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Wells Fargo 16th Annual Industrials & Materials Conference

Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR)

Conference Call date: 2026-06-09 Concluded

Transcript

· tap a word to jump the audio 34:52 Audio
Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

Thank you very much. Welcome back from lunch. We had a great session with Senator Manchin, so appreciate everybody joining that. I thought it was super informative and interesting to kind of dig through the political dynamic. We have a return to the transportation track this afternoon and specifically on the trucking side and we are very pleased to be joined by the gentleman from Schneider National. We have Daryl Campbell all the way down, EVP and Chief Financial Officer, and Jim Filter, EVP, Group President of Transportation and Logistics. gentlemen thanks so much for joining appreciate it I think you know the way we've started most of these is to kind of just do a bit of an overview of what you guys are seeing so far in the market the second quarter has been pretty dynamic seems like maybe we're beginning to add a little bit more demand to the market and certainly capacity is getting tighter so maybe I'll turn it over to you for a couple of comments there and we'll dig into the business yeah yeah well I'd say demand well there's you know some pockets of strength certainly especially in what we're seeing with production, picking up a little bit.

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Generally, it's been stable is the way I would characterize it, demand. But what we've seen the most activity is capacity exiting the market. If you think about it, one thing that we keep talking to customers about, we've been discussing this for a long time, that over the last decade, truck accidents are up almost 20%. And despite the fact that large trucking companies like Schneider have been making a lot of investments, are actually improving crash frequency, the overall market has been growing. Overall number of crashes has been growing. Certainly part of that is a more distracted public. But we knew that something else was going on here. And we do applaud the administration saying, look, that's enough. We've got to address this. And there are so many different facets that they're addressing here. Whether it's I'm taking a group of drivers from another part of the world that don't understand what it's like to drive here, I'm going to skip the normal type of certification, the normal type of training, I'm not following ELDs, there's so many different steps that they've been avoiding is really what's resulted in crashes increasing at this rate. And that is starting to come out, and it's exiting very quickly. But we'd still say there's probably half that capacity is still out there in the marketplace that's still ahead of us. So as much as we've seen so far, I believe that there's still more room to run there.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And so what about the second quarter has been so dynamic for the spot rates? Is it more just the capacity side where we are starting to see those exits? I think it was notable the May FMCSA carrier authorization numbers did take a more meaningful step down than we had seen the previous couple of months. I know, obviously, we had road checks, so maybe there's some of those factors kind of playing in. So maybe talk a little bit about what the sort of maybe specific catalysts of the spring have been.

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah, so every year, the last three years, we've seen this with road check followed by Memorial Day. That is also a good indicator that the people that are not operating legally were looking for a place to hide. and we're coming out every single year so not surprising there that you know we're seeing those those type of factors this year was no different in terms of seeing uh that type of impact uh as well as you know when we're talking about the capacity that is exiting it's the most irrational capacity they're not playing by the same rules as everybody else that have been governed that's really why i believe that this down cycle has lasted so long as the capacity that was added right after the pandemic they weren't playing by the same rules it took them a long time to come out and we're just starting to see the front end of that

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

yeah okay that makes sense and let's touch a bit on the demand side I think you said stable if we could kind of think about it whether it's the you know obviously housing has been sort of the piece that's been largely absent from any of the discussion the consumers probably been fairly resilient over the last couple of years I think there's optimism that maybe industrial is getting better we've seen ISM improve but maybe that's not really flowing through yet so how would you sort of think about those big buckets of demand yeah seeing ism is favorable we're seeing those buckets are starting to flow through what we haven't seen is with interest rates you know we came into the year expecting that we could see a couple of interest rate cuts at this point we're probably just as likely to see an interest rate increase as a cut

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

and so those parts of our portfolio you know home building everything that goes into a new home being created, as well as automotive, perhaps not as strong as what it could be had we seen a rate decrease.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

That's helpful. And then I think as we're sitting here, we're getting to the tail end of what is the traditional bid season with a lot of implementation of these contracts coming in and then flowing into the second half of the year. I guess maybe if you could give us a lay of the land of how you think it's been progressing so far.

