Operator
Hello, and welcome to the Ingersoll-Rand fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. I would now like to turn the conference over to Matthew Fort, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.
Thank you, and welcome to the Ingersoll-Rand 2025 fourth quarter earnings call i'm matthew fort vice president of investor relations and joining me this morning are vicente renal chairman and ceo and vic kinney chief financial officer we issued our earnings release and presentation yesterday afternoon and we will reference these during the call both are available on the investor relations section of our website in addition a replay of this conference call will be available later today before we start i want remind everyone that certain statements on this call are forward-looking in nature and are subject to the risks and uncertainties discussed in our previous SEC filings, which you should read in conjunction with the information provided on this call. Please review the forward-looking statements on slide two for more details. In addition, in today's remarks, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP in our slide presentation and in our earnings release both of which are available on the investor relations section of our website on today's call we will review our company and segment financial highlights and provide our full year 2026 guidance for today's Q&A session we ask that each caller keep to one question and one follow-up to allow time for other participants at this time I will turn the call over to the Sunday.
Thanks, Matthew, and good morning to all. Beginning on slide three, we ended the year on a strong note, delivering low single-digit organic order growth for both the fourth quarter and the full year. Additionally, our return to organic revenue growth reflects positive momentum heading into 2026. We're also very pleased with the momentum we continue to see on our recurrent Revenue Initiative, which exceeded $450 million in 2025, with a backlog of recurrent revenue of approximately $1.1 billion in future revenue from existing contracts. This is a clear demonstration of how we continue to make great progress towards achieving our recurrent revenue target. Turning to inorganic growth, our disciplined approach to M&A continues to be a key driver of our success. our acquisition pipeline remains robust with a strategic focus on enhancing our existing portfolio finally our teams remain nimble through the use of irx and continue to leverage our economic growth engine to outperform in the markets in which we serve on fly four our inorganic growth flywheel remains robust underpinned by a strong pipeline and discipline deal execution the value Recreation Flywheel remains the core engine of performance, delivering durable free cashflow and enabling consistent high return capital deployment. In 2025, we demonstrated both efficiency and precision in our execution, investing $525 million across 16 transactions, which collectively generated approximately $275 million in annualized inorganic revenue. These high return acquisitions averaged a nine times pre-synergy multiple and expanded our technological capabilities, demonstrating that our M&A engine continues to help us drive above market growth. And we're off to a great start heading into 2026, with nine additional transactions currently under LOI. In January, we completed our first acquisition of 2026 with Synomics, a leading manufacturer specializing in technologies that optimize workflow solutions to improve throughput accuracy and traceability across multiple life science and markets. The Synomics acquisition advances our life science strategy by combining complementary technologies to deliver high-value end-to-end laboratory solutions. Now, I will hand it over Rukovic, who will share an update on our financial performance for Q4 and the full year.
Starting on slide five, orders showed continued strength in the fourth quarter, up 8% year-over-year or up 1% organically, with both our ITS and PST segments delivering low single-digit organic order growth. Consistent with normal seasonality, fourth quarter booked a bill finished at 0.93 turns. As Vicente mentioned earlier on the call, we finished the year strong with revenue of 10 percent organic revenue grew three percent year-over-year which included both positive price and volume we delivered fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of 580 million dollars and adjusted EBITDA margins remained strong at 27.7 percent reflecting the durability of our operating model with year-over-year margin pressure primarily driven by tariff impacts and intentional commercial investments for growth corporate costs were 31 million dollars our q4 adjusted tax rate was 21.2% and adjusted earnings per share was 96 cents for the quarter up 14% year-over-year moving to the full year results on slide 6 orders were up 9% year-over-year or up 1% organically heading into 2026 we're well positioned finishing 2025 with a book to bill above one and both the ITS and PSC segments delivering low single-digit organic order growth for the full year total revenue was up 6% year-over-year while organic revenue finished the year down 1% due in large part to tough first half comps with a clear improvement in trajectory as the year progressed and positive momentum exiting 2025 for the full year our results exceeded at the upper end of our prior guidance range for both adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share the company delivered adjusted EBITDA of approximately 2.1 billion dollars with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.4% and adjusted earnings per share for the year was three dollars and 34 cents up 2% year-over-year including a full year adjusted tax rate of 22.8% on the next slide free cash flow for the fourth quarter was 462 million dollars with 3.8 billion dollars in total liquidity our balance sheet remains a strategic asset enabling continued investment in high return opportunities leverage continues to be well under two times even as we continued to strongly deploy capital in 2025 including 525 million dollars in m a 1 billion dollars in share repurchases and 32 million dollars in dividends this performance reinforces our ability to effectively deploy capital while maintaining top tier balance sheet flexibility now i'll hand the call over to vicente who will go over our segment results thanks vic on slide date, ITS orders finished up nine percent in the fourth quarter.
