Welcome to Lennar's first quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. Today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. I will now turn the call over to David Collins for the reading of the forward-looking statement.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Today's conference call may include forward-looking statements, including statements regarding Lennar's business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows, strategies, and prospects. Forward-looking statements represent only Lenard's estimates on the date of this conference call and are not intended to give any assurance as to actual future results. Because the forward-looking statements relate to matters that have not yet occurred, these statements are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could affect future results and may cause Lenard's actual activities or results to differ materially from the activities and results anticipated in forward-looking statements. These factors include those described in our earnings release and our SEC filings, including those under the caption risk factors contained in Lennar's annual report on Form 10-K, most recently filed with the SEC. Please note that Lennar assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
I would now like to introduce your host, Mr. Stuart Miller, Executive Chairman. Master, you may begin.
Okay. Good morning, everybody, and thanks for joining us today. We're in Miami, and I'm here with Diane Bessette, our Chief Financial Officer, David Collins, who you just heard from, our Comptroller and Vice President, Catherine Martin, our Chief Legal Officer, Bruce Groves, CEO of Lenar Financial Services, Eric Faders here, President of Lenox, and we have today Jim Parker and David Grove. presidents who are new to this program and who are now overseeing operations across the company as you know John Jaffe John Jaffe officially retired at the start of this year and while John's absence is deeply felt the depth of experience and leadership on our team ensures that we're just not going to miss a step and John if you're listening all is good and we know you're listening We hope that you're enjoying your time at the beach. We're working hard. And I promise you that Jim and David are comfortable with everything in their day-to-day new positions, except for the trauma embedded in today's conference call. But it really is the only thing that you didn't prepare them for. So let's move on. And as usual, today I'm going to give a brief macro and strategic overview of the company. After my introductory remarks, you will hear briefly from Jim Parker and David Grove, who will give a brief operational overview. We hope you'll all get to know them over time, over the next quarters, as we are certain you will be quite impressed. Of course, after they speak, Diane is going to give a detailed financial overview, along with some limited guidance for the second quarter of 2026. And then, of course, we'll have our question and answer period. As usual, I'd like to ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up so that we can accommodate as many as possible. Let me begin. As we noted in our press release last night, we're pleased to review our first quarter 2026 results against the backdrop of what remains a stubbornly challenging housing market. Of course, recently, the challenges seem to have intensified, given the volatility and uncertainty surrounding current events in the Middle East and the recent pullback of institutional purchasers as participants in the market. Nevertheless, even with additional hurdles, we believe that we are closer to an inflection point for Lennar than at any time in the past three years. In the first quarter, we remained focused on our clear and consistent strategy. We drove consistent volume, and we matched production and sales pay. We used margin as a circuit breaker, and we continued to refine and improve our asset-light, land-light manufacturing platform. We have not pulled back and waited for the market to improve. we have maintained volume and focused on building improved business programs to bring costs down so we so that we can remain profitable and still provide needed housing supply while in our first quarter margins and our bottom line continued to reflect the affordability driven realities of the current market housing market we also saw continuous improvement in all facets of our underlying cost structure that has set us on a course to stabilize and improve margins as we continue to produce volume and meet the market at affordability. Even with the current market challenges, we are feeling optimistic about our position in strategic markets and the progress made in reshaping our business for current conditions. We are, in fact, actually adapting to market conditions as they are and not waiting for the market to bounce back. So let me briefly discuss the overall housing market from a macro standpoint. The macro economy continues to present a complex and a time unsettling backdrop for the housing market. Home prices remain high and have generally continued a pace of increase nationally that is generally higher than the pace of wage increases. Mortgage interest rates, which showed some early signs of easing towards the end of last year, have remained stubbornly over 6 percent, hovering around 6.2 to 6.4 percent through most of our first quarter. With home prices plus interest rates at these levels, affordability remains the central challenge facing our buyers, and consumer confidence, while not collapsing, continues to be tested by a range of uncertainties, both domestic and global. Additionally, and it goes without saying, that the war in the Middle East is a wild It might end quickly and the world is a better and safer place, or it might trigger higher gas prices higher inflation and higher interest rates and we'll just have to wait and see employment front consumers who had previously felt secure in their jobs are now questioning that security as technology driven disruption particularly the rapid advance of and constant news coverage of artificial intelligence raises important questions about the future of our workforce. This uncertainty layers onto already strained household budgets and has made consumers more hesitant to commit to large purchases, particularly homes. Traffic has remained reasonably consistent across our communities, but the urgency to transact remains measured. At the same time, a combination of tariffs and immigration issues are keeping upward pressure on materials and labor costs and are