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah. So as we talked about on our call, what we had seen was mid to high single digits, but But there were shippers that took much larger decreases over the last year or so. Those shippers were seeing double-digit increases. At the same time, allocation events aren't the only way that prices start to move for this industry. That's one factor. And those shippers that aren't making as much movement as it relates to those allocation events, as a shipper, they don't have to guarantee that they're going to have the freight for As a carrier, we don't have to promise that we're going to have a driver available. And so there's an opportunity here of what freight we're actually accepting. Are there additional opportunities out there in the market that we're able to move? Of course, there's also opportunity within the spot market to be able to capture price.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And so I guess as you think about that, we've begun to hear a little bit more discussion of double-digit rates. I think you noted that some of the shippers that maybe had gotten lower ones are beginning to get that. I guess how would the mechanics work in the back half of the year if the rate environment continues to draft higher? So obviously we think traditionally about a lot of the work being done in the first half of the year, but there is going to be some flow through if things continue to sort of percolate.

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

So is it mini-bid activity kind of picks up, and we'll see sort of that flow in? obviously you guys have some spot exposure not obviously an enormous amount relative to the size of the business but let's talk about how that could play through yeah we've you know certainly we saw that back in 2022 there were allocation events yeah shippers completed one of those they started falling apart do a mini bid another mini bid and some of those things were just coming so quickly because at the same time if shippers are trying to get more capacity you know we're going to have to be more aggressive in terms of bringing capacity into our business and we're going to need to be able to get that rate so you know generally we're looking for something that's more durable sustainable but this is probably going to take a couple allocation events to get back to recovering the price that has been lost over the last couple years yeah and then i guess maybe thinking about it from like the actual truckload business versus dedicated and then i do want to talk about intermodal and logistics you have a lot of different pieces of the business that you have exposure to in the cycle here but i guess we're probably talking more in the context of the one-way truckload business i guess how do things kind of play on the dedicated side of your network now dedicated absolutely more more stable multi-year contracts the same time within dedicated there are opportunities as we're looking for backhaul there's more backhaul opportunities that you're able to identify there's also spot price uh freight that you're able to pull into that dedicated fleet as a backhaul. So it's not completely distinct. Yeah, okay.

Yeah, and I would just add, in dedicated, we've been very focused on productivity, right? So we've said that revenue per truck per week is the metric that we'd use to kind of measure how successful we've been during the down cycle. So we're not necessarily adding trucks or looking at truck count as a metric. So it's not just price, but productivity as well.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And how do you think about utilization across the truck business? I guess that's one of the things that we're trying to understand a little bit more is the opportunity, particularly for the big fleets. If we do see this consolidation event here, you know, will there be opportunity? Like you said, maybe not necessarily in just fleet count itself, but more productivity. Is that something you can get on both sides network as well as the dedicated side?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah. So in Q1, you know, we saw our revenue per truck per week and network go up by 7 percent. Most of that was utilization. Most of that was productivity. So, you know, we're continuing to lean into that. That's really just a matter of, hey, there's more opportunities out there. Do you get the right mix of freight? So part of it isn't always, do you get the, you know, the highest paying freight, but what works best for your network to better utilize the drivers? And the real reason for that is that's an opportunity to also pay your drivers more because they're, you know, receiving all of that themselves in terms of the productivity benefit. Right.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And I guess, you know, the guide for the year, I guess it's probably helpful to talk about that, right? Maybe we can think about the bookends. So the 70 cents, the dollar, can we kind of talk a little bit about what you need to see? Hopefully the 70 cents is largely off the table. I don't know. But, you know, if we're thinking about what the opportunity could be, what would drive upside to the guide?

