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CLOV · Clover Health Investments, Corp. /De

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$4.60 +0.11 (+2.45%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$2.44B
Shares
531.16M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Clover Health Investments, Corp. /De Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Clover Health Investments, Corp. /De Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 26, 2026
Feb 26, 2026 26 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Clover Health achieved full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA profitability while growing Medicare Advantage membership 38% year-over-year to 113,803 and delivering 53% AEP growth for 2026, and the company guided to its first-ever full year of GAAP Net Income profitability in 2026 with Adjusted EBITDA of $50–$70 million.

Clover Assistant engagement and Counterpart 24 2027 outlook and star ratings 18 Profitability and 2026 GAAP guidance 16 Cohort economics and member dilution 15 Medical cost trend and underwriting discipline 13 Medicare Advantage policy and reimbursement environment 12

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +75 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “we expect to achieve our first full year of GAAP net income and EPS profitability in 2026”
  • “we believe our model is structurally less sensitive to policy cycles and better positioned in periods of industry adjustment”
  • “our data consistently shows profitability improves with tenure”
  • “We're certainly not relying on that. So at the higher level benchmark rate, while others may be looking for an even higher rate, we see it as pretty straightforward and reasonable.”

Forward guidance

4 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $487.71M +44.7% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$49.32M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA profitability of $22 million on $1.9 billion in total revenues, up 40.3% year-over-year.
  • Medicare Advantage membership grew 38% in 2025 to 113,803 and Insurance revenue grew 41% year-over-year.
  • 2026 AEP membership growth of 53% year-over-year with greater than 95% retention.
  • Full year 2026 guidance projects membership of 154,000–158,000 (~46% growth at midpoint) and revenue of $2.81–$2.92 billion (~49% growth at midpoint).
  • Adjusted Net Income of $20 million in 2025; guiding to GAAP Net Income of $0–$20 million in 2026 (first full year of GAAP profitability).
  • Now the largest individual non-special needs PPO plan in New Jersey, with Clover Assistant-powered care reaching approximately two-thirds of members in 2025.

Risks & pressure points

  • Full year 2025 GAAP Net loss of $86 million.
  • Full year 2025 Consolidated Gross profit declined 2.4% year-over-year to $355.9 million; Q4 2025 Gross profit fell 21.0% year-over-year to $74.2 million, attributed to first-year dilution from 50%+ growth in the new cohort.
  • Q4 2025 SG&A rose 7.0% year-over-year to $123.1 million, and full year SG&A rose 7.5% to $439.7 million.
  • 2026 guidance range for GAAP Net Income includes breakeven ($0 million) at the low end.
  • Company flags a perceived CMS oversight on risk-adjustment data sharing for switchers from other MA plans, which could affect risk-model outcomes.
  • 2027 Medicare Advantage Advance rate notice characterized as a flat effective growth rate, which management expects to be roughly in line with cost trend but not a tailwind.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“With this foundation, combined with clear structural tailwinds this year, we expect to achieve our first full year of GAAP net income and EPS profitability in 2026. This metric will be the cornerstone for our 2026 guidance that Peter will discuss in more detail later in the call.” Andrew Toy, CEO
“During the 2026 annual enrollment period, we delivered 53% year-over-year membership growth, driven by a stable benefit offering, strong retention, a focus on our core markets where Clover Assistant coverage is strong and minimal reliance on e-brokers.” Andrew Toy, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

Metric Guided
Total revenues table
full year 2026
$2.81B – $2.92B
Consolidated Gross profit table
full year 2026
$470M – $510M
GAAP Net income table
full year 2026
$0 – $20M
Adjusted EBITDA table
full year 2026
$50M – $70M
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