Public Service Enterprise Group Inc Q3 FY2021 Earnings Call
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG)
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Auto-generated speakersLadies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Jesse, and I'm your event operator for today. I'd like to welcome everyone to today's conference entitled Public Service Enterprise Group Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, November 2, 2021, and will be available as an audio webcast on PSEG's Investor Relations website at investor.pseg.com. I'll now turn the call over to your moderator for today, Carlotta Chan. Ma'am, you may go ahead.
Thank you, Jesse. Good morning. PSEG has posted its third quarter 2021 earnings release, attachments and slides detailing operating results by company on our website at investor.pseg.com, and our 10-Q will be filed shortly. The earnings release and other matters discussed during today's call contain forward-looking statements and estimates that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. We will also discuss non-GAAP operating earnings and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, which differ from net income or loss as reported in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States. We include reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial measures and a disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements on our IR website and in today's earnings material. I'll now turn the call over to Ralph Izzo, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of PSEG. Joining Ralph on today's call is Dan Cregg, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of their remarks, there will be time for your questions.
Thank you, Carlotta, and to all of you for joining us on our call this morning. As you have seen, PSEG reported non-GAAP operating earnings of $0.98 per share for the third quarter of 2021 versus $0.96 per share in the year-ago quarter. GAAP results for the third quarter were a net loss of $3.10 per share related to transition charges at PSEG Power, compared to a net income of $1.14 per share for the third quarter of 2020. In this year's quarter, PSEG Power recorded a pretax impairment loss of approximately $2.17 billion to reflect the announced sale of its fossil generating fleet, which includes $13 million of other related costs. Results for the third quarter bring non-GAAP operating earnings for the first nine months of 2021 to $2.96 per share. The 6.5% increase over non-GAAP results of $2.78 per share for the first nine months of 2020 reflects the growing contribution from our regulated operations and continued derisking at PSEG Power. The third quarter of 2021 was one of the most significant in recent PSEG history. Since July, we've announced the sale of the Power fossil fleet and reached a transmission rate settlement that will help lower customer bills. In addition, at our recent investor conference, we announced an increase in our five-year capital spending plan by $1 billion, a $0.12 per share increase to the common stock dividend for 2022, a $500 million share repurchase program expected to be implemented upon the close of the fossil sale, and initiated a 5% to 7% long-term earnings growth projection over the 2022 to 2025 period. On the ESG front, we've advanced our decarbonization efforts with the elimination of coal in our fuel mix this past June. Our participation in the New Jersey Wind Port and ongoing consideration of regional offshore wind opportunities in generation and transmission demonstrates our alignment with the clean energy agenda. Our Clean Energy Future program was recently named a star of energy efficiency recipient. Of critical importance, we've staked out a leadership position in the industry by accelerating our net zero vision to 2030 and joining the UN-backed Race to Zero campaign that will put us on a path to establish science-based targets for all of our emissions across Scopes 1, 2, and 3. Later this week, I will be attending COP26 to engage with policymakers and further support emissions reduction goals. This includes advocating for climate action now and advancing the case for preserving existing nuclear generation. This month, we issued a combined sustainability and climate report that outlines our progress to date and commitments for the future. We intend to continue taking meaningful climate action in response to the increased frequency and severity of extreme weather in our service area. Speaking of extreme weather, tropical storm Ida soaked parts of New Jersey with nearly nine inches of rain within a 24-hour period and caused extensive flooding throughout the state. Our past and current Energy Strong investments that hardened flood-prone energy infrastructure brought tremendous benefit to customers during Ida, minimizing the damage to adaptive substations and switching stations and keeping them operational. However, the extreme weather did wreak havoc throughout our service area, and our thoughts go out to the families who lost loved ones to the storm and to the community still recovering from flood-damaged homes and businesses. To continue these enhancements and bring them closer to the customer, we are expanding our reliability improvement programs to the last mile of work we plan to propose in our upcoming infrastructure advancement program, which we plan to file with the BPU in a few days. This proposal, if approved, would direct approximately $848 million of investment over a four-year period to improve the reliability of our electric distribution system, addressing aging substations and gas metering and regulating stations and electric vehicle charging infrastructure at PSE&G facilities that will support the planned electrification of the utility fleet. All of this while serving the dual purpose of creating important high-quality jobs and helping to further stimulate the New Jersey economy. The foundation of our results for the quarter was the solid operating performances by both PSE&G and PSEG Power. This summer, the third hottest on record, contributed to the hottest first nine months we've ever recorded, pushing a number of total hours with temperatures exceeding 90 degrees or more, nearly 65% higher than the same period in 2020 