Yep. So, I mean, just to level set, we are one quarter in, at least in terms of what we've announced publicly. so there's still you know three quarters to go and sure you know one of the few that's actually guided for a full year right so and we give you credit not a lot of your peers are doing the same so but you know what we saw in the first quarter was very encouraging right so we did see capacity exiting probably more rapidly than we initially anticipated which is which is a good thing yep we saw the benefits of our cost and our productivity actions come through as well So we had weather disruption, we had, you know, higher fuel prices, you know, that impacted us in the first half of the quarter, and we were able to rebound largely because of all the actions that we took in terms of, you know, productivity and cost. At the same time, I think as Jim said, there's a balance to that in terms of demand. So demand has been stable, and what we've said is to get to the higher end of our guidance, we need demand to inflect. Yep. Right. So whether that's, you know, initially there was some expectation of rate costs, as Jim said, there was expectation of inflation normalizing. There's some recognition, at least from an energy, you know, slash fuel standpoint, there is risk of higher inflation. So we're we're balancing what we've seen in terms of supply trading and our cost and productivity actions with the fact that to get to the high end, you need more demand to inflate. So depending on what happens on the balance of the year, you know, the cadence of kind of the improvement and the amplitude of the improvement will be largely driven by demand.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And then one thing that's come up a couple of times so far over the course of the day has been the early discussions around peak season. So I think it's probably being driven to some extent. We're beginning to see ocean rates move up. Some of it's fuel, but there's also demand on relatively lower capacity. Have you started to have any of those conversations? It sort of strikes us as last fall, really after Thanksgiving, we saw spot rates really inflect meaningfully higher, and that was partly driven by the fact that capacity was coming out, and there was a bit of a peak season. So is this something that's kind of coming into customer conversations yet?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah, so we always, especially in our intermold business where this is most prevalent, we're always having that discussion as we go through an allocation event because we want to make sure from both sides there's a clear understanding of what are you getting at this price point, How much demand increase are you expecting that we're going to be able to cover? So with a large retail shipper, we would always have that discussion. This year is really no different for us. Perhaps there's more potential demand out there. I don't know, but it's clear that it's top of mind for shippers as well.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And are shippers generally sort of receptive to the idea they've gotten away from that the first part of the year was driven by weather and nothing else really? are they starting to get more receptive to the idea that something might be shifting a bit more structurally in the capacity environment of trucking?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah, I think there's the other thing that is on the mind of shippers. They've seen that, first of all, over the last few years, they've known that something was irrational, that there was pricing that really didn't exist. So there were shippers that came to us and said, hey, you should be able to make this transit in a day. And we said, well, that's more than 11 hours. And we said, well, somebody else is driving that. Well, that's illegal. They've talked to us about wanting to do illegal cabotage. That's not legal. So they've known that some of the things that they've been doing really weren't safe and needed to be adjusted. So they understand that there's a big difference there. I think the big change here is the Montgomery case in the last couple of weeks. So in the past, if you said, well, they're doing that, but I don't really care. Well, now they have to care because now they're owning that liability. And so I think that's the big change in the marketplace that today, you know, if it's a small carrier, they have 750,000 of insurance level, they might be doing this by a broker that only has $75,000 bond. And it's just this thought, well, that all of that, you know, liability rests with them. Now they're saying, wait a minute, I own that. And so I want to make sure that I need to be asking these questions about safety. You know, are you what is your your rating with FMCSA as well as, you know, how much insurance are you carrying? Because I'm carrying all of the excess above that level. So it's starting to matter to shippers.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