Book to build for the quarter was 0.93 and finished above one for the full year. The segment delivered organic orders growth in the low single digits, making all four quarters of positive organic order growth in 2025. All three regions, Americas, EMEA and Asia-Pacific saw positive organic order growth for the full year. Revenue grew 11% year-over-year, including organic revenue growth of 3%. Adjusted EBITDA margins finished at 28.9%, which was down year-over-year largely driven by the dilutive impact of tariffs and continued commercial investments for growth. For a more detailed breakdown on organic orders at a regional level for Q4, Americas was up low single digits, EMEA was down mid-single digits, and Asia Pacific was up low double digits, driven by China up low single digits, and the rest of Asia up mid-20s. Compressor organic quarter trends were in line with the regional trends just mentioned for Americas, EMEA, and China. This marks the third quarter in a row where we saw organic quarter growth in China, underscoring our agility through the effective use of IRX and the success of our demand generation activities delivering consistent growth in what remains a very challenging market. In our innovation in action section we're pleased to introduce the latest aeration technology for wastewater applications developed by one of our recent acquisitions. This advanced technology has been integrated with one of our high efficiency blowers allowing us to deliver increased oxygen while reducing power consumption. This combination allows us to achieve up to 34% energy savings, creating a strong return on investment for the customer. This initiative demonstrates our commitment to leveraging both established and new acquired technologies to offer greater energy efficiency to our customers and expand our aftermarket revenue opportunities. Turning to slide nine, Q4 orders in PST were up 6% year-to-year with a book-to-build of 0.96. Organic orders were up 1%, including our live science businesses, which delivered mid-teams organic order growth. For the full year, PST delivered organic order growth of 2%, with a book-to-bill of one time. We're also pleased to highlight that both our precision technologies and live science technologies businesses saw positive organic order growth for the full year. Additionally, we are encouraged by the acceleration in the organic order's momentum as the second half of the year finished up mid-single digits. Fourth quarter revenue finished up at 8% year-over-year with organic revenue rose of 4%. PST delivered adjusted EBITDA of $127 million, which was up 19% year-over-year with a margin of 30.4%. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 280 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating continuous strong execution against a relatively easy comp from Q4 of prior year. For a full year, adjusted EBITDA margin finished at 30%, which is up 40 basis points year over For our PST Innovation in Action, we're showcasing our award-winning EasyJetFlow product from our live science business. EasyJetFlow is a disposable single-use mixer designed for biopharma production, featuring a sealed transfer system that improves safety by reducing cross-contamination risks and shielding operator from airborne powders when paired with easy biopack bags it allows for fast turnaround without the need for cleaning or validation while delivering straightforward operation for quicker powder dissolution compared to competitive alternatives as we move to slide 10 we're issuing our full year guidance for 2026 total company revenue is expected to grow between 2.5 percent and 4.5 percent driven by organic quarter growth of one percent at the midpoint 1.5 percent growth from m a which includes a carryover from all transactions completed in 2025 as well as the previously announced synomics acquisition and one percent fx telling total adjusted evita for the company is expected to be in the range of 2.13 billion and $2.19 billion. Corporate costs are planned at $170 million and they're expected to be incurred evenly per quarter throughout the year. Adjusted EPS is projected to fall within the range of $3.45 and $3.57, which is approximately 5% growth at the midpoint. We anticipate our adjusted tax rate to be approximately 23 percent, net interest expense to be about $230 million, and share count to be approximately $394 million. Pre-cash flow to adjusted net income conversion will be around 95 percent. The facing of revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS is expected to be consistent with what we have seen in prior years as outlined in the table. In addition, based on guidance at the midpoint, we expect EPS to grow at a similar mid-single-digit growth rate in both the first and second half of the year. Finally, on slide 11, as we wrap up this part of the call, I'm confident that our strong finish in 2025 puts us in an excellent position for success in 2026. We maintain agility and readiness to adapt to the ongoing changes in the global market landscape. Our teams have consistently demonstrated resilience and high level of execution, achieving strong results in this very complex environment. We remain disciplined with our approach of capital allocation, leveraging our robust balance sheet to generate durable earnings growth and long-term shareholder value. Finally, I would like to thank our employees for your ongoing dedication and commitment to embracing an ownership mindset. Thank you for your help in delivering another robust quarter and full year. Now, I will hand the call back to the operator and open it for Q&A.
Operator
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star 1 again. As a reminder, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Thank you. Your first question comes from Mike Halloran with Baird. Your line is open.
Thank you. Morning, everyone. Starting on the guidance, what sort of end market trajectory is embedded in the guidance? And on the shorter cycle side of your businesses, are you seeing any signs of change? And what would the businesses that you would look at to internally for leading indicators on your side?
Sure, Mike. So let me start with the end market commentary first, as it relates to what we're currently seeing in the market, which is the basis of our initial guide here. You know, portfolio continues to demonstrate resiliency, as you have seen. I mean, as a reminder, 40% of our revenue is aftermarket, which tends to be very stable. And from a high level, some end market commentary, life sciences, is progressing and improving sequentially. As a reminder, we demonstrated outgrowth with orders in the mid-teens during the Q4 performance, and to kind of double-click on the life sciences, more pharma and biopharma production, we continue to see very good funnel and booking activity, both in the U.S. and outside the U.S. Our medical device business, which is very in region for region, is driving some very good funnel activity. I was actually with a team in China last week, and there's just a lot of good potential to serve our customers in China, for example, on the medical device side. The lab analytical diagnostic equipment market, very good pipeline activity given some of the U.S. resharing of drug discovery and development and the need for automation to mitigate resharing costs. Therefore, the acquisition that we made with Synomics, which plays very well in that end market. On the general industrial side, we have seen more stability, especially in the back half of 2025 as we kind of have passed the peak of uncertainty related to tariffs and that being said you know we're cautiously optimistic about the improving trends moving into 2026. You know long cycle project perspective we haven't seen any kind of dramatic changes as the funnel remains very healthy and I think it's you know the other important point of note is we're continuing to remain very encouraged about the recurring revenue. You know, in terms of some of the indicators that you were asking, Mike, I mean PMI for us continues to serve as a good overall gauge for short cycle businesses and we're optimistic about the uptick we recently saw in the US PMI here in January. And however, we think it's too early to call a meaningful a meaningful inflection and as a result of just one data point which has been down for such a long period of time and therefore the reason why we took a prudent approach here as we started year of 2026.
