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LINE · Lineage, Inc.

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$41.75 -1.28 (-2.97%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$9.51B
Shares
227.71M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Lineage, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Lineage, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 25, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 25, 2026 1:02:07 48 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
1:02:07
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Lineage reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1,336M (down 0.2%), adjusted EBITDA of $327M (down 2.4%), and AFFO per share of $0.83 (flat), with same store physical occupancy improving sequentially by 400 bps to 79.3%. For 2026, the company initiated guidance of $1.25–$1.30B adjusted EBITDA and $2.75–$3.00 AFFO per share.

Occupancy stabilization 24 2026 guidance and outlook 19 Global Integrated Solutions (GIS) 14 Tariffs and import/export volumes 14 Cost savings, Lean and LinnOS 13 Public vs. private valuation gap and asset sales 12

Management tone

Balanced

Net tone +10 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We continue to see early signs of stabilization in many areas of our business. In fact, many geographies are stable or growing, including Europe, Asia Pac, Canada, and most U.S. regional markets.”
  • “While we are not out of the woods yet, we believe we will continue to build on these trends throughout 2026 and drive further productivity to address this temporary new normal.”
  • “we expect same store NOI growth of negative 4% to negative 1%, adjusted EBITDA of $1,250,000,000 to $1,300,000,000 and AFFO per share of $2.75 to $3 per share.”
  • “we are a little more cautious on our GIS guide for 2026.”

Forward guidance

5 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $1.34B -0.2% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $6.00M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Same store physical occupancy improved sequentially by 400 bps to 79.3%, signaling a return to more normalized seasonality
  • Full-year AFFO per share increased 2.4% year over year to $3.37; full-year AFFO rose 22.7% to $865M
  • GIS segment NOI grew 15% year over year in Q4, with full-year GIS NOI growth of nearly 10%
  • Same store rent and storage revenue per pallet grew more than 1.5% year over year; total warehouse segment grew over 3%
  • Sold noncore Santa Maria, California asset for $60M at a mid-6% cap rate, reinforcing private market valuation strength
  • Initiated $50M cost savings initiative, with roughly half expected to be realized in 2026

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA declined 2.4% to $327M; full-year adjusted EBITDA declined 2.3% to $1,298M (guide: $1,300M)
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin decreased 50 bps to 24.5%; full-year margin decreased 70 bps to 24.2%
  • Same store NOI declined 5% year over year in Q4; entering 2026 at a slightly lower occupancy level than 2025
  • Q4 import/export container volumes declined 9% year over year, with continued weakness expected into Q1 2026
  • 2026 guidance of $1.25–$1.30B adjusted EBITDA implies a decline from the $1.298B reported in 2025; same store NOI guided down 4% to 1%
  • Lower fuel prices and inexpensive trucking weigh on GIS results, leading to more cautious GIS guidance for 2026

Key moments

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“We expect same store NOI growth of negative 4% to negative 1%, adjusted EBITDA of $1,250,000,000 to $1,300,000,000 and AFFO per share of $2.75 to $3 per share.” W. Gregory Lehmkuhl, CEO
“We are actively looking at numerous options to take advantage of the mispricing between the public and private markets to enhance shareholder value. We think this makes sense, especially as you consider that most recent research implies that we trade at over a 35% discount to our NAV, over an 8.5% implied cap rate, and in our view an even larger discount to the replacement cost of our portfolio.” W. Gregory Lehmkuhl, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 25, 2026.

Metric Guided
Adjusted EBITDA
full-year 2026
$1.25B – $1.3B

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Same store NOI growth
2026
-4% – -1%
Adjusted EBITDA
2026
$1.25B – $1.3B
AFFO per share
2026
$2.75 – $3.00
Net pricing increase in our warehousing segment
2026
1% – 2%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$82.00M
Dividend / share
$0.53
Full-screen source Call document