and versus normal, thereby increasing peak demand. The conservation incentive program effective since June 1 for electric and October 1 for natural gas provides recovery for variations in customer usage due to weather, economic conditions, and energy efficiency, thereby enabling the utility to promote maximum customer participation in energy efficiency programs without the loss of margin from lower sales. This also has a stabilizing effect on our margins more broadly. The continued reopening of the New Jersey economy is unwinding some of the shift in sales experienced during most of 2020. Residential electric sales declined adjusted for weather as more people return to work, school, and other activities outside the home, partially offset by higher commercial and industrial sales. Due to the warmer-than-normal summer weather and the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions, the daily peak load for the quarter topped out at 9,620 megawatts compared to last year's third quarter daily peak, which was slightly less at 9,557 megawatts. Our peak load for the year remains the 10,064 megawatts we hit on June 30, which exceeded the 10,000 megawatt mark for the first time since 2013. Moving to the Zero Carbon and infrastructure side of PSEG, we recently announced that we have submitted several joint proposals to New Jersey's competitive state agreement approach, open window to build offshore wind transmission infrastructure. These joint proposals submitted with Orsted are collectively named the Coastal Wind Link and leverage the experienced partnership of PSEG and Orsted in New Jersey energy infrastructure, our commitment to diverse suppliers, and our mature working relationships with local building and construction trades. The proposals cover onshore upgrades, new onshore transmission connection facilities, new offshore transmission connection facilities, and a networked offshore transmission system in any standalone configuration or combination. PJM is providing the technical analysis and recommendations to the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities, who will make the final decisions based on an evaluation of reliability and economic benefits, cost, constructability, environmental benefits, permitting risks, and other myriad New Jersey benefits. A BPU decision is not expected before the third or fourth quarter of 2022. FERC has granted PJM's request to delay the next capacity auction covering the 2023, 2024 energy year to late January 2022. This revised timeline places the 2024, 2025 auction into August of 2022 and the 2025-2026 auction into February of 2023. These upcoming capacity auctions will provide additional surety to the gross margin of our nuclear fleet in the outer years of our 2021 to 2025 planning horizon. Nuclear Power's economic struggles are a national challenge that call for a broad federal solution so that individual states like New Jersey aren't shouldering more than their share of the load. We are continuing efforts to secure support for existing at-risk nuclear plants in the federal tax code. The House version of the Build Back Better infrastructure legislation currently contains an eight-year production tax credit for existing nuclear at $15 per megawatt hour, with the value of the credit declining as market revenues increase. The proposal has support in the Senate and from the Biden administration. While passage is not assured, this would be an impactful provision for the nation's nuclear fleet, and we are hopeful that Congress can enact this this fall. You may recall that New Jersey's ZEC law contained considerable customer protections and specifically requires that state zero-emission certificate payments, which I just referred to as ZEC payments, be offset by any out-of-market payment compensating nuclear for the same zero-carbon attribute. Specific to the nuclear production tax credit, the value of the PTC for our New Jersey units would reduce the ZEC payment up to the maximum of $10 per megawatt hour. However, the ZEC would not reduce the value of the PTC, and our share of the two Pennsylvania Peach Bottom units would benefit from the full production tax credit. Moving forward, there needs to be broad recognition at both the state and federal level of the value of nuclear's zero-carbon attributes, both for the quality of the air today and the climate tomorrow. To avoid backsliding for decades to come, we need to ensure that the long-term viability of New Jersey's nuclear generation is preserved as we bring more clean energy resources into the mix. Turning my attention to guidance, we are raising our forecast for full-year 2021 non-GAAP operating earnings to a range of $3.55 per share to $3.70 per share from the prior range of $3.50 to $3.65 per share, based on results in the first nine months of the year. Results for the third quarter and the first nine months incorporate the planned August 1 implementation of PSE&G's transmission rate settlement. In addition, full-year forecasted results also reflect PSEG Power's cessation of depreciation expense on the fossil assets based upon the move to held-for-sale accounting treatment in August, while otherwise continuing to contribute to consolidated results. We are also reaffirming PSEG's 2022 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $3.30 to $3.60 per share. We remain on track to execute on PSE&G's 2021 planned capital spend of $2.7 billion. This spend is part of PSEG's consolidated five-year $15 billion to $17 billion capital plan, which we still intend to execute without the need to issue new equity, offering the opportunity for consistent and sustainable growth in our dividend. Following the close of the sale of the fossil assets, PSEG will be a 90% regulated and predominantly contracted platform of stable carbon-friendly businesses. As we continue to execute on this strategy, alongside the significant financial announcements made in our recent investor conference, we remain fully dedicated to providing our shareholders with the premier opportunity to pursue sustainable growth in earnings and dividends with an industry-leading ESG platform. I'll turn the call over to Dan for more details on our operating results, and I'll be available for your questions after his remarks.