Thanks for that so so it sounds like the guidance itself assumes just the current trajectory continues as opposed to some sort of inflection up in any of the pieces. And then, you know, related to that, are there any end markets that you're specifically worried about this year? Maybe better put, if you look at the last couple of years where there's been headwinds, do you think those persist in the 26th year? Or are we at the point where we've at least flushed out a lot of the headwinds? I know the China piece has been a headwind from a market perspective, but you've turned to growth.
Any other things there you would point to or areas you would point to yeah so so related to the guidance you're exactly as you said Mike we're not embedding any market recover here and I'm very stable sequentially here from from what we are seeing today so that that's what we're embedding the guidance in terms of the end market some of the headwinds as you very well as we can articulate it you know whether you know RNG electric vehicle photovoltaic a lot of that is behind us and and i think also the the good news here too as well as i mentioned on the on the you know early remarks uh our team in china now three quarters of uh delivering positive uh organic order growth uh the past three quarters in a row not what the market is doing but also speaks uh loudly as to what the team is doing i was with the team in China last week and it's very impressive the amount of innovation and technology and new end markets and new solutions that they're launching in order to to penetrate the market and see that organic growth excellent I appreciate it thank you the next question comes from Julian Mitchell with Barclays your line is open hi good morning just trying to understand the
seasonality through the year a little bit better um so is it fair to assume the guidance is based on roughly you know that one point of organic revenue growth year on year fairly evenly through the year and then on eps growth i think you mentioned mid single digits year on year in both halves um are you starting out first quarter around that mid single digit eps growth uh as well thank you.
Yeah, Julian, I'll take that one here. So as far as the organic growth comment, first and foremost, you know, starting with Q1, we expect Q1 organic to be, you know, I'd say roughly flat, maybe very slightly down. But then as we move through the balance of the year, we expect, I would call it comparable low single digit growth, organic growth for Q2, Q3, and Q4. So, you know, as Vicente said here, a bit of normalization, perhaps, as we get from Q2 to Q4, but, you know, no meaningful market recovery, anything like that necessarily baked in to the guide. As far as the EPS question, generally the way you're characterizing it is a fair way to think about it here. As we indicated, we expect to see a relatively even earnings growth, you know, on a quarterly basis and particularly on the first half versus second half as well. That's helpful. Thank you, Vic.
And then maybe my follow-up would be on the EBITDA margins. So I think the guidance embeds full year EBITDA margins are flattish. um and is the way to think about that maybe a small decline year on year in the first half um because of price cost and then that that flips around and you know in light of some of the commentary in the last sort of eight hours or so um maybe help us understand kind of the scale of the price cost um headwinds that you have been seeing whether dollars or margin percent yeah Yeah, sure, Julian, I'll start.
You know, as far as the margin profile and kind of the way you've talked about it, you're completely correct. I think even as we talked about, you know, in our last earnings call, we did expect, you know, some headwinds on the margin front, particularly in the first half of the year, particularly as we laugh kind of some of the annualizing of the tariffs. So, you know, that's largely impacting the first half of 2026. And then, you know, clearly it's moving to the second half of the year. We would expect, you know, some of the results of what I'll call, you know, in-year pricing actions, some of the productivity measures, as well as some of the, you know, controllable, I would say, you know, actions that we've taken internally to drive, you know, a better margin profile into the back half of the year. You know, as far as the price cost piece of the equation, you know, let me just start by saying, you know, one, I think the fourth quarter largely played itself out as expected. Worth noting, though, that I think the teams executed really well, which you saw specifically in that Q4 performance. You know, and as far as the, you know, the price cost equation and things of that nature, kind of going back to my earlier comments. One, we do expect price cost to be positive for the full year. Now, if we take that in terms of the two components, first half and second half, like I said, price costs expect to be a bit more constrained in the first half of the year given the timing of the tariff impact. However, we do expect to be price cost neutral in the first half. And then we expect to see that margin expansion take hold in the second half for the factors I kind of earlier described. That's great.
Thank you. the next question comes from jeff sprague with vertical research your line is open hey thank you good morning everyone um hey just a couple things first just back on the short cycle yeah we've all seen the the pmi um decente i just want to kind of clarify a little bit though are you not seeing any actual pickup in the short cycle pockets whether it's i don't know tools or small compressors or the like um is sort of question number one and then uh does the guide actually anticipate volumes turning positive by the time we get to the back half of the year
obviously you've been running on negative volumes positive price for what the better part of eight quarters here i guess yeah no jeff i uh we're seeing some pickup in the short cycle clearly i mean as you saw from the order rates uh as we kind of deliver here in the fourth quarter and we see somewhat of the momentum continuing here as we enter 2026 and into January. So the auto momentum, I'll say, continues. I think what the remark that I made is, you know, PMI just turned about 50 in the U.S. for the first time in 38 months or so in January. And we're just saying, hey, that's only one data point. But we're seeing definitely that better momentum and kind of inflicting points.
