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Earnings call · FY2026 Q2

NEWMONT Corp (NEM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Concluded Jul 23, 2026 Audio replay
Jul 23, 2026 1:00:08 70 turns
Period
FY2026 Q2
Runtime
1:00:08
Sources
4 artifacts

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1:00:08 Audio
Operator

Hello and welcome to Newmont's second quarter 2026 results conference call. All participants will be in listen only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Newmont's Group Head of Treasury and Investor Relations, Neil Backhouse. Neil, please go ahead.

Neil Backhouse Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Holly. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining Newmont's second quarter 2026 results conference call. Joining me today are Natasha Fulhoun, our president and chief executive officer, Brian Tabold, our newly appointed executive vice president and chief financial officer, as well as other members of our management team who will be available to answer questions at the end of the call. Before we begin, please take a moment to review our cautionary statements shown here, and refer to our SEC filings, which can be found on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Natasha.

Thank you, Neil, and hello, everyone. To begin today's call, I'd like to start by acknowledging the executive leadership appointments we announced last month, reflecting the depth and talent we have within Newmont and reinforcing our commitment to building a future ready organization with the leadership capabilities needed to execute our strategy. Together, these appointments strengthen our financial, operational, technical and project development expertise that will help us deliver consistent performance and steward our world-class portfolio. Brian Tebalt has been appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Since joining Newmont in 2021, Brian has held several senior finance roles, helping to strengthen financial oversight, integrated planning and capital allocation priorities across the business. Most recently, Brian served as the Chief Accounting Officer and Group Head Finance and brings more than 20 years of experience to the role. I also want to recognize and thank Peter Wexler, who served as interim CFO over the past year providing steady leadership and continuity during an important period for Newmont and we are grateful for the discipline and commitment he brought to the position. Mark Rogers has been appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Mark joined Newmont in 2020 and has held senior leadership roles across several regions most recently as Managing Director for Africa and Asia Pacific. Mark has over 30 years of experience in the industry and as Chief Operating Officer, he will lead performance across our 12 managed operations with a strong focus on safe, consistent delivery and operational excellence inclusive of health, safety, security and environment. Dave Thornton has been appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Technical officer. Dave has more than 25 years of mining experience and joined Newmont in 2016, where he has since held leadership roles across North and South America and Africa, most recently serving as the managing director of the Americas. In his new role, he will lead the technical services team, bringing together exploration, mining and mine planning, processing, asset management and digital capabilities to strengthen technical excellence in support of operational and project performance. And finally, David Fry has been promoted to the newly created position as Executive Vice President Project Development. David joined Newmont in 2022 and most recently served as Group Head Global Projects. He brings significant international project delivery experience across mining, energy and infrastructure sectors and will continue to focus on disciplined execution as we advance our highest return growth opportunities. These appointments reflect the confidence we have in the people who know our business best. Together with existing team members Peter Wexler, Peter Toth and Debbie Leyva, they have helped shape the company we are today and share accountability for delivering the plans that define our future, executing our strategy, advancing our world-class portfolio and leading with cost and capital discipline. With that, I will turn now to our second quarter highlights. Newmont delivered a strong second quarter and remains on track to achieve a full year 2026 guidance, supported by disciplined execution across the portfolio and continued momentum as we head into the second half of the year. Beginning with our operational performance, in the second quarter, we produced 1.3 million ounces of gold, 17,000 tons of copper, and 7 million ounces of silver from the full portfolio. The performance supported $2.9 billion of cash flow from operations after working capital, and a second quarter record of $2.2 billion in free cash flow. Since our last earnings call, and including share repurchases in July, we have returned approximately $1.9 billion to shareholders through quarterly dividends and ongoing share repurchases. I also want to highlight that we have now repurchased over 100 million shares since we began our share repurchase program a little over two years ago. This is a meaningful milestone that Brian will discuss later in the call. During the quarter, we also achieved several important milestones within our portfolio. First, at Red Chris, the Blockhove project received key regulatory approvals from the province of British Columbia. This includes an amended environmental assessment certificate achieved through a consent-based process with the TELTA nation, reflecting the strength of our partnerships and shared commitment to advancing the project responsibly. With these approvals in place, we are focused on completing the feasibility study and advancing the project toward board approval and final investment decisions for this promising new project. We made significant progress on the recovery efforts at CADIA following the seismic event that occurred on April 14. Production from the operating caves resumed in mid-June and the team is working to complete the remaining ground support upgrades. Development rights at PC1-2 have returned to normal levels and we are working to secure the regulatory approvals required to safely restart kite establishment at both of the project's caves later in the year. We continue to expect no impact on Newmont's full year production guidance. Collectively, our second quarter results continue to demonstrate the strength of Newmont's portfolio and its ability to convert solid operational performance into significant free cash flow and returns to our shareholders. Turning now to the operational drivers supporting our full year outlook. Our second quarter operational performance was modestly ahead of the expectations we communicated in April, primarily due to certain ounces being realised earlier than expected, driving some third quarter production forward into the second quarter. The most notable drivers were Yanakocha, where ounces were produced earlier than planned, and Lihir, which delivered a stronger quarter as results of the ongoing asset reliability work at this world-class operation. Together, these assets delivered approximately 50,000 ounces of production that was initially expected in the second half of the year. During the quarter, we also benefited from a stable performance from our Nevada Gold Mines joint venture. Taking these results into account, we now expect approximately 49% of full-year production to have been delivered in the first half, with 51% expected in the second half. Looking ahead, we expect third-quarter production for the total portfolio to be broadly in line with the second quarter, before picking up again in the fourth quarter, which is still expected to be our strongest of the year as Lihir completes planned maintenance in the third quarter and our half hour north reaches its full run rate. Shifting now to cost. We remain focused on controlling our absolute cost base to maximise margins and continue supporting strong free cash flow. As we signaled last quarter, higher oil prices contributed to the expected increase in second quarter cost. However, even after absorbing that pressure, both cost applicable to sales and all in sustaining costs remain firmly within our full year guidance ranges, reflecting the continued discipline and cost and productivity initiatives we have been implementing across the portfolio. To make the work that we've been doing more tangible, I want to highlight a few examples. We have parked nearly 50 mining production units across the portfolio without affecting production. At Serenegro, more efficient pre-start activities have increased underground productive time by approximately 15% per shift. At Arfo North, we have made targeted investments to operationalize and improve milling efficiency. And at Merion, we have improved road conditions and overall wet weather preparedness to optimise existing equipment performance during the rainy seasons. Across the portfolio, we continue to reduce contract utilisation where possible. These are practical, site-led actions that collectively improve productivity and help offset external cost pressures. finally our capital spent for 2026 is on track to land within the guidance ranges that we set at the beginning of the year starting with sustaining capital we now expect spending to be approximately 58 percent weighted towards the second half of the year primarily due to the timing of key programs at boddington and cadio ongoing ventilation work at tanami and seasonal surface construction at Bruce Jack and Redcress during the warmest summer months in British Columbia. Development capital is now expected to be 63% weighted to the second half, reflecting the timing of work at our key projects in execution, as well as the progression of feasibility study work at Redcress. At CAIDA, development spending is expected to increase as work recommences at the panel cave projects following the April seismic event. At the year, mobilisation of the nearshore barrier will ramp up in the third quarter, unlocking access to more than 5 million ounces beginning in 2028. And the second expansion at Tanami continues to progress to plan with all underground infrastructure expected to be completed by the end of the third quarter. With that, I will now turn it over to Brian to review our financial performance and capital allocation priorities. Brian, over to you.