Great. Thank you, Ralph, and good morning, everybody. As Ralph said, PSEG reported non-GAAP operating earnings for the third quarter of $0.98 per share versus $0.96 per share in last year's third quarter. We provided you with information on Slides 12 and 14 regarding the contribution to non-GAAP operating earnings by business for the quarter and the year-to-date period, and Slides 13 and 15 containing corresponding waterfall charts that take you through the net changes in non-GAAP operating earnings by major business. So now I'll review each company in more detail starting with PSE&G. PSE&G reported net income of $389 million, or $0.77 per share for the third quarter of 2021 compared with net income of $313 million, or $0.61 per share for the third quarter of 2020. PSE&G's third quarter results rose by $0.16 per share over the third quarter of 2020 and reflect revenue growth from ongoing capital investments as well as one-time items. Growth in transmission rate base added $0.01 per share for third quarter net income even after incorporating the August 1 implementation of PSE&G's transmission rate settlement, which FERC in October returned on equity and our formula rate can 9.9%. Electric margin added $0.02 per share to net income compared to the year-ago quarter as the conservation incentive program, combined with Energy Strong to roll-ins, more than offset a reduction in weather-normalized volumes. Gas results were $0.04 favorable compared to the year-ago quarter, reflecting the absence of the gas weather normalization clause reversal in the third quarter of 2020. O&M expense was $0.01 per share favorable compared to the year-ago quarter, and nonoperating pension expense was $0.02 per share favorable compared to the third quarter of 2020. Lastly, tax expense was $0.06 favorable compared to the third quarter of 2020, driven by the timing of taxes to reflect PSE&G's lower estimated annual effective tax rate due to higher tax flowbacks in 2021. This impact is expected to reverse next quarter when PSE&G finalizes its actual tax rate for the year. Moving to sales for the quarter, the weather for the third quarter of 2021 was 4% warmer than the year-ago period and 22% warmer than normal, with a significantly higher than normal number of hours at 90 degrees or greater. On a trailing 12-month basis, weather-normalized electric sales were flat, and gas sales were up nearly 2%. Growth in the number of both electric and gas customers rose by approximately 1.5% each versus the third quarter of 2020. Ralph mentioned earlier, the stabilizing impact of the conservation incentive program, now fully in effect for both electric and gas margins, resetting those margins to a baseline level. Going forward, about 95% of our electric distribution and 90% of gas distribution will be stabilized via this mechanism, which will still pass through the variation in the actual number of customers. PSE&G's capital program remains on schedule. PSE&G invested approximately $670 million in the third quarter, aggregating to $1.95 billion year-to-date through September. This capital is part of 2021's $2.7 billion electric and gas capital program to upgrade transmission and distribution infrastructure, enhance reliability, and increase resiliency. We continue to forecast that over 90% of PSEG's planned capital investment will be directed to the utility over the 2021 to 2025 time frame. We have raised PSE&G's forecast of net income for 2021 to $1.430 billion to $1.480 billion from $1.420 billion to $1.470 billion. Now moving to Power, Power reported a net loss of $1.933 billion, or $3.84 per share for the third quarter of 2021, non-GAAP operating earnings of $119 million, or $0.23 per share, and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $237 million. This compares to the third quarter 2020 net income of $254 million, or $0.51 per share; non-GAAP operating earnings of $167 million, or $0.33 per share; and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $349 million. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA excludes the same items from non-GAAP operating earnings measure as well as income tax expense, interest expense, depreciation and amortization expense, and the benefit of net operating loss purchases, which are included in net income. The earnings release on Slide 23 provides you with a detailed analysis of the items having an impact on PSEG Power's non-GAAP operating earnings relative to net income year-over-year. We've also provided you with more detail on generation for the quarter and for the year-to-date 2021 on Slide 24. Power's third quarter non-GAAP operating earnings were $0.10 per share lower than third quarter 2020 results. The recontracting and market impacts reduced results by $0.11 per share as the seasonal shape of hedging activity and higher cost to serve load versus the year-ago quarter lowered gross margin. The sale of the solar source portfolio earlier in the year also lowered gross margin results by $0.02 compared to the year-ago quarter. The retirement of Bridgeport Harbor 3 on May 31, and Power's last coal unit, lowered New England capacity revenues by $0.01 per share versus the third quarter of 2020. Gas operations were lower by $0.02 per share, reflecting the absence of a pipeline recon received in last year's third quarter. O&M expenses lowered results by $0.01 per share compared to the year-ago quarter, as higher nuclear costs were partly offset by lower solar expenses and lower depreciation expense associated with fossil assets moving to held-for-sale accounting