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Earnings call · FY2021 Q4
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Good morning. My name is Brittney, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Coty's Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2021 Results Conference Call. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded today, August 26, 2021. On today's call are Sue Nabi, Chief Executive Officer; and Laurent Mercier, Chief Financial Officer. I would like to remind you that many of the comments today may contain forward-looking statements. Please refer to Coty's earnings release and reports filed with the SEC, where the company lists factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. In addition, except where noted, the discussion of Coty's financial results and Coty's expectations reflects certain adjustments as specified in the non-GAAP financial measures section of the company's release. I will now turn the call over to Ms. Nabi.
Ladies and gentlemen, with the conclusion of our fiscal '21 year, I’m very pleased by the progress we have made over the last 12 months, and even more excited about the opportunities and momentum still ahead. This has truly been a transformational year for Coty. Over the last 12 months, we have built a leadership team of beauty and transformation experts, unveiled and began executing on our multi-year strategy, completed the divestiture of Wella, significantly improved our leverage profile, and over-delivered on our savings, revenue, and profit objectives. It's clear that Coty is emerging as a much stronger and more nimble organization. At the same time, Coty has clearly stepped up its beauty expertise and is willing to take risks to shape the future of the beauty industry. There are a number of key points that I want to highlight today. First, our fourth quarter revenue growth was ahead of expectations, fueled by double to triple-digit growth in each region and triple-digit growth in our prestige brands as we continued to see robust prestige fragrance demand in the U.S. and China, coupled with continued expansion of our prestige cosmetics footprint. At the same time, our consumer beauty brands grew close to 40%, driven in part by the turnaround in CoverGirl and the renewed consumer migration towards trusted brands, a trend that is underpinning the rebuilding of our consumer beauty portfolio. As a result, our fiscal '21 revenues of $4.63 billion were above the high end of our guidance range. Second, by accelerating our savings delivery in fiscal '21 to over $330 million, or over $100 million higher than our original target, we were able to fuel both profit delivery and reinvestment in our business to accelerate our growth. In fact, we ended fiscal '21 with adjusted EBITDA of $760 million, or $10 million above our guidance and above expectations. And with an EBITDA margin of 16.4% in fiscal '21, which is 300 basis points higher than pre-COVID levels despite a lower sales base, it's clear that we are well advanced in making Coty into a leaner organization. Third, we continue to make broad-based strategic progress across each of our six strategic pillars, and I will cover some of the milestones on today's call. Finally, as we are now two months into our first quarter of fiscal '22, it's quite clear that momentum is building in the business, propelled by a combination of strong Coty initiatives across fragrance and cosmetics, coupled with an improving industry backdrop. Let me now take a few minutes to review our revenue trends in Q4 and in fiscal '21, before I hand it over to Laurent to take you through our financials. Then, I will wrap it up with an update on our strategic progress and, of course, outlook for the coming year. Our fourth quarter revenues nearly doubled year-on-year as we lapped the peak of COVID impact in the prior year. While all regions returned to year-on-year growth in Q4, the U.S. and China markets were standouts. The Americas region grew 67% in Q4 and 6% in fiscal '21, with a full year performance driven by double-digit growth in U.S. prestige products and growth in Brazil and Canada. The momentum we have seen in the U.S. over the past year, and continuing to date, confirms our view that the U.S. will remain the key growth market for Coty and reinforces our investment strategy. Asia Pacific grew 59% in Q4, with China growing double digits on a quarterly and full year basis, both year-on-year and also versus fiscal '19, as we focus on building China into another powerhouse market for Coty. EMEA sales more than doubled in Q4, even as many European markets remained under restrictions through most of the quarter. In fact, in Q4, our consumer beauty brands recorded stable market share in EMEA for the first time in over five years, even though our key brand initiatives only started going live at the end of the quarter. Moving on to sales by channel. Our prestige sales more than doubled in Q4 and were nearly flat like-for-like in fiscal '21, even as we continue to reduce sales in low quality channels, which represented a low-teens negative impact to prestige brand sales in Q4, and a high-single-digit negative impact in fiscal '21 related to fiscal '19. Nearly all prestige brands were up double to triple digits in Q4, with standout performance from Gucci, Marc Jacobs, Burberry, Calvin Klein, and Chloe, supplemented with expansion in Coty's new growth engines, prestige cosmetics and skincare. In fact, looking at the second half of our fiscal year, our prestige brands grew 43% like-for-like versus last year compared to prestige beauty market growth in the 20% range. Our mass beauty revenues increased 38% like-for-like in Q4, with growth across each region, even as the mass channel was the least impacted by last year's COVID-related store closures. Growth was led by CoverGirl, Rimmel, and Max Factor as the mass beauty category returned to year-over-year growth. Having unveiled the new brand positioning behind each of these key cosmetic brands, we are now also turning our focus to the vertical part of our consumer beauty portfolio. Here, we intend to leverage the know-how and capabilities of our key Brazilian brands like Monange and Paixão to accelerate our global body care brands, including Adidas. On the six-month basis, our consumer beauty brands grew like-for-like 7%, slightly ahead of the underlying mass beauty market. Having concluded the year, and as we are now in the process of putting our new organizational structure in place, we have decided to transition to new segment reporting beginning during the first quarter of '22 based on two segments, prestige and consumer beauty. This will align with how we plan to run our business internally with dedicated chief brand and commercial officers for each of these businesses. We will be publishing recast historical financials reflecting these segments a few weeks before our next earnings call. I will now hand over the call to Laurent to take you through our financial results.