We just want to see more data points of kind of continue a better market performance. yeah jeff in terms of your question oh go ahead yeah yeah go ahead sorry uh just question on the volume side of the equation um you know again the best way i would probably describe this as uh we do expect volume performance to improve as we think about the second half versus the first half um you know i think it's you know probably closer to you know probably somewhere in the flattish realm if you kind of think about it as we get to the back half of the year and as we exit the year but um you know as vicente said here we haven't baked any what i'll call meaningful recovery per se in and obviously I mean as markets continue to hopefully you know improve we would expect that to be an area for you know potential out
performance in the future we just obviously want to see it materialize first and just a follow-up on capital deployment if I could it's not clear that me you have capital deployment in the guide the share count number maybe we can get close to that just on the annualization of what you did on the repo I do see interest expense coming down a little bit I don't know if that's rates or cash generation and debt reduction? Can you just clarify what, if anything, is in the guide from a capital deployment standpoint?
Yeah, sure, Jeff. I would say the approach is very consistent with how we've historically. So essentially, I'll take the pieces here. One, from the share count perspective, you're just seeing the annualization of the actions already taken in 2025, where we did approximately a billion dollars of share repurchases. So you're just seeing that now materialize into the share count piece of the equation. From an M&A perspective, consistent with how we've historically kind of guided, you're seeing the M&A impact is just the carryover of acquisitions completed in 2025, as well as the one deal that we have completed here thus far in 2026, which is the Synomics acquisition that Vicente indicated.
As far as the balance of the equation, whether it be interest expense or things of that nature, I would say it's fairly consistent with uh with 2025 levels so um you know everything there is generally as as we've historically um indicated and guided great thanks the next question comes from joe oday with wells fargo your line is open hi good morning um can can you dig in a little bit on the uh acquisition opportunity set when you talk about the 400 500 bips of annualized revenue um expected to be acquired in 26 uh just in in terms of the the composition of the pipeline right now sounds like primarily in the bolt-on side of things um but anything that could be in the in the larger side as well um you know what that would mean what your appetite is for anything uh in that kind of larger category sure so uh so the opportunity in the funnel remains uh really strong.
Already executed one acquisition with Synomics and currently have nine companies under LOI. I'll characterize the pipeline still as being bolt-on in nature, but there's definitely a couple that we have been cultivating for quite some time that could be on the larger purchase price of maybe a billion or so. But again, the current pipeline is bolt-on in nature today. But we're definitely seeing a lot of good activity and particularly on what I just referred to. I mean, our cultivation process continues to remain very strong and we're seeing better movement here too as well.
And then on the recurring revenue side, I think this has gone from $200 million a couple years ago to $300 million enough, over $450 million.
Just a little bit of color around kind of driving some of the traction there you know where you're most pleased and then you know how you think about the opportunity and where that could get to yes absolutely i mean we're very excited about some of the milestones that we we achieved uh here in uh in in 2025 you know not only the 450 million of revenue which as you very well said a couple years ago was approximately 200 million uh but the fact that we we now have approximately 1.1 billion dollars in future revenue from existing contracts in what we call in the backlog or in the bank uh so that that that gives us a good confidence here as we can continue the ramp uh we always said that will not be linear and will require continued ram to achieve our long-term investor day target and we will provide an update to that on our next investor day but i think it's uh we're seeing the good resiliency from the team not only as we expand into some of the regions but as we expand the recurrent revenue into many other technologies. But we're pleased with the performance so far, and the teams are working very hard to continue to accelerate.
Operator
The next question comes from Nigel Koh with Wolf Research. Your line is open.
Thanks. Good morning, everyone. I hope it was well. Lots of details so far. So, Vic, I just wanted to go back to your comments on 1Q being flat to maybe slightly down, you know, relative to the, call it 3% organic, you posted in 4Q. So, you know, that would imply, you know, pretty significant kind of Q over Q deceleration. So just wondering, was there any timing of shipments that benefited 4Q that informs that And then just maybe if we could just dimensionalize the price, cost, and investment spending that you are highlighting and, you know, any sense on how we should think about ITS margins? Again, first off is the second half.