pushing overall costs higher. With affordability at stake, we have been working hard to push against and to manage these pressures through our trade partner relationships and through the efficiencies we have built into our manufacturing model and our product. Nevertheless, the cost structure in the industry is pushing higher and is difficult to manage. Additionally, since our earnings call, the federal government has made only one strategic move relative to housing. The institutional purchasers have been sidelined by political pressures and popular sentiment that suggest that they are part of the housing problem. They have generally purchased somewhere between 5 and 7 percent of new homes in order to rent them to those who either can't afford to purchase but want a single family lifestyle or those who prefer to rent. Ultimately, this movement will reduce demand in the market and signal to the industry to build less supply. On a more positive note, the federal government's engagement with the housing crisis continues to deepen. As I noted last quarter, federal officials have been actively engaged with the builders and industry associations to understand the affordability challenge and explore practical solutions. These specific programs remain to be finalized or to be seen, but the level of attention being paid at the federal level to the housing shortage is unprecedented, and we believe that meaningful policy support is more likely now than at any time in recent history. Any program that effectively broadens access to affordable or attainable home ownership would be a significant tailwind for the industry and for Lenore specifically. Of course, and additionally, the legislature is currently working on the 21st Century Housing Act. Simply put, our best assessment of the bill is that it will not meaningfully impact housing or affordability in the short term. Perhaps over the longer term, with the right regulations written in its way, there will be some impact. In summary, the housing market remains caught in the tension between the underlying demand and constrained affordability. Supply is still critically short, and years of underproduction have created a structural deficit that will take years to close. The combination of high home prices, still high interest rates, constant cost pressure, and continuous consumer sentiment and cautious consumer sentiment has kept the market soft. But we believe the conditions are building for an eventual recovery. Against this backdrop, let me turn to Lennar's operating strategy. Lennar's strategy is and has remained very clear. We are focused on three core tenets. One, operationally, driving consistent volume to maximize efficiency, both within our operations as well as in the way that we operate. Number two, financially refining our asset-like land-like balance sheet to generate strong and growing returns and cash flow. And three, technologically engaging and incorporating new technologies to help advance our operational progress and to enhance our customer experience. To date, we have carefully defined and refined each of these tenants, both within the company, and we have kept you apprised of the strategy as well. In 2026, we are bringing new levels of expectation and accountability to each of these areas and expect to drive definable results quarter by quarter in each of these areas. we are on a focused and determined march to drive costs down this year by using and enhancing each of these components as i've said before we are not nostalgically waiting for the market to reset in the way to the way things were instead we're adjusting ourselves to the way things are and we've made considerable progress progress can be seen in three distinct areas First, we see real progress now in costs and efficiencies embedded in execution in their operating divisions. You have and will continue to hear more about progress in our production and supply chain areas that are enabling us to become a low-cost provider, and you will hear more about this shortly from Jim and from David. Second, we are starting to see real traction in our technology initiatives that are creating efficiencies in the way that we operate and the speed at which we add additional efficiencies. As a company, we are actually getting good at these things as we have already paid the dumb tax embedded in learning and unknown disciplines. We now have our operators working collaboratively with engineers to develop the products and product upgrades at speed, and we have built transmission lines through the company for execution across our platform in order to drive uniformity. Additionally, we have brought into the company as associates an important, quote-unquote, special services acqui-hire team of engineers and tech specialists that are enabling us to accelerate. Over time you will hear a lot more about our Tiger Eye Associates and Associated Excellence Initiative that celebrates best-in-class execution in our technology endeavors. This program will drive accelerated product development and dissemination. We are seeing important progress in our marketing and sales machine, and David will discuss internal progress shortly. But let me just note that alongside our TigerEye team and initiatives, our engagement with Opendoor and their leadership team continues to help us drive change at Lenore in both our product offerings in our customer acquisition programs and in improving our customer experience. Progress and driving change in the manner in which we operate our extensive land bank administration. Technology improvements have started to and will continue to reduce friction and a critical part of our business as transacting becomes more fluid and sales improvements are already enabling us to transact with more counterparties and discover the best risk-adjusted cost provider for each unique land deal. We are seeing significant current cost improvements, but we are still at the very beginning. We believe this is a big area of opportunity for this year and for future cost reductions as the inefficiencies embedded in this area of financial transformation can be resolved with modern technologies, and we are in the early stages, is of right-sizing our overhead as these changes take some time to – and these changes will take a little bit of time to flow through our earnings. But make no mistake, we have been working hard already on these changes. In past calls, I have noted that the technology migration is expensive and has inflated our overhead. We have carried additional associates, consultants, and various other costs as