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LOCO · El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

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$15.54 +0.09 (+0.58%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$472.93M
Shares
30.43M

Price & Indicators

Indicators
Price
Panels
Event markers
20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$15.54 Open$15.45 Day$15.37–15.59 52W close$9.06–17.20 Avg vol 30d232K Short int1.6M · 5.4% float · 9.3d Short vol67% Last earningsAug 6, 2026 DataJan 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 7

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 5, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 12 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
Latest filing: 10-Q
filed Aug 7, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Buy
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Neutral Momentum Strong Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Moderate
      Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Neutral
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +20%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg −3%
      below
      RSI (14) 45
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 80%
      mid-range
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Strong
      1-month return −6%
      trailing
      6-month return +47%
      trailing
      YTD return +49%
      this year
      Relative strength +33%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Bullish
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $16 › 200d $13 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +4% holders QoQ · +24 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$9.6M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      5.38% of float · ▼ -3.4% MoM · 9.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      148 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 61
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Strong
      Revenue growth +6%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +5%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $25.4M
      Valuation P/E 13.3
      below peers
      Balance sheet $68.0M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Moderate
      Volatility 37%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −16%
      past year
      ATR 3.7%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 6, 2026
      System-wide comparable restaurant sales growth · fiscal year 2026 3.5% – 4.5%
      Adjusted EBITDA · fiscal year 2026 Non-GAAP $68M – $70M
      Capital spending · fiscal year 2026 $33M – $37M
      G&A expense, excluding one-time costs · fiscal year 2026 $52M – $54M
      Estimated effective income tax rate before discrete items · fiscal year 2026 29% – 29.5%
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Mar 31, 2025
      Restaurant-level contribution margin · full year 17.25% – 17.75%

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
      1 · 4 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +20% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −3% Neutral
      RSI (14)
      45 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      80% Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 3 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $16 › 200d $13 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +4% holders QoQ · +24 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$9.6M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      5.38% of float · ▼ -3.4% MoM · 9.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      148 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $9 Now $16 · 80% Range high $17
      vs 200-day avg +20% vs 50-day avg -3%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP 37.3M Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      Company-operated comparable restaurant sales growth 4.2% Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      Company-operated comparable restaurants 172 as of July 1, 2026 —
      Company-operated restaurants at end of period 175 Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      EBITDA non-GAAP 39.38M Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      Franchise comparable restaurant sales non-GAAP 4.5% Q2 2026 —
      Franchise-operated comparable restaurants 317 as of July 1, 2026 —
      Franchise-operated restaurants at end of period 336 Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      Restaurants in the comparable base 172 Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      System-wide comparable restaurants 489 as of July 1, 2026 —
      System-wide restaurant activity: Restaurants at end of period 511 Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      System-wide sales 599.85M Twenty-Six Weeks Ended July 1, 2026 —
      Franchise comparable restaurant sales increase 6.1% first quarter ended April 1, 2026 —
      Franchise comparable store sales non-GAAP 3.3% fourth quarter of 2025 —

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Restaurants — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      LOCO
      El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
      this stock
      		$472.93M +48.6% +5.7% 13.3 5.4%
      MCD
      Mcdonalds Corp
      		 $193.07B -10.7% +3.7% 22.2 1.7%
      SBUX
      Starbucks Corp
      		 $123.68B +27.9% +2.8% 62.7 3.4%
      CMG
      Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
      		 $42.39B -9.5% +5.4% 30.7 3.1%
      YUM
      Yum Brands Inc
      		 $41.14B -2.1% +8.8% 19.0 2.8%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      148
      % held
      92.7%
      Net QoQ
      +1.7M sh
      Top holder
      BIGLARI CAPITAL CORP.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      169
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      1.6M
      Days to cover
      9.3d
      Change
      -58.1K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      67%
      As of
      Aug 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      283
      Value
      $4.9K
      As of
      Jul 2, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      37.3%
      Week of
      Jul 6, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$9.6M
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 1
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $442.3M
      Net income (FY)
      $26.5M
      EPS diluted
      $0.90
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      shares 1.5M
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q
      Filed
      Aug 7, 2026
      This year
      10
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $23.9M
      Shares
      1.5M
      Filed
      Jun 26, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 6, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      LOCO +2.5% -6.3% +46.9% -5.6% +48.6%
      SPY +0.4% +4.5% +13.8% +3.9% +13.9%
      vs SPY +2.1% -10.8% +33.1% -9.5% +34.7%

      Capital returns

      Latest dividend
      $1.50 / share · ex Oct 21, 2022
      Paid (TTM)
      $0.00 / share · 0 payouts
      Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
      — · no payout in the trailing year
      Buyback program · as of May 23, 2024
      Authorized
      shares 1.53M
      Spent (derived)
      —
      Remaining
      —

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1606366 CUSIP 268603107 13F (30d) 145 filings 145 filers Visit website Investor relations

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