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CAR · Avis Budget Group, Inc.

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$138.01 +1.02 (+0.74%)
Market Cap
$4.87B
Shares
35.32M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Avis Budget Group, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Avis Budget Group, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 19, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 19, 2026 44:40 45 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
44:40
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Avis Budget reported a sharply disappointing Q4 2025, missing its adjusted EBITDA guidance by roughly $150 million ($5 million actual vs. ~$157 million implied) and posting a full-year net loss of $995 million including a $518 million EV impairment charge, with management framing the miss as Americas-specific and macro-driven while outlining fleet discipline and a 2026 EBITDA target above $1 billion.

Fleet Management and Depreciation 64 2026 Guidance and Outlook 39 Q4 Miss and EBITDA Bridge 26 Waymo Partnership 18 Demand and Travel Disruption 12 EV Fleet Write-Down and Tax Credits 6

Management tone

Cautious

Net tone -25 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “this was a difficult quarter”
  • “we fell significantly short of guidance, that's unacceptable and I have no excuses to offer”
  • “we missed our fourth quarter forecast by approximately $150 million inside the span of three months”
  • “lower EBITDA in the first quarter, but then easing back towards something that's more normalized in the second, third and then fourth quarter”

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $2.66B -1.7% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$747.00M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • International segment Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $21 million, a $32 million improvement from a loss of $11 million in the year-ago quarter
  • $183 million cash proceeds received in December from monetizing EV tax credits via a joint venture sale
  • Issued $965 million of alternative funding asset-backed securities (two-year term, maturing June 2028) and used proceeds to pay down other fleet indebtedness
  • Ended quarter with approximately $818 million in liquidity and an additional $2.1 billion of fleet funding capacity
  • Full year 2025 revenues of $11.7 billion supported by sustained year-over-year demand
  • Management cited an expected ~$100 million Americas utilization improvement in 2026 and expressed intent to grow EBITDA above $1 billion annually

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $5 million missed October guidance of ~$157 million by approximately $150 million; full year adjusted EBITDA was $748 million vs. $900 million guided
  • Q4 net loss of $856 million and full year net loss of $995 million, including $518 million in long-lived asset impairment and other related charges on certain US EV rental fleet vehicles
  • Americas Q4 commercial rental days fell to down 11% in November after the government shutdown; Q4 rental days came in flat versus guidance of +3%
  • Americas Q4 RPD fell 3.7%, worse than the ~2% expectation, as weakened demand and elevated industry capacity pressured pricing
  • Americas monthly net depreciation per unit of $338 in Q4 vs. initial estimate of slightly below $300, driven by aggressive defleeing into a weak used-car market (Manheim rental index price per vehicle fell ~$1,000 or 4.3% from October to November)
  • Q4 PLPD insurance reserves increased by approximately $50 million as a deliberate conservative reset entering 2026

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Yesterday, we reported full year adjusted EBITDA of $748 million. That means we missed our fourth quarter forecast by approximately $150 million inside the span of three months.” Brian Choi, CEO
“In the Americas, RPD finished the quarter down 3.7%. When we guided in October, we thought this would be closer to 2%. I don't believe this was an Avis-specific dynamic. Industry capacity remained elevated and pricing pressure was evident across competitors throughout November and early December.” Brian Choi, CEO

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$3.00M
Full-screen source Call document