we've started the process of modernizing our 71-year-old company with new technologies. The process started two and a half years ago with our JDE ERP transition from world to E1. This transition is now complete, which enables our resources to be focused on driving our business forward. Our entire tech team is now being configured to build important parts of the future of Lennar. We have seen a new shot of energy in the Lenar Technology Group as we can deploy our best and brightest associates to focus on the most interesting company solutions. At the same time, many of the resources that were needed to get started and move the program forward are no longer needed. Much of this cost was in the form of consulting and contract labor that can be readily reduced as needs subside And these costs will be transitioned throughout 2026, this year, as those resources are being returned to industry. For a corporate front, John Jaffe retired at the beginning of the year. Many of you have asked about leadership changes and if all is good at Lennar. Actually, John's retirement is a great example. In fact, a number of our longer-term Lennar associates have chosen to retire more recently and in the context of current market conditions. Let me say first that any of our tenured associates who have made Lennar what it is today always have the absolute privilege to retire on their terms and on their time frame. With that said, each of them has led, trained, and nurtured future leaders who are themselves now tenured, ready to lead, and eager for the opportunity. John felt it was a good time to retire, and frankly, Jim and David were ready and anxious for their term at that. They are tenured, they are proven Lenore professionals, and they are energized by the opportunity. It all makes sense. John retires, the next leaders are ready to take on new opportunity with fresh legs and new energy, and overhead has been, this is exactly how it's supposed to work, and it's working well here. New leadership is taking a fresh look at efficiencies as well, together with new technologies. strategies, SG&A will continue to shrink, and the bottom line is that our overhead costs are coming down meaningfully throughout 2026. To our first quarter 2026 operating results in more detail. We continued in the first quarter to focus on volume and match our production pace with our sales pace. we started 17 425 homes and we sold 18 515 homes staying closely in balance and keeping our inventory properly signed while we ended the quarter with approximately three completed unsold homes per community lately above our target of two we constructively entered the spring selling season with ready inventory as the quarter progresses and sales volume picks up But we expect to work that inventory back towards our target range. Average sales price came in at $374,000, essentially flat to plan and down 8% from the prior year, a reflection of continued use of incentives to enable affordability and drive volume. Sales incentives on deliveries were 14.1%, roughly flat with Q4 of last year at 14.5%. And we are cautiously optimistic that incentive levels are beginning to stabilize. The new order incentive rate actually showed some early encouraging signs, notably below the 14.1% delivery incentive rate and we believe reflects improving demand dynamics, of course with an asterisk around the evolving macroeconomic elements that we're seeing in the market. Our gross margin in the first quarter was 15.2%, reflecting improving discipline across construction land and overhead. Our SG&A came in at 9.8%, slightly above expectations. Net margin was 5.3%, producing net income of $229 million in EPS of 93 cents. Our inventory turn improved to 2.5 times, which is up from 1.7 times a year ago, and our return on inventory was 17.4%. Our community counts at 1678, a quarter end of 6% from a year ago, and this positions us well for the remainder of this year. And we have additional communities opening as we go into the second quarter. On the asset light side, we continue to make strong progress. Less than 5% of our land is on balance sheet, and our total home building inventory has been reduced from just under $20 billion two years ago to $10.5 billion today. Our land banking relationships with Millrose, Angelo Gordon, Phil Main, Hearthstone, Apollo, and others continue to function extremely well, providing just-in-time home site delivery in support of our manufacturing model. We have an 86% land bank delivery rate this quarter, up from 52% in Q1 of last year, and this reflects both the maturation of those relationships and the volume consistency that makes us a valued partner to each of our counterparties. On the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $2.1 billion in cash and a home building debt-to-capital ratio at 15.7%. Our strong balance sheet continues to give us flexibility to both invest in growth and return capital to shareholders. In conclusion, let me say that while it has been another challenging quarter in a challenging housing market, it is another constructive quarter, or remark. Our numbers are not yet where we'd like them to be, but the trajectory is just right. Costs are coming down, volume is holding, our asset-like platform is functioning extremely well, and our technology initiatives are beginning to yield real and measurable results. We are very well positioned with strong and growing national footprint, a community count that is 6% above last year, and a cost structure that is materially more efficient than it was two years ago. When mortgage rates normalize, we believe that pent-up demand will be activated quickly and our margin will recover rapidly. We always keep in mind that normalized incentive levels run 4% to 6% compared to the 14% we are carrying today. That gap is our opportunity, and we are building toward it deliberately and with confidence. Our balance sheet is strong, our land banking relationships are deep and productive, and our technology initiatives are positioning Lenore to be a materially different and better company in the years ahead. We are building not just for this market, but for the long term. We couldn't be prouder of the extraordinary associates across the company who have executed through one of the most challenging environments in the history of housing, doing hard things, building new capabilities, and never losing sight of our mission to provide affordable, high-quality homes to families across America. We are truly delivering the American dream. And with that, and for the first time, let me turn it over to Jim Parker.
