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CERT · Certara, Inc.

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$8.00 -0.15 (-1.84%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$1.22B
Shares
152.54M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Certara, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Certara, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 26, 2026
Feb 26, 2026 49 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Certara reported FY2025 revenue of $418.8M (9% growth) and adjusted EBITDA of $134.5M (10% growth), with new CEO Jon Resnick outlining a year of transition and investment while guiding FY2026 revenue growth of just 0–4% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 30–32%.

AI and model-informed drug development (MIDD) opportunity 19 2026 financial guidance and margin compression 13 Software business and product launches 13 Customer wins and use cases 11 Execution and growth underperformance 4 New CEO transition and strategic review 4

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +25 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “we have not sufficiently converted that credibility into the level of growth the opportunity warrants and that I believe we should and can deliver”
  • “Our historic performance does not reflect the full potential of our market”
  • “I am genuinely excited about the opportunity ahead”
  • “regulators worldwide are actively embracing technological solutions to accelerate drug development, reduce costs, and shorten timelines”

Forward guidance

3 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $115.86M +15.4% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$5.89M -189.6% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • FY2025 revenue grew 9% to $418.8M and adjusted EBITDA grew 10% to $134.5M, with full-year adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 32%, the high end of plan.
  • Q4 software revenue grew 10% (8% constant currency) to $46.4M and total bookings grew 7% to $155.2M, led by biosimulation software.
  • FDA Commissioner publicly endorsed computational modeling and a framework requiring only one pivotal trial, expanding Certara's model-informed drug development opportunity.
  • Q4 services bookings were robust across regulatory and biosim services, with management citing a more stable 2026 end-market outlook.
  • New CEO Jon Resnick identified $10M in cost-avoidance actions for 2026 and emphasized go-to-market sharpening to convert R&D investment into organic growth.

Risks & pressure points

  • FY2026 revenue growth is guided to just 0–4%, a deceleration from FY2025's 9%, signaling limited near-term top-line momentum.
  • FY2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guide of 30–32% represents a step down from the 32% exit in 2025 due to further R&D and platform integration investment.
  • Q4 services revenue declined 1% (2% constant currency) to $57.3M, and Q4 software bookings fell 6% to $56.1M, attributed to external factors and execution challenges.
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA fell 3% to $32.5M and the company swung to a net loss of $5.9M versus net income of $6.6M a year earlier, a 190% decline.
  • Management acknowledged Certara has not converted its R&D investment into sustained organic growth and cited internal execution gaps as one cause.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“In fact, over time, Certara's business should be able to drive double-digit growth.” Speaker 1, CEO
“In this context, we are guiding to flat to low single-digit revenue growth, which reflects both market conditions and the operational improvements we plan to implement. Our balance sheet and cash flow generation remain strong. We intend to be strategic with capital deployment, including executing against our existing share repurchase authorization, which we view as a compelling long-term investment at current levels.” Speaker 1, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

Metric Guided
Revenue
full year 2026
0% – 4%
Adjusted EBITDA margin
full year 2026
30% – 32%
Adjusted diluted earnings per share
full year 2026
$0.44 – $0.48

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$3.94M
Full-screen source Call document