Yeah, sure, Nigel. Let me take the first one. So, you know, as far as I'd say the revenue, you know, from Q4 to Q1, remember, I would characterize what you're seeing really as normal seasonality. You know, if you look at, typically speaking, you know, in any cadence of the year, you know, you typically have Q4 is typically our strongest quarter of the year, typically characterized by a lot of the shipments in some of our longer cycle project businesses. You know, that business typically has a little bit more of a stronger orders profile in the first half of the year, a little stronger shipment profile in the back half of the year. 2025 was very much in line with that. So I think what you're referring to here as far as kind of the sequential move between Q4 and Q1, very standard. And in fact, I would say the revenue and earning seasonality that's baked into our 2026 guide is almost, you know, it's actually exactly what you saw in prior years. So again, I would characterize that as standard and not being atypical compared to kind of what you've seen in prior years. You know, as far as the, you know, the price cost and really, really more so the investments, you know, obviously, we haven't necessarily quantified the exact number here for you. But what I would characterize it as is a couple of kind of moving factors. And we can also talk about kind of the ITS margin profile as well. You know, I think in terms of the investments, it's the same continued, I would say, commercial investments that you've seen us talk about historically. So whether that be at the corporate level, things around centralized demand generation, things of that nature, some of the kind of normal course investments for growth, as well as within the actual business, really much more front-end commercial engineering and NPD related innovation, if I will say, in commercial-related investments. So again, I would say that's a continued trend and theme USANA seen us been very consistent with that in 2025 as well so I think 2026 is much more of a I'll call it continuation in that in that respect as far as the margin question I think asked about you know ITS you know I think the best way to kind of describe it here is our expectation for ITS margins is that on a total year basis we do expect to be relatively flattish year-of-year on a full-year basis. That's largely driven, I would say, by the two factors that we've mentioned here, the tariff-related expenses, really the carryover there. We are offsetting with price, but obviously that's still diluted from a margin perspective, as well as the continued targeted commercial investment for growth. PST, we do expect to be up, you know, triple digit margin expansion, you know, in the sense, really, you know, frankly, strong operational execution, I would say the continued integration and execution on some of the acquired assets. And then, you know, what I would say is probably a slightly easier comps, particularly in, in the first half of the year, comparatively to the rest of the business. And then we obviously highlighted, you know, kind of corporate costs at a total company level, which we expect to be, you know, roughly even per quarter through the course of 2026.
Vic, that was great, Keller. Thanks. And just a quick one on the PST orders. Obviously, great momentum in life sciences. I think you said up mid-teens, but that implies there was a significant decline in other business units. Just wondering if you could just touch on that quickly.
Yeah, sure. So, I mean, basically, you know, very, very happy and excited with what seeing on the on the life sciences side you know the the precision technology also the livery deliver fairly fairly fairly nice uh which is about 60 of the total segment and that business is performing in line with what you have seen in the ips so the the last piece is basically the aerospace and defense business which is down uh due to order timing uh nothing unexpected as the business is generally moving sideways from 2025 to 2026 but that was basically kind of the offset in the segment okay thanks for sending yeah thank you the
next question comes from Nicole de blaze with Deutsche Bank your line is open yeah thanks good morning guys um can we just start with when you look at the full-year guidance for organics flat to up to are you looking for something similar magnitude in both PST and ITS?
Sure, Nicole, I'll take that one. Yeah, I think the simple answer is it's comparable, right? I think, you know, in terms of the overall, I would say we expect, you know, a slightly healthier overall full year from PST as compared to ITS. Obviously, that kind of blends to the midpoint, if you will, of what you see as far as the overall guide. But yes, I think, you know, relatively comparable trajectory as you think about the sequential movement from Q1 into the back half of the year.
Okay, understood. Thanks, Vic. And then can we just dig a little bit more into what you're seeing from a longer cycle project perspective? Vicente, you had talked about for several quarters in 2025, like delays in decision-making activity or decision-making process from your customers. How did that kind of go in the fourth quarter and into the early part of 2026.
Yeah, I mean, I'll say that the positive side is that the long cycle project funnel continues to be very, very active. We saw even some resurgence of adding more into the funnel as we were kind of gravitating here at the end of the year, and a very good start here into the beginning of 2026. In terms of the delays in decision making and kind of what we call about the elongation uh that kind of continues to still still still be there uh but the good news is that projects are not getting canceled uh and and and that we continue to see some some good moments so again it continues to build upon uh basically seeing that that the funnel continues to grow and uh which bodes well for us as we kind of come here into 2026 from an order perspective.
Thanks, Vicente. I'll pass it on.
Operator
The next question comes from Nathan Jones with Stiefel. Your line is open.
I guess I'll just start off with a question on the EBITDA guidance. I mean, it's pretty clear you're not planning on much in the way of volume growth. You get a little bit of addition to EBITDA from M&A. it doesn't seem to really embed any cost actions or any productivity in the guide. Can you talk about any expectations you have there for cost out or for productivity gains during 2026?
Yeah, sure, Nathan. I'll start with that one here. So I think the guide does include some requisite, you know, I would say productivity or cost actions. Let me kind of take those in pieces here. So clearly, I'd say the headwind from a margin perspective, I've kind of earlier stated, it is really the kind of the carryover of the tariffs, right? So even though there are pricing actions that are offsetting on a full year basis, that still is a little bit of a headwind from a margin perspective. Despite that, you're still seeing that we are growing earnings per share, you know, in a requisite comparable manner, quarterly or first half, second half. You know, the driver of that or kind of the offset, you know, tends to come from some of those cost actions. So first and foremost, you know, you have seen in our financials here that we have taken some proactive restructuring actions in the back half of 2025. Those will continue to materialize into savings into 2026. I'd say payback periods on those actions are very much in line with what you've seen us do historically. So that clearly is, I'd say, kind of the first item. The second one is what I would call the kind of normal course productivity. So that would be, you know, direct material as well as kind of I2V. Remember, those tend to follow, I'd say, the phasing of revenue very similarly to what you've seen in prior years. So those do tend to have a little bit more of a second half waiting, but that's just because they follow kind of the shipments. And then the other piece, you know, Nathan, would be that we are, you know, obviously taking, I'd say, some targeted pricing actions in the course of the year like we typically do. Those will obviously be taken, you know, business by business, region by region through the course of the year. And you'll start to see some of that materialize, you know, in the revenue base, particularly as moving to the second half of the year. So I'd say those are kind of the moving factors here that are, I would say, offsetting both some of the tariff-related headwinds, some of the kind of, I'd say, reinvestments that you're seeing from a commercial growth perspective, as well as some of the increased corporate costs on a year-over-year basis.
