BAER · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Market Cap
$37.68M
Shares
58.83M
Volume · Sep 30
1.17M
Avg daily vol (3M)
1.02M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$0.70
Open$0.64
Day$0.63–0.77
52W close$0.64–3.27
Avg vol 30d980K
Short int1.8M · 3.1% float · 3.0d
Short vol53%
Last earningsAug 6, 2026
DataMar 2021–Sep 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 6
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 6, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 5 wks
filed Aug 6, 2026
call held Aug 6, 2026
Metrics snapshot
Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.
Revenue (TTM)
$115.44M
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
−$12.43M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
-0.8%
Year over year
Operating margin
—
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
—
Trailing earnings
FCF yield
-236.3%
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
—
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
−$228.65M
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
—
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
+4.8%
Year over year · more shares
Price change (1Y)
-62.8%
Trailing year
Short interest
3.1%
Latest settlement · 3.0 days to cover
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Strong Sell
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Strong Sell
Momentum
Very Weak
Sentiment
Bearish
Fundamentals
Strong
Quant / Vol
Very High
Market backdrop
VIX 16.3 · calm
Equity put/call 0.53
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−63%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
−44%
below
RSI (14)
23
oversold
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
2%
near low
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
−36%
trailing
6-month return
−68%
trailing
YTD return
−62%
this year
Relative strength
−80%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $1 › 200d $2 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Distributing
-13% holders QoQ · +10 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$11.7M over 90 days · 67% sells
Short interest
Rising
3.13% of float · ▲ +23.5% MoM · 3.0 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Steady
84 holders — mid 3-yr range
Squeeze score
49
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+25%
Y/Y
Gross margin
42%
expanding
EPS growth
+48%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$-64.2M
Balance sheet
$181.9M
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
79%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−80%
past year
ATR
12.3%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Aug 6, 2026
Revenue
· full year 2026
Initiated
$135M – $145M
prior FY $122.83M
midpoint +14.0% Y/Y
Adjusted EBITDA
· full year 2026
Non-GAAP
Initiated
$55M – $60M
Guided vs delivered
· last 2 settled
Revenue
2024
guided $70M – $86M
$98.61M
Beat +26.4%
Revenue
full year 2023
guided $66M – $68M
$66.71M
In line
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Sell
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−63%
Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−44%
Bearish
RSI (14)
23
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
2%
Bearish
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bearish · 3 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $1 › 200d $2 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Distributing
-13% holders QoQ · +10 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$11.7M over 90 days · 67% sells
Short interest
Rising
3.13% of float · ▲ +23.5% MoM · 3.0 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Steady
84 holders — mid 3-yr range
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $1
Now $1 · 2%
Range high $3
vs 200-day avg -63%
vs 50-day avg -44%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | -6.34M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| EBITDA non-GAAP | -12.13M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Security & Protection Services — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BAER
this stock
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
|
$37.68M | -61.6% | +24.6% | — | 3.1% |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
|
$13.21B | -3.4% | +7.6% | 20.4 | 3.5% |
|
MSA
MSA Safety Inc
|
$7.04B | +11.1% | +3.7% | 22.7 | 2.3% |
|
ADT
ADT Inc.
|
$4.54B | -24.7% | +4.7% | — | 3.3% |
|
BCO
Brinks Co
|
$4.25B | -13.5% | -5.7% | 23.9 | 13.0% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAER | -20.1% | -35.6% | -67.8% | -35.6% | -61.6% |
| SPY | -0.7% | +0.1% | +12.2% | -0.6% | +11.8% |
| vs SPY | -19.5% | -35.7% | -80.0% | -35.0% | -73.5% |