Thank you, Sue. Our fourth quarter maintained our base of strong profit delivery, allowing us to exceed our full year adjusted EBITDA target. I am pleased to say that this Q4 profit was driven by both gross margin and cost reduction, allowing us to meaningfully step up marketing investments behind our brands. Starting with our gross margin performance, our Q4 adjusted gross margin of 60.9% improved by over 20 percentage points from last year, which was significantly depressed due to the COVID crisis. This marks our second consecutive quarter of gross margins above 60% as we delivered on our strategic framework. For fiscal '21, our gross margin reached 60%, an increase of 190 basis points from fiscal '20 and in line with the gross margin of the RemainCo business in fiscal '19, despite a lower sales base. Our fiscal '21 gross margin benefited from the positive mix shift towards prestige brands, e-commerce, and skincare, as well as material cost savings enhanced by supply chain productivity and improved excess and obsolescence. We remain laser-focused on further driving gross margin expansion in fiscal '22 and beyond. We have a multi-pronged, multi-year gross margin attack plan in place, while we also expect to benefit from positive channel, category, and regional mix shifts. This will in turn allow us to continue reinvesting behind our brands and simultaneously deliver strong profit expansion. As we mentioned during your last earnings call, we continue to step up our marketing investment during Q4. A&CP was approximately 26% of sales in the quarter, which is a sequential acceleration from Q3 as well as the first half of fiscal '21, with working media increasing more than 30% from Q4 '19 levels. I want to emphasize that while we are reinvesting behind our brands, our philosophy remains fewer, bigger, and better, which also means that we are very focused on the return on investment of these marketing investments. Sue will soon be giving you a lot of details on the successes we have had across our growth pillars. However, I will just highlight some of the areas where we are directing media investments. First, we continue to invest behind brands and launches with proven success and market share momentum, including Marc Jacobs Perfect, CoverGirl, and Sally Hansen. We also fueled our expansion into new categories, particularly Gucci make-up in China, which is winning both online and offline. And finally, we are investing in our key fragrance icons, such as Boss Bottled, Chloe Signature, Marc Jacobs Daisy, and Gucci Guilty. This is driving strong ROI in the U.S., for example, where our icons' market share grew plus 0.6 percentage points in Q4. The ability to accelerate our marketing investments and deliver profit growth continues to be enabled by our strong cost reductions. During Q4, our fixed costs declined 15% year-over-year and were down 16% for fiscal '21. We achieved approximately $17 million of cost savings during the quarter, bringing our total fiscal '21 cost savings to over $330 million. This is significantly ahead of our initial expectations for the year. The largest contributor of fiscal '21 savings were fixed cost reductions, including headcount and business services. The other buckets that made up this $330 million of savings included cost of goods sold, structural A&CP reduction, and trade investments. Given the accelerated savings we achieved this year, we now anticipate fiscal '22 savings of over $90 million, which are net of cost inflation and reinstating bonuses, as well as structural organizational reinvestment behind our growth pillars, though it's important to note that this does not include our intended reinvestment in A&CP. We remain on track to reach our fiscal '23 target of a total of $600 million in savings. At the same time, we are identifying savings projects beyond fiscal '23. Equally importantly, we have been managing the one-time cash cost associated with the savings program very tightly. In fiscal '21, some cash outlay related to this one-time cost was below $200 million. We expect another $200 million of cash outlay over the next two years, bringing the total budget to approximately $400 million, or $100 million below our initial target. This is a true testament to how we have been able to transform the culture to a much more cash-centric culture, which will enable us to actively drive down our leverage. Moving to our profit delivery, adjusted EBITDA came in ahead of expectations for Q4, allowing us to exceed our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance. Our adjusted EBITDA was $127 million, or 12% of sales in the quarter. And for the year, this was $760 million, or 16.4%. While this marks a very significant improvement from last year, which was heavily impacted by the COVID crisis, our fiscal '21 EBITDA margin was actually 300 basis points higher than our fiscal '19 RemainCo levels despite sales being lowered. Our strong profit performance this year was driven by strong gross margin expansion, as I previously mentioned, focused marketing investments, and fixed cost savings. In summary, the robust profit delivery should be evidence that fiscal '21 was the year we started the virtuous cycle. We do not see a tradeoff between sales growth and profit improvement but see a simultaneous achievement of both as very attainable goals. Turning now to our EPS, which included the following drivers: adjusted EBITDA for the quarter of $127 million, income tax of $9 million despite the negative pre-tax income, which reflected the true-up to bring the full year adjusted effective tax rate to 21% in line with our previous comments. Nearly $40 million of other items, which primarily includes $24 million of preferred dividends as well as $10 million of deferred financing write-offs related to the April and June refinancing. As a result, our Q4 diluted adjusted EPS ended at negative $0.09. For the fiscal '21 EPS based on $760 million of adjusted EBITDA and effective tax rate of around 21%, we ended the year with diluted adjusted EPS at $0.01. While not included in our adjusted EPS, during the quarter, Wella's fair market value rose by $10 million, continuing the trend of value expansion in the last two quarters. Looking to fiscal '22, I would like to provide some context on the different drivers for our adjusted EPS. First, as of Q1 '22, we will be excluding non-cash stock compensation from our adjusted results, including adjusted EPS. Second, we will expect interest expense in the mid $200 million, a bit higher than the fiscal '21 expense of $245 million on the continuing operations basis, reflecting a lower net debt balance offset by somewhat higher cost of debt post-refinancing. Further on the tax side, we are anticipating an adjusted effective tax rate for fiscal '22 in the high 20s percentage as our global principal jurisdiction are now in Amsterdam and the U.S. However, we note there is a high degree of uncertainty with effective tax rate projections in the current environment. Finally, convertible preferred shares on our balance sheet do introduce a number of complexities to the calculation of Coty’s adjusted diluted EPS. To help investors and analysts model our EPS correctly, we have posted on the Coty Investor Relations website a short overview