So I guess let's talk a little bit about Montgomery, because obviously it's the potential. It seems to be pretty meaningful. And I guess maybe thinking about it from straight from a capacity standpoint. I don't know if you have a sense of how much capacity you think probably is less employable in the world of Montgomery. And, you know, I guess I also wonder how brokers are going to approach this, whether they're just going to be willing to take on more liability risk themselves or actually make some changes by carrying more insurance. So maybe let's start with the carrier piece. What do you think sort of gets impacted here?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Because clearly we don't have safety scores on the vast majority of the market today. I don't have safety scores. You have other information available. And so for us, you know, back in 2022, we would publicize that we had 60,000 carriers that we worked with in our brokerage business. It's now less than 14,000. And specifically what we were targeting or the reason we were targeting was because of cargo security. And we were starting to understand, wait a minute, there's a lot of chameleon carriers out there, individual people that had multiple motor carrier authorities. And what they were doing was switching and using that to be able to steal. But likely, if they were willing to do that, they were willing to skirt some other laws in this country. And so when we look at the Venn diagram of all the different regulation that's out there, the people that are violating are often violating multiple rules. The reason why we went through is to be able to get down that group of carriers that we said, hey, look, we vetted these. We were comfortable with them. I would tell you, based on our experience, there aren't 50,000 carriers in this country that you could vet and say that they're safe. And so when there's a broker or someone saying, I use more than that, I know they're using carriers that are unsafe. And so I think there's a lot of this industry that is going to have to go through a different vetting process to get down that level.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

So I think we've heard this from other people in your position as a larger, more credible player in the market that I think some of your bigger changes around carrier vetting occurred in the past. Have you done anything incremental since the Montgomery ruling came out?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

We haven't changed anything since the Montgomery. The other changes we've already made have put us in a position to be able to understand here's the carriers we want to operate with. I do believe that there's going to be additional data sources that we're going to be able to use and perhaps get a little bit further than just the ratings system, perhaps using some of the basics going forward, just as people start building additional tools.

We think that brokers are going to get more selective in terms of the qualification criteria that they use, not only initially, but on an ongoing basis in terms of monitoring. But we also believe that insurance carriers are going to get more selective in terms of the risk that they underwrite. So I think the combination of those two things could have, you know, significant impact.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

So we've seen the pool of brokers continue to get smaller over the last couple of years. I think it peaked, you know, in the immediate aftermath of COVID. It's been sort of steadily moving down here. I mean, is your expectation then that you'd expect as we go through the rest of 26 to continue to see the same sort of pace? Does it get a little bit faster? I guess we're trying to get a sense of how much of a consolidation opportunity there really is in brokerage, and does it take some time to play out because you need insurance cycles to reset or something like that?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah, I think there's a couple factors here. So number one is exactly what we're talking about in terms of the reliability, credibility of the brokers that you'd expect that there's some consolidation. Because at the same time, the number of brokers exploded up to you know 25 000 uh there's you know just through normal competitive dynamics you would expect a little bit of consolidation here the other side is in terms of the the use of ai and we've been using ai for a number of years and uh what i'd tell you is there's some companies that have gone out there really focused on the efficiency i can get with ai i can tell you that's probably the fastest way to go bankrupt in this industry yeah you have to work on becoming effective. And the long history we've had in this industry, the fact that we operate an asset-based business, we're able to understand, you know, how rates move to be able to make sure that we're not just, you know, efficient, but we're really effective at the same time. So I think that's the other thing that starts to draw a little bit consolidation in this industry.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