Thanks for that. and then i guess in terms of uh forward-looking indicators you talked about pmi getting a you know good reading in january in the us obviously you guys just have over the last few years talked about marketing qualified leads um as an indicator for your own business can you talk about you know what that's telling you in in various regions and and whether that's giving you any more confidence in uh the order rates in the short term here thanks for taking the questions yeah sure nathan So absolutely.
I mean, I think our marketing qualified leads is part of core of what we track ourselves internally, you know, by region, by product line, by even by end market. We continue to see some fairly good momentum on how the marketing qualified leads continue to grow. Now, a lot of that is because of obviously our kind of self-help engine on how we reach new customer accounts. so roughly half of those marketing qualified leads are coming in from new customer accounts as we try to obviously continue to take share so that's why we're seeing some uh some some good you know uh acceleration in terms of mql continue to be strong uh but as i said before you know decision making is kind of these elongation but again all indicators pmis and mqls uh looking to be you know on the proper training as we see sit here the next question comes
from Chris Snyder with Morgan Stanley your line is open thank you when we look at the pickup in q4 organic growth was this more so driven by momentum in the short cycle businesses or did some of the longer cycle orders in the backlog begin to convert and I asked because I noticed that this was the first quarter since the first half of 24 were organic sales outpaced orders um so it made maybe it's signaling some some level of of backlog release and i'm just wondering if you know could that remain a tailwind um for the business um into the first half of 26 thank you yeah chris great question so you know
i'd start with uh first and foremost the q4 performance i saw i would say had a requisite I'd say a component of both what I'd say the base business or short cycle, inclusive of aftermarket recurring revenue, as well as the long cycle. I go back to my earlier comment that, you know, the second half of the year, particularly Q4, tends to be a heavier shipment quarter, particularly on the long cycle project side of the equation. Q4, 25 was no exception to that. So I think that, you know, probably speaks to, you know, the drivers of that 3% organic kind of pickup that you saw. And then as far as, you know, the organic order versus organic sales, you know, probably the simplest way I'd probably describe that is, you know, the book to bill, you know, first of all, from a full year perspective, slightly over one. So, one, you know, we're encouraged by the fact that you have seen, you know, some backlog build, which I think also provides, you know, some of that increased visibility, but also, you know, just, you know, some of that backlog that we can execute as we move into 2026. I think as far as the absolute book-to-bill in Q4, slightly below one, again, I would call that very standard, you know, just, again, because of the long cycle nature and dynamics of the shipments we see. So, again, I think, to your point, encouraged by what we saw in Q4, and, you know, clearly, you know, we continue to kind of watch the leading indicators and, you know, see that hopefully continue here as we move into 2026, but encouraged by the contribution of both short cycle and the project side in Q4.
Thank you. I appreciate that. And then maybe just to follow up, could you provide some color on what's expected for the life science organic growth in 2026 within the guide? And, you know, it seems like obviously still really good momentum there with the Q4 order rates up mid-teens, but anything to call out on the slope of organic growth? Because I do imagine that the comps into 26 are getting a good deal more difficult than they were in 25 on the organic growth side. Thank you.
Yeah, sure, Chris. I, you know, as far as the guy, we're not going to kind of break the PST component, you know, into the different components. But what we can say here is, I think the way you've described it is exactly the way we're thinking about it. One, definitely encouraged and Vicente kind of provided a little bit of color on kind of the drivers we're seeing at the kind of differing components of the life sciences business. So I think we're incredibly encouraged by what we're seeing, whether it be on, you know, really in the biopharma side or even kind of the, you know, the legacy kind of Ingersoll ran, you know, medical business that we've had in terms of some of the improving trends. you know clearly you know we talked about the aerospace piece which is really kind of moving sideways from 25 to 2026 which is kind of a little bit of that I would call more of the offset comparatively speaking as it's kind of just part of that overall umbrella of businesses so I think the simple answer here is I think we continue to be really encouraged the other piece I would mention here is the fact that you know the bolt-on M&A you know kind of playbook is really taking root as well in our life sciences portfolio you see a number of bolt-ons in 2025 that will obviously become organic here at parts during the course of 2026 which we think will continue to contribute and then the synomics acquisition that we just did here in january which we think is a you know very attractive kind of nice additive complementary bolt-on to our existing kind of life sciences portfolio so again um you know i think your point is is very valid i think the comps um you know clearly are are are you know they're there but i think we're still encouraged by the momentum we're seeing, which you saw in the Q4 order rate. Thank you, Vic. Appreciate all the color.
Operator
The next question comes from Stephen Volkman with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Hi. Good morning, guys. Happy Friday. Just a couple very quick ones for me. I'm curious. It seems like valuations are kind of going up across the board, not just yours, but I'm presuming in the M&A funnel as well. Just does that change anything in terms of how you manage your capital deployment?