Thank you, Natasha, and hello, everyone. I want to start by expressing how honored I am to step into the CFO role here at Newmont. Since joining the company in 2021 and having worked closely with teams across the business, including the newly appointed and existing members of the executive leadership team, I have developed a deep understanding of our portfolio, financial priorities, and the discipline required to deliver consistent shareholder value, and I look forward to building on that work in my new role. I also want to thank Peter and the broader finance team for the strong foundation and continuity they have provided through this transition. Turning to the second quarter, Newmont delivered strong financial results supported by stable operations, disciplined cost management and continued execution across the portfolio. We generated $3.8 billion of adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income of $2.10 per share. We realized an average gold price of $4,414 per ounce, generated $2.9 billion of cash flow from operations after working capital, and delivered 2.2 billion dollars of free cash flow working capital was a modest use of cash during the quarter primarily reflecting reclamation spending at yana kocha normal course inventory and stockpile builds and the timing of cash tax payments this was partly offset by favorable receivable movements at penasquito and kadia where strong collections and lower sales volumes reduced outstanding balances as we move into the second half of the year working capital variability may continue including the potential unwinding of a portion of the receivable benefit recorded in the quarter during the calendar quarter we returned approximately 1.8 billion dollars through quarterly dividends and share repurchases marking the second consecutive quarter in which we return more than 80 percent of the free cash flow generated during the period importantly we We achieved this while continuing to fund our organic growth pipeline and maintaining a strong net cash position, further differentiating Newmont from our peers and demonstrating the strength of our business through the commodity and investment cycles. Our second quarter results also demonstrate the significant operating leverage embedded in the portfolio. Year over year, our realized gold price increased by approximately $1,100 per ounce, or about 33%, while absolute costs applicable to sales increased just 4%. As a result, a substantial portion of the higher gold price translated into stronger margins and free cash flow. Turning to costs, gold all-in sustaining costs were $1,621 per ounce on a byproduct basis, remaining well below our full year guidance of $1,680 per ounce. Unit costs increased sequentially quarter over quarter, as expected, primarily reflecting lower gold and silver production and sales volumes, a lower byproduct contribution, and the full quarter impact of higher Ghana royalties and higher diesel prices. Despite these factors, our absolute cost base remains well controlled, and we continue to monitor the geopolitical environment and its potential cost implications, while remaining encouraged by our demonstrated ability to manage costs and improve productivity. As Natasha mentioned, total portfolio production in the third quarter is expected to remain broadly in line with the second quarter, which when coupled with the planned approximate $150 million quarter-over-quarter increase in sustaining capital, is expected to result in moderately higher unit costs in the third quarter. We remain focused on managing absolute costs, protecting margins, and maintaining discipline as we work through the higher capital spend expected in the second half of the year turning now to our capital allocation priorities the capital allocation framework introduced earlier this year continues to provide the right balance between reinvesting in our world cast world-class portfolio maintaining financial flexibility and returning excess cash to shareholders having been closely involved in the development of this framework our focus remains on executing against it with discipline consistency, and transparency. Beginning with the sustaining capital, we invested $438 million in the second quarter to support safe production and long-term sustainable cash generation. We remain on track to meet our full-year guidance of $1.95 billion, with spending expected increase in the second half as we progress critical work that preserves the integrity and longevity of our assets. Turning to the dividend, in the second quarter, we declared a dividend of 26 cents per share, unchanged from the prior quarter. Moving to development capital, we invested 285 million dollars during the quarter. As Natasha discussed earlier, full year guidance remains unchanged at 1.4 billion dollars, with spending expected to increase in the second half as we advance projects at Kadia, Tanami, and Lahir. We also remain committed to maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet, ending the quarter with $3.4 billion of net cash, modestly above the upper end of the range of our net cash target of $1 billion plus or minus $2 billion. That position will naturally fluctuate as we fund our capital programs, pay dividends, and return excess cash to shareholders. In stronger price environments, we would expect our cash position to remain toward the upper end of our net cash range. If prices were to decline, entering that part of the cycle with additional cash would help us to continue funding our capital program while returning capital to shareholders, consistent with our through-the-cycle approach to creating shareholder value. With those priorities funded, the framework directs all excess cash to share repurchases. Since our last earnings call, we have repurchased $1.7 billion of shares under the $6 billion authorization approved in April. This includes more than $600 million repurchased in July to date, leaving approximately $4.3 billion under the current authorization. Since launching our repurchase program over two years ago, we have reduced our share count by more than 100 million shares, or approximately 9%. Based on the repurchases completed to date, the formula under our framework would support a quarterly dividend of $0.27 per share at the next annual review, one cent above the current quarterly dividend or four cents on an annualized basis while maintaining the same targeted annual cash commitment. This would equate to an eight percent increase of the dividend since we introduced the new framework only a few months ago. Any increase would remain subject to approval and declaration by the board as part of its annual review next February, but we continue to execute the program consistently, reflecting our confidence in the intrinsic value of new month shares and the long-term benefits these repurchases deliver to shareholders as we look to the remainder of the year our priorities remain clear continue funding sustaining capital to preserve the integrity and longevity of our assets continuing advancing our highest return development projects maintain financial flexibility with our net cash target range and return excess cash to shareholders through ongoing share repurchases With that, I'll turn it back to Natasha for closing remarks.

