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PM · Philip Morris International Inc.

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$190.39 +1.48 (+0.78%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$296.74B
Shares
1.56B
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Philip Morris International Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Philip Morris International Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 6, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 6, 2026 1:12:52 47 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
1:12:52
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

PMI delivered a fifth consecutive year of volume growth in 2025 with smoke-free products up 12.8% and adjusted diluted EPS of $7.54 (+14.2% currency-neutral), while renewing its three-year growth targets for 2026-2028.

Smoke-free product growth and transformation 93 US ZYN business and competitive gaps 57 2026 outlook and three-year targets renewal 40 Financial performance and earnings growth 15 Combustibles / Marlboro performance 12 Regulatory / excise tax risk on nicotine pouches 12

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +78 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 was another outstanding year for PMI.”
  • “Our strong brand offering, which includes high-quality science-backed products in all three smoke-free products categories, allows us to better serve consumers and enhance our financial performance.”
  • “Even more impressive is the smoke-free gross contribution, which has essentially doubled in five years to 43% of total PMI.”
  • “Indeed, we have successfully achieved our three-year CAGR targets for organic OI and currency-neutral EPS in two years.”

Forward guidance

9 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $10.36B +6.8% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 65.5% +0.8 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $2.14B

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Smoke-free shipment volumes grew 12.8% with organic smoke-free gross profit up 18.7%, and smoke-free now accounts for ~43% of total gross profit.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS grew 14.2% currency-neutral to $7.54, the strongest growth since 2011 ex-pandemic recovery, exceeding the company's expectations.
  • Organic operating income grew 10.6% with ~140 bps of organic margin expansion, and adjusted operating margin returned to above 40%.
  • ZYN shipments grew 37% in the US despite first-half supply constraints, with 27 markets now exceeding 50% smoke-free net revenue and 8 markets over 75%.
  • Combustibles delivered robust top- and bottom-line performance with Marlboro reaching a historic high share, and operating cash flow of $12.2 billion matched the 2024 record.
  • Company renewed 2026-2028 growth targets after achieving its prior three-year CAGR targets in just two years, targeting leverage of ~2x by 2026 and dividend payout close to ~75% of adjusted diluted EPS.

Risks & pressure points

  • Currency guidance for 2026 includes a ~13¢ transactional headwind, with a negative yen impact expected and a 4¢ transactional loss in Q4 largely tied to the Russian ruble and Swiss franc.
  • ZYN faces structural gaps versus competition in higher nicotine strengths (e.g., 9mg) and price/premium positioning, requiring FDA engagement.
  • Turkey experienced supply chain issues impacting combustibles performance during the quarter.
  • A proposed New York excise tax increase on nicotine pouches was flagged as counterproductive and potentially shortsighted, raising regulatory risk for ZYN.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“We accomplished this through strong pricing, portfolio resilience, and disciplined execution, with Marlborough reaching a historic high share. Managing this business responsibly enables us to invest boldly in better alternatives and sustain our smoke-free momentum. Together, these factors enabled us to deliver 15% adjusted diluted EPS growth in dollar terms, the strongest growth since 2011, excluding the pandemic recovery year of 2021.” Jacek Olczak, CEO
“With another strong performance expected in 2026 despite some transitory headwinds, we are today renewing these growth targets for the next three years, further validating our best-in-class growth profile within consumer packaged goods. Importantly, this is accompanied by strong and increasing cash generation, and we target the leverage ratio of close to 2x by 2026 at prevailing exchange rates. With our dividend payout now close to our objective of around 75% of adjusted diluted EPS, this provides capacity for strong returns to shareholders.” Jacek Olczak, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 6, 2026.

Metric Guided
Reported Diluted EPS
2026 Full-Year Forecast
$7.87 – $8.02
Organic operating income growth
2026 Full-Year Forecast Assumptions
7% – 9%
Organic net revenue growth
2026 Full-Year Forecast Assumptions
5% – 7%
Operating cash flow
2026 Full-Year Forecast Assumptions
$13.5B
Adjusted Diluted EPS
First quarter
$1.80 – $1.85
Capital expenditures
2026 Full-Year Forecast Assumptions
$1.4B – $1.6B
Net revenues organic compound annual growth
2026 to 2028
6% – 8%
Operating income organic compound annual growth
2026 to 2028
8% – 10%
Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency
2026 to 2028
9% – 11%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$1.47
Full-screen source Call document