status and the sale of the solar source portfolio, combined with lower interest expenses adding $0.08 per share versus the year-ago quarter. Lastly, taxes and other items were unfavorable compared to the third quarter of 2020. Gross margin in the third quarter of 2021 was $28 per megawatt hour compared to $33 per megawatt hour for the last year's third quarter. This decline reflects the seasonal price impact of recontracting, including the third quarter's anticipated higher portion of the $2 per megawatt hour annualized price decline in the hedged portfolio. We expect recontracting results in the fourth quarter of 2021 to moderate from Q3 levels. Now let's turn to PSEG Power's operations, with total generation output of 14.9 terawatt hours matching the output of third quarter 2020. Power's combined cycle fleet produced 6.8 terawatt hours of output in response to higher market prices. The nuclear fleet operated at an average capacity factor of 94.8% for the quarter, producing 8.1 terawatt hours, which represents 54% of total generation. For the balance of 2021, total baseload and combined cycle generation is forecasted to be 12 to 14 terawatt hours, hedged 85% to 90% at an average price of $32 per megawatt hour. Power's third quarter activity included the announcement of the fossil sale to ArcLight in August of this year. As previously mentioned, PSEG fossil's assets have been reclassified to held for sale as of the date of the announcement. This change has prompted the cessation of depreciation and amortization expense for these held-for-sale units and resulted in a favorable impact on GAAP and non-GAAP operating earnings through the close of the sale and contributed to the increase of our 2021 full year non-GAAP operating earnings guidance. Power has raised the forecast for its non-GAAP operating earnings for 2021 to $365 million to $440 million from $350 million to $425 million. Our estimate of non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA has also been raised to $870 million to $970 million from $850 million to $950 million. Now let me briefly address operating results for Enterprise and Other, where for the third quarter, we reported a net loss of $20 million, or $0.03 per share compared to net income of $8 million, or $0.02 per share for the third quarter of 2020. The non-GAAP operating loss for the third quarter was $13 million, or $0.02 per share compared to non-GAAP operating earnings of $8 million, or $0.02 per share for the third quarter of 2020. Results this quarter reflected higher tax and O&M expenses at the parent versus the year-ago period. For 2021, the forecast for Enterprise and Other is unchanged at a non-GAAP operating loss of $20 million. From a financial standpoint at September 30, we had approximately $3 billion of available liquidity as well as cash and cash equivalents of $1.8 billion, and debt represented 58% of our consolidated capital. PSEG Power had net cash collateral postings of $999 million at September 30 related to out-of-the-money hedge positions resulting from higher energy prices during the third quarter of 2021. It's been several years since the sustained rise in power prices has caused collateral postings of this magnitude. Our liquidity and cash position are ample and capable of accommodating additional cash collateral postings if necessary. Overall, our ratable hedging program remains an effective risk management tool that we implement over a rolling three-year period, which smooths volatility in earnings through the averaging of forward sales. Importantly, it locks in gross margin. Turning to financing during the quarter. In August, PSE&G issued $425 million of 1.9% secured medium-term notes due 2031. Also in August, PSEG entered into a $1.25 billion 364-day variable rate term loan agreement. In September, Power retired its remaining three senior notes totaling $1.4 billion on October 8. These remaining notes were retired at a redemption price that included a make-whole premium of approximately $294 million. Following the retirement of all its debt, PSEG Power's 8.625% senior notes due 2031 were delisted from the New York Stock Exchange effective October 18. Because PSEG Power no longer has any registered securities outstanding, we'll go through a process to terminate the status of the SEC registrant. In October, Moody's lowered the credit ratings of PSE&G, PSEG Power, and PSEG. The current senior secured ratings of PSE&G are A1 and A from Moody's and S&P, respectively, with stable credit outlooks from both agencies. PSEG's senior unsecured credit ratings and PSEG Power's issuer credit ratings are Baa2 and BBB from Moody's and S&P, respectively, also with stable outlooks from both agencies. As we outlined during the investor conference, we raised PSEG's 2021 to 2025 capital program by $1 billion to a range of $15 billion to $17 billion. We continue to anticipate execution of this five-year capital program without the need to issue new equity as we continue to offer a compelling shareholder dividend, with the opportunity for consistent and sustainable growth. As Ralph mentioned, we've raised our 2021 guidance of non-GAAP operating earnings for the full year to $3.55 to $3.70 per share based on solid results year-to-date and the benefit from cessation of depreciation on fossil assets. We are also accounting for the initial 2022 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $3.30 to $3.60 per share that we provided at the investor conference on September 27. That concludes my remarks, and Ralph and I are ready to take questions.