of the accounting treatment that you need to keep in mind. Now moving to free cash flow for the quarter, which came in roughly even despite Q4 typically being a seasonally weaker cash flow quarter. We continued our strict management of CapEx and one-time cost during the quarter with one-time cash cost for fiscal '21 coming in below $200 million. As a result, for fiscal '21, we generated free cash flow of $145 million, which is in line with our expectations. Cash generation remains a very important priority for us going forward. We have identified a number of opportunities across 11 key streams, which we believe will further bolster our cash flow in fiscal '22 and beyond, and drive a steady reduction in our net debt. Turning now to our capital structure. We ended Q4 with a financial net debt balance of approximately $5.2 billion, which is a slight increase from Q3. This is largely the result of a negative forex impact, a $24 million cash payment of the convertible dividend, as well as costs related to the two refinancing transactions completed in the quarter. Factoring in our 40% stake of Wella valued at approximately $1.26 billion, we ended the year with economic net debt of around $4 billion. During Q4, we successfully completed the issuance of €700 million, 3.875% senior secured notes due in 2026 and $900 million of 5% senior secured notes due in 2026, with a strong demand for both issuances, allowing us to upsize both transactions. These transactions extended the maturity profile of our debt portfolio and significantly reduced refinancing risk. Fiscal '21 was a pivotal year in the improvement of our capital structure through the sale of a 60% stake in Wella, and we remain on track to end calendar '21 with a net leverage ratio moving towards 5 times and calendar '22 with leverage of approximately 4 times. As a reminder, we continue to view our retained 40% stake in Wella as a financial stake with further valuation upside, and we will continue to be active and tactical in identifying opportunities to monetize this non-strategic Wella asset and further reduce our leverage. Building on this point, considering the dynamism of the beauty market, Coty is always on the lookout for opportunities to leverage assets to create value and fuel growth. In order to support the growth of the Brazil business and Coty’s personal care brands, Coty confirms that it is pursuing a partial IPO of its Brazil business. Earlier today, Coty completed its first filing at the CVM, the Securities Commission which regulates capital markets in Brazil, to commence this partial IPO process. This will also help advance Coty’s deleveraging agenda. Coty intends to remain a controlling shareholder of the Brazil affiliate. Due to local Brazilian regulations following its first filing, Coty cannot offer further details at this time but will provide updates in due course. Additional information about the partial IPO of the Brazil business can be accessed on the CVM website. I will now hand the call back to Sue for a discussion of our operational milestones and outlook.
Thank you very much, Laurent. So in addition to our financial delivery in Q4 and for the year, the Coty organization has been moving at top speed to execute on the six strategic pillars we unveiled at the end of April. We’ve made good initial progress with even more still to come, so let me spend a few minutes on some of the tangible milestones we have achieved already in our journey to transform Coty into a beauty powerhouse. The recent appointment of Constantin Sklavenitis as Coty’s new Chief Prestige Brands Officer is integral to our plans as Constantin’s background at MAC Cosmetics, Urban Decay, IT Cosmetics, and Kiehl’s makes him the ideal leader to take our prestige make-up and prestige skincare footprint to the next level, while further building on our fragrance momentum. Starting with our first strategic pillar, you know it's stabilizing our consumer beauty brands. Our first area of focus was the largest brand in the consumer beauty portfolio, CoverGirl, and we did not lose any time; unveiled a new brand repositioning campaign, disruptive advertising, and a highly successful launch of the clean vegan mascara in early spring. The results speak for themselves. In the June quarter, CoverGirl grew sell-out in brick and mortar by 24% compared to the broader color cosmetics category growing 16%, with the highest brand share in five years. The growth was fueled by new advertising creatives and fewer bigger, better investments across media, promotion, and display on CoverGirl’s key magnificence age franchises. In particular, Lash Blast Clean Mascara is our largest mascara launch in over five years, while the Simply Ageless franchise is booming, driven by the viral TikTok craze for Simply Ageless Wrinkle Defying Foundation and media support behind the high-performing creative asset starring Niki Taylor. The overall market share gains, strength of innovation, and powerful advertising have given retailers renewed confidence with CoverGirl, where we retain shelf space in 2021 year-to-date for the second year in a row. Building on this success, on the last earnings call, we introduced the new brand positionings and brand ambassadors for two other leading cosmetic brands, Rimmel and Max Factor. It's important to note that the new campaign and in-store visuals for Rimmel only went live in June and July, so we'll be monitoring the results closely in the coming weeks and months. However, I can already confirm that according to the latest news and data, Rimmel has reached its highest market share in the last 10 months as in the UK, its largest market. And in Germany, where the brand is marketed under the name Manhattan, the newly launched Wonder'Extension Mascara is strongly resonating with consumers and is already the brand's number one mascara. Similarly for Max Factor, the new visuals and assets are going live as we speak. And we will be of course monitoring early results. However, you can see on this slide, the new campaign for Max Factor Face Finity 3 in 1 Foundation starring Priyanka Chopra-Jonas is bringing back the glamour, the luxury, and the transformational power that was always associated with the iconic Max Factor brand equity. The new positions of our iconic cosmetic brands such as CoverGirl, Rimmel, Max Factor, and Sally Hansen assure that our portfolio of mass make-up is well positioned and covers the key trends across core markets. Now our second strategic pillar, which is focused on accelerating our luxury fragrances and becoming a key player in prestige make-up. For fragrances, we are continuing to boost and strengthen our leading brands through new innovation as well as renovations of key icons. Starting with Marc Jacobs Perfect, which launched a year ago, Perfect’s unique bottle, juice, and breakthrough campaign which celebrates being real, being bold, and being perfect as you are has propelled this launch to be not only the biggest launch for Coty in the U.S. in over 10 years but also the biggest launch across the whole U.S. fragrance market in the last few years. For Gucci, the fragrance portfolio, including icons like Guilty and Bloom, is already in the top 10 across key markets like the U.S. and China and very clearly gaining market