Yeah. And I guess maybe as we think about like gross margin dynamics, do you think that there's risk to gross margins over time? One of the brokers that we talked about noted that 50% of their volume was flowing into sort of the bottom 20% cohort of the carrier market, which would suggest maybe easier or better buy rates for them down there. Is that something that structurally changes going forward, do you think?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah, I think, you know, we talked about we felt really good about our performance in the first quarter in our logistics business, felt it was a differentiator because there are a lot of companies in the space that were getting compressed. What we really focus on that business is differentiation. How do we lock onto a vertical where we have really good understanding of that business and then be able to provide additional value-added services. And sometimes that's within our logistics business. Sometimes it reaches back into our asset-based business. And so all of our owner-operators have visibility to all of our brokerage freight, have an opportunity to move it. We have an opportunity to move it with our intermobile business, our truckload business, and just gives us a little bit different competitive dynamic with those customers as well.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe wrapping up this conversation as we think about it, a lot of, you know, obviously what's happening here, the most obvious sort of potential impact could be rising driver pay. So how do you think about your ability to source drivers in the market today?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Yeah. So, you know, a few different things. Number one, the best way we want to be able to take care of our drivers was with productivity. Get your drivers more miles. They're happy. The business is very happy as well. We also have to be able to restore the margin for our organization. eventually price has to be able to flow back into increasing driver wages as well but those have to take place we feel really good about our position to be able to attract and retain drivers and we have a hire to retire mentality we bring a lot of drivers into this industry often they start in our network business where you get a feel for it spend weeks at a time out on the road really be able to have that freedom as their life starts to change start wanting to get home a little bit more frequently we have jobs like intermodal and dedicated where you're getting home every day or every at least every week or every few days and changes their their lifestyle and then there's a point where they start saying hey i'm really comfortable with this i want another challenge we have you know more complex jobs like bulk and now i need to understand how pulse pumps work and uh you know different types of chemicals and then there's a point where drivers say you know i'd i'd like to own my own truck and so we have a leasing arm that helps drivers go out there and buy their own truck and continue to to be part of the schneider organization okay and then you know let's talk a little bit about intermodal i think intermodal is a uh is an interesting dynamic as it stands right now because we're having all of the capacity tightness obviously uh rising fuel prices all of which would seem to be pushing volume your way from an intermodal perspective can give us an update on how you're thinking about that you know sort of the volume environment there is demand a little bit better than it would be seen on sort of the truck side how do you think about it yeah it's the the right environment for intermodal when you think about it's it's truck pricing uh it's fuel and and really just good service from every one of the railroads right now that would inspire a shipper to start to convert at the same time we're going to be disciplined on the way that we we do this that we're going to find opportunities that are creative to our business understanding that you know if you're you know just going and grabbing volumes sometimes you can find yourself using third-party dray capacity and that incremental load is not generating incremental uh earnings for the organization so we're going to do that in a disciplined manner and think there'll be more opportunities ahead of us and i guess how would you think about the relationship on the pricing side or the contractual bid season from uh intermodal relative to truckload typically there's a lag here do you expect it to be the normal the quote-unquote normal lag we'll see maybe a little bit more pricing later this year and obviously a lot more in 2027 how do you think about that yeah can two pieces to think about first of all truck load rates dropped a lot faster than intermole rates intermole rates are more durable through the cycle so can't expect the same amplitude of a change as the the market starts to increase as well but what we haven't necessarily gotten to a spot of where we're going to need third party capacity to be able to execute orders that's usually what really trips this market it's not necessarily utilizing all the trailing capacity, but it's when do intermole carriers start to get to that spot that you have to use third-party capacity. Now, there's a great deal of the intermole market that is non-acid-based IMCs. They're already in that spot where they have to go and use third-party drain costs. And as that starts to push upwards, that's where we would expect to see more volume lift, but also a pricing lift. Okay. And anything from a competitive dynamic perspective i mean we have one k one imc that's not providing much information into the market right now and obviously others that are so i don't know if there's anything that you've noted that's different from a competitive landscape yeah yeah one not reporting any information one that just went through a bankruptcy one that's losing money so and then you have all the non-asset based imc's so that's uh that's the competitive dynamic we're not interested in joining them and that that side of the market we feel uh we're not satisfied with where our margin is in that business. But relatively speaking, we should feel pretty good. We're focused on us and getting back to our long-term margin.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And we touched on peak in the previous conversation, but obviously you noted intermodal is a big part of that piece. We have heard about peak season surcharges from one of the other big IMCs. Is that something you'll be implementing? Is it already in place? I guess, how would that work?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

So every single year, even years where we didn't have that impact we had processes in place just because you don't want a shipper that suddenly you didn't you weren't receiving volume all year and oh here's a whole bunch of orders and you're going to be taking away from somebody else so we always have those plans in place whether shippers will execute on those you really don't know until you get to that spot so not being coy but we're difficult for us to understand uh how many shipments each shipper is actually going to have okay but presumably if you start to get out of bounds or to the up above where the limits we have boundaries for every agreement and that's how we talk about