Thanks, Stuart. And good morning, everyone. I am Jim Parker, and I am Linares Area President for the eastern half of the country. I came to Linar about eight years ago through the Cal Atlantic transaction and have been in the home building business for over 30 years. David Grove and I worked together to drive performance across the Linar platform, and you will hear from David right after me. Let me start by saying that I'm very enthusiastic about where we are as a company and the tremendous progress we've made over the past three and a half years. While the market has been difficult since interest rates spiked in 2022, we have had a clear and well-communicated plan at Lennar, and we have been coordinated in our execution. The overall housing market has and continues to adjust to a combination of elevated prices in the wake of COVID and elevated interest rates, pressuring affordability and home buyer confidence across our geographies. Instead of waiting for the market to correct, we believed this was a new normal and began to adapt our business execution to provide the volume the market needs at the prices and incentives where the market needs. We are focused on refining product, optimizing our everything's included packages, rebuilding margins, and using mortgage rate buy-downs to maintain or regain momentum. Through our first quarter, we've been seeing early signs of a more consistent demand environment. We will see how that holds up as the market adjusts to the new geopolitical. David and I will visit each of our divisions and conduct our quarterly operations reviews, which happen at the beginning of each quarter. This is always exciting. As we walk through the market at a very local level, we get a direct view of how our leaders think, how they adapt to change, and how they represent Lennar in our markets. These sessions allow us to pair the macro environment with what's actually happening in the field, so our decisions remain grounded in reality. The reviews also give us the ability to discuss our strategies at work in real time. The ongoing dialogue is collaborative, rewarding, and allows us to refine our approach continually, making sure that we stay aligned with the ever-changing conditions and needs of each market. These conversations aren't just about metrics. They're about people. We get to see our talent in action and understand how each operator engages with landowners, developers, trade partners, and customers. Those relationships drive our ability to secure land, maintain cost discipline, and grow market share. After our people, land is our most vital asset, and we stay closely involved in shaping a disciplined, refreshed land strategy at every sub-market so we can grow community count, reduce absorption pressure, and improve margins. We also take a close look at how we are resonating with customers through our local and national marketing and sales efforts, through intelligence tools like RILA, which captures real-time feedback from buyer interactions, and through our dynamic pricing machine and everything's included platform. This collaborative approach ensures monthly payment and value in a way that meets today's buyer's needs to strategically reduce incentives and rebuild our margins, allowed Lennar's market position to remain exceptionally strong. We are the number one builder by market share in 22 of the top 50 home building markets and a top three builder in 42 of the top 50. That leadership reflects our volume-first, value-focused strategy and the strength of Lennar's operation. We end at Q1 with 1,678 active communities. At the end of the day, When we stay close to our customers, operations,
summarize balance sheet highlights, and then operating earnings, the lower earnings were mainly derived from our mortgage business. The decrease was primarily based on the mix of buy-down programs offered to our home building divisions, including an increase in arms versus fixed rate mortgages, with arms generating significantly lower earnings. And now turning to the balance sheet. Note that this quarter, once again, we were highly focused on generating cash by pricing homes to meet affordability. The result of these actions was that we ended the quarter with $2.1 billion of cash and total liquidity of $5.2 billion. We are well positioned as a land-like manufacturing home builder. Our year's supply of owned home sites was .1 years, and our home site's control percentage was 98%. This configuration significantly lowers our balance sheet risk, especially in challenging environments. We ended the quarter owning 11,000 home sites and controlling 486,000 for a total of 497,000 home sites. We believe this portfolio of primarily optioned home sites provides us with a strong competitive position to continue to grow market share in a capital efficient way. Our inventory turn increased to 2.5 times, with return on inventory of approximately 17%. We maintain our focus on increasing asset turns, which will enable us to capture greater improvement in returns when margins normalized. During the quarter, we started approximately 17,400 homes and ended the quarter with approximately 38,600 homes in inventory. This includes about 5,000 completed unsold homes, which, as we've noted, equates to about three homes per community. And then turning to our debt position, home building debt to total capital was 15.7% at quarter end. We ended the quarter with $1.7 billion outstanding under our term loan and no outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility. Our next debt maturity of $400 million is due in June. Consistent with our commitment to increasing total shareholder returns, we repurchased 2 million shares for $237 million, and we paid dividends