BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
$1.80
-0.18 (-8.88%)
At close · Jul 16
Market Cap
$103.46M
Shares
57,637,641
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$1.80
Open$1.97
Day$1.77–2.02
52W$1.47–3.44
Avg vol 30d478K
Short int1.4M · 2.5% float · 2.7d
Short vol59%
Last earningsMay 6, 2026
DataMar 2021–Jul 2026
Filing10-Q · May 8
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 5, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 3 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed May 8, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Sell
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Neutral
Momentum
Very Weak
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Strong
Quant / Vol
Very High
Market backdrop
VIX 16.7 · calm
Equity put/call 0.67
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−12%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
−6%
below
RSI (14)
43
neutral
MACD trend
Positive
52-week position
16%
mid-range
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
−2%
trailing
6-month return
−36%
trailing
YTD return
−2%
this year
Relative strength
−46%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $2 › 200d $2 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Distributing
3 of 72 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -275.9K sh shares · +1 new
Insider flow
Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest
Falling
2.45% of float · ▼ -17.0% MoM · 2.7 days cover
Volume signal
Reversal watch
High volume on a down day — possible exhaustion
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
72 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
47
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+25%
Y/Y
Gross margin
42%
expanding
EPS growth
+48%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$-64.2M
Balance sheet
$191.1M
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
72%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−49%
past year
ATR
6.5%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed May 12, 2026
Revenue
· full year 2026
Maintained
$135M – $145M
prior FY $122.83M
midpoint +14.0% Y/Y
Guided vs delivered
· last 1 settled
Revenue
2025
$122.83M
In line
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−12%
Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−6%
Bearish
RSI (14)
43
Neutral
MACD trend
Positive
Bullish
52-week position
16%
Neutral
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $2 › 200d $2 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Distributing
3 of 72 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -275.9K sh shares · +1 new
Insider flow
Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest
Falling
2.45% of float · ▼ -17.0% MoM · 2.7 days cover
Volume signal
Reversal watch
High volume on a down day — possible exhaustion
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
72 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
52-wk low $1
Now $2 · 16%
52-wk high $3
vs 200-day avg -12%
vs 50-day avg -6%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | -$14.5M | first quarter call | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file
Versus peers
Security & Protection Services — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BAER
this stock
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
|
$103.46M | -1.9% | +24.6% | — | 2.5% |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
|
$12.04B | -14.4% | +7.6% | 19.1 | 5.4% |
|
MSA
MSA Safety Inc
|
$6.69B | +8.6% | +3.7% | 23.4 | 3.7% |
|
ADT
ADT Inc.
|
$5.59B | -15.4% | +4.7% | — | 4.6% |
|
BCO
Brinks Co
|
$4.85B | -4.0% | -5.7% | 27.5 | 11.2% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAER | -7.0% | -2.5% | -35.9% | -6.5% | -1.9% |
| SPY | +1.3% | -0.2% | +10.1% | +1.1% | +10.7% |
| vs SPY | -8.3% | -2.3% | -46.0% | -7.6% | -12.6% |