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

peak programs as we're going through allocation events because we want to set here's where the guardrail is given the the price that we landed at okay and then i wanted to ask a couple questions about margins and sort of the pace of recovery because you're not alone in this industry of having you know dealt with some meaningful headwinds and obviously some margin compression over the course of the last couple of years so I think one of the big questions I get a lot is how quickly can we see what is obviously happening in the spot market we can all look at our Bloomberg's and see how things have ripped to you know how does that translate into your numbers so as we think about the is it how much comes in 2q is this really more of a 3q 4q

dynamic I'm not specifically looking for numbers we're trying to think about how it flows through your business mechanically so when we we know when to expect it yeah i think i would just start with an acknowledgement that what we've seen over the last four years has not been normal right so a lot of the difficulty that people have sometimes is applying normal rationale to a cycle that has been abnormal so when we think about cycles usually think about cycles in terms of 18 months so 18 months up 18 months down there about we are beyond three years going to four years of kind of a down cycle so now we know a lot of reasons why that was uh irrational capacity being a big part of that so as capacity has begun to to leave the market and at a more accelerated pace we've started to see the benefits of that in terms of spot pricing as you said ultimately spot pricing improvements will lead to contract renewal improvements which we're also expecting but if you're going through multiple years of kind of a irrational market it's fair to think that you're going to need more than one allocation event to get back to what's normal so we think that you know we're on a good path in terms of you know where pricing is but we're not waiting for pricing right so one of the reasons that we initiated a 40 million dollar cost savings program that we achieved last year and that we doubled down on is that we know that there are self-help items that will get us on that path. So if you kind of think about our three segments, truckload, our normal cycle margin targets are 12 to 16%. Dedicated, we can obviously see where that's feasible. Network, we're very optimistic, but for the past four years, we've been operating in a tough cycle just because primarily most of that irrational capacity has been in network. So as that, you know, continues to leave, we expect more of a benefit in network and we expect network to inflect the most. Once network inflects positive, we think we'll be on a clear path back to kind of that segment target of 12 to 16% in a modal. You know, I think that's a very great story where we haven't seen price over the last several years, but we've grown our volumes eight consecutive quarters, we've improved earnings without any price. So if you kind of think about the lag that Jim talked about, as intermodal pricing improves, it's not hard to think that once you get some pricing, 10% to 14% margin target is achievable. And then on the logistics side, we've been able to weather the storm and actually have positive earnings when a lot of our competitors haven't. So, you know, if we're hovering around 2% in a down market, you know, with some pricing improvement, with all the productivity and cost initiatives, a lot of AI investments are in logistics, we think we can easily get to 3% to 5% in a normal cycle. So, that's kind of what we're thinking there.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

So, probably a couple of allocations and the biggest swing factor is going to be the network business, and that's, like you said, it's going to take a couple of allocation seasons to get back there.

And we think a lot of what benefits network will benefit logistics as well in terms of price.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

And can we touch a little bit on the cost side so you know to get $40 million last year, $40 million this year. What did you get in 1Q? Where are we in the process towards achieving that $40 million? Is this the kind of thing with technology we should think is sort of, you know, you'll get something on a year-in, year-out basis? I don't know if it's $40 million, but something like that.

I would say I'm never satisfied. We're never satisfied, right? So this is not a one-year program. It's a multi-year program that we started several years ago. We've probably been more vocal in terms of the things that we've been doing. A lot of it is non-driver headcount, and we're kind of stressing non-driver because the drivers are important, especially in this cycle. So we took 7% of our non-driver heads out in 2025. we think that we're on a path to at least equal that if not exceeded for for 2026 but that's just one piece of what we're doing. AI is a big part of being able to take out non-driver head count but it's not only removing heads it's reallocating work to more profitable work you know in terms of value-added work for associates. We're very focused on asset efficiency. Asset efficiency has multiple benefits it has benefits in terms of revenue per truck per week but it also has benefits in terms of cost and we're very focused on you know third party spend so the things that we're doing we're very focused on making sure that as the cycle reflects those costs don't come back and then i wanted to come back to intermodal for a minute because i did want to talk about sort of the rail environment so service i think generally speaking has probably been fairly good we'd love to hear your characterization of the intermodal service environment and then we can talk a little bit more deeply about your rail relationships yeah so overall yeah like you said service has been very good but specifically i believe it's structural you look at the changes that the railroads have made over the last five five years or so really since psr came to back