Speakers, our first question is from Jeremy Tonet of JPMorgan.
Just want to start off with the nuclear PTC, if I could. Just wondered if you might be able to talk a little bit more about the type of support you're seeing there, confidence that it makes it through to the end. And if it does, maybe just kind of the impact on your business helping derisk. And if there's any possible benefit the agencies could see that could have a positive reaction here if this does go all the way through.
Jeremy, yes, so I feel very good about the bipartisan nature of the support for the PTC. I would be less than candid if I didn't express some concerns and hesitation about the overarching piece of legislation to which it's attached. So the debate that's taking place, as you know, is around two separate pieces of legislation. One is a roughly $1 trillion bipartisan bill. The PTC is not part of that. Then there's, depending upon what price counts you believe, a $1.75 trillion to $1.85 trillion bill that is not bipartisan that requires reconciliation rules and full Democratic Party support to get through. But the nuclear component has not attracted any controversy whatsoever. I believe the estimates in that bill say that there's about $550 billion of that legislation dedicated to climate mitigation. And there's widespread recognition that if we're going to make progress, it has to be based upon the existing nuclear fleet still being around upon which to build that progress. So the House version has an eight-year PTC. Roughly speaking, it targets an all-in $15 per megawatt hour of tax credits starting with energy prices of $25 per megawatt hour or less. Then there's a declining scale of the PTC benefit as market revenues climb above $25 per megawatt hour, removing $0.80 of the PTC for every dollar above that level. It kind of gets you to a $40 per megawatt hour or so outcome. There's a pre and post-tax adjustment, but for simplicity's sake. So it's really great news. And I think just today, for example, President Biden announced an SMR development project in Romania that's going to be done with new scale. You should check the press accounts on that. I don't want to speak for others, but it's just indicative of the support that nuclear is gaining in recognition of the pretty aggressive carbon reduction goals that need to be achieved.
Yes, Jeremy, the other part of your question was how the rating agencies will look at it. And clearly, longer-term support for nuclear is going to be much more valuable and stabilizing than something on a shorter-term basis. And that's something that we've been pretty vocal about for quite some time. And I think that's a positive as well. The number of years that's been tied into the PTC has moved around a little bit; Ralph mentioned earlier, for an eight-year period. So we'll see where it goes. But I do think that what you have seen is increasing support universally. We saw it initially in New Jersey as we went through the ZEC process, and I think folks are getting on board in Washington as well.
I don't want to beat it to death, Jeremy, but in addition to emphasizing our forward-looking statements, I would just remind you of the history of ITC and PTC. They've all had five- and ten-year lifespans that have been renewed for multiple decades. So I'm not at all worried about the eight-year PTC. By the way, I do want to add one other thing happening at COP26 right now that's great news for us is that there is a growing consensus around a 30% reduction in methane by the year 2030. There's an article written today by Fred Krupp of EDF in the Wall Street Journal highlighting the importance of methane reduction. That is just incredibly supportive of our Gas System Modernization Program and continued funding for that expansion. I think between nuclear, offshore wind, and methane reduction, we're really quite well positioned for some important investments going forward.
Got it. That's very helpful. Maybe switching gears here a bit. As we look to the 4Q update and kind of the narrowing of the 22% range, can you give us a little more color on some of the items that have been coming in ahead of plan this year and how to think about those items if they're sustainable into 2022, excluding the fossil sale impact?
Yes, I think rather than sort of front-running our own guidance, just by way of reminder, we do expect to narrow that. The real variability is around the pension. Equity markets have been strong. Interest rates have been low. They work against each other in terms of our projected benefit obligation at year-end. But I don't think we want to go further than that at this point in time, Jeremy.