share. We will continue to build on the strong appeal of the Gucci brand with our latest launch, which I will discuss very shortly. Finally, the Chloe Atelier des Fleurs collection is quickly becoming a staple amongst ultra-premium artisanal fragrance brands in China. Despite its relatively recent entry into Asian markets, this ultra-premium collection has propelled Chloe to be a top 20 fragrance brand in China retail, with sales doubling this past quarter. Turning now to prestige make-up. It's important to note that while we have introduced our strategic ambitions only a few months ago, Coty has already made good strides in building out our prestige cosmetics presence. In fact, prestige make-up was a non-material part of the portfolio only two years ago and is now approximately 3% of our sales anchored in our three key brands: Gucci, Burberry, and Kylie. I firmly believe that our portfolio of prestige make-up brands is very well positioned, comprehensive, and covers the key transfer market, including personality-driven brands, which are leading in the U.S. and fashion-driven brands which are leading in Asia Pacific, China, or Europe. As we continue to expand the distribution and assortment behind these leading brands, we are confident in our ability to drive prestige cosmetics to a high-single-digit percentage of our portfolio by fiscal '25 in line with the targets we laid out in April. Focusing on Gucci make-up in particular, the brand is clearly winning wherever it is present. In the U.S., Gucci make-up sales in comparable doors doubled in fiscal '21, which supports our plans to significantly expand distribution in fiscal '22. In Europe, we have been very selective in the doors where we have launched the line focusing on the highest productivity doors for leading beauty retailers like Sephora and Golden Apple in Russia, and the results honestly have been exceptional. Gucci make-up is ranking in the top 10 in the Europe Sephora doors and top five in the Russian doors where the line is present. Finally, in China, where we are aggressively expanding Gucci make-up presence both offline and online with Tmall, the brand's ranking has improved 11 ranks versus last year. Shifting to our third strategic pillar, building our skincare portfolio. Again, while much of the momentum here is still to come, we have already made some good progress. Specifically, skincare accounted for approximately 5% of the portfolio in fiscal '19 and is now standing at 6%, led by brands such as Philosophy, Kylie Skincare, and Lancaster. As we continue to both expand these brands and start taking some of our existing prestige and consumer beauty brands into skincare, we continue to target skincare reaching over 10% of our sales in fiscal '25. So now let me spend a minute on our core skincare brands. As we've discussed in the past, Philosophy is a staple in the U.S. prestige skincare market holding the number eight position. In fact, with the brand's strength in cleansing and exfoliating while giving back to the skin, Philosophy’s purity line is the number one cleanser and the micro-delivery line is the second facial exfoliator in the U.S. We have continued to build out Philosophy’s multi-channel presence by bringing the unique branded Philosophy presence on Amazon. Now, only one year post launch, Philosophy is already the second prestige skincare brand on Amazon. For Lancaster, our revitalization strategy is being launched in Hainan. We opened a beautiful brand counter and temporary pop-up store in Lagardère, which you can see in the video here, drawing big crowds and great consumer engagement. As a result in this location, Lancaster ranked number three in June amongst niche skincare brands and in the top 20 amongst all skincare brands. Based on this initial success, we plan to continue to open more Lancaster doors in fiscal '22 across Hainan, Mainland China, and Korea. Finally, on our third skincare brand in our portfolio, Kylie Skincare, we saw good momentum with the launch of the Makeup Melting Cleanser, though our focus was very much on the successful re-launch of the Kylie Cosmetics line with an integrated direct-to-consumer website. We’ll, of course, discuss the results of the re-launch very shortly. In total, our portfolio of skincare brands is very well positioned. It covers the key trends by market, including personality-driven and niche brands leading in the U.S. and prestige brands with strong credibility from Europe, which in our case, Monaco resonates across Asia. Moving on to our fourth strategic pillar now, building our e-commerce and direct-to-consumer expertise and capabilities. In Q4, we continued to build on the momentum of the previous quarters recording 19% growth in our e-comm sales. This brought our total e-comm sales growth for the year to plus 34%, including 37% growth in our prestige brands and 25% growth for our consumer beauty brands. As a result, our e-comm penetration reached a high teens percentage in fiscal '21, twice the penetration level pre-COVID, and our intent is, of course, to continue to accelerate this further in the coming years. As part of our strategy to continue to strengthen our e-comm and direct-to-consumer capabilities, I wanted to share a couple of recent examples from the U.S. Specifically as we are coming out of the pandemic where much of our e-comm focus was on search and conversion, we are now leaning into digital-first omni-channel. By this, we mean shifting our strategy more into digital storytelling and discovery, which is leading to product sales boosts both in-store and online. Let's start with CoverGirl’s recent partnership with Amazon across its ecosystem. CoverGirl teamed with Amazon in an entertainment commerce mid social commerce initiative. On two episodes of inside Making the Cut on Amazon Live, CoverGirl showed fans how to recreate the beautiful signature clean and fresh-faced make-up looks from the Amazon Original Series. Viewers were able to watch the clean make-up tutorials and simultaneously shop the same CoverGirl products on Amazon to get the look they love. In the second example of our digital-first omni-channel approach, we identified high engagement and high-quality organic Rimmel content currently on TikTok. After investing and boosting these two organic Rimmel reviews over a one-week period, we saw a clear uplift in weekly sales on the two Rimmel products across each of our key retailers, both offline and online. Of course, we fully intend to replicate this approach and learnings across more brands and more markets. Moving now to our fifth strategic pillar, expanding in China, which is really a perfect blend of the first four strategic pillars. Again, while Coty's exposure to China is still small, it's important to note that we have already begun to make strong strides with our sales in China growing by double digits versus fiscal '19 and fiscal '20. As a result, China has expanded from less than 3% of sales in fiscal '19 to over 4% of sales in fiscal '21, and our goal remains to boost China to over 10% of our sales by fiscal '25. Underpinning this growth in China is the strong momentum we are seeing in our prestige brands there. In Q4, Coty, as a company, ranked number nine in China's total prestige beauty market, an improvement