No. No, Steve. I mean, we continue to actually, as you have seen, do really well with the pre-sinergy You know, in 2025, we averaged roughly 9.2 times to be exact pre-sinergy multiple. And even the one that we acquired here in January continues to be in that kind of range. So I think we're continue to be very encouraged with what we're seeing now. But in our case, as you know, our M&A flywheel is differentiated in the sense that a lot of these transactions are sole source, cultivation happens, family and companies. So I think we have a bit of an advantage here for us to be able to continue with that and be able to have a very good price multiple.
Got it. Thank you. And then just with respect to kind of the order cadence, is there anything that you can see now that would make that different in 26 relative to kind of the last couple of years?
Yeah, sure, Steve. So we obviously don't guide on orders, but, you know, I think the simple way to think about it here is we don't expect anything here to be dramatically different in terms of, I'll just say, you know, the book to bill, you know, being one on a full year basis. and you know typically a little bit healthier than that in the first half and a little below on the second half just given normal seasonality and some of the dynamics i mentioned on our long cycle business so nothing at this point we would point to that we expect to be dramatically different super thank you guys thank you the next question comes from joe ritchie with goldman sachs your line is open uh thanks uh good morning guys good morning joe Hey, can you just touch on the margin profile of the recurring revenue business, the $450 million
that you referenced, Vicente? I recall you guys talking about a gross margin profile that was north of 60%. I'm just wondering if that's actually coming through as expected. And maybe that'll be question number one.
Sure, Joe. Let me start with that. I think in general, the recurring revenue business, you know, whether it be, you know, at its gold standard, what we call package care or any other components. Yes, it is, you know, across the entire enterprise, typically a higher margin profile, comparatively speaking to, I'd say, you know, the balance of our kind of normal course business. Now, that being said, you know, yes, margins can play in that range that you're speaking to. You know, what I would probably tell you here, though, is We're also making sure that we're taking that opportunity to reinvest appropriately in the business. I've mentioned a few times here some of those commercial reinvestments. Even on the recurring revenue side, you know, a lot of our commercial reinvestments are in areas like, you know, service technicians and things of that nature to make sure that we can continue to grow our recurring revenue base on a go-forward basis. So, you know, again, I think generally, yes, margin profiles that play in and around the areas that you've mentioned, but also certainly reinvesting.
Got it. Got it. So the way to think about it is that, like, you know, when you get the full run rate, you'll see probably a more creative margin profile than what you're seeing today coming out of the business because of some of the re-involving that you're doing. Is that a fair way to characterize it? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, and then I guess the following question is, look, I know that the M&A that's not completed is not part of the guide, but given your expectation that you'll do about, you know, potentially four to five point, you know, revenue contribution this year, what is what is the like first year margin profile look like for the for the things that you're looking at that you're hoping to complete in your in your pipeline today?
Yeah, Joe, I'll start here. So, yeah, obviously, a bit speculative because, quite frankly, you know, year to year and deal to deal, the margin profiles can, you know, clearly, you know, be a little bit different. You know, probably the best way I would describe it is that, as Vicente said here, one, you know, purchase multiples quite prudent. The ability to derive, you know, double digit returns, if not mid-teens returns by year three, and as such, take multiple turns out from controllable cost action synergies, things of that nature. uh clearly is still the the playbook you know if i had to put you know a broad kind of sweeping statement around it you know the the the acquisitions that are you know maybe upon acquisition you know maybe in the lower 20s margin profile but ones that we see you know pretty direct path to being in line with if not better than segment average margin profile is probably a best way to maybe explain it but clearly each acquisition is a little bit different and and Frankly, you've seen acquisitions that are immediately accretive upon acquisition in certain cases. So, again, not all made equal, but that's probably the best way I would describe it.
Helpful. Thank you, guys.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from David Rasso with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.
Thank you. I was interested to see the ITS organic orders in the quarter that EMEA was down mid-single digit. Just we've heard generally more constructive things out of Europe. I'm just curious if you're seeing, is that sort of a comp, sort of temporary? I'm just trying to see where there's areas that, you know, things that were down maybe, you know, are inflecting a little bit or just a unique dynamic. Can you explain it to Europe and I have a quick follow-up?
Yeah, no, it was just, I mean, nothing to read into it. I mean, just project timing, basically. And that was basically it. I mean, but again, we're continuing to be, you know, really encouraged. I mean, you saw our EMEA business, you know, was basically driving, you know, very nice, positive order growth for the full year. So even in ITS, with that Q4 commentary being negative, still for the full year was up orders, kind of positive, low single digit organic from a full year perspective.
That's what I was curious. I mean, do you see that business as up, or are their order rates backed up in Europe, or are they truly running at a negative level? Because, I mean, year-to-date, we don't have a K yet, but year-to-date, the revenues have been up, and I may have with an ITS. I'm just curious if there's... Yeah, no, true, sure.
No, not an issue in the fourth quarter. I mean, again, some countries are doing better than others. I mean, Mediterranean countries like Spain, Italy, France, seem to be actually growing faster than the Central European, like Germany at this point in time, but obviously a lot of good activity that we see moving through for the Central European countries as we kind of move forward.
And then for a follow-up, maybe I missed it, but we're now essentially almost halfway through the quarter. Are organic sales currently running to your flat to down a little bit, or you're just kind of giving that guide and see how the rest of the quarter plays out? You just sound a little more positive in the start of the year than a flat-to-down first quarter organically.