Got it. Just wanted to try. Appreciate that. And maybe last one, if I could here. Just thinking through the potential changes at FERC and returned to a full commission. Can you frame some of your expectations moving forward as we think about the transmission items out there and the future of the MOPR?
Yes. Well, in terms of the future of the MOPR, that's candidly becoming less of a concern for us if the fossil sale is announced. I mean, energy revenues are really the primary consideration for nuclear plants. That's not to say that we completely disregard capacity revenues for our nuclear fleet. Having said that, our units have not needed to be mitigated according to the IMM, so they should be able to compete in that capacity market whatever that ends up being in the future. I'd say the other changes at FERC that we're eagerly anticipating is the recognition of the importance of transmission investment to carbon mitigation. That's a little bit of a head scratcher when you think about some of the mentions earlier this year about reducing the RTO adder for a transmission ROE, which seems to have quieted down right now. It has given way to the ANOPR, the Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, which is looking at transmission planning on a much more comprehensive basis. So I just think at a high level, the things that are being discussed and taken up are favorable to our business, both in terms of nuclear being able to participate in capacity markets and states being able to make renewable energy decisions free of penalties from the prior version of the MOPR, which is important to a state like New Jersey, where people otherwise would have been paying twice for offshore wind capacity, which would have significant crimping of the headroom on the utility bill, which now we don't have to worry about as much.
Next question is from Julien Dumoulin-Smith of Bank of America.
If I can keep going with Jeremy's thought process here on reconciliation and prospects. I wanted to just focus a little bit more on some of the complementary nature of nuclear and specifically hydrogen here. I mean as you see the magnitude of that potential subsidy here and the opportunities afforded therein, how are you thinking about that being a complement to your current nuclear portfolio and strategy? Understanding there's all sorts of different nuances here, but would be curious to hear this as you stand here today and assuming there is something that stays the course, how could or does this fit into a future strategy?
So we're closely monitoring the progress of hydrogen, Julien. But to your point, I mean, the value of it to nuclear would be the ability to avoid any cycling of the nuclear plants and being able to then yield to the lack of dispatchability of renewables and then to just continue the base load operations in nuclear, where in some cases, the offtaker might be an electrolysis project or some other hydrogen creation. There's a hearing, I think, this week or next week in the Senate on alternate sources of nuclear power in terms of its applicability to the health sciences and medical fields. I think there's just a growing recognition of nuclear as a carbon mitigant and the multiple ways that we need to act to keep it around and keep it vibrant, whether it's a PTC, or a source for hydrogen creation, or for medical science. I don't mean to be a skunk at the party, though I do think that there needs to be much more conversation around the safety of large scale hydrogen generation than we're seeing right now in various forms. That's an engineering challenge. But as with other engineering challenges, I'm sure there are solutions; that does need to be discussed much more prominently than it's getting attention right now.
And maybe related to this, if I can, how are you thinking about just hedging? I heard your comments on collateral postings earlier, but how are you thinking about taking advantage of the current commodity deck and, frankly, any other, should we say, long-term contracting opportunities that might be arising, whether that's crypto or data centers looking above and beyond hydrogen opportunities? I mean, certainly, we haven't seen this robust, as you say, a commodity environment in some time.
Yes, Julien. I think some of the crypto stuff is a little bit more niche opportunities. I think you should think about what we're doing as being aligned with what we've talked about in the past. We still think that a multi-year hedging program for baseload power, such as nuclear, does make sense. What you saw within some of the numbers that we provided aligned very closely to if you were to step back over time and take a look at where forward prices have been for the years that we've hedged, and take a look at those hedge prices, it's consistent with exactly what we've told you that we have done on that front. That said, we've always talked a little bit about the fact that while that's a general range, there is a little bit of a range around what we can hedge as we go through those times. And so in times like what we've seen more recently, there's been a little bit more activity to try to capture some of those prices. But if you think about it over the long run and over a three-year hedging period, you're not going to be able to move the needle that much with respect to what's been done on the nearer term. And as you step out, while prices are a little bit backwardated, there's maybe a little bit less of an opportunity; you're into a little bit of a challenge on liquidity. So will we seek to capture some of these higher prices? Absolutely. But should you anticipate that it's going to have a very big move on the needle? I think, against the backdrop of a base of hedges that we have and the backwardation and some liquidity challenges on the back end, it will be a more moderated impact.