of one rank from Q3 despite our limited presence in China's core skincare category. In fact, our prestige retail sales outpaced the market growth by almost 4x, with our sales growing plus 90% in Q4 compared to the market at plus 25%. This is the second consecutive quarter of Coty outperforming the China's beauty market. Digging deeper, of the top 20 prestige fragrance brands in China, five are Coty brands, including Gucci, Burberry, and Bottega Veneta. This is a great baseline for future growth as China's prestige fragrance market has already surpassed in size both the prestige fragrance markets of key countries like the UK and Germany, and we foresee strong growth in the China fragrance market for many years to come. And in China's prestige make-up market, Gucci and Burberry are already in the top 25 despite much more limited distribution versus established competitors. In fact, in Q4, Gucci make-up sell-out grew tenfold year-over-year, fueled by both brick-and-mortar sales and the brand launch on Tmall, with Tmall sales already surpassing offline sales. As we focus on building our presence and recognition in China, we’re very happy to announce that Coty will exhibit for the first time at the 2021 China International Import Expo, which will be a great opportunity to showcase our beautiful brands and products. Having covered many of the progress areas to date, I’m even more excited to share details on the momentum we are already seeing in the first quarter of fiscal '22. First, let me start with Kylie. The long-awaited re-launch of the new Kylie Cosmetics line together with the new integrated website happened on July 15. Together with Kylie, we took the opportunity to update all of the cosmetics products, assuring that each product was vegan, cruelty-free, with clean formulations, free from over 1,000 contested ingredients while delivering top-notch quality. The excitement of her fans was palpable, with 300 orders a minute coming in on the DTC website in the first 15 minutes of launch. We saw the same kind of excitement several weeks ago when Kylie launched her birthday collection with thousands of orders coming in the first 15 minutes. In both cases, we saw basket sizes and order values exceed the averages pre-launch as consumers were able to bundle products across cosmetics and for the first time skincare. While most of the orders on the direct-to-consumer websites came from U.S. consumers, returning customers represented the majority. The brand re-launch resonated just as strongly in international markets. In the UK, Kylie Beauty was a top 10 beauty brand at Selfridges. In fact, the Kylie Shade Lip Kit was the third top-selling SKU across all of Selfridges’ products, not just beauty. Similarly, for Douglas with Kylie Cosmetics now available on its website across several markets and in-store presence slated for the fall, cosmetics sell-out was twice as high as forecast and drove a clear boost to Kylie skincare. We saw the same kind of momentum at Ulta as well. The global momentum correlates well with Kylie’s tremendous appeal online across social media platforms. In fact, our analysis shows that among other top personality-led beauty brands, Kylie Cosmetics has the most likes and post interactions across Instagram and Facebook. And that Kylie’s live shopping event, which accompanied the re-launch of the cosmetics line, far exceeded benchmarks on order volume and conversion rates. All of this confirms the strong pull that Kylie has with the Gen Z consumers across many key markets, and our goal is to fuel this momentum with more launches and more activations in the coming year. On the fragrance side of our portfolio, we have a robust launch schedule for the first half of fiscal '22 and we are complementing this with the rollout around the globe of our first-to-market digitally enabled touchless fragrance testers. So let me take a few minutes to walk you through our key launches. On Gucci, we're extremely excited by the recent launch of Gucci Flora Gorgeous Gardenia, building on Gucci's iconic Flora pillar. We expect Gucci Flora Gorgeous Gardenia to be our biggest fragrance launch of fiscal '22. The concept behind the launch is simple. Flora is driving back magic and joie de vivre in a disenchanted world. With Miley Cyrus as the face of not just the fragrance campaign but also the Gucci brand, we are working extremely closely with the fashion house to accelerate the brand right in time for Gucci's 100-year anniversary. It's important to note that Coty’s activities and support behind Gucci Beauty and Gucci's activities and support behind the fashion brand are very synergistic and fully amplify each other. We believe that the mix of different elements ranging from Gucci's 100th-anniversary activations, together with our continuous work to elevate Gucci Beauty and Flora and complementary events like the House of Gucci movie release, will further propel Gucci's rankings in both fashion and beauty. And we are already seeing strong results for Flora. The campaign announcement has reached 1.8 billion impressions. While still early into the launch, we are already seeing great initial sell-out results in North America where Flora is currently exclusive to Sephora. Flora is already the third fragrance in U.S. Sephora and already the first fragrance in Canada Sephora. Now on Burberry. We have launched the new male killer called Hero, which we believe has strong potential to become another icon in the Burberry portfolio following the success of Burberry Her. The concept for the launch encapsulates modern masculinity, playing on the essence of primal human and animal instincts and embracing our singularity. The campaign, starring Adam Driver, has already reached over 2.3 billion impressions. The initial sales results have been equally very promising. In the U.S., Hero is currently exclusive to Bloomingdale's and has become the number one male fragrance at the retailer. Similarly, in China, Hero has reached the number three spot in male fragrances on Tmall. On Calvin Klein, we've introduced the new male fragrance pillar called Defy with the campaign face by actor Richard Madden. Defy is all about facing our fears and re-conquering our freedom in this post-pandemic world. Again, our investment behind CK Defy will only be amplified by the support of the fashion brand. The launch is off to a great start here again, driving market share gains for the Calvin Klein brand in the UK, with a Calvin Klein male fragrance rank improving by seven spots. Similarly in the U.S., initial sell-out is already almost 2 times higher than forecasts. Complementing this fantastic lineup of fragrance launches are initiatives in consumer beauty. Specifically, we recently launched a wholly new concept under Sally Hansen called It Takes Two. The product combines the two-step process of the iconic Miracle Gel line into an easy to use portable format. We are supporting the launch with highly engaging videos and content on TikTok and other social media platforms. And you can see one of the videos here, which are seeing engagement rates more than double benchmark on TikTok. We're also attracting consumers and educating them on the new usage concept through disruptive in-store displays, such as this one. The results