Thank you, Brian. In closing, our strong first-half performance positions us well to continue delivering on our commitments and creating value for our shareholders. We remain on track to achieve our 2026 guidance, supported by solid execution across the portfolio. Our operations continue to generate significantly free cash flow, allowing us to invest in the business, maintain a strong and resilient balance sheet and return capital to shareholders through our consistent capital allocation framework. As we enter Newmont's next phase of delivery we do so with a renewed executive leadership team that has deep knowledge of our operations and the jurisdictions in which we operate. These leaders have helped shape the company we are today and they understand our assets, our people and the opportunities ahead and they share the clear accountability for delivering Neumont's future. Their appointments demonstrate the depth of our internal bench strength and provide important continuity in how we execute our strategy. More importantly, the team is fully aligned around the priorities that will drive long-term value, safe and consistent operational performance and project delivery, rigorous cost and capital discipline, and focus investment in the highest return opportunities within our portfolio. Looking ahead, we will continue to leverage our industry-leading portfolio, deep technical expertise, and experienced leadership team to build a stable and resilient future for Newmont. Finally, before we open the floor for questions, I would like to make a brief reference to our discussions with Barrick. I want to specifically refer to our notice of default as well as our overall efforts to protect the rights and value of the Newmont shareholders. We have actively engaged with Barrick over the last few months to find mutually acceptable solutions to our diverging legal, technical and commercial views on the various aspects of the joint ventures management and past performance, the proposed IPO and the potential resulting complexities and contribution process for all excluded properties with the goal of maximising NGM's performance both in the near and long term. We have remained resolute in protecting the interests and rights of Newmont shareholders throughout this process. While I remain hopeful of reaching a successful near-term resolution, we find ourselves nearing the end of this extensive direct engagement period, with several key issues still unresolved. Most importantly, as I mentioned on previous calls, we remain committed to fostering a strong working relationship with Barrick, playing a role to ensure NGM delivers to its full potential, and protecting, and, if required, enforcing our legal rights enshrined in the J.D. agreement. You will appreciate that given the ongoing discussions and sensitivities on both sides, I will not be able to answer any specific questions regarding the issue. And with that, we look forward to addressing your questions about Neil Mond's operational and financial performance. Handing over to Neil.

