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PLD · Prologis, Inc.

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$141.03 -0.18 (-0.13%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$131.49B
Shares
932.34M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Prologis, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Prologis, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Jan 21, 2026 Audio replay
Jan 21, 2026 44:05 69 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
44:05
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Prologis delivered Q4 core FFO of $1.44 per share ($1.46 excluding net promote expense), finishing the year at the top end of its guidance range, with same-store NOI growth of 4.7% net effective and 5.7% cash ahead of midpoint, while expanding U.S. occupancy outperformance to 300 bps and growing its data center power pipeline and solar capacity past 1.1 gigawatts.

Leasing demand and occupancy 30 Data center / power platform 29 Development and capital deployment 20 Operating momentum and financial results 17 Strategic Capital and AUM growth 13 Market inflection and rent growth 8

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +72 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We delivered a strong fourth quarter and closed the year with solid financial and operational momentum driven by disciplined execution”
  • “We are progressing through three stages of inflection we outlined last quarter: evidence of enduring demand, resulting build in occupancy followed by an inflection in rents. We are now seeing all three at varying stages and paces across our geographies setting up for a constructive 2026.”
  • “net effective rent change for the year to more than 50%”
  • “Fourth quarter core FFO was $1.44 per share including net promote expense and $1.46 per share, excluding net promote expense, finishing the year at the top end of both our most recent and inaugural guidance ranges.”

Forward guidance

9 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue $2.25B +2.4% YoY
Diluted EPS $1.49 +8.8% YoY
Net income $1.48B +10.4% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Q4 core FFO of $1.44/share finished year at top end of guidance range
  • Owned and managed occupancy of 95.3% in Q4 and period-end 95.8%, with U.S. outperformance vs. market expanding to 300 basis points
  • Same-store NOI growth of 4.7% net effective and 5.7% cash in Q4, both ahead of guidance midpoint; full year at 4.8% top end
  • Net effective rent change of 44% in Q4 (50%+ for the year), contributing ~$60M of annualized NOI and leaving ~$800M of embedded NOI in 18% mark-to-market
  • Sold ~$900M of assets and acquired $625M at a 150 bps positive expected IRR spread
  • Started $1.1B of developments in Q4 and $3.1B for the year, with build-to-suit at 61% of full-year starts

Risks & pressure points

  • Net effective rent change expected to decelerate to high-30s/~40% in 2026 from 50%+ in 2025, reducing mark-to-market contribution
  • Duke acquisition FPLA continues to drag net effective same-store growth by 75 to 100 bps and will persist for a few more years
  • Development deployment drag expected in 2026 due to lighter 2024 and 2025 starts
  • Tariff policy cited as an ongoing uncertainty, though treated more as a planning assumption by customers

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“We are now seeing all three at varying stages and paces across our geographies setting up for a constructive 2026. Fourth quarter net absorption was 59 million square feet in the U.S., a strong finish to the year and further evidence that demand is both visible and building. Higher absorption levels exceeded completions for the first time since 2022, resulting in a decline in U.S. vacancy to 7.4%.” Tim Arndt, CFO
“During the quarter, we expanded our power access to 5.7 gigawatts, stabilized 72 megawatts of projects, and sold a state-of-the-art turnkey facility at compelling economics. In terms of leasing, demand is exceptional, and every megawatt in our pipeline is in some stage of discussion, including 1.2 gigawatts currently in LOI or pending lease execution.” Tim Arndt, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Jan 21, 2026.

Metric Guided
Average occupancy - Prologis Share
2026
94.75% – 95.75%
Strategic capital revenue, excluding promote revenue
2026
$650M – $670M
General & administrative expenses
2026
$500M – $520M
Realized development gains
2026
$400M – $600M
Development stabilizations
2026
$2.25B – $2.75B
Development starts
2026
$3B – $4B
Acquisitions
2026
$1B – $1.5B
Dispositions
2026
$1.75B – $2.25B
Contributions
2026
$1.5B – $2B

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$1.07
Full-screen source Call document