Skip to main content
MRP $30.33 +0.30%
MRP logo

MRP · Millrose Properties, Inc.

Track MRP — free
$30.33 +0.09 (+0.30%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$5.04B
Shares
166.05M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Millrose Properties, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Millrose Properties, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 26, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 26, 2026 43:58 34 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
43:58
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Millrose's first year as a public company saw 2025 invested capital outside the Lennar Master Program Agreement reach $2.4 billion, surpassing its $2.2 billion stretch target, with a 4Q AFFO run rate of $0.77 per share ahead of guidance and zero option terminations. For 2026, the company expects to deploy an additional $2 billion in invested capital, implying ~10% AFFO per share growth, funded through a mix of existing debt capacity and equity (issued only at or above $35.28 book value).

Counterparty relationships and diversification 32 Capital structure and balance sheet discipline 21 Housing affordability and supply impact 15 Interest rate exposure 13 Valuation and re-rating opportunity 12 Macro and homebuilding environment 9

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +72 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 was a defining year for Millrose. Despite a cautious homebuilding environment, we were embraced across the industry with a reception that exceeded even our own expectations, validating both the concept and our team's execution.”
  • “That accelerating pace of adoption translated directly to financial outperformance.”
  • “The macro backdrop entering 2026 is the most constructive that we have seen since our spin-off.”
  • “Our investment balance outside the foundational Lennar master program agreement finished the year at approximately $2.4 billion, surpassing the $2.2 billion stretch target we had previously discussed.”

Forward guidance

5 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

Switch sources without leaving this page or losing your listening position.

Revenue · derived Q4 $189.50M
Net income · derived Q4 $122.24M

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • 4Q AFFO of $0.76/share hit the top end of the $0.74-$0.76 guidance range, with normalized year-end AFFO run rate at $0.77/share ahead of guidance.
  • Invested capital outside the Lennar Master Program Agreement reached $2.4 billion in 2025, exceeding the prior $2.2 billion stretch target.
  • Total portfolio weighted average annualized yield was 9.2%, a 70 bps increase since the February 2025 inception, with new investments outside the Lennar MPA generating yields of approximately 11.0%.
  • Full-year 2025 AFFO was $427.9 million, or $2.58 per share, on $600.5 million in total revenues and $379.9 million in net income ($2.44/share).
  • Generated $3.4 billion in net homesite sale proceeds in 2025, supporting capital recycling, and delivered more than 31,000 homesites at average selling prices ~20% below the national average for new homes.
  • 2026 base case is for an additional $2 billion in invested capital growth (to ~$10.5 billion total), implying ~10% AFFO per share growth, with ~$1 billion funded by existing debt capacity and targeted Q2 2026 exit AFFO run rate of $0.78-$0.80/share.

Risks & pressure points

  • Current AFFO multiple implies a meaningful discount to peer REITs, reflecting the market still getting comfortable with the relatively new business model.
  • Company explicitly stated it will not issue equity below book value of $35.28/share, meaning capital deployment beyond existing debt capacity hinges on a re-rating or future equity issuance above NAV.
  • Management noted they may go somewhat above the 33% debt-to-cap target, indicating some leverage flexibility/tension as they balance funding the $2 billion growth.
  • Growth pace depends on equity market reception and timing for raises above book value; management acknowledged month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter deployment will not be linear in 2026.
  • Floating-rate exposure on most agreements outside the Lennar master program creates some volatility from Fed rate moves, which the company mitigates via floating-rate credit facility borrowings but does not eliminate.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Executing on this $2 billion opportunity set we see in front of us, funded with a prudent mix of debt and equity consistent with our stated leverage targets implies a 10% growth in AFFO per share.” Darren Richman, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

Metric Guided
Quarterly AFFO run rate
2Q exit
$0.78 – $0.80
AFFO per share growth
full year 2026
10%
Net new capital deployment
full year 2026
up to $2B
Invested capital deployment
by mid-2026
$1B

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Quarterly AFFO per share run rate
exiting Q2 2026
$0.78 – $0.80

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.76
Full-screen source Call document