Neil Backhouse Head of Investor Relations

Yeah, all right. Well, Holly, I think we're ready for Q&A. So I'll turn it over to you to bring up the first question.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. We ask that you please limit inquiries to one question and one follow-up question. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star, then one to raise your hand. Our first question comes from Fahad Tariq with Jefferies. Your line is now open.

Fahad Tariq Analyst — Jefferies

Hi, thanks for taking my question. Hi, thanks for taking my question. Hopefully you can hear me okay. I just want to ask about the cost pressures potentially building up in the operations, just given what's happening with oil prices now elevated again, diesel costs in Australia potentially now translating because it's been so many months of elevated prices that, you know, translating to higher freight costs. I just wanted to get a sense of how you're thinking about costs in the second half of this year and whether you still expect productivity improvements to offset the cost pressures.

Hi, Fahad. This is Brian Tabalt. I'll take your question. As it relates to oil price and diesel, notably, obviously, today with the oil price jumping up to $100 a barrel, we are watching and monitoring cost pressures across the business, Notably, in the second quarter, you'll see part of our CAS increases driven by that fuel cost of about $100 a barrel that we experienced on average in the second quarter. We would expect that to continue in the third quarter based on the current price environment. There is a bit of a lag in terms of when the price of oil hits our diesel. each of the sites has a slightly different arrangement as it relates to the supply of oil and so we will see some of that continue to flow through in the third quarter as it relates to other costs in terms of indirects we continue to monitor that notably the impacts in terms of explosive cyanide grinding media and then inevitably the tail in terms of labor contractor or spend. We do see some costs as it relates to freight hitting those indirects. But in terms of the escalation, we're still just in a monitoring stage in terms of that cost pressure. As we've noted in our materials, we do have about a, for every $10 per barrel change in the price of oil, you'll see on a full year basis about a $60 million impact.

Fahad Tariq Analyst — Jefferies

In terms of indirects, there would be a knock on impact but again right now we're just monitoring to see how that that cost pressure continues to to persist okay great and then just on red chris the 500 million dollar investment from the canadian government can you provide any more detail on what form that is taking i couldn't i couldn't see it in the official announcement whether it's a grant a loan an equity investment or or something else maybe some sort of tax benefit Any colour there would be helpful. Thanks.

Fahad, we're still working at the moment on the MOU with a major project office in Canada to determine the full terms and conditions of the grant. In the meantime, we feel quite encouraged by the confidence that the Canadian government's got in the project and also just the support that we get from the Canadian government.

Fahad Tariq Analyst — Jefferies

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Hugo Nicolaxi from Goldman Sachs. Hugo, your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Hugo Nicolaxi Analyst — Goldman Sachs

Hi, Natasha and our team. Good to see you on a strong quarter. First one is on production. You've highlighted this year as a trough year on production, but can you maybe step us through the pathway back to 6 million ounces and how dependent is that on the Cadia Cave ramp up in 2029? or maybe are there other levers you can pull to get there without CADIA and perhaps even earlier than 2029?

Yeah, thanks, Hugo, and a really good question. So we are, firstly, the development of the CADIA archives we're less reliant on in terms of the long-term production. We will see certainly the new CAIVES PC23 as it comes on. We will see that CAIV taking over some of the lower grade production out of BC1, and we will see an improvement in the grades. As we said in our prepared remarks, we see predominantly the outstanding work on BC1-2 as we think BC2, well, the plan is for BC2-3 to still be handed over to the production team with the last doorbells here at the end of this year. Then we have all of the other elements that we continuously talk to. Our half on north will be ramping up to full production. Serenegro, Tanamai, we will have Boddington in high-grade areas, Lahir near-shore barrier and in high-grade areas. So less reliant in this medium term on the caves coming on.

Hugo Nicolaxi Analyst — Goldman Sachs

But that's helpful. And then just a follow-up on costs, as you touched on, obviously seeing re-emergence of cost inflation in the sector, not just on energy but equipment and labour as well, particularly at underground mines. I appreciate you touching on some of the productivity measures already but could you maybe outline which assets you're seeing the most cost pressures at and which assets you expect to sort of offset this to meet the unchanged cost guidance?