totaling $123 million. Our stockholders' equity was approximately $22 billion, and our book value per share was approximately $89. In summary, the strength of our balance sheet provides us with confidence and financial flexibility as we progress through 2026. With that brief overview, I'd like to turn to the second quarter and provide some guidance estimates. Starting with new orders. We expect Q2 new orders to be in the range of 21,000 to 22,000 homes with continued focus on matching starts and sales paces. We anticipate our Q2 deliveries to be in the range of 20,000 to 21,000 as we maintain even full production and turn inventory into cash. Our Q2 average sales price on those deliveries should be between $370,000 and $375,000, and gross margins should be in the range of 15.5% to 16%. As we focus on maintaining volume, we continue the price to market. That said, we believe our Q1 margin of 15.2% should represent the low point for the year. Our SG&A percentage should be in the range of 8.9% to 9.1%, but of course, all of these metrics are dependent on how market conditions unfold. For the combined home building joint venture, land sales, and other categories, we expect a loss of approximately $2 million. We anticipate, I'm sorry, approximately $20 million. We anticipate our financial services earnings to be between $100 and $110 million. And for our multifamily business, we expect earnings of about $10 million. Turning to one or other, we expect a loss of approximately $25 million, excluding the impact of any potential mark-to-market adjustments. Our Q2 corporate G&A should be about 1.9% of total revenue, and our foundation contribution will be based on $1,000 per home delivered. We expect our Q2 tax rate to be approximately 25.5%, and the weighted average share count should be approximately 243 million. And so on a combined basis, these estimates should produce an EPS range of approximately $1.10 to $1.40 for the quarter. And finally, we continue to aim for a full-year delivery target of 85,000 homes for the full With that, turn it over to the operator.
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session of today's conference call. We ask that you limit your questions to one question and one follow-up question until all the questions have been answered. If you would like to ask a question, please unmute your phone, press star 1, and record your name clearly when prompted. If you need to withdraw your question, you may press star 2. Again, that is star 1 to ask a question. And our first question comes from Alan Ratner from Zellman & Associates. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Thanks for the detail, and David and Jim, nice job. Glad to have you on the call. So, you know, first question, obviously, I think top of mind, you know, on recent activity. I think you kind of phrased it well, Stuart, but I'm just curious with the move we've seen in rates here over the last couple of weeks. Obviously, you know, you kind of probably started the process of thinking about the guidance, you know, towards the end of your quarter in February when rates were 20, 25 basis points below where they are today. You know, A, I'm curious, have you continued to see the ability to either stabilize or inch lower your incentives even over the last couple of weeks amidst this volatility? And B, you know, has the cost of rate buy-downs gone up alongside the moving rates we've seen here, and how is that contemplated in the margin guide?
The question is interesting, Alan, because it happens to be an interesting time to do an earnings call. There's enough brand-new volatility since the end of our quarter to call into question any number of things. I think that we've tried to give as much guidance as we saw through the quarter and not do too much to update that thinking or guidance, kind of under the banner that one week in a row doesn't make a trend. either to the positive or to the negative. And the benefit we have right now today is that immediately after this call, both Jim and David, as Jim carefully described, will be out in the field working with the divisions to see what the actual impact is and think about what we do to either offset or lean into the things we're seeing in the field. As we sit today, you know, without doing too much to update, I don't think we have an update. We haven't seen significant movement either in traffic or in the ability to sell. And I'll let Jim and David weigh in on that in a second, But I just don't think that there's enough information to know whether this will be a short-term program or even if it's a long-term program, whether domestically it will be a net positive or a net negative. But as we see things right now, we're not seeing significant movement in the market. It really has been pretty steady. Jim, you first?
No, I agree. right now we haven't seen an impact but it's early to tell you know we talked to our division presidents this morning and they have not seen any change the to date this week or the previous week so you know we're confident or being very cautious and like Stewart's local markets you say that I should but given
the anomalous moment that we're in it's worth putting it on the table that right Right now things are steady as we see them, both Jim and David, and myself for that matter, are day-to-day in touch with our operators to get that feedback in real time, being something that would adjust the way that we have thought about the information that we've given, including our guidance. Those of you who know me well, I don't comply, deliver in our earnings call until generally late at night or early in the morning the night before. So we keep it pretty up to date, and this was pretty well thought through.