are here again clear. Since the launch of It Takes Two, Sally Hansen's Miracle Gel franchise has reached its highest market share in four years. The success of this innovation is something that we can clearly build across several of our other cosmetics brands. That brings me to our outlook for the year. As you have undoubtedly seen, fluctuations in COVID are driving volatility across markets in terms of restrictions, slow traffic, and of course, social mobility. Yet, at the same time, we are not seeing any slowdown in fragrance momentum in key markets like the U.S. China demand continues to grow even with added temporary restrictions in certain cities. And at the same time, we are also beginning to see signs of recovery in some European markets. Similarly, while international travel is still under pressure, local travel retail is clearly seeing improving trends, even if traffic to Hainan has temporarily slowed. Finally, make-up demand is also gradually improving, though COVID impact remains a watch out. Combining this improving demand backdrop with a very strong Coty launch calendar, which I just discussed, together with the first tangible results of the execution of Coty’s six-pillar strategy, the result is very strong sales momentum in our business. Building on the very strong double-digit growth in our sales in July and August to date, we are anticipating first quarter of '22 like-for-like sales growth in the high-teens percentage. Looking beyond Q1, assuming no significant deterioration in COVID conditions globally, we expect beauty demand to continue to improve, though base year comparisons should get more difficult. At the same time, our strong launch calendar should extend through the rest of the year. As a result, we are targeting for fiscal '22 like-for-like sales growth in the low teens percentage, continued expansion of our gross margin, strong operating leverage as we maintain our fixed cost base relatively stable, which should drive fixed costs as a percentage of net revenues lower by approximately 300 basis points. Continued expansion in our R&D investments, which have grown by 10 basis points to 2.1% and should continue to expand, adjusted EBITDA of approximately $900 million on a constant currency basis, representing roughly 100 basis points of margin improvement. We continue to target leverage towards 5x existing calendar '21 and calendar year '22 leverage of approximately 4x. To conclude, I'm incredibly proud of what Coty has accomplished in the past year. We have ended fiscal '21 with revenues, savings, and EBITDA ahead of expectations. We have put our plans in motion, executing on each of our strategic pillars, and already seeing positive milestones in each and every area. Building on this progress, we are starting fiscal '22 on a very strong footing, expecting high-teens like-for-like sales growth in Q1 and low-teens like-for-like growth for the year as a whole, clearly showing that Coty is in the driver's seat. As we move through fiscal '22, we expect our gross margin expansion and further cost reductions coupled with the flow through of the additional sales to fund both strong profit improvement and reinvestment in the business to drive our six-pillar strategy. Our commitment remains to meaningfully reduce our leverage by the end of calendar '21 and beyond, and continue to drive profitability growth through strong sales acceleration. Thank you all for your time today. We are now happy to take your questions.
In the interest of time, we ask that you limit yourself to one question to allow everyone an opportunity. We will now take our first question from Rob Ottenstein with Evercore. Your line is open.
Great. Thank you very much and terrific progress. I was wondering if you can help us maybe just focus a little bit more on the first strategic pillar, which is stabilizing the consumer beauty business. Obviously, given the comps, it's a little tricky and difficult for us to judge your progress. You gave us some good market share data, which is certainly indicating significant progress. But I was wondering if you could go maybe a little bit deeper in terms of repeat purchase or brand equity scores or any other metrics to support confidence that the stabilization and the trends that you're seeing are likely to continue in the future? Thank you.
Hi, Rob. Thank you for the question. This gives me a great opportunity to discuss our success with CoverGirl. Achieving this was not easy, as the brand has been losing market share for years. We made a bold decision to focus on a key area of the business that is driving the recovery of the American cosmetics market, which is Clean Beauty. Clean Beauty is significantly outperforming other sectors within the beauty category in the U.S. market. CoverGirl, the pioneer of Clean Beauty 60 years ago, has been launching innovations in this area, including the Clean Fresh line launched last spring and the Lash Blast Clean, which has become our top mascara. We have also reintroduced another aspect of the brand, Simply Ageless, which is the best-selling anti-aging foundation in the U.S. Combining these two initiatives with a new advertising approach has helped us reconnect with consumers who previously left the brand, particularly Gen Z, millennials, and the Hispanic community. All these factors contribute to the brand's resurgence, as these demographics are significant makeup consumers. We're also seeing progress among consumers over 40, which is important for categories like foundation and mascara. Regarding your question about metrics, we are closely monitoring any new assets we produce. For instance, the Niki Taylor Simply Ageless advertising campaign that restarted in the U.S. in early August has shown remarkable testing results. I believe it is one of the most effective advertising campaigns in CoverGirl's history, with metrics like purchase intention and conversion rates at their highest levels ever recorded in the testing database. We are very confident that this new generation of advertising and products aligned with current consumer preferences, including Clean Beauty and skincare-powered makeup, is the winning formula. That's why the brand has been gaining market share for three consecutive months and has not lost any shelf space for the second consecutive year. Expect to see many exciting new developments for CoverGirl this fall.
And we will take our next question from Steve Powers with Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.
Yes. Hi. Thank you very much. I guess, my question just wanted to dig into and just frame your outlook a bit more for fiscal '22. Starting with the first quarter, you talked about strong double-digit growth in July and August. And then obviously the high-teens outlook for the first quarter, which I think implies just September deceleration. So just maybe you could just frame that for us and any key drivers you'd call out? And then similarly for the full year, while I do appreciate the base year comparisons get progressively more difficult relative to a clean sort of '19 base adjusting for the Wella sale. I'm not sure that they do, but anything they make it a bit easier. So maybe just better frame the drivers there and any implied deceleration versus that pre-COVID base. Thank you.
