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BTU · Peabody Energy Corp

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$25.48 +1.39 (+5.77%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$3.11B
Shares
121.90M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Peabody Energy Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Peabody Energy Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 5, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 5, 2026 42:04 44 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
42:04
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Peabody reported Q4 2025 net income of $10.4 million ($0.09/diluted share) and Adjusted EBITDA of $118.1 million, with full-year results meeting or exceeding guidance on seven of eight segment volume and cost metrics despite sharply lower seaborne coal prices. The company commenced longwall mining at its Centurion metallurgical mine two months ahead of schedule, with 2026 volumes guided at 3.5 million tons.

Centurion mine 44 Seaborne metallurgical coal pricing 32 Rare earth and critical minerals 18 Shareholder returns / capital allocation 10 Safety and environmental performance 7 Asset optimization / renewables 6

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +78 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “I couldn't be more proud of the work of our Peabody Energy Corporation team, which turned in an excellent quarter and year that was marked by a number of achievements.”
  • “Centurion is truly the cornerstone asset in our strategy to maximize long-term shareholder value and to intentionally reweigh our portfolio toward higher margin metallurgical coal.”
  • “Operationally and financially, the quarter was right down the fairway in meeting or surpassing expectations across key metrics.”
  • “I believe we have a great year ahead of us, and we're looking forward to keeping you updated as the year goes on.”

Forward guidance

7 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $1.02B -9% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $20.80M -67.1% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year 2025 results met or exceeded original guidance across seven of eight segment volume and cost metrics
  • Centurion longwall started mining two months ahead of schedule, expected to ship 3.5 million tons in 2026 ramping to 4.7 million tons
  • Metallurgical segment realizations expected to rise from 70% of benchmark in 2025 to 80% in 2026, with Centurion pricing at full benchmark
  • Centurion NPV reassessed at $2.1 billion at $225/t benchmark pricing, with 25+ year mine life and 140 million ton integrated mine plan
  • Record safety year with TRIFR of 0.71 per 200,000 hours worked, 12% better than prior record
  • Quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share declared, and shareholder returns stated as the number one capital allocation priority with Centurion CapEx winding down

Risks & pressure points

  • Full-year 2025 revenue fell to $3,861.5 million from $4,236.7 million on sharply lower seaborne coal prices
  • Full-year 2025 net loss attributable to common stockholders of $(52.9) million, or $(0.43)/share, versus $370.9 million income in prior year
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA declined to $454.9 million from $871.7 million year over year
  • Q4 2025 net income of $10.4 million ($0.09/share) was down from $30.6 million ($0.25/share) in the prior-year quarter
  • Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $118.1 million was down from $176.7 million in Q4 2024
  • Wilpinjong back-end capital of ~$100 million expected around 2029; seaborne volumes expected to fall back in Q4 due to a longwall move

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Our latest assessment is that Centurion alone represents an NPV of $2.1 billion at $225 benchmark pricing. So, top realizations with full benchmark pricing, low cost, and a long mine life. Centurion is truly the cornerstone asset in our strategy to maximize long-term shareholder value and to intentionally reweigh our portfolio toward higher margin metallurgical coal.” James Grech, CEO
“We expect the mine to deliver 3.5 million tons in 2026, ramping up to that 4.7 mark by 2028. Second, Centurion's product is of the highest quality and, coupled with proximity to key demand nodes in Asia, results in full benchmark pricing. Our realizations across our entire metallurgical coal segment are expected to increase from 70% of the recognized benchmark in 2025 to 80% this year, and as volumes ramp to 4.7 million tons, we expect it will further exceed that 80%.” James Grech, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 5, 2026.

Metric Guided
Seaborne Thermal export price per ton
First Quarter 2026
$101
Seaborne Thermal segment costs per ton
First Quarter 2026
$51 – $56
Seaborne Metallurgical costs per ton
First Quarter 2026
$117 – $122
PRB U.S. Thermal costs per ton
First Quarter 2026
$12 – $12
PRB U.S. Thermal average price per ton
First Quarter 2026
$13
Other U.S. Thermal average price per ton
First Quarter 2026
$55
Other U.S. Thermal costs per ton
First Quarter 2026
$45 – $49

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.08
Full-screen source Call document