That is incredibly helpful. So I appreciate just kind of walking through the timing there of when you kind of put this plan together and what you've seen. Second question, you know, on SG&A, recognizing you're not going to give guidance beyond the second quarter. I just wanted to touch on, I think, some of the comments you made, Stuart, about the, I think you referenced an expected improvement in SG&A, you know, in 26 versus 25, given, you know, all of the changes and maybe some of the, you know, headcount changes, I guess, that have gone on in the last several quarters. I just want to make sure I'm understanding that correctly. I mean, if I look at your SG&A as a percentage of revenue, you know, year-to-date through the first half of the year, at least including your 2Q guidance, you're going to be up about roughly 100 basis points year-on-year as a percentage of revenue. Does that mean you're anticipating that to actually be lower on a year-over-year basis in the back half of the year, or am I reading too much into that commentary?
So, let me say that, first, let me broaden the discussion to overhead, which is, you know, broader than just SG&A. But the answer is that as numbers are reduced, it takes time for those numbers to flow through and come through our earnings reports. I think, theoretically, yes, we are seeing opportunities and expectations that our overhead is going to be meaningfully lower as we come to the end of the year. Whether it actually flows through one quarter or another, we're going to wait and see. Some of these things get a little bit sticky. But at the end of the day, it's happening in so many interesting areas that we're reducing costs. Some of the costs associated with our technology initiatives are clearly front-end loaded. The transition from world to E1 was extraordinarily expensive. that's tapering off it might take some time for that to flow through but that's happening more quickly but there are other elements of what we have been working on and even the things where we misstepped and went down bad ads initially where money was spent and we don't have to spend that money anymore additionally as i talked about senior management we have so many extraordinary people within our company that are deciding to use this opportunity to retire and let the next generation shine you know though we haven't put out a public announcement I'm sitting off from one of our favorites in Bruce Bruce is going to be retiring this has been indebted in we've known this for months and you know this is actually going to transition become part of Lamar Foundation working hand-in-hand with Marshall. But, you know, it's really across the company recognizing that overhead reduction or, yeah, overhead reduction is a positive, but enabling the next generation of leaders to come up, step up, and put themselves on display, just as you've seen here this morning, is really a greater good. And when I say fresh legs, if you look at the energy that Jim and David are bringing to the equation if you listen to you know Laura Escobar in financial services you listen to others around the company the opportunity to take a fresh look at a lot of things is a really unique opportunity that we're leaning into right now thank you so much best of luck okay thanks next we'll go to the line of Stephen Kim from Evercore ISI please go ahead yeah great thanks appreciate it thanks as usual for all the info I guess my first question has to do with how you determine what's the optimal level of
volume that you need to extract the efficiencies in your home building operation and given all the technology initiatives as well I'm curious is it based on a certain market share or is it more sort of a bottoms up kind of approach and therefore like independent of what volumes are doing in the broader market. Like last year, it sounded like it was a little bit more like the latter. You were focused on achieving a certain level of volume so you could get the efficiencies that you needed. Then because industry starts were down high single digits, that meant you happened to gain a lot of share, right? So the focus wasn't on the share. It was on maintaining a certain level of volume. But in your opening remarks, you also mentioned about growing market share almost as if it was a goal in itself. So I just wanted to make clear, how should we think about how you think about the volume that you need in any given year? Are there situations, for example, where you would willingly relinquish some market share, or should we think that you're always looking to gain market share?
Well, Steve, the interesting question, I'm thinking about it as you're asking it the reality is that the answer is unique to each market and each market is a little bit different and so when you look at a roll-up of our company it would be hard hard to cobble together a unified strategy the fact of the matter is there are a number of considerations that are going into that calculation some of them are and they're all very market-specific we don't have a specific mandate to grow market share but we do recognize that with advantage market share we are able to work with trade partners and landholders to do a better job of negotiating so I'm going to turn over to David first why don't you talk a little bit about you know land opportunities and things like that and then Jim maybe you'll think about some other components yeah sure I'd say that, you know, market share, by market, we understand based on our position in the market, you know, where we ought to be and we have a target, but that doesn't really drive what you're asking about.
What drives are something that we thoughtfully and we have expectations. ...ability embedded going back and forth.