Thank you, Steve. To address the first part of your question regarding a potential deceleration in September, it is not due to a decline in demand. The comparisons become tougher by definition. However, we want to share that our new initiatives and pipeline in the market, including Gucci Flora Gorgeous Gardenia, Burberry Hero, and the re-launch of Kylie Cosmetics, are performing exceptionally well. For instance, Gucci Flora is now the number one best-selling fragrance in Canada and ranks in the top three in the U.S. The momentum for Kylie Cosmetics continues to grow significantly. CK Defy, which we launched globally, is also exceeding our best estimates. Therefore, I wouldn't frame it the way you suggested. We are vigilant and prepared for any developments but remain very confident. This confidence is reflected in our projection of low-teens growth for fiscal '22, as we expect these launches to outperform the market throughout the year. Regarding how we are shaping fiscal '22, I'm pleased to report that we are executing our six-pillar strategy effectively. Our efforts in stabilizing consumer beauty are evident, particularly with CoverGirl and Rimmel, which has achieved its highest market share in the past ten months. This stability has helped strengthen the consumer beauty business in Europe for the first time in five years, and Max Factor has gained market share for the first time in four years, right before its significant re-launch. Stabilizing consumer beauty has been crucial for us to fully capitalize on the substantial growth potential we are observing in the prestige segment, whether in the U.S., China, or Europe. The combination of these factors, along with the strong e-commerce capabilities we've developed over the past year, gives us strong confidence in achieving high-teens growth for fiscal '22.
And we will take our next question from Chris Carey with Wells Fargo.
Hi, thank you for the question. To follow up on that, the revenue for fiscal '21 included approximately $1.2 billion attributed to the COVID impact on our core business. Could you discuss the potential for recovering some of those sales, considering the effects of M&A with Unique and Kylie and the reductions in low-quality channels in the prestige sector? Specifically, how has COVID affected the business, how much do you anticipate recovering, and what steps have you taken to streamline and enhance the quality of the portfolio, including exiting certain businesses? Additionally, regarding fiscal '22, what are your projections for A&CP spending in your outlook? Thanks again for addressing these points.
Thank you, Chris, for the question. So let's start with the end of the question. When it comes to A&CP, as Laurent laid out during his presentation, there is a sequential acceleration of our working media which is clearly the key part of A&CP, 26% of growth during the last quarter. And of course, we are going to continue to invest behind the huge and early successes we are seeing today behind Gucci, behind Burberry, Calvin Klein, Kylie Cosmetics, but also CoverGirl, Rimmel, and Max Factor just to name a few. So clearly we are going to continue to step up the investment in fiscal '22, particularly on working media. Three things I can tell you around fiscal '21 compared to fiscal '19. You were talking about sales, recovery, et cetera. The first one is when we compare the cities and the sell-outs we are seeing on the market, cities that we just shared with you and sell-outs on a six-month basis, which is clearly when we started the acceleration of the company starting in June of this calendar year, you could see that Coty's prestige business is growing 2 times faster than the market. So that's also an indicator about the health of the prestige business at Coty compared to peers. This is the first thing. The second thing, even if we look at consumer beauty, we have seen that our consumer beauty for the last six months has grown by 7%, which is slightly ahead of what the market is doing. So in both divisions, we are seeing a strong outperformance versus the sell-outs of the market, which is for me the best way to assess what the market is doing and therefore what the competitors are doing. Another thing I can tell you compared to fiscal '19 is the improvement in our EBITDA again. The EBITDA margin has been growing by 300 basis points versus 2019, and this on lower days of sales. So again, as you can see on all metrics, specifically sell-out, a progression of sales, EBITDA, and working media versus '19, we are clearly recovering much faster than what we thought at the beginning of last year in fact.
And we will take our next question from Steph Wissink with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I have a follow-up question on the A&CP. I guess maybe this is two-part, tactical and philosophical. But on the tactical side, as you do invest a bit more in A&CP and demand activation, what are the two or three key metrics you're looking for beyond sales, maybe more in terms of sales quality that will continue to reinforce that investment? And then, Laurent, for you maybe as you think about upside in the year, is your plan to reinvest the upside into incremental working media? Or are you at a point where you feel like you can start to see some of that upside balance through and drop through to the bottom line? Thank you.
Thank you. I will address the second part of your question. As you can see in Q4, our level of A&CP in the first half of 2021 was 20%, which increased to 23% in Q3, and reached 26% of A&CP on net sales in Q4. We are not providing guidance on A&CP for fiscal 2022, but it's clear that the savings we are generating next year will be directed towards fixed costs and gross margin to support growth and the strategic initiatives that Sue outlined. To elaborate on the A&CP levels, there are various plans in place, including working media and other categories. We maintain a strict discipline in managing other A&CP expenditures, such as optimizing samples and testers, which is part of our productivity plan. This knowledge is then leveraged to focus on working media. We are progressing rapidly in working media within A&CP, and we exercise tight control over this area. Regarding potential upside, we have ongoing discussions with Sue and the leadership team each week. When we identify additional profit upside, we make strategic decisions on reallocating those funds. For instance, this year, we made adjustments for CoverGirl, and the results are evident. We plan to continue this approach in fiscal 2022. Currently, we have implemented effective initiatives. It requires continuous daily and weekly effort to fuel growth while also maintaining our EBITDA. We have become very proficient in our spending on working media, conducting copy tests, and adhering to strict KPIs, which guide our decision-making. We track scores to assess our progress across consumer beauty, prestige, and all categories. We utilize specific metrics related to purchase intent and awareness, among other KPIs, to allocate our resources effectively.
And we will take our next question from Andrea Teixeira with JPMorgan.
Thank you and good morning. I wanted to return to the Kylie Cosmetics and Kylie Skin launch from July, which you've discussed positively. Can you provide some insight into the sales potential for this brand in monetary terms, particularly in the context of your guidance? Additionally, I wanted to follow up on the previous question regarding the rationalization you've mentioned. Specifically, I'd like to understand Calvin Klein's role within your fragrance business and how we should approach these fragrances in terms of the portfolio moving forward. Thank you.