So, Hugo, the biggest impact on energy would be in the mines that we have, the biggest fleet, which would be typically your open pit mines and that's Boddington, Penasquito as an example. You would have seen the improvements that we have made. I should have mentioned Lahir as well. You would have seen the improvements we've made on productivity across all three of those big sites and we've seen a number of the pieces of equipment that we've parked in those areas. I think I might have missed Marian as well. All of them are equal. Merian, Mahir, Boddington and Penisketo. So it's important that we've reduced our consumption in those areas. I think that is of particular importance. And then across the entire portfolio, every asset is doing work to have cost focus, productivity improvement and obviously the increase in ounces as we step into next year will all help to offset some of unit cost.

Hugo Nicolaxi Analyst — Goldman Sachs

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from Daniel Morgan with Barron Joey. Daniel, your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Daniel Morgan Analyst — Barrington Research

Hi, Natasha. Hopefully, excuse me, you can hear me. Thank you. Just first question is, what are your latest thoughts on Lahir as an asset? Where is the asset at on the pathway to what you think it is capable of under Newmont ownership?

Daniel, we feel quite positive and encouraged by the work that that team has done. And I think we feel particularly pleased that Lahir has contributed to the additional ounces produced in the second quarter. We've seen stability through the mining operations. We see an improvement in reliability in our fixed assets. We've seen a reduction in cost and labour across the asset. And we continue to see good work happening to build strong relationships with our communities. So the work that we set out to do is starting to bear fruit. We have also now got access into two high-grade areas that will allow us with a stability in production to see the benefit from high-grade areas through the rest of the processing facilities. So I think quite encouraged with the progress that we are making at Leir.

Daniel Morgan Analyst — Barrington Research

We just recently had our board there in June to go and show them the progress that we have been making, and I think all of us feel quite pleased with the team's performance. okay thank you and just second question is um on projects i know you've got red chris uh coming up um but what else is in the early stage of being considered across um the portfolio in terms of projects beyond that um to compete for capital in that sort of you know 27 through 28 window what what might logically be the next projects you look at?

Yeah. Daniela, I think I'm going to distinguish here between brownfields and greenfields opportunities. We've got brownfields opportunities in many of our assets. That would be the first target areas for us to expand production. That, of course, comes at lower risk, faster turnaround to actual production. We see some of those brownfields opportunities playing ourselves out in the year. We've got the Nearshore Barrier that we've recently approved. We have Cerro Negro Expansion Project that is underway and that we've brought back online at the beginning of the year after the productivity improvements that team has made. There are several options for us in Ghana, specifically Ahofo South underground, and also at our phone north. So if I just consider across many of our assets, brownfields opportunities, and then we continue to invest money in the development of our projects to identify the next best value accretive project in that greenfields projects. And then a little bit longer term, we are continuing to invest money in near mine exploration and other exploration opportunities And if we consider near mine exploration, two areas that I want to highlight there that are also brownfields opportunities, the one is at Bruce Jack, where we have identified dozer zone, just over 700 metres from existing infrastructure, meaning that it's very limited capital to get into that area. And then Merian is the other near mine exploration success that we've had, giving us another brownfield opportunity to materially increase production. So if I think about the sequencing, a line or shortly after breakfast would certainly be these brownfields opportunities.

Daniel Morgan Analyst — Barrington Research

Thank you, Natasha. I appreciate the perspective.

Thanks, Daniel.

Operator

Your next question comes from Richard Garcita-Rena with Barclays. Richard, your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Richard Garcita-Rena Analyst — Barclays

Great. And hopefully you can hear me now. Can you hear me?

Yes, we can hear you, Richard. And apologies to everybody on the call. We weren't sure what was happening there. And thank you for your patience with us.

Richard Garcita-Rena Analyst — Barclays

Yeah, no problem at all. Just quickly, again, congratulations on the regulatory approvals at Red Chris BlockAve. I was wondering if you could walk us through any final milestones we should be expecting as you move towards completing the feasibility study and FID later this year. How are you thinking about capital costs, which have been inflating recently, and how are you to mitigate that? And then also just remind us what the prior timeline was for construction and potential startup.

Okay. There's quite a bit in that question, Richard. I'm going to take it step by step. Firstly, with the main regulatory approvals now behind us, we continue with the final feasibility steps. have a very rigorous process both in terms of firstly technical and then financial review that's done by a internal but independent team to ensure that the development work that has been done has been meeting our standards we will then put the right economic lens across the project making sure that it does meet our hurdle rights and that we'll also consider both near-term economic parameters and long-term strategic fit for the project in enhancing the long-term strategy for Newmont but also then considering that that is the first block hive at the start of a number of additional block hives to come and a key investment in that golden triangle area. You are right that we have seen, we expect the capital to be higher than what the original numbers were under Newcrest. And it has been predominantly driven by the inflationary cost we've seen around project development across the sector. And then productivity activity rates are certainly the other area that is getting attention. We are offsetting that through this project and then project evaluation process, making sure that our engineering and capital cost is appropriate for what we are building. We did see from the original timeline quite a bit of delay. The reason for the delay, if you consider the last time that was under New Crystal, when we brought it into the Newmont portfolio, we did take it back to full feasibility, even though the project at the time was already broadly in execution. The reason for that was twofold. The one is that the regulatory approvals were not completed yet, which is not aligned with the way we run projects at Newmont. And then secondly, the feasibility study was not on our standard. I think it was beneficial for us to have that delay. If you remember, we had the fall of ground last year in September. We've learned quite a bit about the design that was in place at the time. We've improved that design through our feasibility study. And in the process, didn't only de-risk the project, but also improved the economics, even with the expected higher capital. So overall, there has been a delay. And then lastly, we are envisaging completing it towards the end of the year to take to the board. My view on these projects, it is a material project that we are considering approving. So if we have to delay a month or three to make sure that we get everything right and that we've closed out on all of our items, that is something we will do. But when we get back to the market, make the commitment of the capital allocation, we'll make sure that we can deliver against it both in time and capital.

