | $4B | Q2 2026 | -7.0% |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP R&D and MG&A 4.54B
-17M Acquisition-related adjustments
-559M Share-based compensation
= Non-GAAP R&D and MG&A 3.97B
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| Non-GAAP tax rate non-GAAP | 11% | Q2 2026 | -8.3% |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP GAAP tax rate -0.3%
+11.3% Income tax effects
= Non-GAAP tax rate 11%
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| Total Intel Products revenue | $15.1B | Q2 2026 | +28.0% |
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| All Other operating income | $102M | Three Months Ended Mar 28, 2026 filing | — |
| All Other operating margin % | 16% | Three Months Ended Mar 28, 2026 filing | — |
| Mobileye revenue | $558M | Three Months Ended Mar 28, 2026 filing | — |
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| Employees (Intel) | 78.5K | Three Months Ended Mar 28, 2026 | — |
| Employees (Mobileye and other subsidiaries) | 4.7K | Three Months Ended Mar 28, 2026 | — |
| Employees (Total Intel) | 83.2K | Three Months Ended Mar 28, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP operating expenses non-GAAP | $16.5B | Full-Year 2026 | +0.0% |
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| Net capital expenditures non-GAAP | -$11.2B | Twelve Months Ended Dec 27, 2025 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Additions to property, plant and equipment -$17.67B
+$1.58B Proceeds from capital-related government incentives
+$4.89B Partner contributions, net
= Net capital expenditures -$11.2B
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| Altera revenue | $448M | Q2 2025 filing | +24.1% |
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| DCAI server volume increase | 13% | Q2 2025 filing | — |
| Impairment charges and accelerated depreciation | $800M | Q2 2025 | — |
| Intel Products operating income | $2.7B | Q2 2025 filing | — |
| Non-cash asset impairment and accelerated depreciation charges | $797M | Q2 2025 filing | — |
| Non-cash asset impairment charges | $416M | Q2 2025 | — |
| Pre-tax employee severance and related employee exit charges | $1.4B | Q2 2025 | — |
| Server ASPs decrease | 8% | Q2 2025 filing | — |
| third party foundry and assembly and test revenues from external customers | $22M | the three months ended June 28, 2025 filing | — |
| Total restructuring, impairment and accelerated depreciation charges | $1.9B | Q2 2025 | — |
| Network and Edge revenue | $5.84B | FY2024 | +1.2% |
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| Non-GAAP earnings per share attributable to Intel—diluted non-GAAP | -$0.46 | Three Months Ended Sep 28, 2024 filing | -212.2% |
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| Client Computing Group revenue | $7.33B | Three Months Ended Sep 28, 2024 | — |
| Deferred tax asset valuation allowance | $9.9B | Q3 2024 | — |
| dividends paid | -$1.6B | Nine Months Ended Sep 28, 2024 | — |
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| Goodwill and acquired intangible asset impairment charges | $2.9B | Q3 2024 | — |
| gross capital expenditures | -$18.11B | Nine Months Ended Sep 28, 2024 | — |
| Headcount reductions | 16,500 | Q3 2024 | — |
| Impairment and accelerated depreciation charges for certain manufacturing assets | $3.1B | Q3 2024 | — |
| Network and Edge (NEX) revenue | $1.5B | Q3 2024 | — |
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| Restructuring charges | $2.8B | Q3 2024 | — |
| Restructuring charges (cash settled) | $2.2B | Q3 2024 | — |
| Restructuring charges (non-cash) | $528M | Q3 2024 | — |
| Employees (NAND) | 3.5K | Jun 29, 2024 | — |
| Employees | 130.7K | Three Months Ended Mar 30, 2024 | — |
| Non-GAAP net revenue non-GAAP | $63.05B | Twelve Months Ended Dec 31, 2022 | — |
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Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Semiconductors — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
INTC
this stock
Intel Corp
|
$453.46B | +144.1% | -0.5% | — | 2.5% |
|
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
|
$5.20T | +15.1% | +65.5% | 32.9 | 1.2% |
|
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
|
$2.17T | +37.9% | — | — | 0.6% |
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
|
$1.75T | +6.5% | +18.2% | 61.3 | 1.3% |
|
SKHY
SK hynix Inc.
|
$1.16T | — | — | — | 0.3% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | -12.1% | -2.4% | +98.0% | -0.1% | +144.1% |
| SPY | -1.4% | +3.6% | +11.6% | +2.5% | +12.3% |
| vs SPY | -10.8% | -6.1% | +86.4% | -2.6% | +131.8% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.