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

to the u.s just the way that they're operating looks a lot more like a trucking company in terms of understanding their capital where they're allocating where they're making their investments how do they think about train schedules day in day out and so believe that even with you know some growth they have an opportunity to maintain that level of service and then I guess as you think you know one of the topics you guys get asked a lot and I'm going to ask it too is sort of your thoughts relative to the potential for you know transcontinental merger in the rail space obviously you're not aligned with directly with the two carriers merging so I guess how do you think about how that can play out for you what are the opportunities you'd be looking at as you're thinking out over a multi-year period and your relationships with the various rails yeah and as

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

you know, over the last five years, we've made two major shifts. Yeah, that so we understand how to go through this evaluation process. We're engaged with all four of the major railroads here in the US, just to investigate and understand their capabilities both today and the future. And the ones I'm talking about obviously switch from the BNSF to the Union Pacific. And right on the heels of that, we switched our Mexico business to the CPKC. And what we saw the benefits from the CPKC having a single line railroad, and we spent a lot of time understanding how they were going to operate that train. We had a lot of confidence in their ability to execute that. And so we made that choice even before their launch to switch over to that as we saw it was the best opportunity for us. So we'll continue to investigate this. I think we're going to be looking at this for at least another year, maybe two years even as they go through this process. But if there is a better opportunity, we are willing to listen and consider other opportunities.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

Okay.

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

That's good. That's good characterization.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

I guess maybe the last question I have is just how you're thinking about capital allocation. I think we're hopefully going to be on a path to margin repair in the industry broadly.

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

And so I do think it begs the question over time, how you think about the opportunities and and what you think you can do with the business you've done some m a i think calen was probably the last one um how do you think about the opportunities going forward yeah well i'll start and add in so number one is organic growth opportunities with each one of our business units as long as we're within our long-term margin bands to continue to grow and we think some of those opportunities are out there ahead of us uh you mentioned acquisitions We're absolutely interested in acquisitions going forward, but we're going to be disciplined. We're not looking at doing fixer-uppers. We've had three large ones in the last few years that we'd say all of them were successful. And I don't think there's too many carriers that can say that each one of their acquisitions has grown since the point that they made the acquisition. I think it's actually been the opposite, that quite often they shrink. And then we look at returning my back to the shareholder, too.

So I think we've done a really good job of controlling our leverage. So even when we've done acquisitions, we've delivered pretty quickly. So we acquired Cowan in December 2024. Our leverage was 0.7, 0.8 times. As of today, we're back down to 0.3 times. So that means we don't need to choose necessarily between organic and inorganic growth. We can do everything that we want to do. So, you know, focused on where we have differentiation organically, as Jim said, M&A, but also, you know, a robust dividend program that we continue to fund. And then we re-upped our share authorization in January for another $150 million. So we have the luxury of being able to do everything that we believe has a commensurate return.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

Do you think there'll be more opportunity, more potential targets, particularly on the fleet side, if we see Montgomery and some of these driver restrictions, regulatory changes, pressure those folks a bit more than average? Is that going to be something where you'd see midsize fleets potentially coming up more often?

James S. Filter Analyst — Other

Well, we're not interested in a fixer-upper or somebody that's running illegally, and then that's where we're going to step in. So I don't think that's necessarily going to change, but we are still eager to flex our muscles there because we think we've created a really good process for acquiring companies.

Christyne McGarvey Head of Investor Relations

That sounds great. Well, we are out of time, but I appreciate both you guys spending some time with us chatting Thank you very much.