Richard Garcita-Rena Analyst — Barclays

Great. Thank you. That's very clear. And maybe just a question on Half a North. I believe you're expecting higher gold grades as you ramp up in the fourth quarter. Can you remind us sort of what type of levels we should expect from Haifa North heading into the fourth quarter in 27?

Into the fourth quarter in 27. Sorry, did you ask 27?

Richard Garcita-Rena Analyst — Barclays

Oh, yeah, I was thinking fourth quarter this year.

So long-term is 350,000 ounces out of all funnels. That's the kind of operating levels.

Richard Garcita-Rena Analyst — Barclays

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question comes from Anita Soni with CIBC World Markets. Anita, your line is open. Please go ahead.

Anita Soni Analyst — CIBC World Markets

Thanks, Natasha, for taking my question. I just had a question with respect to Cadia. and the restart activities. Has everything resumed operations at this point? I think I read that it had, but I was just confused on the pre-call about that.

And Anissa, let me quickly just take a step back because there's various elements that has started and a couple of smaller elements. So we've got two operating caves. The two operating caves are fully back in production in mid-June. Then we have all of the project development work around the two new caves of which PC2-3 is furthest developed. And there's only a last, well, it's the cave establishment that is still underweight, seven more drawbells and then the final maturity of the curve of the cave that's outstanding for PC2-3. All the development work is continuing at the moment. We've got approval for that. It's just the CAIV establishment that has been halted that we need to restart. BC1-2, similar, in that the normal development work is underweight, but CAIV establishment has still been halted. The work that we are doing there is making sure that we've learned from the events. We're working with the regulator, ensuring that all of our models also accurate updating and calibrating our lightest models, making sure that all of our safety protocols, safety controls are in place. And then we will be able to restart the CAIF establishment again. So various components and apologies if that was not clear in the script.

Anita Soni Analyst — CIBC World Markets

Okay, I guess I just wanted to clarify then, why does the regulator feel that it's necessary, that it was okay to restart the operating caves, but the one cave that you're just establishing right now needed that extra bit of work? What's the difference between those two?

The difference is in the seismic activity that exists around existing cave operations. So PC1 and PC2, because it's mature caves, has gone back to background seismicity and there's no risk around seismicity. The nature of cave development, however, and we have been managing it through very well-established trigger action response plans, is that you do see seismic activity during the establishment of the caves. That is why we do have controls in place like our trigger action response plans, re-entry plans, support systems underground, so there's lessons to be learned from these incidents, and like we do out of learning from any incident, similar to the TE2 fatality, we're learning from the incidents, we're making sure that our controls are up to standard and in place, and then we restart, so these are now dissimilar to what we will do under any other circumstances It's where we have events that we need to learn from.

Anita Soni Analyst — CIBC World Markets

Okay. And then just a question around the evolving CapEx outlook for the SPAC half of the year. So, as you mentioned, it's significantly higher, I guess, some of the spending that was supposed to happen in Q2 around Cadia and a couple of other assets did not happen. Do you think you're going to be able to expend it all by the end of the year? And, like, what does the Q3, Q4, I know there's a split of 63% of development capital in the back half and 58% of sustaining capital in the back half. But is there a way we should think about the Q3 versus Q4, similar how you got it to the production? Should we, can you give us a bit of a cadence on the quarters for the sustaining and the development capital?

Yeah, Anita, this is Brian. As it relates to the capital, yes, we are confident in holding to our guidance for both sustaining and development capital. As I mentioned in the pre-prepared remarks, the sustaining capital is about a $150 million increase from Q2 to Q3 is what we're anticipating, and a similar amount from a development capital perspective. The uplift in the third quarter and then leading into a relatively level third and fourth quarter on a comparative basis for sustaining capital, it's driven by the tailings projects at Boddington and Kadia. And as Natasha mentioned, being back up at Kadia is a big component associated with that, as well as the ongoing ventilation upgrades that we have at Tanami, which will be more in the fourth quarter. And then we also have increased summer construction activity at Bruce Jack and Red Chris. So that's sustaining capital. On the development capital side, it's going to be related to the timing of that PC1-2 spend deferred due to that seismic event, as well as the significant work that we have at Lahir for the near shore barrier that that's now planned to ramp up in the second half and then increased spend at Cerro Negro for the expansion one.