If we can build, even for land partners, we're going to get the best pricing and we're using that to our advantage. And in each market, We are doing a study to think about the combination of pricing in a unique way focused not on answering competitive information, but contextualizing it in terms of how can we rationalize affordability configuration for the future. And I just want to say one last thing, and I've said this over and over again, that we didn't start the notion that we're going to wait for the market to recover. Instead, market by market, we have focused on how do we construct the best version of Lennar to build efficiencies for a market that's likely to remain stubborn for a long time. It's now three and a half years, and we haven't had that throwback to the past. Constructing an operating platform that is reconfigured to build. If you think back to the COVID time in 2022, 2023, the pricing structures were left with construction, horizontal as well. Building the company to be better positioned to build affordability has been being done by division. That rolls up to the number that you see.
Gotcha. Yeah, that's very helpful. Appreciate that. But I guess my second question has to do with volume through the year. So, you know, you've reiterated the guide to 85,000 closings, and you're kind of off to a little bit of a slower start than even last year. And it just sort of feels like the year is going to be kind of more back-end weighted. And I just wanted to ask, how important is it for you to achieve a more sort of even flow of volume through the year is the fact that this year is not going to be quite maybe as much as you might like. Is that a hindrance to your achieving the efficiencies that you ultimately want to get longer term? Should we be expecting that you're going to achieve more of a kind of a 50-50 kind of front half, back half kind of cadence?
Look, this is an art, not a science. I can't predetermine today what we're going to do throughout the year. You know, as I said, Steve, and as Jim carefully laid out, Jim and David are getting out into the field for operations reviews, division-by-division, bottom-up approach, working with the people. And that happens at Lenore all the way through the year. So what we say today might change over the next couple of weeks. You know, we know that there's a lot going on in the world that is affecting both gas prices, inflation levels, interest rates, and that might be short-term, it might be longer-term. We're going to be connected with what's happening on the ground, and it might be unique to different markets how it actually plays out. What we are solving, Coop, is how do we use as much volume consistency as we can to build efficiency in everything that we're doing. But we don't want to, at the same time, not pay attention to what the market is allowing us to do. We don't want to break the market until it's a balancing act. And that's why I say it's not a science.
Jim, you want to weigh in on that? Yeah, I would just say this is a huge priority for the divisions. We start this process even before the year begins with our early forecasting. We look at the different quarters. we look at what they possibly can be. It really goes back to focusing in on the land and opening . Great.
Thanks so much, guys.
Next, we'll go to the line of Susan McCleary from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, or good afternoon now, I guess. My first question is, you know, it's impressive to see how the inventory turns hit two and a half times this quarter, despite all the pressure that you are seeing in the market. I guess, can you talk about where you see the upside to inventory as you think about the construct of those key areas of focus that you're really looking to achieve as we move through the next several quarters?
Well, not only is that a good question, that's a timely question. Eric and I spent some time in New York working through some of the capital markets approaches that we think about and dream about in terms of charting the path for the future of the company. I'm not going to be able to give you an answer as to where I think it can go, but I think that there's a field of opportunity. I will say that I think that the financial transformation that we've gone through, and that is separating land from home building and balance sheet, is really interesting. It's getting more interesting by the day. If you look at and think about the risk-adjusted pricing for capital, when you look at risk profiles and you separate risk profiles, there's a field of opportunity to rationalize the costs that are associated with the different dimensions of land that we currently have. I said in my remarks that we are targeting specific land banking programs and relationships and trying to find the right bucket for the right land to maximize or minimize the capital costs associated, the option costs associated. But additionally, we think that over time, by taking a capital market thought process to the way that we have configured this, we're going to be able to think even better about how we bring land into availability for the company, how we manage the just-in-time delivery system, and all of this is going to have incremental benefit to that inventory turn number. So I don't think you've heard the last of inventory turn. I think that we're continuing to reach higher, and I think that we're going to see more come of this. I think that we're all going to find that the program that we put in place is going to enable us to marry this operational view of our business with a capital markets view and make us better. But one other thing that I want to detail, and, you know, maybe David and Jim, you'll weigh in on this, is the importance of our core product to this discussion. The more we migrate to fewer products that we build over and over again, the more efficiency we're going to inject. I still look at our cycle times and how they've come down just year over year from 137 days to 122. And quarter over quarter, you're looking at, I think it was 127 days down to 122. Might have been 126. But I look at the focus in the field and the opportunity to make it better by using core products. How would you say to talk about that?
Yeah, I think core product is not only producing are resulting in our cycle time reduction. I think it's going to continue to improve. Also, it helps us rationalize our cost structure.
Well, that was very helpful, Collar. Thank you for all that. And actually, just following up on it quickly, where are you in terms of the core plans? Can you talk to what percentage of the deliveries today are coming from that? Is there any kind of a target that you can share with us as you think about, I don't know, the next 12 or 24 months? And I guess also as part of that, it leads to the question around capital allocation. And as this comes together, can you talk to how you're thinking about the top uses of cash and how shareholder returns and growth and all these other initiatives fit within that?