Thank you for the question. So again on Kylie, I'm not going to comment on individual brands. But I can tell you that the re-launch that we have done during this summer with the cosmetics line for the first time sold on the same brand side as the skincare line has really been, I would say, outpacing all the key metrics that we usually see on what we call celebrity-led brands. In fact, the number of sales that we've seen, for example, during the first 15 minutes was huge; 300 orders per minute during the first 15 minutes. When Kylie has done the live shopping session that she's been doing during the re-launch, we had KPIs that were 3 times higher in terms of basket and conversion versus what we monitor on the rest of the market. Last but not least, in fact, this was not a surprise, because during the last year, even if it was a quiet year for the make-up, I would say, industry that Kylie has been gaining something like 16 million followers on her different social media. You could also see that in terms of what we call interactions, likes, comments, et cetera, it was more than 19 million of these interactions, comments, or likes that happened on the different channels of Kylie, which was a great preparation for the re-launch that we've done during this summer. Today, the feedbacks we are seeing, including qualitative feedbacks, because the line is now 100% vegan, cruelty-free, of course, and we've been removing around 1,000 contested ingredients from the formulations. All the feedbacks are absolutely outstanding. So when it comes to our fiscal '22 outlook, it embeds broad-based growth across the different brands, the different markets, and, of course, the different channels.
And we will take our next question from Mark Astrachan with Stifel.
Thanks, and good morning or afternoon everyone. I wanted to ask about the progression of sales growth. There were obviously strong sales in Q4, but those are largely driven by comparison. Looking at the underlying two-year stack or CAGR growth, it seems to have been somewhat weaker sequentially compared to some peers. On the other hand, your guidance for the September quarter and the year suggests a significant acceleration in that underlying growth. So my question is what is driving this strong acceleration at this point? Have you finished lapping the exits of lower profile channel brands, or is the advertising and promotions really starting to make an impact? Any additional comments on this would be appreciated. Thank you.
Thank you, Mark, for the question. So again, if I understand your question what's driving our outlook for fiscal '22, clearly the first thing is that we are seeing again strong progress on our pillar. We have multiple strong initiatives, again, being the number one prestige fragrance maker, when on the same year you have the re-launch of what's going to be the biggest launch activity this year, which is Flora Gorgeous Gardenia by Gucci; Burberry, Defy, Kylie Cosmetics re-launch, Sally Hansen re-launch. Also we are seeing that fragrance demand continues to improve very, very strongly be it in the U.S., in China, and now in Europe. Again, this gives us confidence that there is something happening behind the brands prior to quarter one. But also these launches add a new layer of confidence that they are going to probably be best selling launchers. Again, I come back to Flora by Gucci, the figures we got from Canada one day ago show that this is 2 to 3 times bigger than what we had one year ago with Perfect by Marc Jacobs, which you can, of course, remember was the best-selling fragrance last year in the U.S. and Coty’s biggest launch in the last 10 years. So we're building a momentum on a momentum that we started during the second half of fiscal '21.
And we will take our next question from Olivia Tong with Raymond James.
Thank you. I wanted to follow up on your comment in the press release about always seeking value creation. Can you discuss the reasoning behind your decision to IPO a portion of Brazil? Is there any impact on profit and loss from that, and is it reflected in your sales projections? Additionally, are there other brands or regions you believe may not traditionally fit into your portfolio? We've talked about several brands on this call, so should we assume that those you didn't mention might be more likely candidates for strategic alternatives? I have a follow-up question as well. Thank you.
Okay. So let me comment on the first question on the partial IPO. First of all, we made clear that we keep the control and we keep the majority. There is no consolidation of these operations. So it's definitely a decision with a goal of supporting the growth of the Brazil business and Coty’s personal care brands. It's really an important strategic decision we are making. Then I will not comment more on the P&L and also elements considering the local regulation. If you want more information about this operation, you can refer to the CVM website in Brazil.
And we will take our next question from William Reuter with Bank of America.
Hi. I just have one question. I'm curious about where travel retail stands as a percentage of historical levels in the prestige segment. Specifically, I'm interested in understanding what sort of impact we might still see in this segment as travel approaches pre-pandemic levels.
So again, on travel retail, clearly the bright spot has been what we call domestic travel retail, namely Hainan. Even with the most recent restrictions, we haven't seen any slowdown in this kind of distribution when it comes to our brands. More globally in terms of travel retail, now they are in low single digits. It used to be high single digits. Of course, there is more growth to come, as you said, as restrictions around travel ease more and more. But the great news for us is that we've used this key location such as Hainan in China to test and re-launch some key brands, specifically in skincare. As you can imagine, skincare is a key segment for travel retail and moreover in APAC and in China travel retail. Again, we got great news. We've seen that the line is a top three skincare line in Hainan now. It's a top 20 skincare line in front of big brands that have been there for decades, et cetera. This gives us great confidence that we are going to add a new growth engine to our travel retail growth, namely skincare and specifically high-end skincare in the region where we were relying mainly on fragrances.
And we will take our next question from Carla Casella with JPMorgan.
Hi. So you mentioned the Brazil potential listing. I'm curious, you mentioned that that could partially help you delever. Have you or at what point do you revisit Wella and whether you sell additional stake in that to either help delever or use for growth in that core business? And are there any restrictions on that? And then one follow-up just in terms of the leverage.
Thanks for your patience. First of all, I want to remind that indeed we see really some value increase in the Wella stake, as you remember. So from $1.2 billion, we are now $1.217 billion. So there was a $50 million value increase in the country and now $10 million on top in Q4. So this 40% in our balance sheet, we see value increasing and this will continue. Second, this is why we explained that indeed in our leverage, so we are indeed financial net debt. But this is really an asset where we show our economic net debt. Our economic net debt with this rate is now about $4 billion. To answer your point, there is no specific agenda. But definitely we are contemplating that if there is an opportunity, which will be interesting in terms of value, this is something that we will be ready to explore. But at this stage, there is no specific agenda on this.
We have no further questions on the line at this time. I will turn the call back over to Sue for any additional or closing remarks.
Thank you, everyone. Again, we are all super proud of our great performance delivered by an amazing team, and I take this opportunity to say thank you to everyone at Coty. Thank you very much.
This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time, and have a wonderful day.
SEC filing · Item 2.02
Filed Aug 26, 2021 · complete as-filed document
SEC periodic report
Filed Sep 24, 2021 · complete as-filed document