Operator

Your next question comes from Lawson Winder with Bank of America Securities. Lawson, your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Lawson Winder Analyst — Bank of America Securities

Thank you, operator. Hello, Natasha and team. Thank you for today's update and really impressive management this quarter in the face of intense cost pressures. If I could, I don't intend to ask at all about the situation with Newmont and Barrick in particular, but just I wanted to focus on the four-mile asset and that calculation and just propose that, you know, I have the sense that the market thinks about Newmont's payment to Barrick upon four mile being put into the Nevada Gold Mines JV is excluding any deductions for Newmont's 38.5% interest in the existing processing facilities. And I believe that's incorrect.

And my question would be, how should the market think about imputing a capital value on Newmont's interest in the processing assets that obviously are completely essential for processing the ore from four mile? um lawson you you are correct there will be this there will be benefit from the synergies out of the ngm um operations that should be um that will contribute to capital benefit and that should offset um against any um capital um requirement from newmont so it's absolute and offset and that that synergies do exist and will be considered um okay that's very helpful

Lawson Winder Analyst — Bank of America Securities

and and then just i mean maybe going forward if there's an opportunity to get some additional color on how that might be done that would be helpful maybe just a note for for future calls and then uh just a follow-up on capital spending consideration so newmont uh has suggested uh the year or the 2026 sustaining and development capex for the business should be kind of similar going forward. So about $2 billion of sustaining and $1.4 billion in development. Does that hold when you add the Red Chris CapEx, assuming you'll proceed with that project?

Yeah, Lawson, the $1.4 billion was for 2026. I think, as Natasha mentioned, when we're in a position to provide an update on the Red Chris full funds decision later this year or into early Q1-27. The impact of Red Crisp would be a consideration on top of that $1.4 billion. But again, that's 2026 only. We'll provide an update on 27 in February.

Thank you for that, Claire. Yeah, it's just important to consider that some of the other projects will start to drop off in the following years because we will be completing BC2-3, we'll be completing T2. So just it's just as further consideration.

Lawson Winder Analyst — Bank of America Securities

Great. Thank you. I look forward to the next update.

Thank you, Zinn.

Operator

Your next question comes from Josh Wolfson with RBC. Josh, your line is now open. You may go ahead.

Josh Wolfson Analyst — RBC

Thank you very much. I noticed there was some new commentary on Ghanaian risks in the release. I'm just wondering if the company's had any engagement with the government on some of this topic and if the company's sort of thinking about how it can manage some of these risks and what it could mean for, I guess, to happen. Thank you.

Yeah, Josh, it's a really good question. And the answer to that is yes. As you know, we've got longstanding relationships in Ghana and we had the benefit of long-term stable relationships in Ghana with the Ahafa district being the product of that. We have been in active conversations. I've personally had the opportunity to engage with the president as recently as last week. Me and my team saw the Minister of Lands and Natural Resources, all of this aiming to develop joint objectives between Ghana and Newmont. We know that the Ghanaian government is keen to ensure that there is local Ghanaian development happening, economic development, but they are very keen to ensure that they protect shareholders' interest and long-term investment. We have entered into agreement through the Minister of Lands to create a working group for Newmont between us and the Minister of Lands to develop what would be a forward-looking agreement to allow us that stability that we need for future potential investments. So active conversations on all of the elements that that you would see in the place at the moment.

Josh Wolfson Analyst — RBC

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Daniel Major with UVS. Daniel, your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Daniel Major Analyst — UBS

Hi, Natasha, Brian. Thanks for the questions. Yeah, the first one, an apologies. I also got cut off. So if anyone has asked this already, I apologize. But, yeah, can you just give us some colour on the next steps in terms of guidance? I think you've previously spoken about looking to re-establish multi-year guidance. Can you just give us a sense of what that would entail and when?

I'm Daniel, and now the question wasn't answered. Apologies for the technical difficulties that we've experienced earlier. year, we are aiming to review the way that we give guidance in February next year. The detail of that is under development. In the meantime, we'll continue to give you some insights and broader insights into the business that will help you. So in the next quarter, we will, for instance, give you a deeper insight in our thinking about exploration and how we are taking that piece of work forward. So, whilst we're working to give you multi-year guidance and what that looks like, we will certainly continue to grow the understanding of our broader business.

Daniel Major Analyst — UBS

Okay, thank you. And then a follow-up one maybe for Brian, just around kind of free cash flow and capital returns. You previously indicated a $1 to $3 billion net cash range. You're $400 million above that now. Should we therefore factor in that you will be getting back to $3 billion in the subsequent quarters so capital returns can exceed free cash flow in the second half of the year?