So, look, the discussion of core plans, again, we can talk about it corporately, but the reality is it's division by division by division. But the more important thing is how technology plays into all of this because we are migrating to a place where our due diligence program relative to land is going to be tied to an element of core plan engagement that is going to nudge the company using technology towards greater and greater use of core plans. Now, you can imagine if we're talking about land engagement and due diligence process, it's going to take some time for this to actually come through the system. But this is an area where modern technologies across a diffuse platform, 50 divisions coast-to-coast, and getting that entire enterprise to push towards core plans, it is going to be technology that really drives us forward, and we're building those connectors right now. But is there anything that you guys would say about where core plans are percentage-wise and how we are migrating through your ops reviews and division engagements?
That's a generally, across the platform, call it 65% core, and that's going to vary by division from some at 50 to some at 90%. And that is really relative to the rollout of our core.
You bet.
Thank you. Thank you. Our final question comes from John Lovallo from UBS. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Thank you for taking my question. You know, maybe, firstly, in trying to kind of bridge the home building cash, you know, it appears that there's roughly maybe a billion dollars or so of cash flow use in the first quarter. And it seems like it was largely attributable to inventory, which it was a bit surprising given that you started and you delivered roughly the same number of homes in the quarter. So kind of what's driving the pressure on cash flow, given the expectation for, you know, pretty strong conversion in 2026?
Yeah, I think so, John. I'll jump in. You know, we're, as you know, we're very focused on pricing to market. Our incentives are, you know, on the higher level. And so while we're getting cost savings that are increasing cash, as you've heard us say, it's hard to outpace the lower revenue on a per-home basis. So we have to, you know, keep purchasing home sites to keep the production going. So, you know, I think you'll see a little bit of better matching as the quarters progress, but the first quarter is so light on revenue because it's light on deliveries. It's a little bit of an anomaly for the year.
Okay, understood. And understanding that we're in a pretty dynamic market right now, I just wanted to follow up on Steve's question. And, you know, the $85,000 delivery target seems to imply that you plan to start more homes than your orders in the second quarter, and then kind of work through that inventory in the back half. You know, if that's correct, I mean, what's – you know, if that's not correct, maybe I'll say it that way. You know, what's driving the much higher kind of second-half deliveries than the implied second-quarter inventory?
Clearly have question marks around the two things that I detailed as, you know, things that have happened in the short term that it's kind of changed the landscape and you know of course you know turmoil in the Middle East has everybody's attention and we have a question mark what's that going to mean how's it going to ripple through and number two you know the sidelining of the you know institutional investor is another component of that you know There are a lot of people thinking about it, and if the institutional investors are really sidelined, is that going to instigate more primary buyers to the market, as some believe, or is it going to reduce, you know, reduce volume? We're going to have to wait and see, and I try to, you know, leave room for those changes. That impacts the question of what will our deliveries be as we come through the year. But what drives us to continue to aim for that number is a base belief, a base optimism that I've been getting from both David and Jim about the configuration of our business. And so on the one hand, you have these geopolitical issues or domestic issues that are counterbalancing. But I will tell you that leading up to the past couple of weeks, there has been a sense of optimism about the programs that we have in place. Jim, why don't you talk about that a little bit?
Well, look, I think it comes down to we see the steadiness in a lot of markets, but more importantly, we see the energy with our associates, and they're starting to really see these different programs. They're starting to see the advantage to it. You know, a quick example is virtual customer meetings yesterday at three divisions over the last two days. And to every division, at first they were challenged. Now all of a sudden the efficiency, the customer experience, the quickness of the response to the customer, I think that's really what we're seeing is our teams are really...
The unified view right now is it's definitely, and we're pretty enthusiastic about the programs that we have in place, that have given us somewhat of an edge on the market and certainly an edge on information flow and staying close to the market and of course that that very careful dance that we dance of having corporate closely tied to the individuals and I think that there's a general sense of optimism to the company right now that we're going to do as good as the market allows and I that's a good place to stop. I want to thank everyone for joining us. I couldn't be more excited about the program we have in place and having David and Jim take it through their first traumatic conference call. And we look forward to coming back together, of course, in the second quarter and beyond as a management team that's invigorated and focused on making the best of a tough situation. Thank you.
That concludes Lennar's first quarter earnings conference call. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect your line. Please enjoy the rest of your day.