Yeah, David, I'll take that one. So I think the best way to say it here is that I think as we've moved through January, and I'll probably reflect a little bit more on the orders side of the equation, generally playing itself out as expected, nothing that we would consider to be atypical, whether it be from a seasonality perspective or even moving into 2026. So, you know, again, nothing that's happened thus far that would, you know, say anything different from either the guidance or kind of either the commentary that Vicente provided earlier. All right. Thank you very much.
Operator
The next question comes from Andrew Buscaglia with BNP Paribas. Your line is open.
Hi. Good morning, everyone. Good morning, Andrew. You made a comment earlier on China, just that it is improving, and that's been a little bit of a change, I'd say, in the last quarter or two. And other companies are kind of talking about that a little bit more. Where can you – can you get more specific about where you're seeing this improvement and how you see that playing out in 2026?
Yeah, I mean, I think the improvement is really coming from a lot of the launch of new products and technologies that our team is doing into the market. So taking also acquisitions that we have done in the U.S. and also Europe and taking that technology, localizing in China and then selling in China for China. So it's a good combination of really what I would call a lot of the self-help initiatives that our team is driving, more so than there's an overall market improvement in China. So I think the encouragement I spent the last week with the team in China is just seeing that, is that the level of innovation and the level of speed on understanding how we can combine technologies to create differentiated solutions for our customers is pretty unique. Like, you know, we gave one example about the blower combined with aeration. That's actually something new that now the team in China is launching, gives them a competitive advantage against some other companies. And again, taking technologies that we acquired in the U.S. and localizing and driving that in China, for example.
Yeah, it's more of a company specific stuff. Yes.
Yeah. And I, you know, you sound encouraging on life sciences.
And again, that's kind of something else other companies are getting a little more constructive on for 26. You know, I want to touch on ILC Dover only because, you know, with these acquisitions, sometimes they go quiet and, you know, the growth, you know, sort of moderated or I don't know if I want to say slowed. But for that business specifically, I just want to check, are we, is this, could this be a source of sneaky upside if this acquisition kind of comes back? And are there things you've done to it where we could potentially see it contributing to both overall growth and margins this year?
Yeah, I mean, we definitely have done a lot and encourage, you know, whether it is the setup with putting new leaders, the recreation or kind of creating the P&L that were needed to really drive execution, the investments that were needed to really penetrate in some of the better end markets and things of that nature, that we have done a lot of work. And what we have done here is then created a platform for then the acquisitions. And so far, we have done four into that kind of platform that we have. So that is just a lot of work that we have done and, you know, that we continue to push hard to do better.
Operator
The next question comes from Andrew Kaplowitz with Citi. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning. This is Natalia on behalf of Andy Kapowitz.
This is the first question that I'll ask. I'm not trying to be nitpicky here, but historically, you got to 100% STF conversion. This year, your guidance is under 100%. Is there anything holding you back in terms of free cash flow guidance? Any color you can provide there?
Sure, Natalia. I'll start with that one. First of all, I think if you look over the course of the last few years, we've been in that kind of low to mid-90s realm. So, I think, you know, 95% free cash flow conversion is, I would say, not just even consistent, but even, frankly, a touch better than what you've seen in the last few years. Now, that being said, clearly targeting, you know, closer to 100%, I think, is clearly the, I'd say the, you know, the goal, if you will. You know, I think there's not necessarily anything holding us back. I do think that, you know, clearly not just earnings growth, but, you know, I would call it working capital efficiency. probably continues to be one of our kind of major areas for opportunity as we move forward. Not surprisingly, you know, areas around inventory and things like that, particularly coming out of 2025 where some of the tariff dynamics created some inventory build and things like that is probably our biggest source of opportunity as we move through 2026. But, no, I would say generally otherwise we expect very consistent, you know, cash flow conversion, if not even slightly better than what you've seen in the last couple years.
I think that's helpful. And then I'm just curious about just industrial energy efficiency in the sense that when I think about compressors consuming energy in a factory, can we talk about the customer payback that you're seeing right now? Has that improved over the past year? Where do you see it going? Any call around there would be helpful.
Yeah, sure, Natalia. I'll say that as price of electricity continues to rise, then that for sure will drive better performance in terms of that return on the investment for the customer. So we continue to see these paybacks clearly under two years. You know, I mentioned me being in China, I was actually visiting a very large customer in China where compressors were consuming roughly 50% of the total energy at that facility. Now, this is a very, very, very, very large customer, but shows you the conversation was all about that it was all about how can we help them connect that compressor and fine-tune it to reduce that energy and uh and therefore drive uh more efficiency for for that customer so i think it's it's it's encouraging to see that uh that that obviously we have the right solutions here all right that's helpful thank you that is all the time we have for questions i'll turn the call to vincenti renal for closing remarks thank you sarah well so as we wrap i just want to say thank you for uh the continued interest in ingest iran and more important uh thank again to all of our employees uh our our our ownership man mindset and the culture of ownership is what creates a differentiation of us uh our team thinks and i'd like owners every day because they are and uh so we remain focused on discipline execution very thoughtful capital allocation and building a company designed to perform across the cycle so thanks again and we'll talk soon this concludes today's conference call thank you for joining you may not disconnect