Yeah, thanks, Daniel. And yeah, we are slightly above the high end of our target for net cash. You're right. We're about $400 million over. Some of the prepared remarks referenced some of the working capital benefits that we saw in the second quarter, you know, that combined with obviously some level of seasonality. So we do target on average to be within that targeted range. But as it relates to share buybacks and thinking through the excess cash component of our capital allocation framework, we do provide that flexibility for exactly that reason. So yes, there is a potential that we would leverage the utilization of that to get us back within the targeted net cash balance.

Daniel Major Analyst — UBS

Great. Thank you. And if I could just squeeze one more in and it's on the subject you don't want to talk about, but just a very specific one. You previously referenced that there was no timeline around the legal enforcement and notice the default in terms of a specific deadline. Is that still the case?

Yeah.

Tanya Jakuskanek Analyst — Scotia Bank

Yeah, it's still the case, Daniel. great thanks a lot thanks daniel your next question comes from tanya jakuskanek from scotia bank tanya your line is now open please go ahead great uh good evening can everybody hear me yes we can hello tanya oh hi natasha um my question lies um about your portfolio natasha You've been, you know, on the role of CEO for, you know, 2026, and you've now stabilized the assets. You're looking at your projects. I'm kind of wondering how you see this portfolio evolving. Do you think you have the correct number of mines or critical mines that you have in place? Or should I look at the portfolio and think that potentially there could still be some divestment? And then when I look at your, you talked about your growth, you know, Wafi Gold food didn't come up. We have some stuff in Chile didn't come up. Yana Koch has been shelved. How should I be thinking about those? Are those also non-core and potentially for sale?

Good question. Thank you, Tanya. So if I look at our 12 operations, with the work that we've done over probably the last 18 months, we have found capital efficient ways of keeping every one of those assets in the portfolio. They can compete for capital. They do comply to our definition of what a world class asset looks like. As long as they deserve their place in the portfolio and they can compete for capital at the moment, we are very comfortable with the 12 assets because, as I've touched on earlier, we've got real meaningful brownfields opportunities on most of these assets, and they are contributing to our performance. we do however continually evaluate that we don't we don't stop we making sure that they deserve their place in the in the portfolio I've touched earlier a little bit on greenfields and brownfields opportunities and I've just commented on the portfolio that we have in terms of our projects pipeline I didn't go into the detail for the further greenfields projects we do and And I have a number of these in the pipeline, Tanya. We have evaluated them and sequenced them in terms of development, because it's important that we continue to move projects through the development pipeline. And I would argue, if you consider the ones that you have spoken about, we have projects in Peru, we have projects in Chile, we have Wafi Golpu. I would argue that Wafi Golpu would be typically one of those that's fairly far out still for us to develop. It's on the outer end of our project pipeline. Some of these others are nearer term. So spending the right amount of capital on the development to bring these projects to a point that we can make capital allocation decisions around them is an important part of the work. Okay.

Tanya Jakuskanek Analyst — Scotia Bank

So how I should be thinking about it is that everything still seems to be a part of the portfolio. So we shouldn't really be. Okay.

Yeah.

Tanya Jakuskanek Analyst — Scotia Bank

Okay. Yeah. Okay. No, that's fine. And then I just wanted to circle back to just the inflationary environment. And, you know, I can't keep count on how many tariffs are being hit everywhere in the world and what else is going on. But besides fuel that we've talked about in terms of any any pressures for you, are you seeing anything else where you're concerned and have your suppliers, you know, pulsing on the pulse, looking at for maybe underground equipment or any other, you know, input into your cost and capital that, you know, you're starting to see a little bit of a tightening of supply?

No, I don't think so, Tanya. We're monitoring that, you know, again, pretty closely with our supply chain. And again, just picking up on the availability, we continue to have no concerns from an availability perspective. But we do run scenarios to consider, you know, potential mitigating action should scenarios manifest themselves. And I think from a cost perspective, that we're still on a monitoring brief. I think it's an element of watching like the rest of the world, how long the conflict goes on, how long the stickiness of inflation flows through the supply chain, and then ultimately how that impacts the input costs that we have or the capital dynamics like you mentioned with equipment. But at the moment, no major concerns, but we continue to monitor it, like I think most companies.

Tanya Jakuskanek Analyst — Scotia Bank

I think, you know, your 2026 guidance provided an inflation expectations of about 3%. Should I still be thinking that, you know, when I think about everything within it, we are in that 3% to 5% for Newmont?

You know, I think that's something that we review annually as part of our guidance setting process and budgeting process as it relates to where we are right now. I think the component on that would be obviously we're guiding to assumption in 2026 of Brent being at $70 a barrel. Obviously that dynamic has been a bit volatile. So there would be a bit of an uptick associated with that. But I think the broader kind of general assumption around inflation, I think that's fairly fair with, again, the caveat that we may see some of that indirect spend start to come through if oil does stick and it starts to make its way through the supply chain.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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