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LOCO

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
$16.65 +0.22 (+1.34%) At close · Jul 10
Market Cap
$507.08M
Shares
30,455,298

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$16.65 Open$16.53 Day$16.53–16.85 52W$8.99–17.40 Avg vol 30d326K Short int1.7M · 5.7% float · 4.3d Short vol54% Last earningsMay 7, 2026 DataJan 2020–Jul 2026 Filing10-Q · May 8
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 6, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 4 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed May 8, 2026
AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Buy
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Buy Momentum Very Strong Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Moderate
      Market backdrop VIX 15 · calm Equity put/call 0.55
      Technical
      price trend
      Buy
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +37%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg +13%
      above
      RSI (14) 62
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 91%
      near high
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Strong
      1-month return +11%
      trailing
      6-month return +47%
      trailing
      YTD return +59%
      this year
      Relative strength +38%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $15 › 200d $12 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      4 of 141 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +148.8K sh shares
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$6.2M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Rising
      5.67% of float · ▲ +3.3% MoM · 4.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      141 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 64
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Strong
      Revenue growth +6%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +5%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $25.4M
      Valuation P/E 17
      below peers
      Balance sheet $44.8M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Moderate
      Volatility 37%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −19%
      past year
      ATR 3.1%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 7, 2026
      System-wide comparable restaurant sales growth · fiscal year 2026 Initiated 2% – 4%
      Capital spending · fiscal year 2026 Initiated $37M – $40M
      G&A expense, excluding one-time costs · fiscal year 2026 Initiated $52M – $54M
      Estimated effective income tax rate, before discrete items · fiscal year 2026 Initiated 29% – 29.5%

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
      1 · 3 · 3
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +37% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +13% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      62 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      91% Bullish
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Mixed
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $15 › 200d $12 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      4 of 141 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +148.8K sh shares
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$6.2M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Rising
      5.67% of float · ▲ +3.3% MoM · 4.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      141 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      52-wk low $9 Now $17 · 91% 52-wk high $17
      vs 200-day avg +37% vs 50-day avg +13%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Baja Tostada sales mix 8.3% first quarter 2026 call
      restaurant-level margin expansion 320 first quarter 2026 call
      social impressions leading up to tenders launch 2B first quarter 2026 call
      system-wide same-store sales growth 5.8% first quarter 2026 call
      Adjusted net income non-GAAP $7.3M Q4 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file

      Versus peers

      Restaurants — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      LOCO
      El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
      this stock
      $507.08M +59.2% +5.7% 17.0 5.7%
      MCD
      Mcdonalds Corp
      $195.10B -9.7% +10.0% 22.6 1.5%
      SBUX
      Starbucks Corp
      $120.82B +26.7% +2.8% 80.9 4.2%
      CMG
      Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
      $45.22B -4.7% +14.3% 32.3 4.0%
      YUM
      Yum Brands Inc
      $45.08B +8.6% +8.8% 26.4 3.2%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      141
      % held
      87.0%
      Reported
      4 of 141
      Top holder
      BIGLARI CAPITAL CORP.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      158
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      1.7M
      Days to cover
      4.3d
      Change
      +54.4K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      54%
      As of
      Jul 10, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      1.3K
      Value
      $18.0K
      As of
      Jun 5, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      33.7%
      Week of
      May 4, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$6.2M
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 1
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $442.3M
      Net income (FY)
      $26.5M
      EPS diluted
      $0.90
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      shares 1.5M
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      May 29, 2026
      This year
      8
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $23.9M
      Shares
      1.5M
      Filed
      Jun 26, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      May 7, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      LOCO -0.2% +10.6% +46.7% -1.8% +59.2%
      SPY +1.4% +4.1% +9.1% +1.1% +10.7%
      vs SPY -1.6% +6.5% +37.6% -2.9% +48.5%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of May 23, 2024
      Authorized
      shares 1.53M
      Spent (derived)
      Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1606366 CUSIP 268603107 13F (30d) 5 filings 5 filers Visit website Investor relations